QCOM Stock Analysis: Qualcomm | NASDAQ

Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 159.180m USD | 12M Return: 9.6% | US7475251036 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Mobile Chipsets, Wireless Licensing, Automotive Systems, IoT Devices
Total Rating 45
Safety 73
Buy Signal -0.67
Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: +0.8
Market Cap: 159B
Avg Turnover: 2.16B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility55.5%
VaR 5th Pctl9.33%
VaR vs Median2.27%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.35
Rel. Str. IBD17.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group11.2
Character TTM
Beta1.818
Beta Downside2.294
Hurst Exponent0.460
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.23%
CAGR/Max DD0.30
CAGR/Mean DD0.66
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of QCOM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.92, "2021-09": 2.55, "2021-12": 3.23, "2022-03": 3.21, "2022-06": 2.96, "2022-09": 3.13, "2022-12": 2.37, "2023-03": 2.15, "2023-06": 1.87, "2023-09": 2.02, "2023-12": 2.75, "2024-03": 2.44, "2024-06": 2.33, "2024-09": 2.69, "2024-12": 3.41, "2025-03": 2.85, "2025-06": 2.77, "2025-09": 2.56, "2025-12": 3.5, "2026-03": 2.65, "2026-06": 1.53,
EPS CAGR: 11.46%
EPS Trend: 81.8%
Last SUE: -0.08
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of QCOM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 8060, 2021-09: 9336, 2021-12: 10705, 2022-03: 11164, 2022-06: 10936, 2022-09: 11395, 2022-12: 9463, 2023-03: 9275, 2023-06: 8451, 2023-09: 8631, 2023-12: 9935, 2024-03: 9389, 2024-06: 9393, 2024-09: 10244, 2024-12: 11669, 2025-03: 10979, 2025-06: 10365, 2025-09: 11271, 2025-12: 12252, 2026-03: 10599, 2026-06: 9947,
Rev. CAGR: 9.94%
Rev. Trend: 96.0%
Last SUE: 0.91
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -3.7% 17
Feb -1.9% 8
Mar +0.6% 7
Apr -0.9% 19
May +2.8% 32
Jun -0.9% 8
Jul +0.5% 5
Aug +0.1% 0
Sep -1.5% 17
Oct +0.2% 16
Nov +5.4% 2
Dec -0.3% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: QCOM Qualcomm

QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ: QCOM) is a U.S.-based technology company that develops and commercializes foundational wireless technologies through three operating segments. The QCT segment designs integrated circuits and system software for mobile devices, automotive applications (including digital cockpits and ADAS/AD), and IoT products. The QTL segment licenses its extensive patent portfolio covering cellular standards-essential technologies (3G, 4G, and 5G) to wireless product manufacturers. The QSI segment makes strategic investments in early-stage companies across areas such as 5G, AI, automotive, cloud, and extended reality. The company also serves U.S. government agencies and operates in government technologies and data center markets. Headquartered in San Diego, California, QUALCOMM was incorporated in 1985.

Qualcomm operates within the Information Technology sector (GICS Sub-Industry: Semiconductors) and is widely regarded as a pioneer of the fabless semiconductor model, in which chip designers outsource fabrication to specialized foundries. Its dual business model, combining chip design with patent licensing of cellular standards-essential technologies, gives it a structurally distinct revenue profile compared with peers that rely on hardware sales alone.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • QCT handset chip revenue pressured by MediaTek competition
  • Apple internal modem development cuts iPhone royalty stream
  • Automotive segment revenue scales on digital cockpit and ADAS wins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 9.26b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.03 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 26.30% < 20% (prev 39.56%; Δ -13.26% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 12.4b > Net Income 9.26b
Net Debt (6.97b) to EBITDA (13.5b): 0.52 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.02 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.07b) vs 12m ago -2.73% < -2%
Gross Margin: 54.23% > 18% (prev 55.68%; Δ -1.45% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 78.53% > 50% (prev 78.85%; Δ -0.31% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 17.30 > 6 (EBIT TTM 11.9b / Interest Expense TTM 688.0m)
Altman Z'' 5.28
A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 23.0b - Total Current Liabilities 11.4b) / Total Assets 57.4b
B: 0.48 (Retained Earnings 27.3b / Total Assets 57.4b)
C: 0.21 (EBIT TTM 11.9b / Avg Total Assets 56.1b)
D: 0.93 (Book Value of Equity 27.7b / Total Liabilities 29.7b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.28 = AAA
Beneish M -2.65
DSRI: 1.34 (Receivables 4.67b/3.41b, Revenue 44.1b/43.3b)
GMI: 1.03 (GM 55.68% / 54.23%)
AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.51 / AQ_t-1 0.46)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 44.1b / 43.3b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 9.26b - CFO 12.4b) / TA 57.4b)
Beneish M = -2.65 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of QCOM shares?

As of August 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 157.53 with a total of 9,656,408 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.19%, over one month by -15.52%, over three months by -15.24% and over the past year by +9.64%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 136.90 (which is 13.1% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).

Is QCOM a buy, sell or hold?

Qualcomm has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.73. Therefore, it is recommended to hold QCOM.

  • StrongBuy: 12
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 19
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the QCOM price?
Analysts Target Price 199.4 26.6%
Qualcomm (QCOM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 159b (159b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.3257
P/E Forward = 13.8122
P/S = 3.5782
P/B = 5.9327
P/EG = 0.4916
Revenue TTM = 44.1b USD
EBIT TTM = 11.9b USD
EBITDA TTM = 13.5b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.8b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.49b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.3b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.97b USD (calculated: Debt 15.3b - CCE 8.30b)
Enterprise Value = 166b USD (159b + Debt 15.3b - CCE 8.30b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 17.30 (Ebit TTM 11.9b / Interest Expense TTM 688.0m)
EV/FCF = 15.95x (Enterprise Value 166b / FCF TTM 10.4b)
FCF Yield = 6.27% (FCF TTM 10.4b / Enterprise Value 166b)
FCF Margin = 23.64% (FCF TTM 10.4b / Revenue TTM 44.1b)
Net Margin = 21.01% (Net Income TTM 9.26b / Revenue TTM 44.1b)
Gross Margin = 54.23% ((Revenue TTM 44.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 20.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.05% (prev 53.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.90 (Enterprise Value 166b / Total Assets 57.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.51% (Interest Expense 688.0m / Debt 15.3b)
Taxrate = 17.42% (1.95b / 11.2b)
NOPAT = 9.83b (EBIT 11.9b * (1 - 17.42%))
Current Ratio = 2.02 (Total Current Assets 23.0b / Total Current Liabilities 11.4b)
Debt / Equity = 0.55 (Debt 15.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 27.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.52 (Net Debt 6.97b / EBITDA 13.5b)
Debt / FCF = 0.67 (Net Debt 6.97b / FCF TTM 10.4b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 24.8b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.50% (Net Income 9.26b / Total Assets 57.4b)
RoE = 37.33% (Net Income TTM 9.26b / Total Stockholder Equity 24.8b)
RoCE = 31.66% (EBIT 11.9b / Capital Employed (Equity 24.8b + L.T.Debt 12.8b))
RoIC = 21.25% (NOPAT 9.83b / Invested Capital 46.2b)
WACC = 11.62% (E(159b)/V(174b) * Re(12.38%) + D(15.3b)/V(174b) * Rd(4.51%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 12.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.22 | Cagr: -2.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 62.93% ; FCFF base≈10.9b ; Y1≈9.99b ; Y5≈8.82b
[DCF] Fair Price = 79.87 (EV 90.8b - Net Debt 6.97b = Equity 83.9b / Shares 1.05b; r=11.62% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -10.38% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 81.77 | EPS CAGR: 11.46% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.03 | Revenue CAGR: 9.94% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=2.41 | Chg30d=-10.02% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=27
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=10.57 | Chg30d=-2.20% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=-12.2% | GrowthRev=-2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=10.41 | Chg30d=-5.05% | Revisions=+59% | GrowthEPS=-1.5% | GrowthRev=+3.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +44% (up=23, down=8)