ROCK Stock Analysis: Gibraltar Industries | NASDAQ

Building Products & Equipment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.204m USD | 12M Return: -39.5% | US3746891072 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Ventilation, Greenhouses, Expansion Joints, Roofing
Total Rating 35
Safety 63
Buy Signal -0.52
Building Products & Equipment
Industry Rotation: +3.4
Market Cap: 1.20B
Avg Turnover: 14.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility54.7%
VaR 5th Pctl8.75%
VaR vs Median1.35%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.73
Rel. Str. IBD14.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group26.6
Character TTM
Beta1.831
Beta Downside1.976
Hurst Exponent0.428
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD61.21%
CAGR/Max DD-0.24
CAGR/Mean DD-0.53
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ROCK over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.91, "2021-12": 0.54, "2022-03": 0.6, "2022-06": 0.96, "2022-09": 1.12, "2022-12": 0.72, "2023-03": 0.7, "2023-06": 1.18, "2023-09": 1.38, "2023-12": 0.85, "2024-03": 0.8, "2024-06": 1.18, "2024-09": 1.27, "2024-12": 1.01, "2025-03": 0.95, "2025-06": 1.13, "2025-09": 1.14, "2025-12": 0.76, "2026-03": 0.45, "2026-06": 1.11,
EPS CAGR: -4.36%
EPS Trend: -50.8%
Last SUE: 1.18
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of ROCK over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 369.353, 2021-12: 334.449, 2022-03: 317.865, 2022-06: 366.949, 2022-09: 391.291, 2022-12: 313.861, 2023-03: 293.267, 2023-06: 364.914, 2023-09: 390.744, 2023-12: 328.811, 2024-03: 241.01, 2024-06: 273.624, 2024-09: 361.196, 2024-12: 302.057, 2025-03: 290.015, 2025-06: 309.517, 2025-09: 310.939, 2025-12: 225.03, 2026-03: 356.287, 2026-06: 509.547,
Rev. CAGR: -2.63%
Rev. Trend: -35.6%
Last SUE: 0.98
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +3.9% 9
Feb -6.3% 22
Mar -5.4% 45
Apr -5.5% 36
May +2.1% 22
Jun +0.2% 16
Jul +2.8% 30
Aug -0.2% 7
Sep -1.3% 26
Oct -3.0% 27
Nov +4.7% 45
Dec -1.0% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ROCK Gibraltar Industries

Gibraltar Industries (NASDAQ: ROCK) is a U.S.-based manufacturer operating through three segments: Residential (ventilation products, mail and parcel solutions, roof edgings, gutters, and retractable awnings), Agtech (controlled environment agriculture solutions, custom greenhouses, and structural canopies), and Infrastructure (expansion joints, structural bearings, seals, and bridge cable protection systems). The company sells primarily to home improvement retailers, wholesalers, distributors, and contractors, as well as institutional and commercial growers. It is headquartered in Buffalo, New York, was founded in 1972, and has traded on NASDAQ since its 1993 IPO.

The company is classified within the GICS Industrials sector, specifically the Building Products sub-industry, and operates a diversified business model that spreads exposure across residential construction, specialty agriculture infrastructure, and transportation/civil infrastructure end markets rather than concentrating on a single product line.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Residential sales decline as housing starts fall on high mortgage rates
  • Agtech segment expands with cannabis legalization and controlled environment agriculture demand
  • Infrastructure backlog grows on federal bridge and highway spending bills
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: -8.85m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.41 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 15.94% < 20% (prev 36.21%; Δ -20.27% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 71.0m > Net Income -8.85m
Net Debt (1.51b) to EBITDA (167.2m): 9.01 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.46 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (29.8m) vs 12m ago 0.01% < -2%
Gross Margin: 25.01% > 18% (prev 26.70%; Δ -1.68% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 65.67% > 50% (prev 85.16%; Δ -19.49% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.43 > 6 (EBIT TTM 117.7m / Interest Expense TTM 34.3m)
Altman Z'' 2.29
A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 712.4m - Total Current Liabilities 489.0m) / Total Assets 2.79b
B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 772.2m / Total Assets 2.79b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 117.7m / Avg Total Assets 2.13b)
D: 0.47 (Book Value of Equity 890.8m / Total Liabilities 1.90b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.29 = BBB
Beneish M -2.28
DSRI: 1.26 (Receivables 260.0m/185.6m, Revenue 1.40b/1.26b)
GMI: 1.07 (GM 26.70% / 25.01%)
AQI: 1.67 (AQ_t 0.62 / AQ_t-1 0.37)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 1.40b / 1.26b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI -8.85m - CFO 71.0m) / TA 2.79b)
Beneish M = -2.28 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of ROCK shares?

As of October 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 40.15 with a total of 253,004 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.01%, over one month by -9.25%, over three months by -8.58% and over the past year by -39.51%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 36.00 (which is 10.3% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).

Is ROCK a buy, sell or hold?

Gibraltar Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ROCK.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ROCK price?
Analysts Target Price 75.3 87.4%
Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.20b (1.20b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.0743
P/E Forward = 8.7566
P/S = 0.8321
P/B = 1.4186
P/EG = 0.584
Revenue TTM = 1.40b USD
EBIT TTM = 117.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 167.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 151.2m
Net Debt = 1.51b USD (calculated: Debt 1.52b - CCE 15.1m)
Enterprise Value = 2.71b USD (1.20b + Debt 1.52b - CCE 15.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.43 (Ebit TTM 117.7m / Interest Expense TTM 34.3m)
EV/FCF = 63.48x (Enterprise Value 2.71b / FCF TTM 42.7m)
FCF Yield = 1.58% (FCF TTM 42.7m / Enterprise Value 2.71b)
FCF Margin = 3.04% (FCF TTM 42.7m / Revenue TTM 1.40b)
Net Margin = -0.63% (Net Income TTM -8.85m / Revenue TTM 1.40b)
Gross Margin = 25.01% ((Revenue TTM 1.40b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.92% (prev 22.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 2.71b / Total Assets 2.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.26% (Interest Expense 34.3m / Debt 1.52b)
Taxrate = 23.64% (19.3m / 81.6m)
NOPAT = 89.9m (EBIT 117.7m * (1 - 23.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 712.4m / Total Current Liabilities 489.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.71 (Debt 1.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 890.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.01 (Net Debt 1.51b / EBITDA 167.2m)
Debt / FCF = 35.27 (Net Debt 1.51b / FCF TTM 42.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 918.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.41% (Net Income -8.85m / Total Assets 2.79b)
RoE = -0.96% (Net Income TTM -8.85m / Total Stockholder Equity 918.4m)
RoCE = 5.51% (EBIT 117.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 918.4m + L.T.Debt 1.22b))
RoIC = 3.92% (NOPAT 89.9m / Invested Capital 2.29b)
WACC = 6.45% (E(1.20b)/V(2.72b) * Re(12.42%) + D(1.52b)/V(2.72b) * Rd(2.26%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 12.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -90.49 | Cagr: -1.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈66.8m ; Y1≈58.6m ; Y5≈47.3m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 759.7m - Net Debt 1.51b = -745.6m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: -50.79 | EPS CAGR: -4.36% | SUE: 1.18 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -35.59 | Revenue CAGR: -2.63% | SUE: 0.98 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.25 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.85 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-1.7% | GrowthRev=+57.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.81 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+24.8% | GrowthRev=+6.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +29% (up=3, down=1)