(RUN) Sunrun - Ratings and Ratios
Solar, Battery, Storage
RUN EPS (Earnings per Share)
RUN Revenue
Description: RUN Sunrun
Sunrun Inc (NASDAQ:RUN) is a US-based company operating in the Electrical Components & Equipment sub-industry. The companys common stock is traded on the NASDAQ exchange. To evaluate the companys performance, key financial metrics such as Revenue Growth, Customer Acquisition Cost, and Megawatt Hours (MWh) deployed are crucial. Notably, the solar energy industry is driven by factors like government incentives, electricity prices, and technological advancements.
The quarterly Tax Provision data point is significant as it may indicate the companys tax obligations and potential cash outflows. A thorough analysis of the companys tax strategy and its impact on cash flows is necessary. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) such as the Effective Tax Rate and Tax Loss Carryforwards can provide insights into the companys tax position. Moreover, understanding the drivers of the tax provision, such as changes in tax laws or the companys profitability, is essential.
To assess the companys financial health, metrics like Market Capitalization ($2250.59M USD), and Return on Equity (ROE) of -68.51% are critical. The negative ROE indicates significant losses, which may be attributed to the companys investment in growth initiatives. Analyzing the companys cash flow generation, debt levels, and operating expenses will provide a comprehensive understanding of its financial situation. Key economic drivers for Sunrun include the demand for solar energy, competition in the solar market, and government policies supporting renewable energy.
Evaluating Sunruns stock performance involves analyzing its volatility, measured by Beta (2.599), and Average True Range (ATR) of 0.58, indicating a relatively high level of price movement. Understanding the companys growth prospects, competitive positioning, and industry trends is vital to determining its investment potential. By examining the companys financials, managements strategy, and industry dynamics, a more informed investment decision can be made.
RUN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 4,419m |
| Sub-Industry | Electrical Components & Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 2015-08-05 |
RUN Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -2.63% |
| Fundamental | 19.5% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 16.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.75 of 5 |
RUN Dividends
Currently no dividends paidRUN Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 92.9% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 27.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -90.7% |
| CAGR 5y | -0.88% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.01 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.02 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.32 |
| Alpha | -3.40 |
| Beta | 2.417 |
| Volatility | 91.27% |
| Current Volume | 6338.8k |
| Average Volume 20d | 9987.4k |
| Stop Loss | 18.1 (-7.2%) |
| Signal | 0.31 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-2.57b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 127.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.50pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 24.29% (prev 32.42%; Δ -8.13pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO -811.4m > Net Income -2.57b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 1.41 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (261.2m) change vs 12m ago 2.37% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 18.52% (prev 10.03%; Δ 8.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 9.98% (prev 9.62%; Δ 0.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -3.94 (EBITDA TTM -2.96b / Interest Expense TTM 928.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.84
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 1.79b - Total Current Liabilities 1.27b) / Total Assets 21.23b |
| (B) -0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.95b / Total Assets 21.23b |
| (C) -0.17 = EBIT TTM -3.66b / Avg Total Assets 21.34b |
| (D) -0.23 = Book Value of Equity -3.90b / Total Liabilities 16.78b |
| Total Rating: -1.84 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 19.54
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt = -3.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -13.11% = -5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.83 = -2.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -4.44 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -21.03)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -76.77% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -62.66% = -4.70 |
| 9. EPS Trend 44.58% = 2.23 |
What is the price of RUN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.78%, over one month by +22.63%, over three months by +95.88% and over the past year by +33.91%.
Is Sunrun a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of RUN is around 20.75 USD . This means that RUN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 6.36%.
Is RUN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the RUN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 17.2 | -11.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 17.2 | -11.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 22.3 | 14.4% |
Last update: 2025-10-04 03:59
RUN Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Forward = 8.9928
P/S = 2.0751
P/B = 1.5097
P/EG = 0.45
Beta = 2.417
Revenue TTM = 2.13b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.66b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.96b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 381.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.14b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 13.12b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.54b USD (4.42b + Debt 14.14b - CCE 1.01b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.94 (Ebit TTM -3.66b / Interest Expense TTM 928.4m)
FCF Yield = -13.11% (FCF TTM -2.30b / Enterprise Value 17.54b)
FCF Margin = -108.0% (FCF TTM -2.30b / Revenue TTM 2.13b)
Net Margin = -120.6% (Net Income TTM -2.57b / Revenue TTM 2.13b)
Gross Margin = 18.52% ((Revenue TTM 2.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.74b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.58% (prev 19.60%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 17.54b / Total Assets 21.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.78% (Interest Expense 252.0m / Debt 14.14b)
Taxrate = 25.39% (-94.9m / -373.9m)
NOPAT = -2.73b (EBIT -3.66b * (1 - 25.39%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.41 (Total Current Assets 1.79b / Total Current Liabilities 1.27b)
Debt / Equity = 4.83 (Debt 14.14b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.44 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 13.12b / EBITDA -2.96b)
Debt / FCF = -5.71 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 13.12b / FCF TTM -2.30b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.34b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -12.09% (Net Income -2.57b / Total Assets 21.23b)
RoE = -76.77% (Net Income TTM -2.57b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.34b)
RoCE = -21.40% (EBIT -3.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.34b + L.T.Debt 13.75b))
RoIC = -16.47% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.73b / Invested Capital 16.58b)
WACC = 4.57% (E(4.42b)/V(18.55b) * Re(14.92%) + D(14.14b)/V(18.55b) * Rd(1.78%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 14.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 9.34%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.30b)
EPS Correlation: 44.58 | EPS CAGR: -2.04% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -62.66 | Revenue CAGR: -3.72% | SUE: 0.49 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for RUN Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle