RRR Stock Analysis: Red Rock Resorts | NASDAQ

Resorts & Casinos | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 6.433m USD | 12M Return: 23.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Casinos, Gaming, Entertainment, Resorts
Total Rating 53
Safety 58
Buy Signal 0.53
Resorts & Casinos
Industry Rotation: -17.4
Market Cap: 6.43B
Avg Turnover: 44.3M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility34.9%
VaR 5th Pctl5.97%
VaR vs Median3.91%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.65
Rel. Str. IBD63
Rel. Str. Peer Group75
Character TTM
Beta0.542
Beta Downside0.700
Hurst Exponent0.327
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD38.60%
CAGR/Max DD0.34
CAGR/Mean DD1.10
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RRR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.12, "2021-09": 0.93, "2021-12": 1.27, "2022-03": 0.91, "2022-06": 0.26, "2022-09": 0.83, "2022-12": 1.49, "2023-03": 0.43, "2023-06": 0.65, "2023-09": 0.6, "2023-12": 0.95, "2024-03": 0.68, "2024-06": 0.59, "2024-09": 0.49, "2024-12": 0.76, "2025-03": 0.43, "2025-06": 0.55, "2025-09": 0.41, "2025-12": 0.5, "2026-03": 0.73,
EPS CAGR: -16.52%
EPS Trend: -93.5%
Last SUE: 1.40
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of RRR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 428.157, 2021-09: 414.769, 2021-12: 422.354, 2022-03: 401.636, 2022-06: 422.241, 2022-09: 414.439, 2022-12: 425.47, 2023-03: 433.636, 2023-06: 416.13, 2023-09: 411.606, 2023-12: 462.714, 2024-03: 488.897, 2024-06: 486.403, 2024-09: 468.016, 2024-12: 495.695, 2025-03: 497.861, 2025-06: 526.273, 2025-09: 475.572, 2025-12: 511.777, 2026-03: 507.319,
Rev. CAGR: 7.70%
Rev. Trend: 96.6%
Last SUE: 0.08
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Supp Ema20

Seasonality 10.2 years of data

Jan +0.0% 8
Feb +2.3% 9
Mar -9.9% 41
Apr +0.8% 22
May +3.3% 11
Jun -0.7% 0
Jul +0.8% 32
Aug +0.0% 8
Sep -2.4% 50
Oct -3.4% 12
Nov +10.9% 46
Dec +2.2% 9

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RRR Red Rock Resorts

Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR) is a Las Vegas-based gaming and entertainment company that operates through its interest in Station Casinos LLC. The company develops and manages casino properties concentrated in the Las Vegas regional (locals) market rather than the tourist-heavy Las Vegas Strip, distinguishing it from many peers in the broader U.S. casino sector. Its portfolio includes Durango Casino & Resort and a number of smaller gaming facilities targeted primarily at local residents.

The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada. It was originally known as Station Casinos Corp. and adopted its current name, Red Rock Resorts, Inc., in January 2016.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Durango ramp accelerates locals gaming revenue growth
  • Las Vegas visitor recovery lifts regional gaming demand
  • Nevada gaming regulation and tax changes pressure margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 186.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 8.20 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -3.30% < 20% (prev -1.22%; Δ -2.08% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 623.1m > Net Income 186.2m
Net Debt (3.49b) to EBITDA (804.6m): 4.33 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.81 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (101.6m) vs 12m ago -1.71% < -2%
Gross Margin: 57.12% > 18% (prev 61.55%; Δ -4.43% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 48.64% > 50% (prev 47.67%; Δ 0.97% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.99 > 6 (EBIT TTM 599.7m / Interest Expense TTM 200.3m)
Altman Z'' 1.01
A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 278.3m - Total Current Liabilities 345.0m) / Total Assets 4.22b
B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 142.1m / Total Assets 4.22b)
C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 599.7m / Avg Total Assets 4.15b)
D: 0.04 (Book Value of Equity 142.7m / Total Liabilities 3.98b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.01 = BB
Beneish M -3.07
DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 68.3m/68.9m, Revenue 2.02b/1.95b)
GMI: 1.08 (GM 61.55% / 57.12%)
AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.24)
SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 2.02b / 1.95b)
TATA: -0.10 (NI 186.2m - CFO 623.1m) / TA 4.22b)
Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of RRR shares?

As of July 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 65.51 with a total of 654,140 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.46%, over one month by +7.17%, over three months by +16.26% and over the past year by +23.17%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 62.80 (which is 4.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is RRR a buy, sell or hold?

Red Rock Resorts has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RRR.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RRR price?
Analysts Target Price 68.1 4%
Red Rock Resorts (RRR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 6.43b (6.43b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.4806
P/E Forward = 18.0832
P/S = 3.1832
P/B = 25.9394
P/EG = 1.6913
Revenue TTM = 2.02b USD
EBIT TTM = 599.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 804.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.53b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 29.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.62b USD (corrected: LT Debt 3.53b + ST Debt 29.9m) + Leases 58.8m
Net Debt = 3.49b USD (calculated: Debt 3.62b - CCE 134.0m)
Enterprise Value = 9.92b USD (6.43b + Debt 3.62b - CCE 134.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.99 (Ebit TTM 599.7m / Interest Expense TTM 200.3m)
EV/FCF = 16.58x (Enterprise Value 9.92b / FCF TTM 598.3m)
FCF Yield = 6.03% (FCF TTM 598.3m / Enterprise Value 9.92b)
FCF Margin = 29.60% (FCF TTM 598.3m / Revenue TTM 2.02b)
Net Margin = 9.21% (Net Income TTM 186.2m / Revenue TTM 2.02b)
Gross Margin = 57.12% ((Revenue TTM 2.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 866.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.79% (prev 51.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.35 (Enterprise Value 9.92b / Total Assets 4.22b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.53% (Interest Expense 200.3m / Debt 3.62b)
Taxrate = 11.76% (47.0m / 399.4m)
NOPAT = 529.2m (EBIT 599.7m * (1 - 11.76%))
Current Ratio = 0.81 (Total Current Assets 278.3m / Total Current Liabilities 345.0m)
Debt / Equity = 25.36 (Debt 3.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 142.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.33 (Net Debt 3.49b / EBITDA 804.6m)
Debt / FCF = 5.83 (Net Debt 3.49b / FCF TTM 598.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 193.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.48% (Net Income 186.2m / Total Assets 4.22b)
RoE = 96.22% (Net Income TTM 186.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 193.5m)
RoCE = 16.10% (EBIT 599.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 193.5m + L.T.Debt 3.53b))
RoIC = 13.90% (NOPAT 529.2m / Invested Capital 3.81b)
WACC = 6.81% (E(6.43b)/V(10.1b) * Re(7.89%) + D(3.62b)/V(10.1b) * Rd(5.53%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 7.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -82.71 | Cagr: -0.65%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈456.5m ; Y1≈523.3m ; Y5≈770.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 138.6 (EV 11.6b - Net Debt 3.49b = Equity 8.11b / Shares 58.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -93.51 | EPS CAGR: -16.52% | SUE: 1.40 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.61 | Revenue CAGR: 7.70% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.46 | Chg30d=+19.31% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=8
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=+20.16% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.89 | Chg30d=+14.06% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=-39.5% | GrowthRev=+0.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.43 | Chg30d=+11.64% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+28.8% | GrowthRev=+6.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -46% (up=2, down=8)