PTRN Stock Analysis: Pattern Series Common Stock | NASDAQ
Software - Application | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 5.835m USD | 12M Return: 100.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 57.9M
Rev. Trend: 99.8%
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 0.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Pattern Group Inc. (NASDAQ: PTRN) is an e-commerce accelerator that combines proprietary technology with on-demand expertise to help consumer brands scale across online marketplaces in the U.S. and internationally. The company acquires inventory from its brand partners and resells it directly to consumers through digital channels.
Its product portfolio spans multiple consumer categories, including health and wellness, beauty and personal care, home and lifestyle, pet, sports and outdoors, and consumer electronics. This diversified category mix reflects a typical e-commerce acceleration model, where operators leverage marketplace infrastructure (such as Amazon) and data-driven merchandising to drive sales on behalf of brand partners rather than relying on a single product line.
The company was incorporated in 2018 as Covalent Group, Inc., rebranded to Pattern Group Inc. in November 2024, and is headquartered in Lehi, Utah. It trades within the GICS Consumer Discretionary sector, specifically in the Internet & Direct Marketing Retail sub-industry.
- Amazon marketplace share gains drive third-party seller services revenue
- Inventory sourcing costs and fulfillment fees pressure gross margins
- Post-IPO capital deployment funds new brand partner acquisitions
| Net Income: -141.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.48% < 20% (prev 16.74%; Δ 0.74% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 123.6m > Net Income -141.3m |
| Net Debt (-313.2m) to EBITDA (28.2m): -11.12 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.45 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (179.5m) vs 12m ago 1.95% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 43.18% > 18% (prev 42.87%; Δ 0.31% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 334.3% > 50% (prev 287.9%; Δ 46.39% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 43.23 > 6 (EBIT TTM 9.98m / Interest Expense TTM 231k) |
| A: 0.49 (Total Current Assets 807.5m - Total Current Liabilities 329.5m) / Total Assets 967.2m |
| B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 57.9m / Total Assets 967.2m) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 9.98m / Avg Total Assets 818.1m) |
| D: 1.71 (Book Value of Equity 609.7m / Total Liabilities 357.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.31 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.18 (Receivables 141.3m/84.2m, Revenue 2.73b/1.93b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 42.87% / 43.18%) |
| AQI: 1.35 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 1.42 (Revenue 2.73b / 1.93b) |
| TATA: -0.27 (NI -141.3m - CFO 123.6m) / TA 967.2m) |
| Beneish M = -2.41 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of July 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 28.08 with a total of 1,794,280 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.78%, over one month by +43.27%, over three months by +110.18% and over the past year by +100.57%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 26.50 (which is 5.6% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Pattern Series Common Stock has no consensus analysts rating.
P/S = 2.1337
P/B = 8.5239
Revenue TTM = 2.73b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.98m USD
EBITDA TTM = 28.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 22.0m USD (estimated: total debt 31.1m - short term 9.03m)
Short Term Debt = 9.03m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 31.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 31.1m already included)
Net Debt = -313.2m USD (calculated: Debt 31.1m - CCE 344.2m)
Enterprise Value = 5.52b USD (5.83b + Debt 31.1m - CCE 344.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 43.23 (Ebit TTM 9.98m / Interest Expense TTM 231k)
EV/FCF = 55.74x (Enterprise Value 5.52b / FCF TTM 99.1m)
FCF Yield = 1.79% (FCF TTM 99.1m / Enterprise Value 5.52b)
FCF Margin = 3.62% (FCF TTM 99.1m / Revenue TTM 2.73b)
Net Margin = -5.17% (Net Income TTM -141.3m / Revenue TTM 2.73b)
Gross Margin = 43.18% ((Revenue TTM 2.73b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.55b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.27% (prev 42.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.71 (Enterprise Value 5.52b / Total Assets 967.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.74% (Interest Expense 231k / Debt 31.1m)
Taxrate = 29.68% (12.3m / 41.5m)
NOPAT = 7.02m (EBIT 9.98m * (1 - 29.68%))
Current Ratio = 2.45 (Total Current Assets 807.5m / Total Current Liabilities 329.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 31.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 609.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -11.12 (Net Debt -313.2m / EBITDA 28.2m)
Debt / FCF = -3.16 (Net Debt -313.2m / FCF TTM 99.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 539.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -17.27% (Net Income -141.3m / Total Assets 967.2m)
RoE = -26.19% (Net Income TTM -141.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 539.4m)
RoCE = 1.78% (EBIT 9.98m / Capital Employed (Equity 539.4m + L.T.Debt 22.0m))
RoIC = 1.38% (NOPAT 7.02m / Invested Capital 510.0m)
WACC = 12.70% (E(5.83b)/V(5.87b) * Re(12.76%) + D(31.1m)/V(5.87b) * Rd(0.74%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 12.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 30.41 | Cagr: 0.86%
[DCF] Terminal Value 65.24% ; FCFF base≈82.9m ; Y1≈95.1m ; Y5≈139.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 9.67 (EV 1.19b - Net Debt -313.2m = Equity 1.50b / Shares 155.1m; r=12.70% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.85 | Revenue CAGR: 35.30% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=+3.60% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=-4.83% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.56 | Chg30d=+0.80% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+621.7% | GrowthRev=+32.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.72 | Chg30d=+3.17% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+29.5% | GrowthRev=+23.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +57% (up=4, down=0)