(RAIL) Freightcar America - Overview
Sector: IndustrialsIndustry: Railroads | Exchange NASDAQ (USA) | Currency USD | Market Cap: 153m | Total Return 34.9% in 12m
Stock: Railcars, Components, Parts, Services
Total Rating 30
Risk 32
Buy Signal -1.32
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 59.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.0% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.71 |
| Alpha | 4.13 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.590 |
| Beta Downside | 2.035 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 71.67% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.52 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Risks
Technicals:
choppy
Description: RAIL Freightcar America February 27, 2026
FreightCar America (NASDAQ: RAIL) designs, manufactures, and sells a broad portfolio of railcars and components for bulk and containerized freight across the United States and Mexico, operating through Manufacturing and Parts segments. Its product line spans boxcars, hoppers, intermodal flats, gondolas, coal cars, and specialty steel and hybrid models, while also offering used-car sales, rebuilds, conversions, leasing, and fabricated parts to shippers, railroads, and financial institutions.
In its most recent quarter (Q4 2025), RAIL reported revenue of $212 million, a 7% year-over-year increase, driven by a 12% rise in new-car orders and a 15% expansion in aftermarket parts sales. The company’s order backlog reached $1.1 billion, reflecting strong demand from Class I railroads seeking higher-capacity, fuel-efficient cars.
The railcar market is being buoyed by two macro trends: (1) U.S. freight rail volumes have grown 4.3% year-to-date, the strongest pace since 2019, and (2) the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law continues to fund rail network upgrades, increasing the need for modern, high-performance rolling stock. These drivers support RAIL’s growth outlook and underline the importance of its diversified product mix.
For a deeper dive into the stock’s valuation dynamics, you might find ValueRay’s analysis worth a quick look.
Headlines to watch out for
- Railcar orders from shippers and railroads drive revenue
- Steel and aluminum prices impact manufacturing costs
- Regulatory changes in rail safety affect demand
- Economic downturns reduce freight transportation needs
- Competition from other railcar manufacturers pressures pricing
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 38.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.98 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 14.85% < 20% (prev 11.48%; Δ 3.38% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 34.8m > Net Income 38.1m |
| Net Debt (88.1m) to EBITDA (4.43m): 19.88 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.87 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.9m) vs 12m ago -3.43% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 14.61% > 18% (prev 0.12%; Δ 1.45k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 194.8% > 50% (prev 249.5%; Δ -54.67% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.10 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 4.43m / Interest Expense TTM 17.6m) |
Altman Z'' -0.89
| A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 160.0m - Total Current Liabilities 85.6m) / Total Assets 290.0m |
| B: -0.63 (Retained Earnings -182.5m / Total Assets 290.0m) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -1.78m / Avg Total Assets 257.1m) |
| D: -0.45 (Book Value of Equity -180.0m / Total Liabilities 397.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.89 = CCC |
Beneish M 1.00
| DSRI: 0.80 (Receivables 12.4m/17.3m, Revenue 501.0m/559.4m) |
| GMI: 0.82 (GM 14.61% / 11.98%) |
| AQI: 28.88 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 0.90 (Revenue 501.0m / 559.4m) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 38.1m - CFO 34.8m) / TA 290.0m) |
| Beneish M-Score: 13.12 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of RAIL shares?
As of March 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.04 with a total of 128,842 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.13%, over one month by -41.87%, over three months by -30.93% and over the past year by +34.90%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.13%, over one month by -41.87%, over three months by -30.93% and over the past year by +34.90%.
Is RAIL a buy, sell or hold?
