(PUBM) Pubmatic - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US74467Q1031

Ssp, Header Bidding, Identity Hub, Activate, Convert

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 62.5%
Value at Risk 5%th 79.6%
Relative Tail Risk -22.60%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.44
Alpha -60.99
CAGR/Max DD -0.23
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.354
Beta 1.340
Beta Downside 1.271
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 69.28%
Mean DD 30.35%
Median DD 31.72%

Description: PUBM Pubmatic October 23, 2025

PubMatic, Inc. (NASDAQ: PUBM) operates a cloud-based infrastructure that powers real-time programmatic advertising for publishers and buyers worldwide. Its flagship Sell-Side Platform (SSP) enables the automated sale of digital inventory, while complementary solutions such as OpenWrap (header bidding), Connect (data insights), Activate (direct-deal execution), Convert (commerce-media), and Identity Hub (alternative ID management) expand the ecosystem across formats-including mobile, desktop, video, OTT, and CTV.

In FY 2023 the company generated roughly $400 million in revenue, up about 10 % year-over-year, driven by strong growth in CTV and video inventory that now represents ~30 % of total spend. Gross margins hovered near 55 %, and the balance sheet held >$300 million in cash and marketable securities, providing runway for continued product investment. The broader programmatic advertising market is expanding at a 12-15 % CAGR, propelled by advertiser demand for data-rich, automated buying and by privacy-driven shifts toward first-party data solutions-both of which align with PubMatic’s technology stack.

If you’re looking to dig deeper into PubMatic’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a transparent, data-first toolkit that can help you model upside and downside cases.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (-7.25m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 17.3m TTM)
FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.52pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 45.78% (prev 47.20%; Δ -1.41pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 80.9m > Net Income -7.25m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (-92.0m) to EBITDA (34.7m) ratio: -2.65 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.34 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (45.9m) change vs 12m ago -6.37% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 64.44% (prev 65.46%; Δ -1.01pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 42.24% (prev 42.13%; Δ 0.11pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -2.99 (EBITDA TTM 34.7m / Interest Expense TTM -3.59m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.11

(A) 0.20 = (Total Current Assets 520.4m - Total Current Liabilities 388.4m) / Total Assets 676.2m
(B) 0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 128.2m / Total Assets 676.2m
(C) -0.02 = EBIT TTM -10.7m / Avg Total Assets 682.7m
(D) 0.30 = Book Value of Equity 128.3m / Total Liabilities 431.1m
Total Rating: 2.11 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.84

1. Piotroski 4.50pt
2. FCF Yield 15.19%
3. FCF Margin 16.72%
4. Debt/Equity 0.18
5. Debt/Ebitda -2.65
6. ROIC - WACC (= -13.38)%
7. RoE -2.78%
8. Rev. Trend 31.75%
9. EPS Trend -24.73%

What is the price of PUBM shares?

As of December 02, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 9.03 with a total of 592,856 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.27%, over one month by +8.73%, over three months by +5.99% and over the past year by -46.35%.

Is PUBM a buy, sell or hold?

Pubmatic has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.91. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PUBM.
  • Strong Buy: 4
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PUBM price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 11.9 32.2%
Analysts Target Price 11.9 32.2%
ValueRay Target Price 7.5 -16.8%

PUBM Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025

Market Cap USD = 409.4m (409.4m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 53.4759
P/S = 1.4196
P/B = 1.6686
P/EG = 5.3444
Beta = 1.495
Revenue TTM = 288.4m USD
EBIT TTM = -10.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 34.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 44.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.33m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 44.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -92.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 317.4m USD (409.4m + Debt 44.6m - CCE 136.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.99 (Ebit TTM -10.7m / Interest Expense TTM -3.59m)
FCF Yield = 15.19% (FCF TTM 48.2m / Enterprise Value 317.4m)
FCF Margin = 16.72% (FCF TTM 48.2m / Revenue TTM 288.4m)
Net Margin = -2.51% (Net Income TTM -7.25m / Revenue TTM 288.4m)
Gross Margin = 64.44% ((Revenue TTM 288.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 102.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 62.62% (prev 62.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.47 (Enterprise Value 317.4m / Total Assets 676.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.20% (Interest Expense 1.43m / Debt 44.6m)
Taxrate = 20.91% (-1.71m / -8.16m)
NOPAT = -8.48m (EBIT -10.7m * (1 - 20.91%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.34 (Total Current Assets 520.4m / Total Current Liabilities 388.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.18 (Debt 44.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 245.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.65 (Net Debt -92.0m / EBITDA 34.7m)
Debt / FCF = -1.91 (Net Debt -92.0m / FCF TTM 48.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 260.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.07% (Net Income -7.25m / Total Assets 676.2m)
RoE = -2.78% (Net Income TTM -7.25m / Total Stockholder Equity 260.3m)
RoCE = -3.52% (EBIT -10.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 260.3m + L.T.Debt 44.6m))
RoIC = -3.26% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -8.48m / Invested Capital 260.3m)
WACC = 10.12% (E(409.4m)/V(454.0m) * Re(10.95%) + D(44.6m)/V(454.0m) * Rd(3.20%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -8.56%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.39% ; FCFE base≈47.2m ; Y1≈39.0m ; Y5≈28.3m
Fair Price DCF = 8.88 (DCF Value 338.7m / Shares Outstanding 38.2m; 5y FCF grow -20.84% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -24.73 | EPS CAGR: -50.53% | SUE: 3.56 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 31.75 | Revenue CAGR: -2.79% | SUE: 1.03 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.17 | Chg30d=-0.073 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=+0.012 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=-30.2% | Growth Revenue=+0.7%

Additional Sources for PUBM Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle