Overview Dividends

(RIVN) Rivian Automotive - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US76954A1034

Pickup Truck, SUV, Commercial Van, Chargers, Software

Automobile Manufacturers
Market Cap in USD: 23,795m

IPO / Inception: 2021-11-10
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 5.71%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 98.58%
EPS Trend: 83.5%

Last SUE: -0.81
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 145.12%
Rev. Trend: 76.8%

Last SUE: 0.35
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	67.7%
Value at Risk 5%th	100%
Relative Tail Risk	-10.19%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.50
Alpha	24.52
CAGR/Max DD	0.08

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.437
Beta	1.203
Beta Downside	1.140

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	69.61%
Mean DD	42.69%
Median DD	47.14%

Description: RIVN Rivian Automotive January 03, 2026

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EVs) and related accessories, offering the R1T pickup, the R1S SUV, and a commercial delivery van developed with Amazon. The company also provides software services-including FleetOS for fleet management-and operates the Rivian Adventure Network of DC fast chargers, selling directly to both consumer and commercial customers.

Key recent metrics: as of Q1 2024 Rivian reported a production run of ~13,000 vehicles, a cash balance of roughly $9 billion, and a year-over-year revenue increase of 42% driven by expanding commercial van orders. Sector-wide, global EV sales are projected to grow at a CAGR of ~27% through 2030, while battery-pack costs have fallen ~15% YoY, both of which underpin Rivian’s growth outlook.

For a deeper dive into Rivian’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, check the detailed breakdown on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5

Net Income (-3.58b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 350.1m TTM)

FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 32.67pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 100.3% (prev 173.7%; Δ -73.42pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.08b > Net Income -3.58b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)

Current Ratio 2.71 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.22b) change vs 12m ago 20.32% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 2.07% (prev -43.42%; Δ 45.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 39.59% (prev 31.91%; Δ 7.68pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio -11.23 (EBITDA TTM -2.30b / Interest Expense TTM 291.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -7.28

(A) 0.38 = (Total Current Assets 9.28b - Total Current Liabilities 3.42b) / Total Assets 15.22b

(B) -1.72 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -26.14b / Total Assets 15.22b

warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.72 — check mapping/units

(D) -2.58 = Book Value of Equity -26.13b / Total Liabilities 10.13b

Total Rating: -7.28 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 37.71

1. Piotroski 2.50pt

2. FCF Yield -2.26%

3. FCF Margin -8.38%

4. Debt/Equity 0.98

5. Debt/Ebitda -0.23

6. ROIC - WACC (= -40.23)%

7. RoE -59.85%

8. Rev. Trend 76.84%

9. EPS Trend 83.49%

What is the price of RIVN shares?

As of January 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 19.53 with a total of 34,674,796 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.31%, over one month by +10.90%, over three months by +44.67% and over the past year by +24.28%.

Is RIVN a buy, sell or hold?

Rivian Automotive has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.48. Therefor, it is recommend to hold RIVN.

Strong Buy: 7
Buy: 3
Hold: 16
Sell: 3
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RIVN price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	16.7	-14.6%
Analysts Target Price	16.7	-14.6%
ValueRay Target Price	21.7	10.9%

RIVN Fundamental Data Overview January 04, 2026

Market Cap USD = 23.79b (23.79b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 4.078
P/B = 4.7696
Beta = 1.796
Revenue TTM = 5.83b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 917.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 526.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 21.67b USD (23.79b + Debt 4.97b - CCE 7.09b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -11.23 (Ebit TTM -3.27b / Interest Expense TTM 291.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.26% (FCF TTM -489.0m / Enterprise Value 21.67b)
FCF Margin = -8.38% (FCF TTM -489.0m / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Net Margin = -61.32% (Net Income TTM -3.58b / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Gross Margin = 2.07% ((Revenue TTM 5.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.71b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -3.15% (prev -15.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.42 (Enterprise Value 21.67b / Total Assets 15.22b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.39% (Interest Expense 69.0m / Debt 4.97b)
Taxrate = 0.09% (-1.00m / -1.17b)
NOPAT = -3.27b (EBIT -3.27b * (1 - 0.09%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.71 (Total Current Assets 9.28b / Total Current Liabilities 3.42b)
Debt / Equity = 0.98 (Debt 4.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.23 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 526.0m / EBITDA -2.30b)
Debt / FCF = -1.08 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 526.0m / FCF TTM -489.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.98b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -23.51% (Net Income -3.58b / Total Assets 15.22b)
RoE = -59.85% (Net Income TTM -3.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.98b)
RoCE = -31.37% (EBIT -3.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.98b + L.T.Debt 4.44b))
RoIC = -31.34% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -3.27b / Invested Capital 10.42b)
WACC = 8.89% (E(23.79b)/V(28.76b) * Re(10.45%) + D(4.97b)/V(28.76b) * Rd(1.39%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 10.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 5.33%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -489.0m)
EPS Correlation: 83.49 | EPS CAGR: 98.58% | SUE: -0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.84 | Revenue CAGR: 145.1% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.75 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.94 | Chg30d=-0.012 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.8% | Growth Revenue=+27.7%

Additional Sources for RIVN Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle