(PTLO) Portillo's - Overview
Stock: Hot Dogs, Beef Sandwiches, Burgers, Fries, Cake
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 52.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.4% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.45 |
| Alpha | -77.43 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.095 |
| Beta Downside | 0.829 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 81.22% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.43 |
Description: PTLO Portillo's December 25, 2025
Portillo’s Inc. (NASDAQ: PTLO) operates a chain of fast-casual restaurants across the United States, best known for Chicago-style hot dogs, Italian beef, char-grilled burgers, and signature desserts. The brand also runs a food-truck concept called The Beef Bus, a ghost-kitchen operation, and offers delivery via its own app, website, and third-party platforms, as well as selling gift cards. Founded in 1963 and headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois, the company is classified under the Restaurants sub-industry.
As of the most recent quarter, PTLO reported a 9% year-over-year increase in comparable restaurant sales, driven by a 4% rise in average unit volume and a modest expansion to 70 locations, of which roughly 60% are company-owned. The business benefits from a relatively low-price menu that is less sensitive to discretionary spending cuts, but it remains exposed to labor-cost inflation and rising food commodity prices, both of which have been trending upward at 5-6% annually. The broader fast-casual sector continues to outpace full-service dining, with a projected CAGR of 6% through 2028, supported by consumer preference for quick, high-quality meals.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst dashboard for PTLO.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 24.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.10 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -18.77% < 20% (prev -10.84%; Δ -7.93% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 74.8m > Net Income 24.5m |
| Net Debt (638.1m) to EBITDA (84.2m): 7.58 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.27 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (74.0m) vs 12m ago 13.99% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.27% > 18% (prev 0.40%; Δ 3387 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 47.74% > 50% (prev 48.51%; Δ -0.77% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.42 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 84.2m / Interest Expense TTM 23.2m) |
Altman Z'' -0.15
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 50.1m - Total Current Liabilities 187.3m) / Total Assets 1.59b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 56.4m / Total Assets 1.59b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 56.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.53b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 57.1m / Total Liabilities 1.10b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.15 = B |
Beneish M -2.73
| DSRI: 1.23 (Receivables 18.9m/14.9m, Revenue 730.9m/713.8m) |
| GMI: 1.17 (GM 34.27% / 40.10%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.55 / AQ_t-1 0.59) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 730.9m / 713.8m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 24.5m - CFO 74.8m) / TA 1.59b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.73 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of PTLO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.49%, over one month by +24.95%, over three months by +24.95% and over the past year by -59.21%.
Is PTLO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PTLO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 7.8 | 30.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 7.8 | 30.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.6 | -23.7% |
PTLO Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 19.305
P/S = 0.556
P/B = 0.8909
Revenue TTM = 730.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 56.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 84.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 239.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 89.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 655.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 638.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.04b USD (406.4m + Debt 655.3m - CCE 17.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.42 (Ebit TTM 56.1m / Interest Expense TTM 23.2m)
EV/FCF = -69.88x (Enterprise Value 1.04b / FCF TTM -14.9m)
FCF Yield = -1.43% (FCF TTM -14.9m / Enterprise Value 1.04b)
FCF Margin = -2.04% (FCF TTM -14.9m / Revenue TTM 730.9m)
Net Margin = 3.35% (Net Income TTM 24.5m / Revenue TTM 730.9m)
Gross Margin = 34.27% ((Revenue TTM 730.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 480.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.19% (prev 40.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 1.04b / Total Assets 1.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 5.66m / Debt 655.3m)
Taxrate = 16.24% (6.80m / 41.9m)
NOPAT = 47.0m (EBIT 56.1m * (1 - 16.24%))
Current Ratio = 0.27 (Total Current Assets 50.1m / Total Current Liabilities 187.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.43 (Debt 655.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 459.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.58 (Net Debt 638.1m / EBITDA 84.2m)
Debt / FCF = -42.69 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 638.1m / FCF TTM -14.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 431.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.60% (Net Income 24.5m / Total Assets 1.59b)
RoE = 5.68% (Net Income TTM 24.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 431.6m)
RoCE = 8.36% (EBIT 56.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 431.6m + L.T.Debt 239.4m))
RoIC = 6.27% (NOPAT 47.0m / Invested Capital 749.4m)
WACC = 4.26% (E(406.4m)/V(1.06b) * Re(9.95%) + D(655.3m)/V(1.06b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 9.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 12.32%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -14.9m)
EPS Correlation: 4.48 | EPS CAGR: -6.76% | SUE: -0.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.16 | Revenue CAGR: 7.38% | SUE: 0.49 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.02 | Chg30d=-0.012 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=-0.027 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-25.6% | Growth Revenue=+7.6%