RYAAY Stock Analysis: Ryanair Holdings | NASDAQ
Airlines | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 33.573m USD | 12M Return: 18.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 81.1M
EPS Trend: 12.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 94.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Ryanair Holdings plc is a Dublin-headquartered (Swords, Ireland) scheduled-passenger airline operator incorporated in 1996 and listed on NASDAQ under the ticker RYAAY. It runs passenger services across Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and other international markets, primarily within Europe.
Beyond core flights, the group derives revenue from a broad set of ancillary services, including in-flight sales of beverages, food, duty-free, and merchandise, plus online-marketed car hire, travel insurance, accommodation, car parking, fast-track, airport transfers, and attractions. It also provides aircraft and passenger handling, ticketing, and maintenance and repair services to third parties, and sells gift vouchers through its website and mobile app.
Ryanair operates within the GICS Passenger Airlines sub-industry under the broader Industrials sector. Its model is characteristic of European low-cost carriers, which typically rely on high aircraft utilization, a single-aisle point-to-point network, and a meaningful contribution from non-ticket ancillary revenue to support low base fares.
- Ancillary revenue growth lifts per-passenger margins
- Jet fuel costs and hedging shape quarterly earnings
- Wizz Air competition pressures short-haul European fares
| Net Income: 2.17b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.83 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -5.32% < 20% (prev -15.36%; Δ 10.05% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 3.70b > Net Income 2.17b |
| Net Debt (-1.94b) to EBITDA (3.87b): -0.50 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.90 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (521.9m) vs 12m ago -5.76% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.20% > 18% (prev 19.00%; Δ 6.20% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 83.62% > 50% (prev 79.67%; Δ 3.95% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 65.98 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.49b / Interest Expense TTM 37.8m) |
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 7.75b - Total Current Liabilities 8.58b) / Total Assets 19.8b |
| B: 0.34 (Retained Earnings 6.78b / Total Assets 19.8b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 2.49b / Avg Total Assets 18.6b) |
| D: 1.05 (Book Value of Equity 10.1b / Total Liabilities 9.66b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.84 = A |
| DSRI: 0.54 (Receivables 44.2m/73.5m, Revenue 15.6b/13.9b) |
| GMI: 0.75 (GM 19.00% / 25.20%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 15.6b / 13.9b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 2.17b - CFO 3.70b) / TA 19.8b) |
| Beneish M = -3.55 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of July 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 66.63 with a total of 2,663,181 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.71%, over one month by +7.69%, over three months by +7.52% and over the past year by +18.61%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 64.50 (which is 3.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Ryanair Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RYAAY.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 76.7 | 15.1% |
Market Cap EUR = 29.3b (33.6b USD * 0.8742 USD.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 13.8989
P/E Forward = 14.6843
P/S = 2.1599
P/B = 2.9194
P/EG = 4.4203
Revenue TTM = 15.6b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.49b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 3.87b EUR
Long Term Debt = 147.8m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.24b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.64b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 144.9m
Net Debt = -1.94b EUR (calculated: Debt 1.64b - CCE 3.58b)
Enterprise Value = 27.4b EUR (29.3b + Debt 1.64b - CCE 3.58b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 65.98 (Ebit TTM 2.49b / Interest Expense TTM 37.8m)
EV/FCF = 15.09x (Enterprise Value 27.4b / FCF TTM 1.82b)
FCF Yield = 6.63% (FCF TTM 1.82b / Enterprise Value 27.4b)
FCF Margin = 11.65% (FCF TTM 1.82b / Revenue TTM 15.6b)
Net Margin = 13.91% (Net Income TTM 2.17b / Revenue TTM 15.6b)
Gross Margin = 25.20% ((Revenue TTM 15.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -12.48% (prev 18.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.39 (Enterprise Value 27.4b / Total Assets 19.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.31% (Interest Expense 37.8m / Debt 1.64b)
Taxrate = 10.27% (248.0m / 2.42b)
NOPAT = 2.24b (EBIT 2.49b * (1 - 10.27%))
Current Ratio = 0.90 (Total Current Assets 7.75b / Total Current Liabilities 8.58b)
Debt / Equity = 0.16 (Debt 1.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.50 (Net Debt -1.94b / EBITDA 3.87b)
Debt / FCF = -1.07 (Net Debt -1.94b / FCF TTM 1.82b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.63% (Net Income 2.17b / Total Assets 19.8b)
RoE = 24.58% (Net Income TTM 2.17b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.82b)
RoCE = 27.82% (EBIT 2.49b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.82b + L.T.Debt 147.8m))
RoIC = 19.21% (NOPAT 2.24b / Invested Capital 11.6b)
WACC = 8.00% (E(29.3b)/V(31.0b) * Re(8.33%) + D(1.64b)/V(31.0b) * Rd(2.31%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 8.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.02 | Cagr: -4.03%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈1.82b ; Y1≈1.82b ; Y5≈1.93b
[DCF] Fair Price = 61.57 (EV 30.0b - Net Debt -1.94b = Equity 32.0b / Shares 519.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 12.45 | EPS CAGR: 4.66% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.24 | Revenue CAGR: 8.58% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.29 | Chg30d=-6.85% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.86 | Chg30d=+0.34% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=4.58 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=-7.2% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=5.27 | Chg30d=-4.64% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+14.9% | GrowthRev=+7.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -46% (up=2, down=8)