(SAFT) Safety Insurance - Overview

Sector: Financial Services | Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.068m USD | Total Return: -8.4% in 12m

Auto Insurance, Home Insurance, Business Insurance
Total Rating 32
Safety 56
Buy Signal -0.91
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Rotation: +1.7
Market Cap: 1.07B
Avg Turnover: 5.98M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility20.7%
VaR 5th Pctl3.62%
VaR vs Median6.07%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.49
Rel. Str. IBD23.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group39.8
Character TTM
Beta0.248
Beta Downside0.293
Hurst Exponent0.581
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD20.10%
CAGR/Max DD0.25
CAGR/Mean DD0.62
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of SAFT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 1.93, "2021-06": 1.85, "2021-09": 1.7, "2021-12": 1.55, "2022-03": 0.99, "2022-06": 1.91, "2022-09": 1.13, "2022-12": 0.98, "2023-03": -0.87, "2023-06": 0.8, "2023-09": 0.59, "2023-12": 0.3, "2024-03": 1.36, "2024-06": 1.18, "2024-09": 1.1, "2024-12": 0.5494, "2025-03": 1.4785, "2025-06": 1.45, "2025-09": 1.9066, "2025-12": 1.58, "2026-03": -0.9879,
EPS CAGR: 66.13%
EPS Trend: 78.2%
Last SUE: -1.09
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of SAFT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 217.436, 2021-06: 232.597, 2021-09: 216.246, 2021-12: 219.178, 2022-03: 192.171, 2022-06: 177.638, 2022-09: 191.679, 2022-12: 202.721, 2023-03: 212.515, 2023-06: 228.925, 2023-09: 226.528, 2023-12: 257.978, 2024-03: 266.603, 2024-06: 267.34, 2024-09: 291.095, 2024-12: 284.699, 2025-03: 299.638, 2025-06: 315.932, 2025-09: 323.208, 2025-12: 315.295, 2026-03: 315.014,
Rev. CAGR: 16.92%
Rev. Trend: 98.7%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: SAFT Safety Insurance

Safety Insurance Group Inc. (SAFT) underwrites and sells property and casualty insurance products. The companys primary offerings include private passenger and commercial automobile insurance, homeowner policies, and business owner policies. These products provide coverage for various risks, including bodily injury, property damage, and physical damage to vehicles and properties.

The company operates predominantly in Massachusetts and distributes its insurance products through independent agents. The property and casualty insurance sector is characterized by a business model focused on risk assessment, premium collection, and claims management. Insurance companies generate revenue through premiums and investment income on those premiums.

SAFT also offers specialized coverages such as personal and commercial umbrella policies, dwelling fire insurance, inland marine coverage, and watercraft coverage. These offerings diversify its product portfolio beyond core auto and home insurance. Further research on ValueRay can provide more in-depth data on SAFTs financial performance and market position.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Massachusetts auto insurance rates impact premium revenue
  • Catastrophic weather events increase claims costs
  • Investment portfolio performance affects profitability
  • Regulatory changes in insurance pricing create uncertainty
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 63.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.39 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -21.78% < 20% (prev 31.08%; Δ -52.86% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 174.3m > Net Income 63.0m
Net Debt (-681.1m) to EBITDA (86.8m): -7.85 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.82 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (14.5m) vs 12m ago -1.67% < -2%
Gross Margin: 32.70% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 3.23k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 53.72% > 50% (prev 49.87%; Δ 3.85% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 39.43 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 86.8m / Interest Expense TTM 2.04m)
Altman Z'' 1.10
A: -0.11 (Total Current Assets 1.29b - Total Current Liabilities 1.57b) / Total Assets 2.43b
B: 0.34 (Retained Earnings 816.3m / Total Assets 2.43b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 80.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.36b)
D: 0.50 (Book Value of Equity 789.1m / Total Liabilities 1.58b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.10 = BB
Beneish M -3.23
DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 497.2m/478.5m, Revenue 1.27b/1.14b)
GMI: 1.08 (GM 32.70% / 35.37%)
AQI: 0.56 (AQ_t 0.47 / AQ_t-1 0.83)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 1.27b / 1.14b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 63.0m - CFO 174.3m) / TA 2.43b)
Beneish M = -3.23 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of SAFT shares?

As of May 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 72.72 with a total of 80,300 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.38%, over one month by -4.92%, over three months by -6.20% and over the past year by -8.39%.

Is SAFT a buy, sell or hold?

Safety Insurance has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the SAFT price?
Analysts Target Price 70 -3.7%
Safety Insurance (SAFT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.07b (1.07b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.1915
P/E Forward = 17.1233
P/S = 0.8362
P/B = 1.249
P/EG = 0.9538
Revenue TTM = 1.27b USD
EBIT TTM = 80.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 86.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 11.1m USD (estimated: total debt 61.1m - short term 50.0m)
Short Term Debt = 50.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 72.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 11.1m
Net Debt = -681.1m USD (calculated: Debt 72.2m - CCE 753.3m)
Enterprise Value = 386.6m USD (1.07b + Debt 72.2m - CCE 753.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 39.43 (Ebit TTM 80.6m / Interest Expense TTM 2.04m)
EV/FCF = 2.27x (Enterprise Value 386.6m / FCF TTM 170.3m)
FCF Yield = 44.04% (FCF TTM 170.3m / Enterprise Value 386.6m)
FCF Margin = 13.41% (FCF TTM 170.3m / Revenue TTM 1.27b)
Net Margin = 4.97% (Net Income TTM 63.0m / Revenue TTM 1.27b)
Gross Margin = 32.70% ((Revenue TTM 1.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 854.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.44% (prev 34.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.16 (Enterprise Value 386.6m / Total Assets 2.43b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.83% (Interest Expense 2.04m / Debt 72.2m)
Taxrate = 21.65% (27.4m / 126.7m)
NOPAT = 63.1m (EBIT 80.6m * (1 - 21.65%))
Current Ratio = 0.82 (Total Current Assets 1.29b / Total Current Liabilities 1.57b)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 72.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 855.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -7.85 (Net Debt -681.1m / EBITDA 86.8m)
Debt / FCF = -4.00 (Net Debt -681.1m / FCF TTM 170.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 880.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.67% (Net Income 63.0m / Total Assets 2.43b)
RoE = 7.16% (Net Income TTM 63.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 880.2m)
RoCE = 9.04% (EBIT 80.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 880.2m + L.T.Debt 11.1m))
RoIC = 7.04% (NOPAT 63.1m / Invested Capital 897.2m)
WACC = 6.57% (E(1.07b)/V(1.14b) * Re(6.86%) + D(72.2m)/V(1.14b) * Rd(2.83%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 6.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: -0.55%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.93% ; FCFF base≈162.7m ; Y1≈180.2m ; Y5≈232.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 287.7 (EV 3.54b - Net Debt -681.1m = Equity 4.22b / Shares 14.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 12.49% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 78.16 | EPS CAGR: 66.13% | SUE: -1.09 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 98.73 | Revenue CAGR: 16.92% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0