(RIVN) Rivian Automotive - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US76954A1034
Electric Pickup, Electric SUV, Commercial Van, Charging Network
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 71.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 107% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.24% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.60 |
| Alpha | 25.92 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.516 |
| Beta | 1.304 |
| Beta Downside | 1.456 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 73.81% |
| Mean DD | 52.47% |
| Median DD | 56.56% |
Description: RIVN Rivian Automotive October 30, 2025
Rivian Automotive Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EVs) and related accessories, offering the R1T pickup and R1S SUV for consumers, as well as a commercial delivery van platform built with Amazon. The company also provides software services-including FleetOS for fleet management-and operates the Rivian Adventure Network of DC fast chargers, delivering a vertically integrated EV ecosystem sold directly to end-users.
Key recent data points: (1) Rivian’s Q2 2024 production reached 13,200 vehicles, a 22 % YoY increase, driven largely by ramp-up of the R1T line; (2) cash burn narrowed to $1.1 billion for the trailing twelve months, reflecting cost-control measures and higher gross margins on commercial van deliveries; (3) the broader EV market is expanding at an estimated 27 % CAGR through 2028, with battery-cell price declines of roughly 12 % YoY supporting price competitiveness.
For a deeper, data-driven view of Rivian’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the ValueRay platform a useful next step.
RIVN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 20,093m |
| Sub-Industry | Automobile Manufacturers |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-11-10 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 27.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.48 of 5 |
RIVN Dividends
Currently no dividends paidRIVN Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -22.37% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.30 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.43 |
| Current Volume | 60069.2k |
| Average Volume | 44821.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-3.58b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 350.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 32.67pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 100.3% (prev 173.7%; Δ -73.42pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.08b > Net Income -3.58b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.71 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.22b) change vs 12m ago 20.32% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 2.07% (prev -43.42%; Δ 45.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 39.59% (prev 31.91%; Δ 7.68pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -11.23 (EBITDA TTM -2.30b / Interest Expense TTM 291.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -7.28
| (A) 0.38 = (Total Current Assets 9.28b - Total Current Liabilities 3.42b) / Total Assets 15.22b |
| (B) -1.72 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -26.14b / Total Assets 15.22b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.72 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.22 = EBIT TTM -3.27b / Avg Total Assets 14.74b |
| (D) -2.58 = Book Value of Equity -26.13b / Total Liabilities 10.13b |
| Total Rating: -7.28 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 36.27
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.72% = -1.36 |
| 3. FCF Margin -8.38% = -3.14 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.98 = 2.04 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.23 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -40.30)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -59.85% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 67.63% = 5.07 |
| 9. EPS Trend 73.14% = 3.66 |
What is the price of RIVN shares?
As of November 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 15.11 with a total of 60,069,182 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.79%, over one month by +15.17%, over three months by +25.29% and over the past year by +46.56%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.79%, over one month by +15.17%, over three months by +25.29% and over the past year by +46.56%.
Is Rivian Automotive a good stock to buy?
No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) is currently (November 2025)
a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 36.27 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of RIVN is around 12.37 USD . This means that RIVN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -18.13%.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of RIVN is around 12.37 USD . This means that RIVN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -18.13%.
Is RIVN a buy, sell or hold?
Rivian Automotive has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.48.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold RIVN.
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 3
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RIVN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 14.4 | -5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 14.4 | -5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 13.9 | -8.3% |
RIVN Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
Market Cap USD = 20.09b (20.09b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 3.4435
P/B = 4.2396
Beta = 1.819
Revenue TTM = 5.83b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 917.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 526.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.97b USD (20.09b + Debt 4.97b - CCE 7.09b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -11.23 (Ebit TTM -3.27b / Interest Expense TTM 291.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.72% (FCF TTM -489.0m / Enterprise Value 17.97b)
FCF Margin = -8.38% (FCF TTM -489.0m / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Net Margin = -61.32% (Net Income TTM -3.58b / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Gross Margin = 2.07% ((Revenue TTM 5.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.71b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -3.15% (prev -15.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.18 (Enterprise Value 17.97b / Total Assets 15.22b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.39% (Interest Expense 69.0m / Debt 4.97b)
Taxrate = 0.09% (-1.00m / -1.17b)
NOPAT = -3.27b (EBIT -3.27b * (1 - 0.09%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.71 (Total Current Assets 9.28b / Total Current Liabilities 3.42b)
Debt / Equity = 0.98 (Debt 4.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.23 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 526.0m / EBITDA -2.30b)
Debt / FCF = -1.08 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 526.0m / FCF TTM -489.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.98b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -23.51% (Net Income -3.58b / Total Assets 15.22b)
RoE = -59.85% (Net Income TTM -3.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.98b)
RoCE = -31.37% (EBIT -3.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.98b + L.T.Debt 4.44b))
RoIC = -31.34% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -3.27b / Invested Capital 10.42b)
WACC = 8.96% (E(20.09b)/V(25.06b) * Re(10.83%) + D(4.97b)/V(25.06b) * Rd(1.39%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 10.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 12.56%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -489.0m)
EPS Correlation: 73.14 | EPS CAGR: 112.7% | SUE: -0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 67.63 | Revenue CAGR: 36.44% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
P/S = 3.4435
P/B = 4.2396
Beta = 1.819
Revenue TTM = 5.83b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 917.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 526.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.97b USD (20.09b + Debt 4.97b - CCE 7.09b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -11.23 (Ebit TTM -3.27b / Interest Expense TTM 291.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.72% (FCF TTM -489.0m / Enterprise Value 17.97b)
FCF Margin = -8.38% (FCF TTM -489.0m / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Net Margin = -61.32% (Net Income TTM -3.58b / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Gross Margin = 2.07% ((Revenue TTM 5.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.71b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -3.15% (prev -15.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.18 (Enterprise Value 17.97b / Total Assets 15.22b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.39% (Interest Expense 69.0m / Debt 4.97b)
Taxrate = 0.09% (-1.00m / -1.17b)
NOPAT = -3.27b (EBIT -3.27b * (1 - 0.09%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.71 (Total Current Assets 9.28b / Total Current Liabilities 3.42b)
Debt / Equity = 0.98 (Debt 4.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.23 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 526.0m / EBITDA -2.30b)
Debt / FCF = -1.08 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 526.0m / FCF TTM -489.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.98b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -23.51% (Net Income -3.58b / Total Assets 15.22b)
RoE = -59.85% (Net Income TTM -3.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.98b)
RoCE = -31.37% (EBIT -3.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.98b + L.T.Debt 4.44b))
RoIC = -31.34% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -3.27b / Invested Capital 10.42b)
WACC = 8.96% (E(20.09b)/V(25.06b) * Re(10.83%) + D(4.97b)/V(25.06b) * Rd(1.39%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 10.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 12.56%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -489.0m)
EPS Correlation: 73.14 | EPS CAGR: 112.7% | SUE: -0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 67.63 | Revenue CAGR: 36.44% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for RIVN Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle