(PTON) Peloton Interactive - Ratings and Ratios
Bikes, Treads, Rowers, App, Memberships
PTON EPS (Earnings per Share)
PTON Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 80.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 117% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.22% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.14 |
| Alpha | -38.25 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.387 |
| Beta | 2.046 |
| Beta Downside | 2.245 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 83.04% |
| Mean DD | 57.38% |
| Median DD | 59.75% |
Description: PTON Peloton Interactive November 10, 2025
Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) designs, manufactures, and sells connected fitness hardware-including the Bike, Bike+, Tread, Tread+, and Row-and monetizes the ecosystem through all-access, rental, and standalone Peloton App memberships. The company distributes its products via its own e-commerce platform, physical showrooms, and third-party retailers, and it also offers leasing of Bike+ units. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in New York, Peloton operates primarily in North America but has a growing international presence.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $4.1 billion, with a subscriber base of roughly 2.5 million paying members and an estimated churn rate of 5 percent (subject to quarterly reporting variance). The business is sensitive to discretionary-spending cycles and supply-chain constraints, while competition from platform-based rivals such as Apple Fitness+ and emerging low-cost connected-bike providers exerts pressure on pricing and margin expansion.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Peloton’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
PTON Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 3,025m |
| Sub-Industry | Leisure Products |
| IPO / Inception | 2019-09-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -22.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.67 of 5 |
PTON Dividends
Currently no dividends paidPTON Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -12.69% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.15 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.22 |
| Current Volume | 9285.3k |
| Average Volume | 10500.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (-119.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 149.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.15 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 19.16pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -24.49% (prev 21.51%; Δ -46.00pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 333.0m > Net Income -119.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-54.5m) to EBITDA (108.7m) ratio: -0.50 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.24 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (402.4m) change vs 12m ago 7.71% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.92% (prev 43.11%; Δ 7.81pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 115.6% (prev 123.6%; Δ -8.01pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.14 (EBITDA TTM 108.7m / Interest Expense TTM 134.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -12.73
| (A) -0.29 = (Total Current Assets 193.8m - Total Current Liabilities 803.9m) / Total Assets 2.13b |
| (B) -2.64 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -5.60b / Total Assets 2.13b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.64 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 19.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.16b |
| (D) -2.20 = Book Value of Equity -5.60b / Total Liabilities 2.54b |
| Total Rating: -12.73 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.77
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.54% = 3.27 |
| 3. FCF Margin 13.00% = 3.25 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -4.78 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.50 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -7.58)% = -9.47 |
| 7. RoE 25.29% = 2.11 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -41.55% = -3.12 |
| 9. EPS Trend 94.55% = 4.73 |
What is the price of PTON shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.94%, over one month by -0.81%, over three months by -16.17% and over the past year by -12.03%.
Is Peloton Interactive a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of PTON is around 5.93 USD . This means that PTON is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -18.88%.
Is PTON a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PTON price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.2 | 39.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.2 | 39.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.7 | -8.9% |
PTON Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025
P/E Forward = 17.0358
P/S = 1.2147
P/B = 15.9963
Beta = 2.283
Revenue TTM = 2.49b USD
EBIT TTM = 19.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 108.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 278.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -54.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.95b USD (3.03b + Debt 1.98b - CCE 54.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.14 (Ebit TTM 19.0m / Interest Expense TTM 134.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.54% (FCF TTM 323.7m / Enterprise Value 4.95b)
FCF Margin = 13.00% (FCF TTM 323.7m / Revenue TTM 2.49b)
Net Margin = -4.78% (Net Income TTM -119.0m / Revenue TTM 2.49b)
Gross Margin = 50.92% ((Revenue TTM 2.49b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 54.06% (prev 50.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.33 (Enterprise Value 4.95b / Total Assets 2.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.61% (Interest Expense 31.9m / Debt 1.98b)
Taxrate = 4.87% (1.10m / 22.6m)
NOPAT = 18.1m (EBIT 19.0m * (1 - 4.87%))
Current Ratio = 0.24 (Total Current Assets 193.8m / Total Current Liabilities 803.9m)
Debt / Equity = -4.78 (negative equity) (Debt 1.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -413.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.50 (Net Debt -54.5m / EBITDA 108.7m)
Debt / FCF = -0.17 (Net Debt -54.5m / FCF TTM 323.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -470.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.60% (Net Income -119.0m / Total Assets 2.13b)
RoE = 25.29% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -119.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -470.6m)
RoCE = 2.32% (EBIT 19.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -470.6m + L.T.Debt 1.29b))
RoIC = 1.76% (NOPAT 18.1m / Invested Capital 1.03b)
WACC = 9.33% (E(3.03b)/V(5.00b) * Re(14.43%) + D(1.98b)/V(5.00b) * Rd(1.61%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 14.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 47.56% ; FCFE base≈323.7m ; Y1≈212.5m ; Y5≈97.2m
Fair Price DCF = 2.34 (DCF Value 938.6m / Shares Outstanding 401.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 94.55 | EPS CAGR: 243.4% | SUE: 0.71 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -41.55 | Revenue CAGR: -0.57% | SUE: 3.42 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for PTON Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle