(PZZA) Papa John's International - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.098m USD | Total Return: -9.2% in 12m
Pizza, Breadsticks, Desserts, Beverages, Restaurant Supplies
Total Rating 47
Safety 74
Buy Signal -0.25
Restaurants
Industry Rotation: +0.8
Industry Rotation: +0.8
Market Cap:
1.10B
Avg Turnover: 32.6M
Avg Turnover: 32.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility51.7%
VaR 5th Pctl8.44%
VaR vs Median-0.82%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.03
Rel. Str. IBD24.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group52.7
Character TTM
Beta1.482
Beta Downside1.542
Hurst Exponent0.516
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD62.15%
CAGR/Max DD-0.31
CAGR/Mean DD-0.55
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: -20.03%
EPS Trend: -78.2%
EPS Trend: -78.2%
Last SUE: -0.63
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: -2.32%
Rev. Trend: -42.3%
Rev. Trend: -42.3%
Last SUE: -0.42
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: PZZA Papa John's International
Papa John’s International, Inc. (PZZA) is a global quick-service restaurant chain specializing in pizza delivery and carryout. Founded in 1984, the company operates via a hybrid model of corporate-owned locations and franchised units across North America and international markets. Beyond retail operations, the company functions as a vertically integrated supplier through its North America Commissaries segment, providing proprietary dough, sauce, and essential restaurant supplies to its network.
The business model relies heavily on a centralized supply chain to ensure product consistency and capture wholesale margins from franchisees. Operating within the competitive quick-service restaurant (QSR) sector, the company faces high sensitivity to commodity costs, particularly dairy and wheat, which impact store-level profitability. Investors may find it useful to examine the companys valuation metrics on ValueRay to better understand its market position. The firm’s revenue streams are diversified between direct food sales, franchise royalties, and supply chain distribution fees.
- North America commissary supply chain efficiency impacts consolidated operating margins
- Domestic same store sales performance drives franchise royalty revenue growth
- Elevated labor and commodity costs pressure company owned restaurant profitability
- International unit expansion strategy determines long term revenue scale potential
- Consumer discretionary spending shifts influence delivery and carryout transaction volume
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
3.5
| Net Income: 36.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.73 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -2.20% < 20% (prev -1.98%; Δ -0.22% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 101.9m > Net Income 36.5m |
| Net Debt (913.6m) to EBITDA (244.3m): 3.74 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.84 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.0m) vs 12m ago 0.38% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.30% > 18% (prev 0.27%; Δ 2.00k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 232.8% > 50% (prev 229.8%; Δ 3.05% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.50 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 244.3m / Interest Expense TTM 101.6m) |
Altman Z''
1.79
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 240.4m - Total Current Liabilities 284.7m) / Total Assets 831.9m |
| B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 202.6m / Total Assets 831.9m) |
| C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 152.7m / Avg Total Assets 865.0m) |
| D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 197.1m / Total Liabilities 1.27b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.79 = BBB |
Beneish M
-2.86
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 106.9m/107.7m, Revenue 2.01b/2.06b) |
| GMI: 1.33 (GM 20.30% / 26.91%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 2.01b / 2.06b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 36.5m - CFO 101.9m) / TA 831.9m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.86 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of PZZA shares?
As of May 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 34.73 with a total of 3,068,237 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.53%, over one month by -5.98%, over three months by +10.85% and over the past year by -9.22%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.53%, over one month by -5.98%, over three months by +10.85% and over the past year by -9.22%.
Is PZZA a buy, sell or hold?
Papa John's International has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.64.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold PZZA.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PZZA price?
| Analysts Target Price | 37.5 | 7.8% |
Papa John's International (PZZA) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 13 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 40.2169 P/E Forward = 15.9744
P/S = 0.5453
P/B = 284.1754
P/EG = 1.9968
Revenue TTM = 2.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 152.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 244.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 710.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 41.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 952.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 913.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.01b USD (1.10b + Debt 952.6m - CCE 39.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.50 (Ebit TTM 152.7m / Interest Expense TTM 101.6m)
EV/FCF = 56.04x (Enterprise Value 2.01b / FCF TTM 35.9m)
FCF Yield = 1.78% (FCF TTM 35.9m / Enterprise Value 2.01b)
FCF Margin = 1.78% (FCF TTM 35.9m / Revenue TTM 2.01b)
Net Margin = 1.81% (Net Income TTM 36.5m / Revenue TTM 2.01b)
Gross Margin = 20.30% ((Revenue TTM 2.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.04% (prev 15.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.42 (Enterprise Value 2.01b / Total Assets 831.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 9.68m / Debt 952.6m)
Taxrate = 33.61% (16.3m / 48.4m)
NOPAT = 101.4m (EBIT 152.7m * (1 - 33.61%))
Current Ratio = 0.84 (Total Current Assets 240.4m / Total Current Liabilities 284.7m)
Debt / Equity = -2.12 (negative equity) (Debt 952.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -449.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.74 (Net Debt 913.6m / EBITDA 244.3m)
Debt / FCF = 25.45 (Net Debt 913.6m / FCF TTM 35.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -441.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.22% (Net Income 36.5m / Total Assets 831.9m)
RoE = -8.28% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 36.5m / Total Stockholder Equity -441.3m)
RoCE = 56.72% (EBIT 152.7m / Capital Employed (Equity -441.3m + L.T.Debt 710.4m))
RoIC = 35.55% (NOPAT 101.4m / Invested Capital 285.1m)
WACC = 6.31% (E(1.10b)/V(2.05b) * Re(11.19%) + D(952.6m)/V(2.05b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 11.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 73.33 | Cagr: 0.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.33% ; FCFF base≈43.3m ; Y1≈37.3m ; Y5≈29.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 811.1m - Net Debt 913.6m = -102.5m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -78.17 | EPS CAGR: -20.03% | SUE: -0.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -42.28 | Revenue CAGR: -2.32% | SUE: -0.42 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.44 | Chg30d=+1.18% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.31 | Chg30d=-3.82% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.49 | Chg30d=-2.68% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+4.1% | GrowthRev=-6.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.76 | Chg30d=-3.15% | Revisions=-23% | GrowthEPS=+18.4% | GrowthRev=-1.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -23%