(RIVN) Rivian Automotive - Overview
Stock: Pickup Truck, SUV, Commercial Van, Chargers, Software
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 68.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.8% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.34 |
| Alpha | -8.89 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.167 |
| Beta Downside | 1.074 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 69.61% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.17 |
Description: RIVN Rivian Automotive January 03, 2026
Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EVs) and related accessories, offering the R1T pickup, the R1S SUV, and a commercial delivery van developed with Amazon. The company also provides software services-including FleetOS for fleet management-and operates the Rivian Adventure Network of DC fast chargers, selling directly to both consumer and commercial customers.
Key recent metrics: as of Q1 2024 Rivian reported a production run of ~13,000 vehicles, a cash balance of roughly $9 billion, and a year-over-year revenue increase of 42% driven by expanding commercial van orders. Sector-wide, global EV sales are projected to grow at a CAGR of ~27% through 2030, while battery-pack costs have fallen ~15% YoY, both of which underpin Rivian’s growth outlook.
For a deeper dive into Rivian’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, check the detailed breakdown on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income: -3.58b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 32.67 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 100.3% < 20% (prev 173.7%; Δ -73.42% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.08b > Net Income -3.58b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 2.71 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.22b) vs 12m ago 20.32% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 2.07% > 18% (prev -0.43%; Δ 250.8% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 39.59% > 50% (prev 31.91%; Δ 7.68% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -11.23 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -2.30b / Interest Expense TTM 291.0m) |
Altman Z'' -7.28
| A: 0.38 (Total Current Assets 9.28b - Total Current Liabilities 3.42b) / Total Assets 15.22b |
| B: -1.72 (Retained Earnings -26.14b / Total Assets 15.22b) |
| C: -0.22 (EBIT TTM -3.27b / Avg Total Assets 14.74b) |
| D: -2.58 (Book Value of Equity -26.13b / Total Liabilities 10.13b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -7.28 = D |
Beneish M -2.48
| DSRI: 0.73 (Receivables 203.0m/217.0m, Revenue 5.83b/4.55b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 2.48 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.28 (Revenue 5.83b / 4.55b) |
| TATA: -0.31 (NI -3.58b - CFO 1.08b) / TA 15.22b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.48 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
What is the price of RIVN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.49%, over one month by -29.91%, over three months by -10.96% and over the past year by +7.52%.
Is RIVN a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 3
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RIVN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 17 | 23.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 17 | 23.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 13.1 | -4.8% |
RIVN Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/B = 3.4871
Revenue TTM = 5.83b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 917.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 526.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.54b USD (17.67b + Debt 4.97b - CCE 7.09b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -11.23 (Ebit TTM -3.27b / Interest Expense TTM 291.0m)
EV/FCF = -31.79x (Enterprise Value 15.54b / FCF TTM -489.0m)
FCF Yield = -3.15% (FCF TTM -489.0m / Enterprise Value 15.54b)
FCF Margin = -8.38% (FCF TTM -489.0m / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Net Margin = -61.32% (Net Income TTM -3.58b / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Gross Margin = 2.07% ((Revenue TTM 5.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.71b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -3.15% (prev -15.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 15.54b / Total Assets 15.22b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.39% (Interest Expense 69.0m / Debt 4.97b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.58b (EBIT -3.27b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.71 (Total Current Assets 9.28b / Total Current Liabilities 3.42b)
Debt / Equity = 0.98 (Debt 4.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.23 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 526.0m / EBITDA -2.30b)
Debt / FCF = -1.08 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 526.0m / FCF TTM -489.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.98b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -24.27% (Net Income -3.58b / Total Assets 15.22b)
RoE = -59.85% (Net Income TTM -3.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.98b)
RoCE = -31.37% (EBIT -3.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.98b + L.T.Debt 4.44b))
RoIC = -24.78% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.58b / Invested Capital 10.42b)
WACC = 8.22% (E(17.67b)/V(22.63b) * Re(10.22%) + D(4.97b)/V(22.63b) * Rd(1.39%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 12.56%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -489.0m)
EPS Correlation: 84.16 | EPS CAGR: 48.79% | SUE: 2.46 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 76.84 | Revenue CAGR: 145.1% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.75 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.93 | Chg30d=+0.009 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.3% | Growth Revenue=+27.1%