(SAIA) Saia - Ratings and Ratios
LTL Services, Expedited, Logistics, Non-Asset Truckload
SAIA EPS (Earnings per Share)
SAIA Revenue
Description: SAIA Saia November 03, 2025
Saia Inc. (NASDAQ: SAIA) is a North-American less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier that moves shipments ranging from 100 lb to 10,000 lb. In addition to core LTL services, the firm offers non-asset truckload, expedited, and logistics solutions, leveraging a network of 214 owned and leased terminals and a fleet of roughly 6,600 tractors and 26,200 trailers as of 12 Dec 2024.
According to its most recent Form 10-K (FY 2023), Saia generated approximately $2.5 billion in revenue with an operating ratio near 95 %, indicating modest profitability relative to peers. The company’s capacity utilization averaged 78 % in 2023, and its trailer utilization has been trending upward as e-commerce demand lifts volume density on LTL routes.
Key macro drivers for Saia’s segment include sustained e-commerce growth (U.S. online retail sales have risen ~5 % YoY in 2023), a persistent driver shortage that pressures labor costs, and volatile fuel prices that directly affect operating margins. Saia’s strategy of expanding its value-added services (e.g., time-critical freight) aims to capture higher-margin business amid these headwinds.
For a data-rich, side-by-side comparison of Saia’s valuation metrics against industry peers, you may find ValueRay’s analytics platform a useful next step.
SAIA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 7,793m |
| Sub-Industry | Cargo Ground Transportation |
| IPO / Inception | 2002-09-11 |
SAIA Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -12.6% |
| Fundamental | 57.2% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -54.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.91 of 5 |
SAIA Dividends
Currently no dividends paidSAIA Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -32.6% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -73.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 68.4% |
| CAGR 5y | 3.81% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.06 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.18 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.25 |
| Alpha | -77.62 |
| Beta | 2.000 |
| Volatility | 46.23% |
| Current Volume | 480.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 480.7k |
| Stop Loss | 257.2 (-6.1%) |
| Signal | 0.54 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (283.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 194.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 8.81pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.22% (prev 2.86%; Δ 3.36pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 626.3m > Net Income 283.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (94.9m) to EBITDA (630.9m) ratio: 0.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (26.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.64% (prev 20.40%; Δ 16.25pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 98.23% (prev 102.9%; Δ -4.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 23.73 (EBITDA TTM 630.9m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.66
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 497.0m - Total Current Liabilities 295.9m) / Total Assets 3.50b |
| (B) 0.64 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.23b / Total Assets 3.50b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 391.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.29b |
| (D) 2.29 = Book Value of Equity 2.23b / Total Liabilities 974.9m |
| Total Rating: 5.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.19
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.43% = -0.72 |
| 3. FCF Margin -3.49% = -1.31 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.05 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.15 = 2.48 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.06)% = -2.58 |
| 7. RoE 11.78% = 0.98 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 86.67% = 6.50 |
| 9. EPS Trend -33.46% = -1.67 |
What is the price of SAIA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.48%, over one month by -7.62%, over three months by -0.70% and over the past year by -48.21%.
Is Saia a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SAIA is around 222.62 USD . This means that SAIA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -18.7%.
Is SAIA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SAIA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 331.1 | 20.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 331.1 | 20.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 258.7 | -5.5% |
SAIA Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 27.6204
P/E Forward = 24.57
P/S = 2.4102
P/B = 3.2129
P/EG = 2.4574
Beta = 2.0
Revenue TTM = 3.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 391.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 630.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 195.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 28.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 130.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 94.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.89b USD (7.79b + Debt 130.4m - CCE 35.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 23.73 (Ebit TTM 391.2m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m)
FCF Yield = -1.43% (FCF TTM -112.9m / Enterprise Value 7.89b)
FCF Margin = -3.49% (FCF TTM -112.9m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Net Margin = 8.77% (Net Income TTM 283.6m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Gross Margin = 36.64% ((Revenue TTM 3.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 92.93% (prev 17.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.25 (Enterprise Value 7.89b / Total Assets 3.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.44% (Interest Expense 4.48m / Debt 130.4m)
Taxrate = 24.83% (28.5m / 114.8m)
NOPAT = 294.1m (EBIT 391.2m * (1 - 24.83%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 497.0m / Total Current Liabilities 295.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 130.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.15 (Net Debt 94.9m / EBITDA 630.9m)
Debt / FCF = -0.84 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 94.9m / FCF TTM -112.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.10% (Net Income 283.6m / Total Assets 3.50b)
RoE = 11.78% (Net Income TTM 283.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.41b)
RoCE = 15.03% (EBIT 391.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.41b + L.T.Debt 195.0m))
RoIC = 11.15% (NOPAT 294.1m / Invested Capital 2.64b)
WACC = 13.21% (E(7.79b)/V(7.92b) * Re(13.39%) + D(130.4m)/V(7.92b) * Rd(3.44%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 13.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.01%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -112.9m)
EPS Correlation: -33.46 | EPS CAGR: 2.15% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.67 | Revenue CAGR: 9.41% | SUE: 0.65 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SAIA Stock
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