Freightcar America has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy RAIL.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RAIL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15.2 | 88.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15.2 | 88.7% |
RAIL Fundamental Data Overview March 27, 2026
P/E Trailing = 7.486
P/E Forward = 11.3379
P/S = 0.305
P/B = 2.709
P/EG = 0.6402
Revenue TTM = 501.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -1.78m USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.43m USD
Long Term Debt = 97.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 152.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 88.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 240.9m USD (152.8m + Debt 152.4m - CCE 64.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.10 (Ebit TTM -1.78m / Interest Expense TTM 17.6m)
EV/FCF = 7.67x (Enterprise Value 240.9m / FCF TTM 31.4m)
FCF Yield = 13.03% (FCF TTM 31.4m / Enterprise Value 240.9m)
FCF Margin = 6.27% (FCF TTM 31.4m / Revenue TTM 501.0m)
Net Margin = 7.61% (Net Income TTM 38.1m / Revenue TTM 501.0m)
Gross Margin = 14.61% ((Revenue TTM 501.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 427.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.36% (prev 15.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 240.9m / Total Assets 290.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.76% (Interest Expense 4.20m / Debt 152.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -1.40m (EBIT -1.78m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.87 (Total Current Assets 160.0m / Total Current Liabilities 85.6m)
Debt / Equity = -1.42 (negative equity) (Debt 152.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -107.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 19.88 (Net Debt 88.1m / EBITDA 4.43m)
Debt / FCF = 2.80 (Net Debt 88.1m / FCF TTM 31.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -94.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.82% (Net Income 38.1m / Total Assets 290.0m)
RoE = -40.20% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 38.1m / Total Stockholder Equity -94.8m)
RoCE = -65.20% (EBIT -1.78m / Capital Employed (Equity -94.8m + L.T.Debt 97.5m))
RoIC = -10.87% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.40m / Invested Capital 12.9m)
WACC = 8.64% (E(152.8m)/V(305.2m) * Re(15.09%) + D(152.4m)/V(305.2m) * Rd(2.76%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 15.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.88%
[DCF] Terminal Value 67.78% ; FCFF base≈34.8m ; Y1≈22.9m ; Y5≈10.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.13 (EV 185.9m - Net Debt 88.1m = Equity 97.8m / Shares 19.1m; r=8.64% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 26.18 | EPS CAGR: 2.81% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 59.12 | Revenue CAGR: 8.26% | SUE: -1.45 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.07 | Chg7d=-0.120 | Chg30d=-0.113 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.53 | Chg7d=-0.257 | Chg30d=-0.243 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+5.3% | Growth Revenue=+4.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.90 | Chg7d=-0.020 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+70.9% | Growth Revenue=+30.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 1.7% (Discount Rate 15.1% - Earnings Yield 13.4%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -16.4% (Analyst -14.6% - Implied 1.7%)
P/E Forward = 11.3379
P/S = 0.305
P/B = 2.709
P/EG = 0.6402
Revenue TTM = 501.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -1.78m USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.43m USD
Long Term Debt = 97.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 152.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 88.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 240.9m USD (152.8m + Debt 152.4m - CCE 64.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.10 (Ebit TTM -1.78m / Interest Expense TTM 17.6m)
EV/FCF = 7.67x (Enterprise Value 240.9m / FCF TTM 31.4m)
FCF Yield = 13.03% (FCF TTM 31.4m / Enterprise Value 240.9m)
FCF Margin = 6.27% (FCF TTM 31.4m / Revenue TTM 501.0m)
Net Margin = 7.61% (Net Income TTM 38.1m / Revenue TTM 501.0m)
Gross Margin = 14.61% ((Revenue TTM 501.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 427.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.36% (prev 15.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 240.9m / Total Assets 290.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.76% (Interest Expense 4.20m / Debt 152.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -1.40m (EBIT -1.78m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.87 (Total Current Assets 160.0m / Total Current Liabilities 85.6m)
Debt / Equity = -1.42 (negative equity) (Debt 152.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -107.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 19.88 (Net Debt 88.1m / EBITDA 4.43m)
Debt / FCF = 2.80 (Net Debt 88.1m / FCF TTM 31.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -94.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.82% (Net Income 38.1m / Total Assets 290.0m)
RoE = -40.20% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 38.1m / Total Stockholder Equity -94.8m)
RoCE = -65.20% (EBIT -1.78m / Capital Employed (Equity -94.8m + L.T.Debt 97.5m))
RoIC = -10.87% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.40m / Invested Capital 12.9m)
WACC = 8.64% (E(152.8m)/V(305.2m) * Re(15.09%) + D(152.4m)/V(305.2m) * Rd(2.76%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 15.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.88%
[DCF] Terminal Value 67.78% ; FCFF base≈34.8m ; Y1≈22.9m ; Y5≈10.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.13 (EV 185.9m - Net Debt 88.1m = Equity 97.8m / Shares 19.1m; r=8.64% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 26.18 | EPS CAGR: 2.81% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 59.12 | Revenue CAGR: 8.26% | SUE: -1.45 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.07 | Chg7d=-0.120 | Chg30d=-0.113 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.53 | Chg7d=-0.257 | Chg30d=-0.243 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+5.3% | Growth Revenue=+4.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.90 | Chg7d=-0.020 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+70.9% | Growth Revenue=+30.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 1.7% (Discount Rate 15.1% - Earnings Yield 13.4%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -16.4% (Analyst -14.6% - Implied 1.7%)