(RUN) Sunrun - Overview

Sector: Technology | Industry: Solar | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 3.166m USD | Total Return: 105.5% in 12m

Solar Systems, Battery Storage, Energy Services
Total Rating 46
Safety 64
Buy Signal -0.38
Solar
Industry Rotation: +23.2
Market Cap: 3.17B
Avg Turnover: 105M USD
ATR: 7.49%
Peers RS (IBD): 30.9
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility100%
Rel. Tail Risk-15.0%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.18
Alpha72.41
Character TTM
Beta2.239
Beta Downside0.692
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD74.79%
CAGR/Max DD-0.14
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RUN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -0.11, "2021-06": -0.2, "2021-09": 0.11, "2021-12": -0.19, "2022-03": -0.42, "2022-06": -0.06, "2022-09": 0.96, "2022-12": 0.29, "2023-03": -1.12, "2023-06": 0.25, "2023-09": -4.92, "2023-12": -1.6, "2024-03": -0.4, "2024-06": 0.55, "2024-09": -0.37, "2024-12": 1.41, "2025-03": 0.2, "2025-06": 1.07, "2025-09": 0.06, "2025-12": 0.38, "2026-03": 0,
EPS CAGR: 0.33%
EPS Trend: 23.7%
Last SUE: 0.12
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of RUN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 334.794, 2021-06: 401.166, 2021-09: 438.765, 2021-12: 435.229, 2022-03: 495.784, 2022-06: 584.58, 2022-09: 631.906, 2022-12: 609.152, 2023-03: 589.849, 2023-06: 590.193, 2023-09: 563.181, 2023-12: 516.59, 2024-03: 458.188, 2024-06: 523.866, 2024-09: 537.173, 2024-12: 518.492, 2025-03: 504.271, 2025-06: 569.336, 2025-09: 724.557, 2025-12: 1158.833, 2026-03: null,
Rev. CAGR: 25.41%
Rev. Trend: 35.3%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings

volatile

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: RUN Sunrun

Sunrun Inc. (RUN) is a U.S.-based company focused on residential solar energy. It designs, installs, sells, owns, and maintains solar systems for homeowners.

The company offers solar panels, racking, and battery storage. It also sells solar leads and provides services to commercial developers for multi-family and new home projects. Sunrun operates in the renewable energy sector, which is characterized by increasing adoption of distributed generation.

Sunrun utilizes a direct-to-consumer marketing strategy across various channels including online, retail, and field marketing. The company also operates distributed electricity power plants, a common model in the residential solar industry where individual systems contribute to the grid. For a deeper dive into Sunruns financials and market position, consider exploring ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Residential solar installation volume growth
  • Interest rate hikes impact loan affordability
  • Government solar incentives and tax credits
  • Utility net metering policy changes
  • Battery storage adoption expands customer value
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 450.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 12.89 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 28.86% < 20% (prev 19.05%; Δ 9.81% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.02 > 3% & CFO -421.4m > Net Income 450.6m
Net Debt (13.65b) to EBITDA (597.3m): 22.85 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.66 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (271.2m) vs 12m ago 20.61% < -2%
Gross Margin: 28.60% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ 2.84k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 13.42% > 50% (prev 10.24%; Δ 3.18% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.17 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 597.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.00b)
Altman Z'' -0.54
A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.16b - Total Current Liabilities 1.30b) / Total Assets 24.18b
B: -0.16 (Retained Earnings -3.83b / Total Assets 24.18b)
C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -170.4m / Avg Total Assets 22.04b)
D: -0.20 (Book Value of Equity -3.77b / Total Liabilities 19.19b)
Altman-Z'' Score: -0.54 = B
Beneish M -2.76
DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 262.6m/170.7m, Revenue 2.96b/2.04b)
GMI: 0.56 (GM 28.60% / 16.12%)
AQI: 1.42 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.15)
SGI: 1.45 (Revenue 2.96b / 2.04b)
TATA: 0.04 (NI 450.6m - CFO -421.4m) / TA 24.18b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of RUN shares? As of April 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.50 with a total of 7,313,800 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.20%, over one month by +14.50%, over three months by -26.31% and over the past year by +105.48%.
Is RUN a buy, sell or hold? Sunrun has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefor, it is recommend to hold RUN.
  • StrongBuy: 8
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the RUN price?
Wallstreet Target Price 21.7 60.6%
Analysts Target Price 21.7 60.6%
RUN Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 7.8947
P/E Forward = 14.2857
P/S = 1.0706
P/B = 1.0592
P/EG = 3.0027
Revenue TTM = 2.96b USD
EBIT TTM = -170.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 597.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 14.42b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 319.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.89b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 13.65b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.81b USD (3.17b + Debt 14.89b - CCE 1.24b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.17 (Ebit TTM -170.4m / Interest Expense TTM 1.00b)
EV/FCF = -15.35x (Enterprise Value 16.81b / FCF TTM -1.10b)
FCF Yield = -6.52% (FCF TTM -1.10b / Enterprise Value 16.81b)
FCF Margin = -37.05% (FCF TTM -1.10b / Revenue TTM 2.96b)
Net Margin = 15.24% (Net Income TTM 450.6m / Revenue TTM 2.96b)
Gross Margin = 28.60% ((Revenue TTM 2.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.30% (prev 33.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.70 (Enterprise Value 16.81b / Total Assets 24.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.72% (Interest Expense 256.4m / Debt 14.89b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -134.6m (EBIT -170.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.66 (Total Current Assets 2.16b / Total Current Liabilities 1.30b)
Debt / Equity = 4.75 (Debt 14.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.13b)
Debt / EBITDA = 22.85 (Net Debt 13.65b / EBITDA 597.3m)
 Debt / FCF = -12.46 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 13.65b / FCF TTM -1.10b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 2.91b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.04% (Net Income 450.6m / Total Assets 24.18b)
RoE = 15.46% (Net Income TTM 450.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.91b)
RoCE = -0.98% (EBIT -170.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.91b + L.T.Debt 14.42b))
 RoIC = -0.79% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -134.6m / Invested Capital 17.14b)
 WACC = 3.55% (E(3.17b)/V(18.05b) * Re(13.86%) + D(14.89b)/V(18.05b) * Rd(1.72%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 13.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 10.30%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.10b)
 EPS Correlation: 23.68 | EPS CAGR: 0.33% | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 35.34 | Revenue CAGR: 25.41% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.12 | Chg7d=+0.006 | Chg30d=+0.174 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.39 | Chg7d=+0.017 | Chg30d=-0.085 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-76.9% | Growth Revenue=-5.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.45 | Chg7d=+0.038 | Chg30d=-1.224 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+13.7% | Growth Revenue=+11.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (3 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 1.2% (Discount Rate 13.9% - Earnings Yield 12.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +22.1% (Analyst 23.3% - Implied 1.2%)
External Resources
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