(PTLO) Portillo's - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 406m USD | Total Return: -49.7% in 12m

Sandwiches, Hot Dogs, Salads, Burgers, Desserts
Total Rating 33
Safety 64
Buy Signal -0.63
Restaurants
Industry Rotation: -5.0
Market Cap: 406M
Avg Turnover: 6.47M USD
ATR: 4.37%
Peers RS (IBD): 38.2
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility49.8%
Rel. Tail Risk-10.6%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.22
Alpha-73.61
Character TTM
Beta0.711
Beta Downside0.403
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD81.07%
CAGR/Max DD-0.42
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of PTLO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.0037, "2021-06": 0.18, "2021-09": 0.01, "2021-12": -0.52, "2022-03": 0.0054, "2022-06": 0.13, "2022-09": 0.04, "2022-12": 0.08, "2023-03": -0.01, "2023-06": 0.12, "2023-09": 0.07, "2023-12": 0.13, "2024-03": 0.08, "2024-06": 0.1, "2024-09": 0.11, "2024-12": 0.17, "2025-03": 0.0498, "2025-06": 0.12, "2025-09": 0.02, "2025-12": 0.1654,
EPS CAGR: 149.06%
EPS Trend: 36.5%
Last SUE: 2.41
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of PTLO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 117.307, 2021-06: 140.734, 2021-09: 138.003, 2021-12: 138.908, 2022-03: 134.482, 2022-06: 150.623, 2022-09: 151.121, 2022-12: 150.878, 2023-03: 156.061, 2023-06: 169.182, 2023-09: 166.805, 2023-12: 187.858, 2024-03: 165.831, 2024-06: 181.862, 2024-09: 178.252, 2024-12: 184.609, 2025-03: 176.437, 2025-06: 188.456, 2025-09: 181.428, 2025-12: 185.745,
Rev. CAGR: 8.99%
Rev. Trend: 87.9%
Last SUE: 0.01
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt while negative Cash Flow

Altman Z'' -0.19 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: PTLO Portillo's

Portillos Inc. (PTLO) operates fast-casual restaurants specializing in Chicago-style food. The companys menu includes hot dogs, Italian beef, burgers, and salads. The fast-casual dining sector combines elements of quick-service and full-service restaurants, offering higher quality food than fast food but with counter service.

PTLO utilizes multiple sales channels, including traditional restaurants, a food truck (The Beef Bus), and a ghost kitchen. Ghost kitchens are delivery-only food preparation facilities, a growing trend in the restaurant industry. The company also offers direct delivery through its own platforms and third-party services, alongside gift card sales.

To further your investment analysis, consider exploring PTLOs operational efficiency and market expansion strategies on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • New restaurant openings boost revenue growth
  • Commodity price increases pressure food costs
  • Labor shortages impact operational efficiency
  • Third-party delivery fees reduce profit margins
  • Consumer discretionary spending influences sales
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 19.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.73 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -19.46% < 20% (prev -11.67%; Δ -7.79% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 73.2m > Net Income 19.3m
Net Debt (979.5m) to EBITDA (76.0m): 12.89 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.27 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (71.1m) vs 12m ago 7.89% < -2%
Gross Margin: 68.26% > 18% (prev 0.41%; Δ 6.79k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 47.13% > 50% (prev 47.37%; Δ -0.24% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.06 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 76.0m / Interest Expense TTM 22.8m)
Altman Z'' -0.19
A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 51.5m - Total Current Liabilities 194.0m) / Total Assets 1.61b
B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 62.5m / Total Assets 1.61b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 46.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.55b)
D: 0.06 (Book Value of Equity 63.2m / Total Liabilities 1.11b)
Altman-Z'' Score: -0.19 = B
Beneish M -2.95
DSRI: 1.60 (Receivables 24.4m/14.8m, Revenue 732.1m/710.6m)
GMI: 0.59 (GM 68.26% / 40.50%)
AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.54 / AQ_t-1 0.58)
SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 732.1m / 710.6m)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 19.3m - CFO 73.2m) / TA 1.61b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of PTLO shares? As of April 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.78 with a total of 690,657 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.48%, over one month by +14.68%, over three months by +9.68% and over the past year by -49.70%.
Is PTLO a buy, sell or hold? Portillo's has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.10. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PTLO.
  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PTLO price?
Analysts Target Price 7.5 29.8%
Portillo's (PTLO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 20.8889
P/E Forward = 19.7239
P/S = 0.5552
P/B = 0.8573
Revenue TTM = 732.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 46.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 76.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 238.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 103.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 999.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 979.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.39b USD (406.5m + Debt 999.5m - CCE 20.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.06 (Ebit TTM 46.9m / Interest Expense TTM 22.8m)
EV/FCF = -80.30x (Enterprise Value 1.39b / FCF TTM -17.3m)
FCF Yield = -1.25% (FCF TTM -17.3m / Enterprise Value 1.39b)
FCF Margin = -2.36% (FCF TTM -17.3m / Revenue TTM 732.1m)
Net Margin = 2.64% (Net Income TTM 19.3m / Revenue TTM 732.1m)
Gross Margin = 68.26% ((Revenue TTM 732.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 232.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 16.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.86 (Enterprise Value 1.39b / Total Assets 1.61b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.57% (Interest Expense 5.67m / Debt 999.5m)
Taxrate = 12.44% (3.00m / 24.1m)
NOPAT = 41.1m (EBIT 46.9m * (1 - 12.44%))
Current Ratio = 0.27 (Total Current Assets 51.5m / Total Current Liabilities 194.0m)
Debt / Equity = 2.14 (Debt 999.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 467.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 12.89 (Net Debt 979.5m / EBITDA 76.0m)
 Debt / FCF = -56.75 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 979.5m / FCF TTM -17.3m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 448.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.25% (Net Income 19.3m / Total Assets 1.61b)
RoE = 4.32% (Net Income TTM 19.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 448.3m)
RoCE = 6.83% (EBIT 46.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 448.3m + L.T.Debt 238.0m))
RoIC = 5.32% (NOPAT 41.1m / Invested Capital 771.7m)
WACC = 2.80% (E(406.5m)/V(1.41b) * Re(8.48%) + D(999.5m)/V(1.41b) * Rd(0.57%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 8.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 10.11%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -17.3m)
 EPS Correlation: 36.47 | EPS CAGR: 149.1% | SUE: 2.41 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 87.91 | Revenue CAGR: 8.99% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.09 | Chg7d=-0.002 | Chg30d=-0.008 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.19 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.006 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-65.1% | Growth Revenue=+6.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.24 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.007 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+28.7% | Growth Revenue=+5.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.60 (1 Up / 4 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.7% (Discount Rate 8.5% - Earnings Yield 4.8%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +3.6% (Analyst 7.3% - Implied 3.7%)
External Resources
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