(RGNX) Regenxbio - Ratings and Ratios
Gene,Therapy,AAV,Platform,Pipeline
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 61.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 96.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.91% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.55 |
| Alpha | -18.70 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.309 |
| Beta | 1.843 |
| Beta Downside | 1.171 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 78.42% |
| Mean DD | 41.17% |
| Median DD | 42.26% |
Description: RGNX Regenxbio October 24, 2025
Regenxbio Inc. (NASDAQ:RGNX) is a clinical-stage biotech that commercializes gene-therapy products using its proprietary NAV (AAV-based) delivery platform, targeting genetic disorders primarily in the United States.
Its current pipeline includes: ABBV-RGX-314 for wet age-related macular degeneration, diabetic retinopathy and other chronic retinal diseases (in partnership with AbbVie for non-U.S. markets); RGX-202, a Phase III candidate for Duchenne muscular dystrophy; RGX-121 for mucopolysaccharidosis type II; RGX-111 for mucopolysaccharidosis type I; RGX-181 for late-infantile neuronal ceroid lipofuscinosis type 2; and RGX-381 for the ocular manifestations of CLN2 disease.
Beyond its own product development, Regenxbio licenses the NAV platform to external biotech and pharma firms, generating non-dilutive revenue streams and expanding the technology’s market footprint.
Key quantitative indicators (as of the latest 10-Q) show a cash balance of roughly $250 million, a runway of about 18 months at current burn, and a market capitalization near $1.2 billion, placing the company in the mid-cap tier of the gene-therapy sector, which is projected to grow at a CAGR of 12-15 % through 2030 driven by rising FDA approvals and payer acceptance of AAV-based treatments.
Investors should note that the success of RGX-202’s Phase III readout and the ability to secure additional licensing deals are the primary catalysts that could materially shift the valuation; conversely, any setbacks in trial endpoints or platform safety concerns would materially downgrade upside.
If you’re looking for a deeper, data-driven assessment of Regenxbio’s risk-adjusted upside, ValueRay’s analyst toolkit offers a granular breakdown of the company’s cash-flow projections and comparable peer multiples.
RGNX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 589m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2015-09-17 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -2.43% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.42 of 5 |
RGNX Dividends
Currently no dividends paidRGNX Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -20.72% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.26 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.50 |
| Current Volume | 528.3k |
| Average Volume | 528.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (-177.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 9.68m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.20 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 15.35pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 128.6% (prev 249.8%; Δ -121.3pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.20 (>3.0%) and CFO -103.3m > Net Income -177.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.66 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (51.7m) change vs 12m ago 1.75% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 49.98% (prev 39.46%; Δ 10.52pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 30.89% (prev 16.24%; Δ 14.65pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -3.22 (EBITDA TTM -120.0m / Interest Expense TTM 42.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -8.79
| (A) 0.39 = (Total Current Assets 332.0m - Total Current Liabilities 124.6m) / Total Assets 525.2m |
| (B) -2.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.06b / Total Assets 525.2m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.02 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.26 = EBIT TTM -135.8m / Avg Total Assets 522.2m |
| (D) -2.91 = Book Value of Equity -1.06b / Total Liabilities 363.8m |
| Total Rating: -8.79 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 22.25
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt = -3.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -18.22% = -5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin -65.88% = -7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.66 = 1.26 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.74 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -70.08)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -78.29% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 28.44% = 2.13 |
| 9. EPS Trend 47.12% = 2.36 |
What is the price of RGNX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.60%, over one month by -11.00%, over three months by +29.16% and over the past year by +10.84%.
Is RGNX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RGNX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 29.6 | 162.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 29.6 | 162.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.7 | -4.8% |
RGNX Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/S = 3.6527
P/B = 3.6497
P/EG = 0.26
Beta = 1.147
Revenue TTM = 161.3m USD
EBIT TTM = -135.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -120.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 76.5m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 50.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 268.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 209.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 583.2m USD (589.3m + Debt 268.1m - CCE 274.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.22 (Ebit TTM -135.8m / Interest Expense TTM 42.1m)
FCF Yield = -18.22% (FCF TTM -106.3m / Enterprise Value 583.2m)
FCF Margin = -65.88% (FCF TTM -106.3m / Revenue TTM 161.3m)
Net Margin = -110.3% (Net Income TTM -177.9m / Revenue TTM 161.3m)
Gross Margin = 49.98% ((Revenue TTM 161.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 80.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -107.9% (prev 57.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.11 (Enterprise Value 583.2m / Total Assets 525.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.91% (Interest Expense 13.2m / Debt 268.1m)
Taxrate = -0.0% (0.0 / -227.1m)
NOPAT = -135.8m (EBIT -135.8m * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.66 (Total Current Assets 332.0m / Total Current Liabilities 124.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.66 (Debt 268.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 161.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.74 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 209.3m / EBITDA -120.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.97 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 209.3m / FCF TTM -106.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 227.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -33.88% (Net Income -177.9m / Total Assets 525.2m)
RoE = -78.29% (Net Income TTM -177.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 227.2m)
RoCE = -44.70% (EBIT -135.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 227.2m + L.T.Debt 76.5m))
RoIC = -59.74% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -135.8m / Invested Capital 227.2m)
WACC = 10.34% (E(589.3m)/V(857.4m) * Re(12.81%) + D(268.1m)/V(857.4m) * Rd(4.91%) * (1-Tc(-0.0)))
Discount Rate = 12.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 8.38%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -106.3m)
EPS Correlation: 47.12 | EPS CAGR: 13.98% | SUE: 0.43 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 28.44 | Revenue CAGR: -1.90% | SUE: 0.66 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for RGNX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle