(RXRX) Recursion Pharmaceuticals - Ratings and Ratios
Drug Discovery Platform, Clinical-Stage Candidates
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 83.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 124% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.99% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.08 |
| Alpha | -61.79 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.404 |
| Beta | 2.557 |
| Beta Downside | 2.411 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 75.73% |
| Mean DD | 46.25% |
| Median DD | 51.77% |
Description: RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals November 10, 2025
Recursion Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:RXRX) is a clinical-stage biotech that combines high-throughput biology, chemistry, automation, and AI-driven data science to “industrialize” drug discovery. Its lead pipeline includes REC-994 (Phase 2 for cerebral cavernous malformation), REC-2282 (Phase 2/3 for neurofibromatosis type 2), REC-4881 (Phase 1b/2 for familial adenomatous polyposis and Phase 2 for AXIN1/APC-mutant cancers), REC-3964 (Phase 1 for Clostridioides difficile infection), and a preclinical RBM39 program targeting HR-proficient ovarian cancer. The firm maintains research collaborations with Bayer, Roche & Genentech, Takeda, the University of Utah, and the Ohio State Innovation Foundation.
As of the most recent quarterly filing (Q2 2024), Recursion reported a cash balance of roughly **$200 million**, giving it an estimated runway of 12–15 months at current burn rates (~$15 million per quarter). The company’s R&D spend has risen 38 % YoY, reflecting accelerated enrollment in its Phase 2/3 neurofibromatosis trial. In the broader biotech sector, AI-enabled drug discovery platforms have attracted **$4 billion+** of venture capital in 2023, suggesting a macro-level tailwind for firms that can demonstrate scalable hit-to-lead conversion metrics.
For a data-driven assessment of RXRX’s valuation dynamics, you may find it useful to explore ValueRay’s detailed analyst models, which break out the probability-weighted cash flows of each clinical asset.
RXRX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,257m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-04-16 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -43.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.38 of 5 |
RXRX Dividends
Currently no dividends paidRXRX Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -25.57% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.34 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.55 |
| Current Volume | 38814.8k |
| Average Volume | 38326.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income (-715.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.61m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.32 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 13.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 1284 % (prev 563.1%; Δ 720.9pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.32 (>3.0%) and CFO -441.2m > Net Income -715.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 4.60 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (447.0m) change vs 12m ago 58.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -93.82% (prev 13.79%; Δ -107.6pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 4.10% (prev 8.93%; Δ -4.83pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -294.4 (EBITDA TTM -636.9m / Interest Expense TTM 2.43m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -12.24
| (A) 0.40 = (Total Current Assets 714.1m - Total Current Liabilities 155.1m) / Total Assets 1.40b |
| (B) -1.41 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.97b / Total Assets 1.40b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.41 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.67 = EBIT TTM -714.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.06b |
| (D) -5.48 = Book Value of Equity -1.93b / Total Liabilities 352.6m |
| Total Rating: -12.24 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 26.50
| 1. Piotroski 0.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -26.68% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.08 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.91 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -85.79)% |
| 7. RoE -72.74% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -15.24% |
| 9. EPS Trend -44.94% |
What is the price of RXRX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.09%, over one month by -42.37%, over three months by -19.29% and over the past year by -36.26%.
Is RXRX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RXRX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6.3 | 63.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6.3 | 63.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.2 | -18.2% |
RXRX Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/S = 51.6622
P/B = 2.3202
Beta = 0.924
Revenue TTM = 43.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -714.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -636.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 11.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 20.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 82.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -577.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.68b USD (2.26b + Debt 82.4m - CCE 659.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -294.4 (Ebit TTM -714.1m / Interest Expense TTM 2.43m)
FCF Yield = -26.68% (FCF TTM -448.0m / Enterprise Value 1.68b)
FCF Margin = -1029 % (FCF TTM -448.0m / Revenue TTM 43.5m)
Net Margin = -1644 % (Net Income TTM -715.5m / Revenue TTM 43.5m)
Gross Margin = -93.82% ((Revenue TTM 43.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 84.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -471.8% (prev -5.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.20 (Enterprise Value 1.68b / Total Assets 1.40b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.01% (Interest Expense 833.0k / Debt 82.4m)
Taxrate = -0.00% (negative due to tax credits) (3000 / -162.2m)
NOPAT = -714.1m (EBIT -714.1m * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 4.60 (Total Current Assets 714.1m / Total Current Liabilities 155.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 82.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.91 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -577.5m / EBITDA -636.9m)
Debt / FCF = 1.29 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -577.5m / FCF TTM -448.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 983.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -51.13% (Net Income -715.5m / Total Assets 1.40b)
RoE = -72.74% (Net Income TTM -715.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 983.7m)
RoCE = -71.72% (EBIT -714.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 983.7m + L.T.Debt 11.9m))
RoIC = -70.86% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -714.1m / Invested Capital 1.01b)
WACC = 14.93% (E(2.26b)/V(2.34b) * Re(15.44%) + D(82.4m)/V(2.34b) * Rd(1.01%) * (1-Tc(-0.00)))
Discount Rate = 15.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 38.46%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -448.0m)
EPS Correlation: -44.94 | EPS CAGR: -7.49% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -15.24 | Revenue CAGR: -29.77% | SUE: -3.17 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for RXRX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle