(SAIA) Saia - Ratings and Ratios
Less-Than-Truckload, Expedited, Logistics, Truckload
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 49.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 71.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.21% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.12 |
| Alpha | -45.55 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.25 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.369 |
| Beta | 1.476 |
| Beta Downside | 1.218 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.94% |
| Mean DD | 23.50% |
| Median DD | 19.71% |
Description: SAIA Saia January 06, 2026
Saia Inc. (NASDAQ: SAIA) is a North-American less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier that moves shipments ranging from 100 to 10,000 lb. In addition to its core LTL network, the firm offers non-asset truckload, expedited, and logistics services. As of 31 Dec 2024 the company operated 214 owned and leased terminals and maintained a fleet of roughly 6,600 tractors and 26,200 trailers. The business, founded in 1924 and headquartered in Johns Creek, Georgia, was formerly known as SCS Transportation before rebranding in 2006.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year show SAIA generated approximately $2.2 billion in revenue with an operating ratio near 92 %, indicating modest cost efficiency relative to peers. Capacity utilization has risen to about 78 % as e-commerce volumes and “last-mile” demand continue to fuel LTL growth, while a tight driver labor market and volatile diesel prices remain material cost drivers. The broader ground-transportation sector is benefiting from a sustained freight-volume expansion of roughly 4 %-5 % YoY, driven by supply-chain reshoring and higher inventory turnover.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore Saia’s metrics on ValueRay to see how these trends translate into valuation signals.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (283.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 194.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 12.39pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.22% (prev 2.86%; Δ 3.36pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 622.4m > Net Income 283.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (312.9m) to EBITDA (630.9m) ratio: 0.50 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (26.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 19.11% (prev 20.40%; Δ -1.28pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 98.23% (prev 102.9%; Δ -4.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 23.73 (EBITDA TTM 630.9m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.66
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 497.0m - Total Current Liabilities 295.9m) / Total Assets 3.50b |
| (B) 0.64 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.23b / Total Assets 3.50b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 391.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.29b |
| (D) 2.29 = Book Value of Equity 2.23b / Total Liabilities 974.9m |
| Total Rating: 5.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.20
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.15% |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.42% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.14 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.02)% |
| 7. RoE 11.78% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 84.53% |
| 9. EPS Trend -33.32% |
What is the price of SAIA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.76%, over one month by +10.59%, over three months by +13.74% and over the past year by -18.19%.
Is SAIA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SAIA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 332.6 | -9.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 332.6 | -9.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 377.8 | 3% |
SAIA Fundamental Data Overview January 06, 2026
P/E Trailing = 31.8385
P/E Forward = 30.6748
P/S = 2.7783
P/B = 3.5562
P/EG = 3.7199
Beta = 2.104
Revenue TTM = 3.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 391.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 630.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 218.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 348.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 312.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.30b USD (8.98b + Debt 348.4m - CCE 35.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 23.73 (Ebit TTM 391.2m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m)
FCF Yield = -0.15% (FCF TTM -13.7m / Enterprise Value 9.30b)
FCF Margin = -0.42% (FCF TTM -13.7m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Net Margin = 8.77% (Net Income TTM 283.6m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Gross Margin = 19.11% ((Revenue TTM 3.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.43% (prev 17.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.66 (Enterprise Value 9.30b / Total Assets 3.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.29% (Interest Expense 4.48m / Debt 348.4m)
Taxrate = 24.83% (28.5m / 114.8m)
NOPAT = 294.1m (EBIT 391.2m * (1 - 24.83%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 497.0m / Total Current Liabilities 295.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 348.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.50 (Net Debt 312.9m / EBITDA 630.9m)
Debt / FCF = -22.90 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 312.9m / FCF TTM -13.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.10% (Net Income 283.6m / Total Assets 3.50b)
RoE = 11.78% (Net Income TTM 283.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.41b)
RoCE = 14.90% (EBIT 391.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.41b + L.T.Debt 218.0m))
RoIC = 11.04% (NOPAT 294.1m / Invested Capital 2.66b)
WACC = 11.06% (E(8.98b)/V(9.33b) * Re(11.45%) + D(348.4m)/V(9.33b) * Rd(1.29%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 11.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.01%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -13.7m)
EPS Correlation: -33.32 | EPS CAGR: 0.48% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.53 | Revenue CAGR: 8.56% | SUE: 0.65 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.03 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.80 | Chg30d=-0.064 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+15.8% | Growth Revenue=+5.0%
Additional Sources for SAIA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle