(RIVN) Rivian Automotive - Ratings and Ratios
Electric Pickup, Electric SUV, Commercial Van, Charging Stations
Description: RIVN Rivian Automotive
Rivian Automotive Inc is a US-based electric vehicle manufacturer that offers a range of products, including consumer vehicles, software, and services. The companys consumer vehicles include the R1T pickup truck and R1S sport utility vehicle, while its software and services include remarketing, vehicle repair, and fleet management. Rivian also operates a network of fast chargers and has partnered with Amazon to develop the Rivian Commercial Van platform.
From a financial perspective, Rivians market capitalization stands at approximately $16.1 billion. Given the companys current stage, key performance indicators (KPIs) to watch include production volume, revenue growth, and gross margin expansion. As the company continues to scale, investors should monitor its ability to reduce costs and achieve operational efficiencies. Additionally, the companys cash burn rate and path to profitability will be crucial in determining its long-term viability.
Analyzing Rivians current stock price, it is trading near its support level of $13.2, with further support at $12.8 and $10.5. The stocks short-term moving averages (SMA20 and SMA50) indicate a potential bullish crossover, suggesting a possible upward trend. However, the absence of a price-to-earnings ratio and a negative return on equity (-60.31) highlight the companys current unprofitability. As a Trading Analyst, it is essential to closely monitor the companys progress in achieving profitability and adjusting its valuation multiples accordingly.
RIVN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 16,466m |
| Sub-Industry | Automobile Manufacturers |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-11-10 |
RIVN Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -33.6% |
| Fundamental | 25.7% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -13.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.48 of 5 |
RIVN Dividends
Currently no dividends paidRIVN Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -3.3% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 44.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -81.8% |
| CAGR 5y | -30.50% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.39 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.47 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.47 |
| Alpha | -9.31 |
| Beta | 0.401 |
| Volatility | 66.11% |
| Current Volume | 67199.6k |
| Average Volume 20d | 46841.3k |
| Stop Loss | 12.7 (-5.6%) |
| Signal | -1.11 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income (-3.50b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 309.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 20.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 139.3% (prev 176.9%; Δ -37.59pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 183.0m > Net Income -3.50b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 3.44 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.16b) change vs 12m ago 15.38% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -4.31% (prev -42.52%; Δ 38.21pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 33.28% (prev 32.66%; Δ 0.63pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -10.30 (EBITDA TTM -2.15b / Interest Expense TTM 309.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -6.34
| (A) 0.46 = (Total Current Assets 10.12b - Total Current Liabilities 2.94b) / Total Assets 15.60b |
| (B) -1.60 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -24.97b / Total Assets 15.60b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.60 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.21 = EBIT TTM -3.18b / Avg Total Assets 15.48b |
| (D) -2.62 = Book Value of Equity -24.96b / Total Liabilities 9.52b |
| Total Rating: -6.34 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 25.74
| 1. Piotroski 0.50pt = -4.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -19.26% = -5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin -55.46% = -7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.97 = 2.05 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -2.73 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -35.01% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -56.64% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 72.65% = 3.63 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 38.13% = 2.50 |
| 10. EPS Trend 82.26% = 2.06 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of RIVN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.79%, over one month by +11.61%, over three months by -2.18% and over the past year by +1.97%.
Is Rivian Automotive a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of RIVN is around 10.50 USD . This means that RIVN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -21.99%.
Is RIVN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 3
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RIVN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 13.9 | 3.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 13.9 | 3.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.4 | -15.2% |
Last update: 2025-09-03 04:46
RIVN Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 7.51b USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/S = 3.1967
P/B = 2.7136
Beta = 1.807
Revenue TTM = 5.15b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.18b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.44b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.87b USD (Calculated: Short Term 1.44b + Long Term 4.44b)
Net Debt = 1.52b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.83b USD (16.47b + Debt 5.87b - CCE 7.51b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -10.30 (Ebit TTM -3.18b / Interest Expense TTM 309.0m)
FCF Yield = -19.26% (FCF TTM -2.86b / Enterprise Value 14.83b)
FCF Margin = -55.46% (FCF TTM -2.86b / Revenue TTM 5.15b)
Net Margin = -68.05% (Net Income TTM -3.50b / Revenue TTM 5.15b)
Gross Margin = -4.31% ((Revenue TTM 5.15b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -0.59 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 14.83b / Book Value Of Equity -24.96b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.17% (Interest Expense 69.0m / Debt 5.87b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = -3.18b (EBIT -3.18b, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 3.44 (Total Current Assets 10.12b / Total Current Liabilities 2.94b)
Debt / Equity = 0.97 (Debt 5.87b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 6.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.73 (Net Debt 1.52b / EBITDA -2.15b)
Debt / FCF = -2.06 (Debt 5.87b / FCF TTM -2.86b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.19b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -22.47% (Net Income -3.50b, Total Assets 15.60b )
RoE = -56.64% (Net Income TTM -3.50b / Total Stockholder Equity 6.19b)
RoCE = -29.96% (Ebit -3.18b / (Equity 6.19b + L.T.Debt 4.44b))
RoIC = -29.25% (NOPAT -3.18b / Invested Capital 10.88b)
WACC = 5.76% (E(16.47b)/V(22.34b) * Re(7.49%)) + (D(5.87b)/V(22.34b) * Rd(1.17%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 96.97 | Cagr: 2.11%
Discount Rate = 7.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.86b)
Revenue Correlation: 72.65 | Revenue CAGR: 38.13%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -46.12
EPS Correlation: 82.26 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 37.92
Additional Sources for RIVN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle