(RGLD) Royal Gold - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Silver, Copper, Nickel, Zinc
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.89% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.70% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.33% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 25.7% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 29.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.03% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.03 |
| Alpha | 29.50 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.83 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.520 |
| Beta | 0.345 |
| Beta Downside | 0.246 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 28.86% |
| Mean DD | 10.17% |
| Median DD | 8.69% |
Description: RGLD Royal Gold October 31, 2025
Royal Gold Inc. (NASDAQ:RGLD) is a Denver-based royalty and streaming company that acquires and manages interests in precious-metal production assets worldwide, covering gold, silver, copper, nickel, zinc, lead, molybdenum and other metals. It secures these interests by providing upfront financing to projects at various stages-production, development, or exploration-in exchange for a fixed percentage of future metal output.
Key operational metrics as of Q2 2024 show a market capitalization of roughly $12 billion, a dividend yield near 2.8 %, and a cash-flow conversion rate of > 80 % due to its non-operating, low-cost royalty structure. The company’s exposure is heavily weighted to gold (≈ 70 % of royalty revenue), making it sensitive to the global gold price, which has been driven upward by persistent inflation expectations and central-bank balance-sheet expansions. Additionally, Royal Gold’s diversified geographic footprint-spanning the United States, Canada, Chile, the Dominican Republic, Australia, Africa and Mexico-helps mitigate country-specific political risk.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of RGLD’s risk-adjusted valuation and scenario analysis, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (480.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 51.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.74pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 21.94% (prev 17.41%; Δ 4.53pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 604.2m > Net Income 480.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (597.3m) to EBITDA (702.6m) ratio: 0.85 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.89 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (65.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.06% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 75.59% (prev 79.49%; Δ -3.91pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 22.04% (prev 20.14%; Δ 1.90pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 44.90 (EBITDA TTM 702.6m / Interest Expense TTM 12.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.30
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 287.4m - Total Current Liabilities 99.5m) / Total Assets 4.47b |
| (B) 0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.17b / Total Assets 4.47b |
| (C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 571.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.88b |
| (D) 1.12 = Book Value of Equity 1.17b / Total Liabilities 1.05b |
| Total Rating: 3.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 82.59
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.45% |
| 3. FCF Margin 65.11% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.23 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.85 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.61)% |
| 7. RoE 14.73% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 72.36% |
| 9. EPS Trend 80.09% |
What is the price of RGLD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.07%, over one month by +16.35%, over three months by +9.34% and over the past year by +39.55%.
Is RGLD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RGLD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 248.4 | 23.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 248.4 | 23.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 246.6 | 22.3% |
RGLD Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 25.392
P/E Forward = 16.5289
P/S = 24.1485
P/B = 4.5736
P/EG = 1.41
Beta = 0.647
Revenue TTM = 855.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 571.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 702.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 770.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 770.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 597.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.18b USD (15.58b + Debt 770.2m - CCE 172.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 44.90 (Ebit TTM 571.8m / Interest Expense TTM 12.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.45% (FCF TTM 557.3m / Enterprise Value 16.18b)
FCF Margin = 65.11% (FCF TTM 557.3m / Revenue TTM 855.9m)
Net Margin = 56.09% (Net Income TTM 480.1m / Revenue TTM 855.9m)
Gross Margin = 75.59% ((Revenue TTM 855.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 209.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.53% (prev 72.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.62 (Enterprise Value 16.18b / Total Assets 4.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 8.62m / Debt 770.2m)
Taxrate = 17.88% (28.7m / 160.5m)
NOPAT = 469.6m (EBIT 571.8m * (1 - 17.88%))
Current Ratio = 2.89 (Total Current Assets 287.4m / Total Current Liabilities 99.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.23 (Debt 770.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.41b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.85 (Net Debt 597.3m / EBITDA 702.6m)
Debt / FCF = 1.07 (Net Debt 597.3m / FCF TTM 557.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.75% (Net Income 480.1m / Total Assets 4.47b)
RoE = 14.73% (Net Income TTM 480.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.26b)
RoCE = 14.19% (EBIT 571.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.26b + L.T.Debt 770.2m))
RoIC = 13.60% (NOPAT 469.6m / Invested Capital 3.45b)
WACC = 6.99% (E(15.58b)/V(16.35b) * Re(7.29%) + D(770.2m)/V(16.35b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 7.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.08%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈509.0m ; Y1≈334.2m ; Y5≈152.8m
Fair Price DCF = 35.59 (DCF Value 3.00b / Shares Outstanding 84.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 80.09 | EPS CAGR: 19.69% | SUE: -0.94 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 72.36 | Revenue CAGR: 11.75% | SUE: -1.13 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.35 | Chg30d=+0.500 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.29 | Chg30d=-0.068 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+31.5% | Growth Revenue=+56.6%
Additional Sources for RGLD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle