PTC Stock Analysis: PTC | NASDAQ

Software - Application | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 15.743m USD | 12M Return: -35.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

PLM, IoT, CAD, AR
Total Rating 48
Safety 83
Buy Signal -0.36
Software - Application
Industry Rotation: +23.3
Market Cap: 15.7B
Avg Turnover: 192M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.8%
VaR 5th Pctl6.06%
VaR vs Median-0.07%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.24
Rel. Str. IBD9.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group16
Character TTM
Beta0.695
Beta Downside0.852
Hurst Exponent0.483
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD48.12%
CAGR/Max DD-0.02
CAGR/Mean DD-0.06
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of PTC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.83, "2021-09": 1.1, "2021-12": 0.95, "2022-03": 1.39, "2022-06": 0.97, "2022-09": 1.27, "2022-12": 0.99, "2023-03": 1.16, "2023-06": 0.99, "2023-09": 1.2, "2023-12": 1.11, "2024-03": 1.46, "2024-06": 0.98, "2024-09": 1.54, "2024-12": 1.1, "2025-03": 1.79, "2025-06": 1.64, "2025-09": 3.1, "2025-12": 1.92, "2026-03": 2.69, "2026-06": 1.17,
EPS CAGR: 35.11%
EPS Trend: 95.3%
Last SUE: -0.05
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of PTC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 435.668, 2021-09: 480.655, 2021-12: 457.721, 2022-03: 505.227, 2022-06: 462.474, 2022-09: 507.925, 2022-12: 465.91, 2023-03: 542.181, 2023-06: 542.342, 2023-09: 546.62, 2023-12: 550.214, 2024-03: 603.072, 2024-06: 518.639, 2024-09: 626.547, 2024-12: 565.128, 2025-03: 636.366, 2025-06: 643.937, 2025-09: 893.795, 2025-12: 685.825, 2026-03: 774.303, 2026-06: 600.049,
Rev. CAGR: 14.40%
Rev. Trend: 95.7%
Last SUE: -0.26
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Fakeout
Extended 1w
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +2.5% 19
Feb -1.1% 20
Mar -5.3% 6
Apr -0.5% 19
May +3.2% 23
Jun +1.6% 28
Jul +0.1% 10
Aug -1.3% 31
Sep -3.5% 46
Oct +0.0% 2
Nov +2.8% 2
Dec -1.5% 24

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: PTC PTC

PTC Inc. is a U.S.-headquartered software company founded in 1985 and listed on NASDAQ since 1989, operating across the Americas, Europe, and Asia Pacific. It sits within the Application Software sub-industry of the Information Technology sector, supplying enterprise software to manufacturing and industrial customers.

The companys portfolio is organized around product lifecycle management (PLM), industrial connectivity, computer-aided design (CAD), and service lifecycle management. Core offerings include Windchill for PLM, ThingWorx for the Industrial Internet of Things, ServiceMax for field service management, and Arena as a cloud-delivered (SaaS) PLM solution. PTC also provides Codebeamer for application lifecycle management, Servigistics for service parts management, and FlexPLM for retail and consumer products merchandising.

On the design and connectivity side, PTC offers Kepware and KEPServerEX for industrial connectivity, Creo for 3D CAD, Onshape as a SaaS-based CAD platform, and Vuforia for augmented reality applications. Arbortext and PTC Mathcad support technical documentation and engineering calculations. The mix of perpetual, subscription, and SaaS delivery models is typical of large enterprise software vendors transitioning toward recurring cloud revenue.

PTC is incorporated and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, and is classified as a large-cap stock with a market capitalization of approximately $13.25 billion USD.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • SaaS subscription ARR growth lifts recurring revenue margins
  • ThingWorx IoT and Vuforia AR drive digital transformation bookings
  • Autodesk and Dassault competition pressures PLM market share
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 1.22b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.78 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 15.67% < 20% (prev -5.54%; Δ 21.22% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 955.3m > Net Income 1.22b
Net Debt (1.44b) to EBITDA (1.67b): 0.86 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.65 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (115.0m) vs 12m ago -4.55% < -2%
Gross Margin: 84.09% > 18% (prev 82.16%; Δ 1.93% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 46.36% > 50% (prev 39.68%; Δ 6.68% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 18.84 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.55b / Interest Expense TTM 82.1m)
Altman Z'' 4.78
A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 1.18b - Total Current Liabilities 712.5m) / Total Assets 6.51b
B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 2.96b / Total Assets 6.51b)
C: 0.24 (EBIT TTM 1.55b / Avg Total Assets 6.37b)
D: 1.14 (Book Value of Equity 3.47b / Total Liabilities 3.04b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.78 = AA
Beneish M -2.93
DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 824.1m/712.7m, Revenue 2.95b/2.47b)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 82.16% / 84.09%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.79 / AQ_t-1 0.79)
SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 2.95b / 2.47b)
TATA: 0.04 (NI 1.22b - CFO 955.3m) / TA 6.51b)
Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of PTC shares?

As of August 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 139.86 with a total of 1,226,092 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.70%, over one month by +11.90%, over three months by +1.20% and over the past year by -35.37%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 128.70 (which is 8% or 2 ATR below the current price).

Is PTC a buy, sell or hold?

PTC has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.15. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PTC.

  • StrongBuy: 10
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PTC price?
Analysts Target Price 173.4 23.9%
PTC (PTC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 15.7b (15.7b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.8706
P/E Forward = 16.3132
P/S = 5.2516
P/B = 4.4185
P/EG = 1.0877
Revenue TTM = 2.95b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.55b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.67b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 25.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.79b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 183.1m
Net Debt = 1.44b USD (calculated: Debt 1.79b - CCE 351.5m)
Enterprise Value = 17.2b USD (15.7b + Debt 1.79b - CCE 351.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 18.84 (Ebit TTM 1.55b / Interest Expense TTM 82.1m)
EV/FCF = 18.37x (Enterprise Value 17.2b / FCF TTM 935.5m)
FCF Yield = 5.44% (FCF TTM 935.5m / Enterprise Value 17.2b)
FCF Margin = 31.67% (FCF TTM 935.5m / Revenue TTM 2.95b)
Net Margin = 41.43% (Net Income TTM 1.22b / Revenue TTM 2.95b)
Gross Margin = 84.09% ((Revenue TTM 2.95b - Cost of Revenue TTM 469.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 81.74% (prev 83.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.64 (Enterprise Value 17.2b / Total Assets 6.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.59% (Interest Expense 82.1m / Debt 1.79b)
Taxrate = 20.03% (306.5m / 1.53b)
NOPAT = 1.24b (EBIT 1.55b * (1 - 20.03%))
Current Ratio = 1.65 (Total Current Assets 1.18b / Total Current Liabilities 712.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.52 (Debt 1.79b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.86 (Net Debt 1.44b / EBITDA 1.67b)
Debt / FCF = 1.54 (Net Debt 1.44b / FCF TTM 935.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.21% (Net Income 1.22b / Total Assets 6.51b)
RoE = 32.64% (Net Income TTM 1.22b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.75b)
RoCE = 31.44% (EBIT 1.55b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.75b + L.T.Debt 1.17b))
RoIC = 21.79% (NOPAT 1.24b / Invested Capital 5.68b)
WACC = 7.94% (E(15.7b)/V(17.5b) * Re(8.43%) + D(1.79b)/V(17.5b) * Rd(4.59%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 8.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -71.50 | Cagr: -2.14%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.73% ; FCFF base≈899.6m ; Y1≈982.5m ; Y5≈1.23b
[DCF] Fair Price = 150.5 (EV 18.8b - Net Debt 1.44b = Equity 17.4b / Shares 115.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 10.60% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.28 | EPS CAGR: 35.11% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.70 | Revenue CAGR: 14.40% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.92 | Chg30d=+3.97% | Revisions=+36% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=8.19 | Chg30d=+1.32% | Revisions=+86% | GrowthEPS=+2.3% | GrowthRev=-0.4%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=8.88 | Chg30d=+2.94% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+8.5% | GrowthRev=+6.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +63% (up=27, down=5)