(RIVN) Rivian Automotive - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US76954A1034
Stock: Pickup Truck, SUV, Commercial Van, Chargers, Software
Total Rating 23
Risk 41
Buy Signal -0.75
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 71.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.2% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.42 |
| Alpha | -6.96 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.183 |
| Beta Downside | 1.040 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 69.61% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.09 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: RIVN Rivian Automotive January 03, 2026
Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EVs) and related accessories, offering the R1T pickup, the R1S SUV, and a commercial delivery van developed with Amazon. The company also provides software services-including FleetOS for fleet management-and operates the Rivian Adventure Network of DC fast chargers, selling directly to both consumer and commercial customers.
Key recent metrics: as of Q1 2024 Rivian reported a production run of ~13,000 vehicles, a cash balance of roughly $9 billion, and a year-over-year revenue increase of 42% driven by expanding commercial van orders. Sector-wide, global EV sales are projected to grow at a CAGR of ~27% through 2030, while battery-pack costs have fallen ~15% YoY, both of which underpin Rivian’s growth outlook.
For a deeper dive into Rivian’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, check the detailed breakdown on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income: -3.65b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.79 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 90.94% < 20% (prev 167.6%; Δ -76.70% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.05 > 3% & CFO -779.0m > Net Income -3.65b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 2.33 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.23b) vs 12m ago 16.54% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 1.32% > 18% (prev -0.24%; Δ 155.9% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.59% > 50% (prev 32.25%; Δ 3.34% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -9.52 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -2.69b / Interest Expense TTM 274.0m) |
Altman Z'' -7.66
| A: 0.33 (Total Current Assets 8.59b - Total Current Liabilities 3.69b) / Total Assets 14.86b |
| B: -1.81 (Retained Earnings -26.95b / Total Assets 14.86b) |
| C: -0.17 (EBIT TTM -2.61b / Avg Total Assets 15.14b) |
| D: -2.62 (Book Value of Equity -26.94b / Total Liabilities 10.27b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -7.66 = D |
Beneish M -2.83
| DSRI: 1.16 (Receivables 555.0m/443.0m, Revenue 5.39b/4.97b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 1.35 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.03) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 5.39b / 4.97b) |
| TATA: -0.19 (NI -3.65b - CFO -779.0m) / TA 14.86b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.83 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of RIVN shares?
As of February 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 15.59 with a total of 28,694,533 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.36%, over one month by -3.53%, over three months by +5.91% and over the past year by +11.92%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.36%, over one month by -3.53%, over three months by +5.91% and over the past year by +11.92%.
Is RIVN a buy, sell or hold?
Rivian Automotive has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.48.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold RIVN.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 3
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RIVN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 18 | 15.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 18 | 15.5% |
RIVN Fundamental Data Overview February 18, 2026
P/S = 4.0844
P/B = 4.8188
Revenue TTM = 5.39b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.61b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.69b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.48b USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 4.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.41b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 20.91b USD (22.00b + Debt 4.99b - CCE 6.08b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -9.52 (Ebit TTM -2.61b / Interest Expense TTM 274.0m)
EV/FCF = -8.40x (Enterprise Value 20.91b / FCF TTM -2.49b)
FCF Yield = -11.90% (FCF TTM -2.49b / Enterprise Value 20.91b)
FCF Margin = -46.20% (FCF TTM -2.49b / Revenue TTM 5.39b)
Net Margin = -67.68% (Net Income TTM -3.65b / Revenue TTM 5.39b)
Gross Margin = 1.32% ((Revenue TTM 5.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.32b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.33% (prev -3.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.41 (Enterprise Value 20.91b / Total Assets 14.86b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.28% (Interest Expense 64.0m / Debt 4.99b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.06b (EBIT -2.61b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.33 (Total Current Assets 8.59b / Total Current Liabilities 3.69b)
Debt / Equity = 1.09 (Debt 4.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.52 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.41b / EBITDA -2.69b)
Debt / FCF = -0.57 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.41b / FCF TTM -2.49b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.49b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -24.09% (Net Income -3.65b / Total Assets 14.86b)
RoE = -66.44% (Net Income TTM -3.65b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.49b)
RoCE = -26.28% (EBIT -2.61b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.49b + L.T.Debt 4.44b))
RoIC = -20.78% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.06b / Invested Capital 9.92b)
WACC = 8.56% (E(22.00b)/V(26.99b) * Re(10.27%) + D(4.99b)/V(26.99b) * Rd(1.28%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 13.15%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.49b)
EPS Correlation: 87.07 | EPS CAGR: 32.23% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 72.76 | Revenue CAGR: 100.3% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.73 | Chg30d=+0.023 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.99 | Chg30d=-0.062 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+2.5% | Growth Revenue=+28.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-2.44 | Chg30d=+0.137 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+18.6% | Growth Revenue=+65.9%
P/B = 4.8188
Revenue TTM = 5.39b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.61b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.69b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.48b USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 4.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.41b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 20.91b USD (22.00b + Debt 4.99b - CCE 6.08b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -9.52 (Ebit TTM -2.61b / Interest Expense TTM 274.0m)
EV/FCF = -8.40x (Enterprise Value 20.91b / FCF TTM -2.49b)
FCF Yield = -11.90% (FCF TTM -2.49b / Enterprise Value 20.91b)
FCF Margin = -46.20% (FCF TTM -2.49b / Revenue TTM 5.39b)
Net Margin = -67.68% (Net Income TTM -3.65b / Revenue TTM 5.39b)
Gross Margin = 1.32% ((Revenue TTM 5.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.32b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.33% (prev -3.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.41 (Enterprise Value 20.91b / Total Assets 14.86b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.28% (Interest Expense 64.0m / Debt 4.99b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.06b (EBIT -2.61b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.33 (Total Current Assets 8.59b / Total Current Liabilities 3.69b)
Debt / Equity = 1.09 (Debt 4.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.52 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.41b / EBITDA -2.69b)
Debt / FCF = -0.57 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.41b / FCF TTM -2.49b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.49b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -24.09% (Net Income -3.65b / Total Assets 14.86b)
RoE = -66.44% (Net Income TTM -3.65b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.49b)
RoCE = -26.28% (EBIT -2.61b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.49b + L.T.Debt 4.44b))
RoIC = -20.78% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.06b / Invested Capital 9.92b)
WACC = 8.56% (E(22.00b)/V(26.99b) * Re(10.27%) + D(4.99b)/V(26.99b) * Rd(1.28%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 13.15%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.49b)
EPS Correlation: 87.07 | EPS CAGR: 32.23% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 72.76 | Revenue CAGR: 100.3% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.73 | Chg30d=+0.023 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.99 | Chg30d=-0.062 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+2.5% | Growth Revenue=+28.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-2.44 | Chg30d=+0.137 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+18.6% | Growth Revenue=+65.9%