(RKLB) Rocket Lab USA - Ratings and Ratios
Launch Services, Spacecraft Components, Small Rockets, Constellation Management
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 89.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 132% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.28% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.65 |
| Alpha | 140.72 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 3.03 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.622 |
| Beta | 2.297 |
| Beta Downside | 2.235 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 55.49% |
| Mean DD | 23.78% |
| Median DD | 23.04% |
Description: RKLB Rocket Lab USA December 17, 2025
Rocket Lab Corporation (NASDAQ:RKLB) is a U.S.-based space launch and spacecraft systems provider that operates in North America, Japan, and globally. It offers end-to-end services-including launch operations, spacecraft design, component manufacturing, on-orbit management, and constellation oversight-while producing its own small-launch vehicle, Electron, and developing the larger-capacity Neutron rocket for constellation deployment, interplanetary missions, and potential human spaceflight.
Key recent metrics: in FY 2023 the company generated roughly $224 million in revenue and completed 30+ dedicated launches, reflecting a ~15% year-over-year increase in launch cadence. The small-sat launch market is expanding at an estimated 12-15% CAGR, driven by the proliferation of LEO broadband constellations and government demand for rapid, responsive access to space. Rocket Lab’s Neutron vehicle, slated for a first flight in 2025, is positioned to capture a share of the emerging medium-class launch segment, competing directly with SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rideshare slots and emerging European providers.
For a deeper dive into Rocket Lab’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-rich overview.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (-197.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 33.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.12pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 162.7% (prev 117.2%; Δ 45.48pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO -103.4m > Net Income -197.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 3.18 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (528.7m) change vs 12m ago 6.23% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.70% (prev 26.06%; Δ 5.63pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 32.87% (prev 31.55%; Δ 1.31pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -31.21 (EBITDA TTM -190.4m / Interest Expense TTM 7.33m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.73
| (A) 0.41 = (Total Current Assets 1.32b - Total Current Liabilities 414.5m) / Total Assets 2.22b |
| (B) -0.43 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -959.0m / Total Assets 2.22b |
| (C) -0.14 = EBIT TTM -228.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.69b |
| (D) -1.02 = Book Value of Equity -961.0m / Total Liabilities 940.4m |
| Total Rating: -0.73 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 31.78
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.79% |
| 3. FCF Margin -41.76% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.40 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.53 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -20.57)% |
| 7. RoE -28.40% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 94.61% |
| 9. EPS Trend -44.76% |
What is the price of RKLB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.69%, over one month by +61.67%, over three months by +47.56% and over the past year by +203.70%.
Is RKLB a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RKLB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 65.7 | -6.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 65.7 | -6.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 83.3 | 18.1% |
RKLB Fundamental Data Overview December 17, 2025
P/S = 53.3737
P/B = 23.1054
Beta = 2.209
Revenue TTM = 554.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -228.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -190.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 398.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 17.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 516.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -291.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 29.14b USD (29.60b + Debt 516.6m - CCE 976.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -31.21 (Ebit TTM -228.6m / Interest Expense TTM 7.33m)
FCF Yield = -0.79% (FCF TTM -231.6m / Enterprise Value 29.14b)
FCF Margin = -41.76% (FCF TTM -231.6m / Revenue TTM 554.5m)
Net Margin = -35.64% (Net Income TTM -197.6m / Revenue TTM 554.5m)
Gross Margin = 31.70% ((Revenue TTM 554.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 378.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.96% (prev 32.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 13.12 (Enterprise Value 29.14b / Total Assets 2.22b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.11% (Interest Expense 590.0k / Debt 516.6m)
Taxrate = 69.24% (-41.1m / -59.3m)
NOPAT = -70.3m (EBIT -228.6m * (1 - 69.24%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.18 (Total Current Assets 1.32b / Total Current Liabilities 414.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 516.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.53 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -291.3m / EBITDA -190.4m)
Debt / FCF = 1.26 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -291.3m / FCF TTM -231.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 695.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -8.90% (Net Income -197.6m / Total Assets 2.22b)
RoE = -28.40% (Net Income TTM -197.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 695.8m)
RoCE = -20.89% (EBIT -228.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 695.8m + L.T.Debt 398.3m))
RoIC = -6.33% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -70.3m / Invested Capital 1.11b)
WACC = 14.23% (E(29.60b)/V(30.11b) * Re(14.48%) + D(516.6m)/V(30.11b) * Rd(0.11%) * (1-Tc(0.69)))
Discount Rate = 14.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.20%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -231.6m)
EPS Correlation: -44.76 | EPS CAGR: -8.06% | SUE: 3.63 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 94.61 | Revenue CAGR: 58.64% | SUE: 0.97 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.09 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.24 | Chg30d=-0.056 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+36.2% | Growth Revenue=+46.7%
Additional Sources for RKLB Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle