(PTLO) Portillo's - NASDAQ
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 321m USD | Total Return: -62.9% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 6.23M
EPS Trend: 81.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 91.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
High Debt/EBITDA (14.2) with thin interest coverage (1.8)
High Debt while negative Cash Flow
Altman Z'' 0.14 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Fakeout Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Portillos Inc. (PTLO) is a fast-casual restaurant operator specializing in Chicago-style street food, including hot dogs, Italian beef sandwiches, and burgers. Founded in 1963, the company manages a multi-channel distribution model comprising traditional brick-and-mortar locations, food trucks, and ghost kitchens. Its revenue streams are diversified through in-person dining, a proprietary mobile application, and third-party delivery partnerships.
The fast-casual sector is characterized by higher price points and food quality than traditional fast food while maintaining faster service speeds than full-service restaurants. Portillos business model relies on high-volume throughput and a hub-and-spoke kitchen design to manage complex menus across its geographic footprint. For a deeper look at the companys financial health, you can explore the metrics on ValueRay.
- High average unit volumes drive industry leading restaurant level operating margins
- Geographic expansion into Sun Belt markets dictates long term revenue growth trajectory
- Elevated beef prices and labor inflation compress margins in core markets
- Drive thru efficiency and digital order volume accelerate same store sales growth
- New restaurant construction costs and capital expenditures impact free cash flow generation
| Net Income: 15.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.07 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -20.05% < 20% (prev -17.20%; Δ -2.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 81.3m > Net Income 15.6m |
| Net Debt (1.01b) to EBITDA (70.8m): 14.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.26 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (72.1m) vs 12m ago 8.44% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 28.97% > 18% (prev 40.31%; Δ -11.34% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 47.37% > 50% (prev 48.10%; Δ -0.73% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.80 > 6 (EBIT TTM 40.8m / Interest Expense TTM 22.7m) |
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 51.9m - Total Current Liabilities 199.9m) / Total Assets 1.62b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 62.1m / Total Assets 1.62b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 40.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.56b) |
| D: 0.42 (Book Value of Equity 471.0m / Total Liabilities 1.12b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.14 = B |
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 13.1m/14.3m, Revenue 738.3m/721.2m) |
| GMI: 1.39 (GM 40.31% / 28.97%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.54 / AQ_t-1 0.58) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 738.3m / 721.2m) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 15.6m - CFO 81.3m) / TA 1.62b) |
| Beneish M = -2.78 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of June 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.26 with a total of 1,372,594 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.70%,
over one month by +8.40%,
over three months by -23.24% and
over the past year by -62.86%.
Portillo's has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.10. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PTLO.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 6.4 | 49.8% |
P/E Trailing = 21.1429
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 0.4353
P/B = 0.6832
Revenue TTM = 738.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 40.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 70.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 236.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 117.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.03b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 341.7m
Net Debt = 1.01b USD (calculated: Debt 1.03b - CCE 24.0m)
Enterprise Value = 1.33b USD (321.4m + Debt 1.03b - CCE 24.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.80 (Ebit TTM 40.8m / Interest Expense TTM 22.7m)
EV/FCF = -154.8x (Enterprise Value 1.33b / FCF TTM -8.58m)
FCF Yield = -0.65% (FCF TTM -8.58m / Enterprise Value 1.33b)
FCF Margin = -1.16% (FCF TTM -8.58m / Revenue TTM 738.3m)
Net Margin = 2.12% (Net Income TTM 15.6m / Revenue TTM 738.3m)
Gross Margin = 28.97% ((Revenue TTM 738.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 524.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.08% (prev 39.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 1.33b / Total Assets 1.62b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.20% (Interest Expense 22.7m / Debt 1.03b)
Taxrate = 8.15% (1.47m / 18.1m)
NOPAT = 37.4m (EBIT 40.8m * (1 - 8.15%))
Current Ratio = 0.26 (Total Current Assets 51.9m / Total Current Liabilities 199.9m)
Debt / Equity = 2.19 (Debt 1.03b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 471.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 14.22 (Net Debt 1.01b / EBITDA 70.8m)
Debt / FCF = -117.3 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 1.01b / FCF TTM -8.58m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 464.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.00% (Net Income 15.6m / Total Assets 1.62b)
RoE = 3.37% (Net Income TTM 15.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 464.3m)
RoCE = 5.81% (EBIT 40.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 464.3m + L.T.Debt 236.6m))
RoIC = 2.48% (NOPAT 37.4m / Invested Capital 1.51b)
WACC = 3.44% (E(321.4m)/V(1.35b) * Re(7.99%) + D(1.03b)/V(1.35b) * Rd(2.20%) * (1-Tc(0.08)))
Discount Rate = 7.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 80.90 | Cagr: 10.94%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -8.58m)
EPS Correlation: 81.87 | EPS CAGR: 12.22% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.90 | Revenue CAGR: 5.47% | SUE: -0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=+6.52% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.04 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=+9.57% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-61.7% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.26 | Chg30d=+7.44% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+26.2% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50%