(SAIA) Saia - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trucking | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 11.943m USD | Total Return: 70.2% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 161M
EPS Trend: -78.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 90.9%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Confidence
Saia, Inc. is a North American transportation provider specializing in less-than-truckload (LTL) services for shipments ranging from 100 to 10,000 pounds. Headquartered in Georgia and founded in 1924, the company maintains an extensive infrastructure of over 200 terminals and a fleet exceeding 34,000 tractors and trailers. Beyond its core LTL operations, Saia provides logistics solutions, including expedited freight and truckload brokerage.
The LTL sector is characterized by high barriers to entry due to the capital-intensive nature of maintaining a hub-and-spoke terminal network. Unlike full truckload carriers, LTL operators consolidate freight from multiple customers into single trailers to optimize capacity and fuel efficiency. For a deeper look into these industry dynamics, consider reviewing the fundamental data on ValueRay. Saia transitioned from its former identity as SCS Transportation in 2002 and currently operates as a major constituent in the cargo ground transportation sub-industry.
- LTL tonnage growth and pricing power drive quarterly revenue performance
- Network expansion through new terminal openings increases market share and capacity
- Industrial production levels and manufacturing output dictate freight demand cycles
- Operating ratio improvements through fuel efficiency and labor cost management
- Competitive landscape shifts following major carrier exits impact shipment volumes
| Net Income: 255.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.49 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.25% < 20% (prev 4.38%; Δ 0.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 625.5m > Net Income 255.1m |
| Net Debt (110.7m) to EBITDA (603.5m): 0.18 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.52 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (26.8m) vs 12m ago 0.07% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.79% > 18% (prev 0.19%; Δ 1.96k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 93.90% > 50% (prev 96.33%; Δ -2.44% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 23.88 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 603.5m / Interest Expense TTM 14.7m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 499.4m - Total Current Liabilities 328.5m) / Total Assets 3.56b |
| B: 0.65 (Retained Earnings 2.33b / Total Assets 3.56b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 351.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.46b) |
| D: 2.48 (Book Value of Equity 2.33b / Total Liabilities 937.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.74 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 377.0m/385.0m, Revenue 3.25b/3.24b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 19.79% / 18.56%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 3.25b / 3.24b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 255.1m - CFO 625.5m) / TA 3.56b) |
| Beneish M = -3.19 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 458.25 with a total of 330,962 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.90%,
over one month by +5.74%,
over three months by +14.92% and
over the past year by +70.21%.
Saia has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.91. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SAIA.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 444.6 | -3% |
P/E Forward = 39.3701
P/S = 3.6714
P/B = 4.5562
P/EG = 2.4464
Revenue TTM = 3.25b USD
EBIT TTM = 351.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 603.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 112.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 30.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 149.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 149.9m already included)
Net Debt = 110.7m USD (calculated: Debt 149.9m - CCE 39.2m)
Enterprise Value = 12.05b USD (11.94b + Debt 149.9m - CCE 39.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 23.88 (Ebit TTM 351.8m / Interest Expense TTM 14.7m)
EV/FCF = 61.92x (Enterprise Value 12.05b / FCF TTM 194.7m)
FCF Yield = 1.62% (FCF TTM 194.7m / Enterprise Value 12.05b)
FCF Margin = 5.98% (FCF TTM 194.7m / Revenue TTM 3.25b)
Net Margin = 7.84% (Net Income TTM 255.1m / Revenue TTM 3.25b)
Gross Margin = 19.79% ((Revenue TTM 3.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.01% (prev 21.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.38 (Enterprise Value 12.05b / Total Assets 3.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.72% (Interest Expense 2.57m / Debt 149.9m)
Taxrate = 23.32% (15.2m / 65.0m)
NOPAT = 269.7m (EBIT 351.8m * (1 - 23.32%))
Current Ratio = 1.52 (Total Current Assets 499.4m / Total Current Liabilities 328.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 149.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.63b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.18 (Net Debt 110.7m / EBITDA 603.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.57 (Net Debt 110.7m / FCF TTM 194.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.36% (Net Income 255.1m / Total Assets 3.56b)
RoE = 10.04% (Net Income TTM 255.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.54b)
RoCE = 13.26% (EBIT 351.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.54b + L.T.Debt 112.0m))
RoIC = 8.36% (NOPAT 269.7m / Invested Capital 3.23b)
WACC = 9.88% (E(11.94b)/V(12.09b) * Re(9.99%) + D(149.9m)/V(12.09b) * Rd(1.72%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 25.01 | Cagr: 0.04%
[DCF] Terminal Value 62.63% ; FCFF base≈194.7m ; Y1≈127.8m ; Y5≈58.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 28.61 (EV 871.9m - Net Debt 110.7m = Equity 761.2m / Shares 26.6m; r=9.88% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -78.30 | EPS CAGR: -13.15% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.88 | Revenue CAGR: 6.64% | SUE: 1.31 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.26 | Chg30d=+9.14% | Revisions=+67% | Analysts=16
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.31 | Chg30d=+5.10% | Revisions=+53% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.19 | Chg30d=+5.48% | Revisions=+81% | GrowthEPS=+22.9% | GrowthRev=+9.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=14.19 | Chg30d=+3.74% | Revisions=+71% | GrowthEPS=+26.8% | GrowthRev=+8.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +81%