QCOM Stock Analysis: Qualcomm | NASDAQ

Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 187.950m USD | 12M Return: 11.8% | US7475251036 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Mobile Processors, Automotive Electronics, IoT Devices, Patent Licensing
Total Rating 53
Safety 72
Buy Signal -0.61
Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: -18.3
Market Cap: 188B
Avg Turnover: 2.12B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility42.7%
VaR 5th Pctl7.18%
VaR vs Median2.19%
Choppyness76.7%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.39
Rel. Str. IBD72.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group46.4
Character TTM
Beta1.801
Beta Downside2.224
Hurst Exponent0.497
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.23%
CAGR/Max DD0.45
CAGR/Mean DD0.91
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of QCOM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 2.55, "2021-12": 3.23, "2022-03": 3.21, "2022-06": 2.96, "2022-09": 3.13, "2022-12": 2.37, "2023-03": 2.15, "2023-06": 1.87, "2023-09": 2.02, "2023-12": 2.75, "2024-03": 2.44, "2024-06": 2.33, "2024-09": 2.69, "2024-12": 3.41, "2025-03": 2.85, "2025-06": 2.77, "2025-09": 2.56, "2025-12": 3.5, "2026-03": 2.65, "2026-06": 1.53,
EPS CAGR: 11.46%
EPS Trend: 81.8%
Last SUE: -0.08
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of QCOM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 9336, 2021-12: 10705, 2022-03: 11164, 2022-06: 10936, 2022-09: 11395, 2022-12: 9463, 2023-03: 9275, 2023-06: 8451, 2023-09: 8631, 2023-12: 9935, 2024-03: 9389, 2024-06: 9393, 2024-09: 10244, 2024-12: 11669, 2025-03: 10979, 2025-06: 10365, 2025-09: 11271, 2025-12: 12252, 2026-03: 10599, 2026-06: 9947,
Rev. CAGR: 9.94%
Rev. Trend: 96.0%
Last SUE: 0.91
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -3.7% 17
Feb -1.9% 8
Mar +0.6% 7
Apr -0.9% 19
May +2.8% 32
Jun -0.9% 8
Jul +0.5% 5
Aug +0.5% 5
Sep -1.5% 17
Oct +0.2% 16
Nov +5.4% 2
Dec -0.3% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: QCOM Qualcomm

QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ: QCOM) is a U.S.-based technology company headquartered in San Diego, California, founded in 1985. It develops and commercializes foundational technologies for the wireless industry, operating through three segments: Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT), which designs integrated circuits and system software for mobile devices, automotive systems, and IoT products; Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL), which licenses its patent portfolio covering cellular standards such as 3G, 4G, and 5G; and Qualcomm Strategic Initiatives (QSI), which invests in early-stage companies across areas including 5G, AI, automotive, IoT, and extended reality. The company also serves U.S. government agencies and provides software-based network security solutions.

QUALCOMM operates within the Information Technology sector, specifically the Semiconductors sub-industry, following a fabless business model in which it designs chips but relies on third-party foundries for manufacturing. Its dual revenue model combines chipset sales (QCT) with patent licensing (QTL), a structure that distinguishes it from many peers in the semiconductor space. The company trades as a mega-cap stock on NASDAQ and has been listed since its 1991 IPO.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Handset chip ASPs pressured by Apple in-house modem transition
  • Automotive and IoT revenue growth diversifies beyond smartphones
  • China licensing revenue faces renewed regulatory and antitrust scrutiny
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 9.26b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.03 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 26.30% < 20% (prev 39.56%; Δ -13.26% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 12.4b > Net Income 9.26b
Net Debt (6.97b) to EBITDA (13.5b): 0.52 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.02 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.07b) vs 12m ago -2.73% < -2%
Gross Margin: 54.23% > 18% (prev 55.68%; Δ -1.45% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 78.53% > 50% (prev 78.85%; Δ -0.31% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 17.30 > 6 (EBIT TTM 11.9b / Interest Expense TTM 688.0m)
Altman Z'' 5.28
A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 23.0b - Total Current Liabilities 11.4b) / Total Assets 57.4b
B: 0.48 (Retained Earnings 27.3b / Total Assets 57.4b)
C: 0.21 (EBIT TTM 11.9b / Avg Total Assets 56.1b)
D: 0.93 (Book Value of Equity 27.7b / Total Liabilities 29.7b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.28 = AAA
Beneish M -2.65
DSRI: 1.34 (Receivables 4.67b/3.41b, Revenue 44.1b/43.3b)
GMI: 1.03 (GM 55.68% / 54.23%)
AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.51 / AQ_t-1 0.46)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 44.1b / 43.3b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 9.26b - CFO 12.4b) / TA 57.4b)
Beneish M = -2.65 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of QCOM shares?

As of October 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 178.40 with a total of 11,764,179 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.36%, over one month by -5.01%, over three months by +0.78% and over the past year by +11.75%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 162.40 (which is 9% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).

Is QCOM a buy, sell or hold?

Qualcomm has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.43. Therefore, it is recommended to hold QCOM.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 23
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the QCOM price?
Analysts Target Price 194.1 8.8%
Qualcomm (QCOM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 188b (188b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.3715
P/E Forward = 19.6464
P/S = 4.2649
P/B = 7.6565
P/EG = 0.8803
Revenue TTM = 44.1b USD
EBIT TTM = 11.9b USD
EBITDA TTM = 13.5b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.8b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.49b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.3b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.97b USD (calculated: Debt 15.3b - CCE 8.30b)
Enterprise Value = 195b USD (188b + Debt 15.3b - CCE 8.30b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 17.30 (Ebit TTM 11.9b / Interest Expense TTM 688.0m)
EV/FCF = 18.71x (Enterprise Value 195b / FCF TTM 10.4b)
FCF Yield = 5.34% (FCF TTM 10.4b / Enterprise Value 195b)
FCF Margin = 23.64% (FCF TTM 10.4b / Revenue TTM 44.1b)
Net Margin = 21.01% (Net Income TTM 9.26b / Revenue TTM 44.1b)
Gross Margin = 54.23% ((Revenue TTM 44.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 20.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.05% (prev 53.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.40 (Enterprise Value 195b / Total Assets 57.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.51% (Interest Expense 688.0m / Debt 15.3b)
Taxrate = 17.42% (1.95b / 11.2b)
NOPAT = 9.83b (EBIT 11.9b * (1 - 17.42%))
Current Ratio = 2.02 (Total Current Assets 23.0b / Total Current Liabilities 11.4b)
Debt / Equity = 0.55 (Debt 15.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 27.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.52 (Net Debt 6.97b / EBITDA 13.5b)
Debt / FCF = 0.67 (Net Debt 6.97b / FCF TTM 10.4b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 24.8b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.50% (Net Income 9.26b / Total Assets 57.4b)
RoE = 37.33% (Net Income TTM 9.26b / Total Stockholder Equity 24.8b)
RoCE = 31.66% (EBIT 11.9b / Capital Employed (Equity 24.8b + L.T.Debt 12.8b))
RoIC = 21.25% (NOPAT 9.83b / Invested Capital 46.2b)
WACC = 11.67% (E(188b)/V(203b) * Re(12.32%) + D(15.3b)/V(203b) * Rd(4.51%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 12.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.22 | Cagr: -2.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 62.78% ; FCFF base≈10.9b ; Y1≈9.99b ; Y5≈8.82b
[DCF] Fair Price = 78.07 (EV 90.3b - Net Debt 6.97b = Equity 83.4b / Shares 1.07b; r=11.67% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -10.38% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 81.77 | EPS CAGR: 11.46% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.03 | Revenue CAGR: 9.94% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=2.30 | Chg30d=-0.13% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=26
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=10.48 | Chg30d=-0.36% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-12.8% | GrowthRev=-2.9%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=10.20 | Chg30d=-0.21% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-2.7% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)