RYAAY Stock Analysis: Ryanair Holdings | NASDAQ

Airlines | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 27.367m USD | 12M Return: -13.3% | US7835132033 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Airline Services, Ancillary Services, Car Hire, Travel Insurance
Total Rating 46
Safety 81
Buy Signal -0.69
Airlines
Industry Rotation: -1.2
Market Cap: 27.4B
Avg Turnover: 87.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility33.4%
VaR 5th Pctl5.66%
VaR vs Median3.01%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.31
Rel. Str. IBD14.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group27.5 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.602
Beta Downside0.283
Hurst Exponent0.413
Choppyness52.6%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.05%
CAGR/Max DD0.47
CAGR/Mean DD1.23
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RYAAY over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.46, "2021-12": -0.19, "2022-03": -0.48, "2022-06": 0.3, "2022-09": 2.11, "2022-12": 0.4, "2023-03": -0.3, "2023-06": 3.16, "2023-09": 2.84, "2023-12": 0.03, "2024-03": -1.32, "2024-06": 0.68, "2024-09": 6.99, "2024-12": 0.29, "2025-03": -0.59, "2025-06": 1.79, "2025-09": 3.71, "2025-12": 0.26, "2026-03": -0.8509, "2026-06": 1.19,
EPS CAGR: 0.88%
EPS Trend: 2.3%
Last SUE: -0.04
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of RYAAY over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1784.4, 2021-12: 1469.9, 2022-03: 1176.1, 2022-06: 2601.5, 2022-09: 4014.6, 2022-12: 2312.1, 2023-03: 1847, 2023-06: 3626.1, 2023-09: 4925.9, 2023-12: 2959.2, 2024-03: 2355.10412, 2024-06: 3626.1, 2024-09: 5065.9, 2024-12: 2959.2, 2025-03: 2297.3, 2025-06: 4337.6, 2025-09: 5479.9, 2025-12: 3214.2, 2026-03: 2553.918874, 2026-06: 4384.1,
Rev. CAGR: 7.12%
Rev. Trend: 96.4%
Last SUE: -0.22
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.2% 10
Feb +1.6% 8
Mar -0.4% 17
Apr -0.1% 7
May +4.3% 20
Jun -1.7% 17
Jul -0.6% 8
Aug -1.8% 42
Sep -4.2% 16
Oct -1.0% 0
Nov +5.4% 40
Dec +1.1% 15

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RYAAY Ryanair Holdings

Ryanair Holdings plc is an Irish-based airline group that operates scheduled passenger air services across Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and other international markets. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland.

Beyond its core flight operations, Ryanair generates revenue through a wide range of ancillary services, including in-flight sales of beverages, food, duty-free items, and merchandise. It also markets car hire, travel insurance, accommodation, car parking, fast-track, airport transfers, attractions, and gift vouchers through its website and mobile app, and provides passenger handling, ticketing, and aircraft maintenance services.

The company trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker RYAAY and is classified within the GICS Industrials sector, Passenger Airlines sub-industry. Ryanairs business model reflects the broader low-cost carrier approach common in European aviation, which emphasizes high aircraft utilization, point-to-point routes, and a heavy reliance on ancillary revenue streams to supplement base ticket income.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Ancillary revenue growth lifts per-passenger margins
  • Boeing 737 MAX delivery delays constrain fleet expansion
  • Jet fuel costs and hedging pressure operating expenses
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 1.88b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.84 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -10.56% < 20% (prev -22.73%; Δ 12.16% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 3.45b > Net Income 1.88b
Net Debt (-2.48b) to EBITDA (3.59b): -0.69 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.79 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (525.0m) vs 12m ago -1.91% < -2%
Gross Margin: 22.85% > 18% (prev 23.82%; Δ -0.97% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 86.27% > 50% (prev 81.10%; Δ 5.17% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 56.59 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.14b / Interest Expense TTM 37.8m)
Altman Z'' 2.63
A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 6.20b - Total Current Liabilities 7.85b) / Total Assets 18.2b
B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 7.15b / Total Assets 18.2b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 2.14b / Avg Total Assets 18.1b)
D: 1.09 (Book Value of Equity 9.48b / Total Liabilities 8.68b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.63 = A
Beneish M -3.01
DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 95.8m/96.9m, Revenue 15.6b/14.7b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 23.82% / 22.85%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.03)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 15.6b / 14.7b)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 1.88b - CFO 3.45b) / TA 18.2b)
Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of RYAAY shares?

As of October 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 52.54 with a total of 3,493,131 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.13%, over one month by -1.79%, over three months by -14.69% and over the past year by -13.30%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 50.70 (which is 3.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is RYAAY a buy, sell or hold?

Ryanair Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy RYAAY.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RYAAY price?
Analysts Target Price 67.5 28.5%
Ryanair Holdings (RYAAY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 15 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 27.4b (27.4b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap EUR = 24.4b (27.4b USD * 0.89180999994278 USD.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 12.7019
P/E Forward = 13.2802
P/S = 1.7553
P/B = 2.5278
P/EG = 5.1699
Revenue TTM = 15.6b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.14b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 3.59b EUR
Long Term Debt = 38.3m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 39.8m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 325.5m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 143.6m
Net Debt = -2.48b EUR (calculated: Debt 325.5m - CCE 2.80b)
Enterprise Value = 21.9b EUR (24.4b + Debt 325.5m - CCE 2.80b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 56.59 (Ebit TTM 2.14b / Interest Expense TTM 37.8m)
EV/FCF = 12.83x (Enterprise Value 21.9b / FCF TTM 1.71b)
FCF Yield = 7.79% (FCF TTM 1.71b / Enterprise Value 21.9b)
FCF Margin = 10.93% (FCF TTM 1.71b / Revenue TTM 15.6b)
Net Margin = 12.06% (Net Income TTM 1.88b / Revenue TTM 15.6b)
Gross Margin = 22.85% ((Revenue TTM 15.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.76% (prev -12.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.21 (Enterprise Value 21.9b / Total Assets 18.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.61% (Interest Expense 37.8m / Debt 325.5m)
Taxrate = 9.28% (192.9m / 2.08b)
NOPAT = 1.94b (EBIT 2.14b * (1 - 9.28%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 6.20b / Total Current Liabilities 7.85b)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 325.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.48b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.69 (Net Debt -2.48b / EBITDA 3.59b)
Debt / FCF = -1.45 (Net Debt -2.48b / FCF TTM 1.71b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.34b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.40% (Net Income 1.88b / Total Assets 18.2b)
RoE = 20.19% (Net Income TTM 1.88b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.34b)
RoCE = 22.82% (EBIT 2.14b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.34b + L.T.Debt 38.3m))
RoIC = 20.28% (NOPAT 1.94b / Invested Capital 9.57b)
WACC = 7.71% (E(24.4b)/V(24.7b) * Re(7.67%) + D(325.5m)/V(24.7b) * Rd(11.61%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 7.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.00 | Cagr: -3.58%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈1.71b ; Y1≈1.72b ; Y5≈1.82b
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.38 (EV 28.3b - Net Debt -2.48b = Equity 30.8b / Shares 517.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 2.35 | EPS CAGR: 0.88% | SUE: -0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.40 | Revenue CAGR: 7.12% | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.55 | Chg30d=+2.87% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=-152.89% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=3.62 | Chg30d=-5.42% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=-26.7% | GrowthRev=+2.4%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=3.99 | Chg30d=-15.55% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+10.2% | GrowthRev=+9.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40% (up=3, down=9)