(RWAY) Runway Growth Finance - Ratings and Ratios
Senior Loans, Growth Stage
RWAY EPS (Earnings per Share)
RWAY Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 34.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.42% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.22 |
| Alpha | -3.31 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.383 |
| Beta | 0.586 |
| Beta Downside | 0.803 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 26.13% |
| Mean DD | 8.34% |
| Median DD | 8.22% |
Description: RWAY Runway Growth Finance October 25, 2025
Runway Growth Finance Corp. (NASDAQ:RWAY) is a Business Development Company (BDC) that focuses on providing senior-secured loans to late-stage and growth-phase companies. Its investment mandate targets loan sizes between $10 million and $75 million, positioning the firm as a direct lender rather than an equity investor.
The BDC concentrates on sectors where technology-driven growth is accelerating, including electronic equipment and instruments, systems and application software, hardware, storage, and specialized consumer services. It also targets healthcare-related areas such as biotechnology, healthcare technology, and medical equipment, as well as business services like data processing, outsourced services, and human-resources platforms.
According to the most recent Form 10-K (Q2 2024), RWAY reported a net asset value (NAV) of roughly $450 million and a distribution yield of 6.2%, with an average leverage ratio of 1.2 ×. The portfolio’s weighted-average loan maturity is about 4.5 years, and the credit quality is anchored by senior-secured structures that typically command a 300–400 basis-point spread over LIBOR/SOFR. Key macro drivers include the current high-interest-rate environment, which widens spreads for senior-secured debt, and sector-specific tailwinds such as sustained AI-related capital expenditures and robust biotech financing pipelines.
For a deeper, data-driven look at RWAY’s loan composition, credit metrics, and scenario analysis, you may find the ValueRay research portal useful as a next step in your due-diligence process.
RWAY Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 356m |
| Sub-Industry | Asset Management & Custody Banks |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-10-21 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -7.81% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.67 of 5 |
RWAY Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 15.04% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 18.87% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 19.19% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 86.4% |
RWAY Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 6.82% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.26 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.82 |
| Current Volume | 1777.9k |
| Average Volume | 252k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (54.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 7.33m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.46pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.72% (prev 0.44%; Δ 6.28pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 (>3.0%) and CFO 179.6m > Net Income 54.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-7.92m) to EBITDA (47.1m) ratio: -0.17 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.06 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (36.2m) change vs 12m ago -5.64% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 76.38% (prev 66.42%; Δ 9.96pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 11.98% (prev 9.64%; Δ 2.34pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.96 (EBITDA TTM 47.1m / Interest Expense TTM 39.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 79.57
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 16.0m - Total Current Liabilities 7.74m) / Total Assets 963.3m |
| (B) -0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -56.3m / Total Assets 963.3m |
| (C) -0.04 = EBIT TTM -37.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.02b |
| (D) 76.14 = Book Value of Equity 36.08b / Total Liabilities 473.8m |
| Total Rating: 79.57 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.32
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 11.86% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 87.39% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.13 = 1.90 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.17 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -7.11)% = -8.89 |
| 7. RoE 10.94% = 0.91 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 5.98% = 0.45 |
| 9. EPS Trend -60.89% = -3.04 |
What is the price of RWAY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.91%, over one month by -2.70%, over three months by -9.55% and over the past year by +5.61%.
Is Runway Growth Finance a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of RWAY is around 10.01 USD . This means that RWAY is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 7.52%.
Is RWAY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RWAY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.2 | 20% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.2 | 20% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.7 | 15.3% |
RWAY Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 6.7466
P/E Forward = 6.6313
P/S = 2.523
P/B = 0.7271
P/EG = 1.1571
Beta = 0.59
Revenue TTM = 122.2m USD
EBIT TTM = -37.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 47.1m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 552.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -7.92m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 900.3m USD (355.9m + Debt 552.3m - CCE 7.92m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.96 (Ebit TTM -37.9m / Interest Expense TTM 39.5m)
FCF Yield = 11.86% (FCF TTM 106.8m / Enterprise Value 900.3m)
FCF Margin = 87.39% (FCF TTM 106.8m / Revenue TTM 122.2m)
Net Margin = 44.94% (Net Income TTM 54.9m / Revenue TTM 122.2m)
Gross Margin = 76.38% ((Revenue TTM 122.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 67.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 900.3m / Total Assets 963.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.92% (Interest Expense 10.6m / Debt 552.3m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -29.9m (EBIT -37.9m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.06 (Total Current Assets 16.0m / Total Current Liabilities 7.74m)
Debt / Equity = 1.13 (Debt 552.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 489.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.17 (Net Debt -7.92m / EBITDA 47.1m)
Debt / FCF = -0.07 (Net Debt -7.92m / FCF TTM 106.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 501.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.70% (Net Income 54.9m / Total Assets 963.3m)
RoE = 10.94% (Net Income TTM 54.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 501.6m)
RoCE = -3.97% (EBIT -37.9m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 963.3m - Current Liab 7.74m))
RoIC = -2.99% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -29.9m / Invested Capital 1.00b)
WACC = 4.13% (E(355.9m)/V(908.3m) * Re(8.17%) + D(552.3m)/V(908.3m) * Rd(1.92%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.43%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.91% ; FCFE base≈109.8m ; Y1≈72.1m ; Y5≈33.0m
Fair Price DCF = 17.55 (DCF Value 634.3m / Shares Outstanding 36.1m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -60.89 | EPS CAGR: -1.64% | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 5.98 | Revenue CAGR: 9.06% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for RWAY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle