(QXO) QXO - Ratings and Ratios
Roofing, Waterproofing, Siding, Insulation, Supplies
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 77.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 102% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -19.35% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.52 |
| Alpha | 5.06 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.02 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.387 |
| Beta | 1.132 |
| Beta Downside | 0.874 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 95.44% |
| Mean DD | 53.46% |
| Median DD | 42.72% |
Description: QXO QXO October 31, 2025
QXO, Inc. (NASDAQ: QXO) is a U.S.-based distributor of roofing, waterproofing, and a broad suite of building-product categories, ranging from asphalt and metal roofing to vinyl, fiber-cement, and steel siding, as well as insulation, membranes, and related accessories. The company sells to contractors, other distributors, and suppliers, positioning itself as a one-stop source for exterior building-envelope solutions. It was formerly SilverSun Technologies and rebranded to QXO in June 2024, with headquarters in Greenwich, Connecticut.
According to its most recent Form 10-K, QXO generated roughly $1.2 billion of revenue in FY 2023, a modest ~5 % year-over-year growth that reflects continued strength in residential renovation spending and a rebound in new-home construction after the 2023 slowdown. The U.S. roofing market is projected to expand at a 4.2 % CAGR through 2028, driven by aging roof stock (average roof age ≈ 20 years) and increased frequency of severe weather events that spur repair activity. A key sector driver for distributors like QXO is the price volatility of raw materials-steel, aluminum, and polymer membranes-which can compress margins if not managed through strategic sourcing and inventory buffering.
If you’re looking for a data-driven, quantitative deep-dive into QXO’s valuation and risk profile, ValueRay’s analytics platform offers tools that can help you assess the opportunity more rigorously.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-177.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 279.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.13pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 89.67% (prev 8866 %; Δ -8777 pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 128.8m > Net Income -177.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.65b) to EBITDA (118.4m) ratio: 13.91 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.06 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (7.15m) change vs 12m ago -98.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 22.49% (prev 39.44%; Δ -16.94pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 42.96% (prev 1.12%; Δ 41.84pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.42 (EBITDA TTM 118.4m / Interest Expense TTM 67.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.53
| (A) 0.25 = (Total Current Assets 6.22b - Total Current Liabilities 2.03b) / Total Assets 16.64b |
| (B) -0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -273.9m / Total Assets 16.64b |
| (C) -0.00 = EBIT TTM -28.9m / Avg Total Assets 10.85b |
| (D) -0.04 = Book Value of Equity -274.0m / Total Liabilities 6.82b |
| Total Rating: 1.53 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.78
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.52% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.69% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.40 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 13.91 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -8.11)% |
| 7. RoE -2.38% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 65.43% |
| 9. EPS Trend -3.73% |
What is the price of QXO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.16%, over one month by +26.26%, over three months by -5.58% and over the past year by +21.75%.
Is QXO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the QXO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 32.3 | 55.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 32.3 | 55.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 21.3 | 2.2% |
QXO Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
P/E Forward = 42.0168
P/S = 2.8926
P/B = 1.4872
P/EG = 2.1011
Beta = 2.369
Revenue TTM = 4.66b USD
EBIT TTM = -28.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 118.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.10b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 155.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.95b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.65b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.14b USD (13.49b + Debt 3.95b - CCE 2.31b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.42 (Ebit TTM -28.9m / Interest Expense TTM 67.9m)
FCF Yield = 0.52% (FCF TTM 78.9m / Enterprise Value 15.14b)
FCF Margin = 1.69% (FCF TTM 78.9m / Revenue TTM 4.66b)
Net Margin = -3.81% (Net Income TTM -177.9m / Revenue TTM 4.66b)
Gross Margin = 22.49% ((Revenue TTM 4.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.30% (prev 21.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.91 (Enterprise Value 15.14b / Total Assets 16.64b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.95% (Interest Expense 37.7m / Debt 3.95b)
Taxrate = -1228 % (out of range, set to none) (128.9m / -10.5m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 3.06 (Total Current Assets 6.22b / Total Current Liabilities 2.03b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 3.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = 13.91 (Net Debt 1.65b / EBITDA 118.4m)
Debt / FCF = 20.88 (Net Debt 1.65b / FCF TTM 78.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.07% (Net Income -177.9m / Total Assets 16.64b)
RoE = -2.38% (Net Income TTM -177.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.46b)
RoCE = -0.27% (EBIT -28.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.46b + L.T.Debt 3.10b))
RoIC = -0.23% (negative operating profit) (EBIT -28.9m / (Assets 16.64b - Curr.Liab 2.03b - Cash 2.31b))
WACC = 7.88% (E(13.49b)/V(17.44b) * Re(10.19%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 10.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -85.33%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.78% ; FCFE base≈59.6m ; Y1≈73.5m ; Y5≈125.4m
Fair Price DCF = 2.19 (DCF Value 1.48b / Shares Outstanding 674.4m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -3.73 | EPS CAGR: 39.66% | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 65.43 | Revenue CAGR: 340.7% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.01 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.46 | Chg30d=-0.035 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+50.4% | Growth Revenue=+53.6%
Additional Sources for QXO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle