(SAIA) Saia - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US78709Y1055
Stock: Freight Shipping, Trucking, Logistics, Transportation
Total Rating 49
Risk 75
Buy Signal -0.44
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 54.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.1% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.23 |
| Alpha | -25.16 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.109 |
| Beta Downside | 1.577 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.94% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.18 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: SAIA Saia March 04, 2026
Saia, Inc. is a North American transportation company specializing in less-than-truckload (LTL) services, handling shipments between 100 and 10,000 pounds. The LTL sector is characterized by a hub-and-spoke network model, allowing for consolidation of freight from multiple shippers into a single trailer.
The company also provides brokered truckload, expedited shipping, and logistics services. As of December 31, 2025, Saia operated 213 terminals and maintained a fleet of approximately 7,700 tractors and 26,500 trailers. This asset-heavy model is typical for established LTL carriers.
Founded in 1924, Saia, Inc. is headquartered in Johns Creek, Georgia. The companys GICS Sub Industry is Cargo Ground Transportation.
For more detailed financial and operational data, ValueRay offers comprehensive analysis.
Headlines to watch out for
- Less-than-truckload demand impacts revenue growth
- Fuel price volatility influences operating costs
- Economic downturns reduce freight volumes
- Regulatory changes affect transportation compliance
- Terminal network expansion drives market share
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 255.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 15.31 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.23% < 20% (prev 4.91%; Δ 0.33% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 595.0m > Net Income 255.0m |
| Net Debt (398.4m) to EBITDA (602.4m): 0.66 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.64 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (26.8m) vs 12m ago 0.02% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.90% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 1970 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 97.28% > 50% (prev 101.3%; Δ -4.05% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 21.52 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 602.4m / Interest Expense TTM 16.4m) |
Altman Z'' 5.80
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 434.6m - Total Current Liabilities 265.4m) / Total Assets 3.48b |
| B: 0.65 (Retained Earnings 2.28b / Total Assets 3.48b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 353.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.32b) |
| D: 2.51 (Book Value of Equity 2.27b / Total Liabilities 905.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.80 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.18
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 332.2m/367.1m, Revenue 3.23b/3.21b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 19.90% / 20.08%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 3.23b / 3.21b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 255.0m - CFO 595.0m) / TA 3.48b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.18 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of SAIA shares?
As of March 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 368.78 with a total of 1,010,761 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.57%, over one month by -9.97%, over three months by +11.87% and over the past year by +0.59%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.57%, over one month by -9.97%, over three months by +11.87% and over the past year by +0.59%.
Is SAIA a buy, sell or hold?
Saia has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.91.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy SAIA.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SAIA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 399.5 | 8.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 399.5 | 8.3% |
SAIA Fundamental Data Overview March 07, 2026
P/E Trailing = 43.489
P/E Forward = 39.0625
P/S = 3.2705
P/B = 4.2878
P/EG = 4.9241
Revenue TTM = 3.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 353.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 602.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 163.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 418.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 398.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.98b USD (10.58b + Debt 418.1m - CCE 19.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.52 (Ebit TTM 353.8m / Interest Expense TTM 16.4m)
EV/FCF = 401.6x (Enterprise Value 10.98b / FCF TTM 27.3m)
FCF Yield = 0.25% (FCF TTM 27.3m / Enterprise Value 10.98b)
FCF Margin = 0.85% (FCF TTM 27.3m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Net Margin = 7.89% (Net Income TTM 255.0m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Gross Margin = 19.90% ((Revenue TTM 3.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.91% (prev 25.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.15 (Enterprise Value 10.98b / Total Assets 3.48b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.70% (Interest Expense 2.93m / Debt 418.1m)
Taxrate = 22.65% (13.9m / 61.4m)
NOPAT = 273.7m (EBIT 353.8m * (1 - 22.65%))
Current Ratio = 1.64 (Total Current Assets 434.6m / Total Current Liabilities 265.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.16 (Debt 418.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.58b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.66 (Net Debt 398.4m / EBITDA 602.4m)
Debt / FCF = 14.57 (Net Debt 398.4m / FCF TTM 27.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.67% (Net Income 255.0m / Total Assets 3.48b)
RoE = 10.30% (Net Income TTM 255.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.48b)
RoCE = 13.41% (EBIT 353.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.48b + L.T.Debt 163.0m))
RoIC = 10.06% (NOPAT 273.7m / Invested Capital 2.72b)
WACC = 9.64% (E(10.58b)/V(11.00b) * Re(10.0%) + D(418.1m)/V(11.00b) * Rd(0.70%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 63.19% ; FCFF base≈27.3m ; Y1≈17.9m ; Y5≈8.19m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 124.8m - Net Debt 398.4m = -273.5m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -56.78 | EPS CAGR: -12.97% | SUE: -0.37 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.67 | Revenue CAGR: 4.86% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.94 | Chg7d=+0.001 | Chg30d=-0.038 | Revisions Net=-8 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.62 | Chg7d=-0.003 | Chg30d=-0.175 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+16.5% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.69 | Chg7d=-0.010 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+29.0% | Growth Revenue=+9.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.57 (3 Up / 11 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.7% (Discount Rate 10.0% - Earnings Yield 2.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -3.3% (Analyst 4.4% - Implied 7.7%)
P/E Forward = 39.0625
P/S = 3.2705
P/B = 4.2878
P/EG = 4.9241
Revenue TTM = 3.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 353.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 602.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 163.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 418.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 398.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.98b USD (10.58b + Debt 418.1m - CCE 19.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.52 (Ebit TTM 353.8m / Interest Expense TTM 16.4m)
EV/FCF = 401.6x (Enterprise Value 10.98b / FCF TTM 27.3m)
FCF Yield = 0.25% (FCF TTM 27.3m / Enterprise Value 10.98b)
FCF Margin = 0.85% (FCF TTM 27.3m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Net Margin = 7.89% (Net Income TTM 255.0m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Gross Margin = 19.90% ((Revenue TTM 3.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.91% (prev 25.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.15 (Enterprise Value 10.98b / Total Assets 3.48b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.70% (Interest Expense 2.93m / Debt 418.1m)
Taxrate = 22.65% (13.9m / 61.4m)
NOPAT = 273.7m (EBIT 353.8m * (1 - 22.65%))
Current Ratio = 1.64 (Total Current Assets 434.6m / Total Current Liabilities 265.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.16 (Debt 418.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.58b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.66 (Net Debt 398.4m / EBITDA 602.4m)
Debt / FCF = 14.57 (Net Debt 398.4m / FCF TTM 27.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.67% (Net Income 255.0m / Total Assets 3.48b)
RoE = 10.30% (Net Income TTM 255.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.48b)
RoCE = 13.41% (EBIT 353.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.48b + L.T.Debt 163.0m))
RoIC = 10.06% (NOPAT 273.7m / Invested Capital 2.72b)
WACC = 9.64% (E(10.58b)/V(11.00b) * Re(10.0%) + D(418.1m)/V(11.00b) * Rd(0.70%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 63.19% ; FCFF base≈27.3m ; Y1≈17.9m ; Y5≈8.19m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 124.8m - Net Debt 398.4m = -273.5m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -56.78 | EPS CAGR: -12.97% | SUE: -0.37 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.67 | Revenue CAGR: 4.86% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.94 | Chg7d=+0.001 | Chg30d=-0.038 | Revisions Net=-8 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.62 | Chg7d=-0.003 | Chg30d=-0.175 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+16.5% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.69 | Chg7d=-0.010 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+29.0% | Growth Revenue=+9.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.57 (3 Up / 11 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.7% (Discount Rate 10.0% - Earnings Yield 2.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -3.3% (Analyst 4.4% - Implied 7.7%)