RIVN Stock Analysis: Rivian Automotive | NASDAQ
Auto Manufacturers | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 23.166m USD | 12M Return: 27.4% | US76954A1034 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 346M
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 87.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 4.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ: RIVN) is a U.S.-based electric vehicle manufacturer founded in 2009 and headquartered in Irvine, California. The company operates through two segments: Automotive, which sells the R1T pickup truck and R1S sport utility vehicle to consumers, and Software and Services, which bundles vehicle software development, autonomy features, maintenance, financing, insurance, accessories, and subscriptions. Beyond consumer products, Rivian operates the Rivian Adventure Network of DC fast chargers, sells its FleetOS fleet management platform, and produces the Rivian Commercial Van in collaboration with Amazon.com, Inc. Classified within the GICS Consumer Discretionary sector under Automobile Manufacturers, Rivian represents a newer entrant in the EV market that pairs vehicle hardware with proprietary software, charging infrastructure, and fleet services to diversify revenue beyond one-time vehicle sales.
- R1T and R1S delivery growth drives automotive segment revenue
- Gross margin expansion remains critical path to profitability
- Cash burn and capital needs pressure balance sheet amid EV demand softness
| Net Income: -3.23b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.23 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -15.22 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 67.96% < 20% (prev 139.3%; Δ -71.37% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.12 > 3% & CFO -1.84b > Net Income -3.23b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 2.10 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.29b) vs 12m ago 11.43% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 7.51% > 18% (prev -4.31%; Δ 11.82% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 38.28% > 50% (prev 33.03%; Δ 5.25% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -11.12 > 6 (EBIT TTM -2.96b / Interest Expense TTM 266.0m) |
| A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 7.62b - Total Current Liabilities 3.62b) / Total Assets 15.1b |
| B: -1.86 (Retained Earnings -28.2b / Total Assets 15.1b) |
| C: -0.19 (EBIT TTM -2.96b / Avg Total Assets 15.4b) |
| D: 0.51 (Book Value of Equity 5.13b / Total Liabilities 10.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -5.10 = D |
| DSRI: 1.28 (Receivables 370.0m/254.0m, Revenue 5.88b/5.15b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 2.30 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.14 (Revenue 5.88b / 5.15b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI -3.23b - CFO -1.84b) / TA 15.1b) |
| Beneish M = -1.94 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
As of August 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 15.36 with a total of 16,779,226 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.00%, over one month by -12.23%, over three months by +5.79% and over the past year by +27.36%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.80 (which is 10.2% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Rivian Automotive has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.48. Therefore, it is recommended to hold RIVN.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 3
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 19.2 | 25.2% |
P/S = 3.9377
P/B = 4.537
Revenue TTM = 5.88b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.96b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.14b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 117.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.26b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 909.0m
Net Debt = 952.0m USD (calculated: Debt 6.26b - CCE 5.31b)
Enterprise Value = 24.1b USD (23.2b + Debt 6.26b - CCE 5.31b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -11.12 (Ebit TTM -2.96b / Interest Expense TTM 266.0m)
EV/FCF = -6.91x (Enterprise Value 24.1b / FCF TTM -3.49b)
FCF Yield = -14.47% (FCF TTM -3.49b / Enterprise Value 24.1b)
FCF Margin = -59.31% (FCF TTM -3.49b / Revenue TTM 5.88b)
Net Margin = -54.95% (Net Income TTM -3.23b / Revenue TTM 5.88b)
Gross Margin = 7.51% ((Revenue TTM 5.88b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.44b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.80% (prev 8.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.59 (Enterprise Value 24.1b / Total Assets 15.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.25% (Interest Expense 266.0m / Debt 6.26b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.34b (EBIT -2.96b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.10 (Total Current Assets 7.62b / Total Current Liabilities 3.62b)
Debt / Equity = 1.22 (Debt 6.26b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.13b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.45 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 952.0m / EBITDA -2.14b)
Debt / FCF = -0.27 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 952.0m / FCF TTM -3.49b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -21.04% (Net Income -3.23b / Total Assets 15.1b)
RoE = -67.49% (Net Income TTM -3.23b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.79b)
RoCE = -32.03% (EBIT -2.96b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.79b + L.T.Debt 4.44b))
RoIC = -20.60% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.34b / Invested Capital 11.3b)
WACC = 10.44% (E(23.2b)/V(29.4b) * Re(12.35%) + D(6.26b)/V(29.4b) * Rd(4.25%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.65 | Cagr: 12.98%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -3.49b)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.01 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 87.05 | Revenue CAGR: 12.68% | SUE: 0.68 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.73 | Chg30d=+5.87% | Revisions=+57% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.44 | Chg30d=+11.44% | Revisions=+44% | GrowthEPS=+20.4% | GrowthRev=+38.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-2.18 | Chg30d=+9.13% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+10.9% | GrowthRev=+59.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +74% (up=15, down=1)