(RYTM) Rhythm Pharmaceuticals - Ratings and Ratios
Setmelanotide, Rare Obesity, MC4R Agonist, Commercial-Stage
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 53.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 77.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.76% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.40 |
| Alpha | 86.53 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.04 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.597 |
| Beta | 0.668 |
| Beta Downside | 0.949 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 53.83% |
| Mean DD | 18.26% |
| Median DD | 14.72% |
Description: RYTM Rhythm Pharmaceuticals November 06, 2025
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:RYTM) is a commercial-stage biopharma focused on rare neuroendocrine disorders, most notably obesity driven by genetic defects in the melanocortin-4 (MC4R) pathway.
Its flagship product, IMCIVREE (setmelanotide), is already FDA-approved for obesity linked to POMC, LEPR, and Bardet-Biedl/Alström syndromes, and is now in Phase 3 trials expanding into heterozygous POMC/LEPR deficiency, SRC-1 deficiency, SH2B1 deficiency, MC4R deficiency, and other MC4R-related conditions.
Rhythm maintains a network of licensing and collaboration agreements-including with LG Chem, Ipsen, Camurus, RareStone, and Axovia Therapeutics-to broaden setmelanotide’s global reach and co-develop pipeline assets.
Key financial and market metrics (FY 2023): revenue of $58 million driven by IMCIVREE sales, a net loss of $210 million reflecting heavy R&D spend, and cash & equivalents of $550 million providing roughly 18 months of runway at current burn rates. The rare-obesity market is estimated at $3–4 billion globally, growing at ~7% CAGR, and setmelanotide’s pricing (≈$30,000–$40,000 per patient annually) positions it among the higher-margin specialty therapies.
For a deeper quantitative view of RYTM’s valuation metrics, you may find ValueRay’s analyst dashboard useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-192.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 10.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.22 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 23.69pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 224.0% (prev 215.7%; Δ 8.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.22 (>3.0%) and CFO -109.1m > Net Income -192.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 4.75 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (64.3m) change vs 12m ago 5.11% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 89.40% (prev 88.61%; Δ 0.79pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 40.06% (prev 30.95%; Δ 9.11pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -7.96 (EBITDA TTM -169.0m / Interest Expense TTM 21.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -9.79
| (A) 0.77 = (Total Current Assets 494.8m - Total Current Liabilities 104.3m) / Total Assets 506.9m |
| (B) -2.57 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.30b / Total Assets 506.9m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.57 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.39 = EBIT TTM -170.5m / Avg Total Assets 435.2m |
| (D) -3.65 = Book Value of Equity -1.31b / Total Liabilities 358.1m |
| Total Rating: -9.79 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 42.21
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.52% |
| 3. FCF Margin -62.60% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.59 |
| 7. RoE -165.6% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 79.98% |
| 9. EPS Trend 9.17% |
What is the price of RYTM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.48%, over one month by +3.24%, over three months by +13.24% and over the past year by +98.57%.
Is RYTM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RYTM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 138.1 | 23% |
| Analysts Target Price | 138.1 | 23% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 174.2 | 55.2% |
RYTM Fundamental Data Overview December 27, 2025
P/S = 42.8207
P/B = 50.1629
Beta = 1.967
Revenue TTM = 174.3m USD
EBIT TTM = -170.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = -169.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.14m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 624.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 151.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 98.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.20b USD (7.47b + Debt 151.0m - CCE 416.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -7.96 (Ebit TTM -170.5m / Interest Expense TTM 21.4m)
FCF Yield = -1.52% (FCF TTM -109.1m / Enterprise Value 7.20b)
FCF Margin = -62.60% (FCF TTM -109.1m / Revenue TTM 174.3m)
Net Margin = -110.3% (Net Income TTM -192.3m / Revenue TTM 174.3m)
Gross Margin = 89.40% ((Revenue TTM 174.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 89.28% (prev 88.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 14.20 (Enterprise Value 7.20b / Total Assets 506.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.14% (Interest Expense 4.74m / Debt 151.0m)
Taxrate = -0.21% (negative due to tax credits) (111.0k / -52.8m)
NOPAT = -170.8m (EBIT -170.5m * (1 - -0.21%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 4.75 (Total Current Assets 494.8m / Total Current Liabilities 104.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.01 (Debt 151.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 148.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.59 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 98.9m / EBITDA -169.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.91 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 98.9m / FCF TTM -109.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 116.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -37.94% (Net Income -192.3m / Total Assets 506.9m)
RoE = -165.6% (Net Income TTM -192.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 116.1m)
RoCE = -141.7% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -170.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 116.1m + L.T.Debt 4.14m))
RoIC = -384.8% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -170.8m / Invested Capital 44.4m)
WACC = 8.37% (E(7.47b)/V(7.62b) * Re(8.48%) + D(151.0m)/V(7.62b) * Rd(3.14%) * (1-Tc(-0.00)))
Discount Rate = 8.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.25%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -109.1m)
EPS Correlation: 9.17 | EPS CAGR: 0.50% | SUE: -0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.98 | Revenue CAGR: 143.7% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.79 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.62 | Chg30d=-0.209 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+15.1% | Growth Revenue=+55.6%
Additional Sources for RYTM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle