(RIVN) Rivian Automotive - Overview
Stock: Electric Trucks, Electric SUVs, Electric Vans, Chargers, Fleet Software
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 68.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.69 |
| Alpha | 3.29 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.787 |
| Beta Downside | 3.550 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 69.61% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.02 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Risks
Description: RIVN Rivian Automotive March 05, 2026
Rivian Automotive, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EVs). The company operates in two segments: Automotive, and Software and Services.
The Automotive segment includes consumer vehicles like the R1T pickup truck and R1S SUV. The company also produces commercial vans, notably for Amazon.com, Inc. The EV sector is experiencing rapid growth, driven by environmental regulations and consumer demand.
The Software and Services segment encompasses vehicle software, charging infrastructure (Rivian Adventure Network), and fleet management solutions (FleetOS). This segment also provides repair, maintenance, financing, and insurance. Software integration and recurring revenue streams are increasingly important in the automotive industry.
To understand the full scope of Rivians market position, further research on platforms like ValueRay is recommended.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income: -3.65b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.79 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 90.94% < 20% (prev 167.6%; Δ -76.70% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.05 > 3% & CFO -779.0m > Net Income -3.65b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 2.33 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.23b) vs 12m ago 16.54% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 2.67% > 18% (prev -0.24%; Δ 291.5% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.59% > 50% (prev 32.25%; Δ 3.34% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -12.21 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -2.56b / Interest Expense TTM 274.0m) |
Altman Z'' -7.99
| A: 0.33 (Total Current Assets 8.59b - Total Current Liabilities 3.69b) / Total Assets 14.86b |
| B: -1.81 (Retained Earnings -26.95b / Total Assets 14.86b) |
| C: -0.22 (EBIT TTM -3.35b / Avg Total Assets 15.14b) |
| D: -2.62 (Book Value of Equity -26.94b / Total Liabilities 10.27b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -7.99 = D |
Beneish M -2.83
| DSRI: 1.16 (Receivables 555.0m/443.0m, Revenue 5.39b/4.97b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 1.35 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.03) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 5.39b / 4.97b) |
| TATA: -0.19 (NI -3.65b - CFO -779.0m) / TA 14.86b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.83 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of RIVN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.69%, over one month by +10.63%, over three months by -15.38% and over the past year by +33.01%.
Is RIVN a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 3
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RIVN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 18 | 18.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 18 | 18.5% |
RIVN Fundamental Data Overview March 05, 2026
P/B = 4.0796
Revenue TTM = 5.39b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.35b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.56b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.66b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.65b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.07b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 19.31b USD (18.74b + Debt 6.65b - CCE 6.08b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -12.21 (Ebit TTM -3.35b / Interest Expense TTM 274.0m)
EV/FCF = -7.76x (Enterprise Value 19.31b / FCF TTM -2.49b)
FCF Yield = -12.89% (FCF TTM -2.49b / Enterprise Value 19.31b)
FCF Margin = -46.20% (FCF TTM -2.49b / Revenue TTM 5.39b)
Net Margin = -67.68% (Net Income TTM -3.65b / Revenue TTM 5.39b)
Gross Margin = 2.67% ((Revenue TTM 5.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.24b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.33% (prev 1.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.30 (Enterprise Value 19.31b / Total Assets 14.86b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.96% (Interest Expense 64.0m / Debt 6.65b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.64b (EBIT -3.35b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.33 (Total Current Assets 8.59b / Total Current Liabilities 3.69b)
Debt / Equity = 1.46 (Debt 6.65b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.20 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 3.07b / EBITDA -2.56b)
Debt / FCF = -1.23 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.07b / FCF TTM -2.49b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -24.09% (Net Income -3.65b / Total Assets 14.86b)
RoE = -66.53% (Net Income TTM -3.65b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.48b)
RoCE = -33.73% (EBIT -3.35b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.48b + L.T.Debt 4.44b))
RoIC = -26.65% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.64b / Invested Capital 9.92b)
WACC = 7.47% (E(18.74b)/V(25.39b) * Re(9.85%) + D(6.65b)/V(25.39b) * Rd(0.96%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 13.15%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -2.49b)
EPS Correlation: 88.78 | EPS CAGR: 31.03% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 72.76 | Revenue CAGR: 100.3% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.74 | Chg7d=-0.008 | Chg30d=-0.008 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-3.00 | Chg7d=-0.064 | Chg30d=-0.067 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+2.4% | Growth Revenue=+29.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-2.43 | Chg7d=+0.141 | Chg30d=+0.141 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+18.9% | Growth Revenue=+65.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (4 Up / 4 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)