QMCO Stock Analysis: Quantum | NASDAQ
Computer Hardware | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 464m USD | 12M Return: 153.3% | US7479066000 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 9.46M
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -73.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Quantum Corporation (NASDAQ: QMCO) is a data storage and management company that designs solutions for digital video and unstructured data, serving customers across the Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific. Founded in 1980 and headquartered in Centennial, Colorado, the company operates in the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals sub-industry and sells through a multi-channel network of distributors, VARs, OEMs, and direct sales to enterprises and government agencies.
The company offers a broad product portfolio spanning all-flash file and object storage (Myriad), video surveillance platforms, hybrid file systems (StorNext), asset management (CatDV), object storage (ActiveScale), deduplication backup appliances (DXi), and tape-based systems (Scalar), including LTO drives and media. LTO (Linear Tape-Open) is an open-standard tape format widely used for long-term archiving, and tape storage remains a relevant medium for hyperscalers and large enterprises due to its low cost per terabyte, long media lifespan, and inherent air-gapped protection against cyber threats.
In addition to hardware and software, Quantum delivers support, installation, consulting, and subscription services, and has expanded into consumption-based offerings through its Quantum-as-a-Service model. The shift toward as-a-Service delivery in enterprise storage reflects a broader industry trend in which customers increasingly prefer operational expenditure over capital-intensive infrastructure purchases. The company also maintains a strategic partnership with Entanglement, Inc. focused on quantum logic, post-quantum security, and data sovereignty-areas of growing importance as organizations prepare for the eventual arrival of quantum computing.
- Myriad all-flash storage sales accelerate on AI and unstructured data demand
- Debt refinancing risks pressure small-cap valuation amid capital structure concerns
- Government surveillance and hyperscaler tape archival contracts drive recurring revenue
| Net Income: -239.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 14.59 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -3.80% < 20% (prev -39.44%; Δ 35.65% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.10 > 3% & CFO -20.0m > Net Income -239.1m |
| Current Ratio: 0.93 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.0m) vs 12m ago 139.3% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 37.84% > 18% (prev 39.85%; Δ -2.01% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 164.0% > 50% (prev 157.8%; Δ 6.18% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.26 > 6 (EBIT TTM -4.38m / Interest Expense TTM 17.2m) |
| A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 148.7m - Total Current Liabilities 160.0m) / Total Assets 191.9m |
| B: -6.25 (Retained Earnings -1.20b / Total Assets 191.9m) |
| C: -0.02 (EBIT TTM -4.38m / Avg Total Assets 180.5m) |
| D: -0.13 (Book Value of Equity -27.8m / Total Liabilities 219.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' = -21.05 = D |
| DSRI: 1.24 (Receivables 66.7m/48.4m, Revenue 296.1m/267.0m) |
| GMI: 1.05 (GM 39.85% / 37.84%) |
| AQI: 0.75 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 296.1m / 267.0m) |
| TATA: -1.14 (NI -239.1m - CFO -20.0m) / TA 191.9m) |
| Beneish M = -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 19.40 with a total of 16,440,234 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +69.43%, over one month by +100.62%, over three months by +98.36% and over the past year by +153.26%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 18.10 (which is 6.7% or 1.1 ATR below the current price).
Quantum has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold QMCO.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 16.5 | -14.9% |
P/E Forward = 1.8501
P/S = 1.659
P/B = 0.1159
P/EG = 0.7731
Revenue TTM = 296.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -4.38m USD
EBITDA TTM = 906k USD
Long Term Debt = 90.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 55.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 154.6m USD (corrected: LT Debt 90.0m + ST Debt 55.6m) + Leases 8.97m
Net Debt = 100.2m USD (calculated: Debt 154.6m - CCE 54.4m)
Enterprise Value = 564.0m USD (463.8m + Debt 154.6m - CCE 54.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.26 (Ebit TTM -4.38m / Interest Expense TTM 17.2m)
EV/FCF = -26.95x (Enterprise Value 564.0m / FCF TTM -20.9m)
FCF Yield = -3.71% (FCF TTM -20.9m / Enterprise Value 564.0m)
FCF Margin = -7.07% (FCF TTM -20.9m / Revenue TTM 296.1m)
Net Margin = -80.76% (Net Income TTM -239.1m / Revenue TTM 296.1m)
Gross Margin = 37.84% ((Revenue TTM 296.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 184.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.26% (prev 35.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.94 (Enterprise Value 564.0m / Total Assets 191.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.10% (Interest Expense 17.2m / Debt 154.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -3.46m (EBIT -4.38m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 148.7m / Total Current Liabilities 160.0m)
Debt / Equity = -5.56 (negative equity) (Debt 154.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -27.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 110.6 (Net Debt 100.2m / EBITDA 906k)
Debt / FCF = -4.79 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 100.2m / FCF TTM -20.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -142.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -132.5% (out of range, set to none)
RoE = 167.4% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -239.1m / Total Stockholder Equity -142.9m)
RoCE = 8.28% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -4.38m / Capital Employed (Equity -142.9m + L.T.Debt 90.0m))
RoIC = -4.75% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -3.46m / Invested Capital 72.7m)
WACC = 10.50% (E(463.8m)/V(618.4m) * Re(11.08%) + D(154.6m)/V(618.4m) * Rd(11.10%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 92.40 | Cagr: 96.80%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -20.9m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -73.60 | Revenue CAGR: -9.19% | SUE: 1.22 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=+72.73% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=+77.27% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+97.2% | GrowthRev=+12.0%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=+481.82% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+526.7% | GrowthRev=+6.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +44% (up=5, down=1)