(RIVN) Rivian Automotive - Overview

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US76954A1034

Stock: Pickup Truck, SUV, Commercial Van, Chargers, Software

Total Rating 24
Risk 27
Buy Signal -1.64

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of RIVN over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-12": -4.9208, "2021-03": -5.7426, "2021-06": -0.67, "2021-09": -7.68, "2021-12": -2.43, "2022-03": -1.43, "2022-06": -1.62, "2022-09": -1.57, "2022-12": -1.73, "2023-03": -1.25, "2023-06": -1.08, "2023-09": -1.19, "2023-12": -1.36, "2024-03": -1.24, "2024-06": -1.13, "2024-09": -0.98, "2024-12": -0.7, "2025-03": -0.48, "2025-06": -0.97, "2025-09": -0.65, "2025-12": 0,

Revenue

Revenue of RIVN over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-12: 0, 2021-03: 0, 2021-06: 0, 2021-09: 1, 2021-12: 54, 2022-03: 95, 2022-06: 364, 2022-09: 536, 2022-12: 663, 2023-03: 661, 2023-06: 1121, 2023-09: 1337, 2023-12: 1315, 2024-03: 1204, 2024-06: 1158, 2024-09: 874, 2024-12: 1734, 2025-03: 1240, 2025-06: 1303, 2025-09: 1558, 2025-12: null,
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility 68.5%
Relative Tail Risk -10.8%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.34
Alpha -8.89
Character TTM
Beta 1.167
Beta Downside 1.074
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 69.61%
CAGR/Max DD -0.17

Description: RIVN Rivian Automotive January 03, 2026

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EVs) and related accessories, offering the R1T pickup, the R1S SUV, and a commercial delivery van developed with Amazon. The company also provides software services-including FleetOS for fleet management-and operates the Rivian Adventure Network of DC fast chargers, selling directly to both consumer and commercial customers.

Key recent metrics: as of Q1 2024 Rivian reported a production run of ~13,000 vehicles, a cash balance of roughly $9 billion, and a year-over-year revenue increase of 42% driven by expanding commercial van orders. Sector-wide, global EV sales are projected to grow at a CAGR of ~27% through 2030, while battery-pack costs have fallen ~15% YoY, both of which underpin Rivian’s growth outlook.

For a deeper dive into Rivian’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, check the detailed breakdown on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5

Net Income: -3.58b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 32.67 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 100.3% < 20% (prev 173.7%; Δ -73.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.08b > Net Income -3.58b
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 2.71 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.22b) vs 12m ago 20.32% < -2%
Gross Margin: 2.07% > 18% (prev -0.43%; Δ 250.8% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 39.59% > 50% (prev 31.91%; Δ 7.68% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -11.23 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -2.30b / Interest Expense TTM 291.0m)

Altman Z'' -7.28

A: 0.38 (Total Current Assets 9.28b - Total Current Liabilities 3.42b) / Total Assets 15.22b
B: -1.72 (Retained Earnings -26.14b / Total Assets 15.22b)
C: -0.22 (EBIT TTM -3.27b / Avg Total Assets 14.74b)
D: -2.58 (Book Value of Equity -26.13b / Total Liabilities 10.13b)
Altman-Z'' Score: -7.28 = D

Beneish M -2.48

DSRI: 0.73 (Receivables 203.0m/217.0m, Revenue 5.83b/4.55b)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 2.48 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 1.28 (Revenue 5.83b / 4.55b)
TATA: -0.31 (NI -3.58b - CFO 1.08b) / TA 15.22b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.48 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB

What is the price of RIVN shares?

As of February 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.73 with a total of 29,422,464 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.49%, over one month by -29.91%, over three months by -10.96% and over the past year by +7.52%.

Is RIVN a buy, sell or hold?

Rivian Automotive has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.48. Therefor, it is recommend to hold RIVN.
  • StrongBuy: 7
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 16
  • Sell: 3
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RIVN price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 17 23.5%
Analysts Target Price 17 23.5%
ValueRay Target Price 13.1 -4.8%

RIVN Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026

P/S = 3.0275
P/B = 3.4871
Revenue TTM = 5.83b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 917.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 526.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.54b USD (17.67b + Debt 4.97b - CCE 7.09b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -11.23 (Ebit TTM -3.27b / Interest Expense TTM 291.0m)
EV/FCF = -31.79x (Enterprise Value 15.54b / FCF TTM -489.0m)
FCF Yield = -3.15% (FCF TTM -489.0m / Enterprise Value 15.54b)
FCF Margin = -8.38% (FCF TTM -489.0m / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Net Margin = -61.32% (Net Income TTM -3.58b / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Gross Margin = 2.07% ((Revenue TTM 5.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.71b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -3.15% (prev -15.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 15.54b / Total Assets 15.22b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.39% (Interest Expense 69.0m / Debt 4.97b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.58b (EBIT -3.27b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.71 (Total Current Assets 9.28b / Total Current Liabilities 3.42b)
Debt / Equity = 0.98 (Debt 4.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.23 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 526.0m / EBITDA -2.30b)
Debt / FCF = -1.08 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 526.0m / FCF TTM -489.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.98b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -24.27% (Net Income -3.58b / Total Assets 15.22b)
RoE = -59.85% (Net Income TTM -3.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.98b)
RoCE = -31.37% (EBIT -3.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.98b + L.T.Debt 4.44b))
RoIC = -24.78% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.58b / Invested Capital 10.42b)
WACC = 8.22% (E(17.67b)/V(22.63b) * Re(10.22%) + D(4.97b)/V(22.63b) * Rd(1.39%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 12.56%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -489.0m)
EPS Correlation: 84.16 | EPS CAGR: 48.79% | SUE: 2.46 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 76.84 | Revenue CAGR: 145.1% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.75 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.93 | Chg30d=+0.009 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.3% | Growth Revenue=+27.1%

Additional Sources for RIVN Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle