(SAIA) Saia - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US78709Y1055
LTL Services, Expedited, Logistics, Non-Asset Truckload
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 49.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 71.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.49% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.49 |
| Alpha | -57.10 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.19 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.343 |
| Beta | 1.451 |
| Beta Downside | 1.168 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.94% |
| Mean DD | 22.47% |
| Median DD | 16.82% |
Description: SAIA Saia November 03, 2025
Saia Inc. (NASDAQ: SAIA) is a North-American less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier that moves shipments ranging from 100 lb to 10,000 lb. In addition to core LTL services, the firm offers non-asset truckload, expedited, and logistics solutions, leveraging a network of 214 owned and leased terminals and a fleet of roughly 6,600 tractors and 26,200 trailers as of 12 Dec 2024.
According to its most recent Form 10-K (FY 2023), Saia generated approximately $2.5 billion in revenue with an operating ratio near 95 %, indicating modest profitability relative to peers. The company’s capacity utilization averaged 78 % in 2023, and its trailer utilization has been trending upward as e-commerce demand lifts volume density on LTL routes.
Key macro drivers for Saia’s segment include sustained e-commerce growth (U.S. online retail sales have risen ~5 % YoY in 2023), a persistent driver shortage that pressures labor costs, and volatile fuel prices that directly affect operating margins. Saia’s strategy of expanding its value-added services (e.g., time-critical freight) aims to capture higher-margin business amid these headwinds.
For a data-rich, side-by-side comparison of Saia’s valuation metrics against industry peers, you may find ValueRay’s analytics platform a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (283.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 194.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 12.39pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.22% (prev 2.86%; Δ 3.36pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 622.4m > Net Income 283.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (312.9m) to EBITDA (630.9m) ratio: 0.50 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (26.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 19.11% (prev 20.40%; Δ -1.28pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 98.23% (prev 102.9%; Δ -4.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 23.73 (EBITDA TTM 630.9m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.66
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 497.0m - Total Current Liabilities 295.9m) / Total Assets 3.50b |
| (B) 0.64 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.23b / Total Assets 3.50b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 391.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.29b |
| (D) 2.29 = Book Value of Equity 2.23b / Total Liabilities 974.9m |
| Total Rating: 5.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.40
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.18% |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.42% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.14 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.16)% |
| 7. RoE 11.78% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 84.53% |
| 9. EPS Trend -33.32% |
What is the price of SAIA shares?
As of December 09, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 331.58 with a total of 476,013 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +13.11%, over one month by +19.44%, over three months by +6.26% and over the past year by -35.76%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +13.11%, over one month by +19.44%, over three months by +6.26% and over the past year by -35.76%.
Is SAIA a buy, sell or hold?
Saia has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.91.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy SAIA.
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SAIA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 323.4 | -2.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 323.4 | -2.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 336.7 | 1.6% |
SAIA Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
Market Cap USD = 7.25b (7.25b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 25.6893
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 2.2417
P/B = 2.8632
P/EG = 2.9949
Beta = 2.101
Revenue TTM = 3.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 391.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 630.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 218.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 348.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 312.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.56b USD (7.25b + Debt 348.4m - CCE 35.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 23.73 (Ebit TTM 391.2m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m)
FCF Yield = -0.18% (FCF TTM -13.7m / Enterprise Value 7.56b)
FCF Margin = -0.42% (FCF TTM -13.7m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Net Margin = 8.77% (Net Income TTM 283.6m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Gross Margin = 19.11% ((Revenue TTM 3.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.43% (prev 17.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.16 (Enterprise Value 7.56b / Total Assets 3.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.29% (Interest Expense 4.48m / Debt 348.4m)
Taxrate = 24.83% (28.5m / 114.8m)
NOPAT = 294.1m (EBIT 391.2m * (1 - 24.83%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 497.0m / Total Current Liabilities 295.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 348.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.50 (Net Debt 312.9m / EBITDA 630.9m)
Debt / FCF = -22.90 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 312.9m / FCF TTM -13.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.10% (Net Income 283.6m / Total Assets 3.50b)
RoE = 11.78% (Net Income TTM 283.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.41b)
RoCE = 14.90% (EBIT 391.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.41b + L.T.Debt 218.0m))
RoIC = 11.04% (NOPAT 294.1m / Invested Capital 2.66b)
WACC = 10.88% (E(7.25b)/V(7.60b) * Re(11.36%) + D(348.4m)/V(7.60b) * Rd(1.29%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 11.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.01%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -13.7m)
EPS Correlation: -33.32 | EPS CAGR: 0.48% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.53 | Revenue CAGR: 8.56% | SUE: 0.65 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.03 | Chg30d=-0.278 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.89 | Chg30d=-0.561 | Revisions Net=-14 | Growth EPS=+17.1% | Growth Revenue=+5.1%
P/E Trailing = 25.6893
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 2.2417
P/B = 2.8632
P/EG = 2.9949
Beta = 2.101
Revenue TTM = 3.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 391.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 630.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 218.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 348.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 312.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.56b USD (7.25b + Debt 348.4m - CCE 35.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 23.73 (Ebit TTM 391.2m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m)
FCF Yield = -0.18% (FCF TTM -13.7m / Enterprise Value 7.56b)
FCF Margin = -0.42% (FCF TTM -13.7m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Net Margin = 8.77% (Net Income TTM 283.6m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Gross Margin = 19.11% ((Revenue TTM 3.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.43% (prev 17.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.16 (Enterprise Value 7.56b / Total Assets 3.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.29% (Interest Expense 4.48m / Debt 348.4m)
Taxrate = 24.83% (28.5m / 114.8m)
NOPAT = 294.1m (EBIT 391.2m * (1 - 24.83%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 497.0m / Total Current Liabilities 295.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 348.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.50 (Net Debt 312.9m / EBITDA 630.9m)
Debt / FCF = -22.90 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 312.9m / FCF TTM -13.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.10% (Net Income 283.6m / Total Assets 3.50b)
RoE = 11.78% (Net Income TTM 283.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.41b)
RoCE = 14.90% (EBIT 391.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.41b + L.T.Debt 218.0m))
RoIC = 11.04% (NOPAT 294.1m / Invested Capital 2.66b)
WACC = 10.88% (E(7.25b)/V(7.60b) * Re(11.36%) + D(348.4m)/V(7.60b) * Rd(1.29%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 11.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.01%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -13.7m)
EPS Correlation: -33.32 | EPS CAGR: 0.48% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.53 | Revenue CAGR: 8.56% | SUE: 0.65 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.03 | Chg30d=-0.278 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.89 | Chg30d=-0.561 | Revisions Net=-14 | Growth EPS=+17.1% | Growth Revenue=+5.1%
Additional Sources for SAIA Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle