RGNX Stock Analysis: Regenxbio | NASDAQ

Biotechnology | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 590m USD | 12M Return: -10.1% | US75901B1070 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Ophthalmology, Muscular Dystrophy, Rare Diseases, Gene Therapy
Total Rating 25
Safety 29
Buy Signal -0.90
Biotechnology
Industry Rotation: -10.0
Market Cap: 590M
Avg Turnover: 11.1M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility84.3%
VaR 5th Pctl13.8%
VaR vs Median-0.59%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.34
Rel. Str. IBD41.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group22
Character TTM
Beta2.406
Beta Downside1.757
Hurst Exponent0.572
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD78.42%
CAGR/Max DD-0.28
CAGR/Mean DD-0.44
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RGNX over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -1.37, "2021-12": 6.67, "2022-03": -1.79, "2022-06": -1.58, "2022-09": -1.75, "2022-12": -1.38, "2023-03": -1.53, "2023-06": -1.66, "2023-09": -1.41, "2023-12": -1.43, "2024-03": -1.34, "2024-06": -1.05, "2024-09": -1.17, "2024-12": -1.01, "2025-03": 0.12, "2025-06": -1.38, "2025-09": -1.2, "2025-12": -1.3, "2026-03": -1.72, "2026-06": 0.43,
Last SUE: 1.10
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of RGNX over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 30.773, 2021-12: 398.655, 2022-03: 22.218, 2022-06: 32.649, 2022-09: 26.512, 2022-12: 31.345, 2023-03: 19.138, 2023-06: 19.977, 2023-09: 28.914, 2023-12: 22.213, 2024-03: 15.622, 2024-06: 22.295, 2024-09: 24.197, 2024-12: 21.214, 2025-03: 89.012, 2025-06: 21.359, 2025-09: 29.733, 2025-12: 30.337, 2026-03: 6.393, 2026-06: 108.019,
Rev. CAGR: 25.29%
Rev. Trend: 63.5%
Last SUE: 1.16
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Choppy
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.9 years of data

Jan -1.8% 23
Feb +0.1% 0
Mar +0.4% 2
Apr +4.2% 24
May -5.6% 15
Jun +13.9% 47
Jul -8.5% 10
Aug -2.7% 34
Sep +2.7% 11
Oct -5.4% 17
Nov +9.8% 28
Dec -0.9% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RGNX Regenxbio

REGENXBIO Inc. (RGNX) is a U.S.-based, clinical-stage biotechnology company developing gene therapies that use its proprietary NAV Technology Platform, an adeno-associated virus (AAV) gene delivery system, to deliver functional genes to cells with genetic defects. Its pipeline includes ABBV-RGX-314 for wet age-related macular degeneration and diabetic retinopathy, RGX-202 for Duchenne muscular dystrophy, RGX-121 for mucopolysaccharidosis type II (Hunter syndrome), and RGX-111 for mucopolysaccharidosis type I.

The company is headquartered in Rockville, Maryland, was incorporated in 2008, and operates a dual business model: it develops internal gene therapy candidates while also licensing its NAV platform to other biotech and pharmaceutical partners. Notable collaborations include a development and license agreement with AbbVie for ABBV-RGX-314 and a partnership with Nippon Shinyaku for RGX-121 and RGX-111 outside the United States. As a clinical-stage biotech, REGENXBIO is not yet generating commercial product revenue, making collaboration income, milestone payments, and capital markets funding key financial drivers typical of the sector.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • ABBV-RGX-314 wet AMD pivotal trial data readout approaches
  • AbbVie collaboration milestones critical to extending cash runway
  • Duchenne RGX-202 gene therapy competes against Sareptas Elevidys
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.0
Net Income: -196.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.65 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -48.97 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 88.00% < 20% (prev 163.2%; Δ -75.19% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.64 > 3% & CFO -246.7m > Net Income -196.4m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 2.86 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (53.0m) vs 12m ago 2.98% < -2%
Gross Margin: 54.22% > 18% (prev 79.94%; Δ -25.71% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 36.06% > 50% (prev 26.81%; Δ 9.25% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -3.68 > 6 (EBIT TTM -154.5m / Interest Expense TTM 41.9m)
Altman Z'' -9.36
A: 0.40 (Total Current Assets 236.2m - Total Current Liabilities 82.6m) / Total Assets 386.6m
B: -3.09 (Retained Earnings -1.19b / Total Assets 386.6m)
C: -0.32 (EBIT TTM -154.5m / Avg Total Assets 483.8m)
D: 0.23 (Book Value of Equity 71.8m / Total Liabilities 314.9m)
Altman-Z'' = -9.36 = D
Beneish M -1.28
DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 106.8m/21.5m, Revenue 174.5m/155.8m)
GMI: 1.47 (GM 79.94% / 54.22%)
AQI: 0.27 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.08)
SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 174.5m / 155.8m)
TATA: 0.13 (NI -196.4m - CFO -246.7m) / TA 386.6m)
Beneish M = -1.28 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of RGNX shares?

As of September 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.53 with a total of 1,029,046 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.28%, over one month by -19.91%, over three months by +35.83% and over the past year by -10.12%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 7.60 (which is 10.9% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is RGNX a buy, sell or hold?

Regenxbio has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.42. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RGNX.

  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RGNX price?
Analysts Target Price 23.7 178.2%
Regenxbio (RGNX) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 14 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 590.2m (590.2m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 3.3823
P/B = 8.8122
P/EG = 0.26
Revenue TTM = 174.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -154.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = -139.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 61.6m USD (estimated: total debt 69.0m - short term 7.36m)
Short Term Debt = 7.36m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 69.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 69.0m already included)
Net Debt = -36.6m USD (calculated: Debt 69.0m - CCE 105.5m)
Enterprise Value = 553.6m USD (590.2m + Debt 69.0m - CCE 105.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.68 (Ebit TTM -154.5m / Interest Expense TTM 41.9m)
EV/FCF = -2.22x (Enterprise Value 553.6m / FCF TTM -249.7m)
FCF Yield = -45.10% (FCF TTM -249.7m / Enterprise Value 553.6m)
 FCF Margin = -143.1% (FCF TTM -249.7m / Revenue TTM 174.5m)
 Net Margin = -112.6% (Net Income TTM -196.4m / Revenue TTM 174.5m)
Gross Margin = 54.22% ((Revenue TTM 174.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 79.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev -73.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.43 (Enterprise Value 553.6m / Total Assets 386.6m)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 60.83% (Interest Expense 41.9m / Debt 69.0m)
 Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -122.0m (EBIT -154.5m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.86 (Total Current Assets 236.2m / Total Current Liabilities 82.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.96 (Debt 69.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 71.8m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 0.26 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -36.6m / EBITDA -139.1m)
 Debt / FCF = 0.15 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -36.6m / FCF TTM -249.7m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 89.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -40.60% (Net Income -196.4m / Total Assets 386.6m)
RoE = -220.1% (Net Income TTM -196.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 89.3m)
 RoCE = -102.4% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -154.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 89.3m + L.T.Debt 61.6m))
 RoIC = -40.33% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -122.0m / Invested Capital 302.6m)
 WACC = 12.94% (E(590.2m)/V(659.1m) * Re(14.45%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 14.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 79.06 | Cagr: 6.79%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -249.7m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 63.45 | Revenue CAGR: 25.29% | SUE: 1.16 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-1.27 | Chg30d=-31.12% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-3.52 | Chg30d=-26.06% | Revisions=+10% | GrowthEPS=+6.4% | GrowthRev=-1.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-3.00 | Chg30d=-18.08% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+14.6% | GrowthRev=+29.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +45% (up=13, down=4)