(RRGB) Red Robin Gourmet Burgers - Overview
Stock: Burgers, Pizza, Wings, Milkshakes, Drinks
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.8% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.10 |
| Alpha | -46.85 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.559 |
| Beta Downside | 0.959 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 83.62% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.33 |
Description: RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers January 19, 2026
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (NASDAQ:RRGB) operates and franchises a network of casual-dining restaurants across the United States and one Canadian province, serving a menu centered on burgers, pizza, and a full bar. Founded in 1969 and headquartered in Englewood, Colorado, the brand combines company-owned and franchised locations under a single corporate umbrella.
Key performance indicators to watch include same-store sales growth (which has hovered around 2-3% YoY in recent quarters), the proportion of franchise-generated revenue (approximately 45% of total sales), and average check size, which has risen modestly as the chain upsizes its premium menu items. Economic drivers such as consumer discretionary spending, inflation-adjusted labor costs, and commodity price volatility directly affect margins, while the broader casual-dining sector is being reshaped by increasing demand for off-premise delivery and a gradual rebound in dine-in traffic post-COVID.
If you want a data-driven snapshot of RRGB’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform provides a concise dashboard that’s worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: -52.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -8.62% < 20% (prev -7.88%; Δ -0.74% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 31.2m > Net Income -52.9m |
| Net Debt (505.0m) to EBITDA (25.3m): 19.97 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.43 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (17.9m) vs 12m ago 13.71% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.63% > 18% (prev 0.26%; Δ 2637 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 197.2% > 50% (prev 190.1%; Δ 7.16% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 25.3m / Interest Expense TTM 26.3m) |
Altman Z'' -2.70
| A: -0.18 (Total Current Assets 79.9m - Total Current Liabilities 185.6m) / Total Assets 574.2m |
| B: -0.29 (Retained Earnings -166.1m / Total Assets 574.2m) |
| C: -0.04 (EBIT TTM -26.6m / Avg Total Assets 621.8m) |
| D: -0.25 (Book Value of Equity -166.2m / Total Liabilities 670.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -2.70 = D |
Beneish M -3.16
| DSRI: 1.16 (Receivables 12.6m/11.3m, Revenue 1.23b/1.27b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 26.63% / 26.25%) |
| AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 1.23b / 1.27b) |
| TATA: -0.15 (NI -52.9m - CFO 31.2m) / TA 574.2m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of RRGB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.27%, over one month by -10.36%, over three months by -22.66% and over the past year by -36.08%.
Is RRGB a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RRGB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.3 | 202.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.3 | 202.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3 | -19.6% |
RRGB Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/B = 41.699
P/EG = 2.41
Revenue TTM = 1.23b USD
EBIT TTM = -26.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 25.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 172.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 50.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 526.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 505.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 572.0m USD (67.0m + Debt 526.6m - CCE 21.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.01 (Ebit TTM -26.6m / Interest Expense TTM 26.3m)
EV/FCF = -1000.0x (Enterprise Value 572.0m / FCF TTM -482.0k)
FCF Yield = -0.08% (FCF TTM -482.0k / Enterprise Value 572.0m)
FCF Margin = -0.04% (FCF TTM -482.0k / Revenue TTM 1.23b)
Net Margin = -4.31% (Net Income TTM -52.9m / Revenue TTM 1.23b)
Gross Margin = 26.63% ((Revenue TTM 1.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 899.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.87% (prev 11.75%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.00 (Enterprise Value 572.0m / Total Assets 574.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 5.98m / Debt 526.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -21.0m (EBIT -26.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.43 (Total Current Assets 79.9m / Total Current Liabilities 185.6m)
Debt / Equity = -5.48 (negative equity) (Debt 526.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -96.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 19.97 (Net Debt 505.0m / EBITDA 25.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1048 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 505.0m / FCF TTM -482.0k)
Total Stockholder Equity = -84.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -8.51% (Net Income -52.9m / Total Assets 574.2m)
RoE = 62.33% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -52.9m / Total Stockholder Equity -84.9m)
RoCE = -30.39% (EBIT -26.6m / Capital Employed (Equity -84.9m + L.T.Debt 172.4m))
RoIC = -24.53% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -21.0m / Invested Capital 85.6m)
WACC = 1.70% (E(67.0m)/V(593.6m) * Re(7.97%) + D(526.6m)/V(593.6m) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.46%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -482.0k)
EPS Correlation: 24.92 | EPS CAGR: 2.39% | SUE: 1.54 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -15.61 | Revenue CAGR: -1.76% | SUE: 2.54 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.50 | Chg30d=-0.162 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+36.1% | Growth Revenue=-3.4%