(SAIA) Saia - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trucking | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 9.448m USD | Total Return: 23.9% in 12m

Freight Shipping, Trucking, Logistics, Transportation
Total Rating 52
Safety 84
Buy Signal 0.45
Trucking
Industry Rotation: +7.6
Market Cap: 9.45B
Avg Turnover: 178M USD
ATR: 4.73%
Peers RS (IBD): 34.4
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility56.1%
Rel. Tail Risk-15.2%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.59
Alpha-18.59
Character TTM
Beta1.239
Beta Downside1.773
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD60.94%
CAGR/Max DD0.23
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of SAIA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 1.4, "2021-06": 2.34, "2021-09": 2.86, "2021-12": 2.76, "2022-03": 2.98, "2022-06": 4.1, "2022-09": 3.67, "2022-12": 2.65, "2023-03": 2.85, "2023-06": 3.42, "2023-09": 3.67, "2023-12": 3.33, "2024-03": 3.38, "2024-06": 3.83, "2024-09": 3.46, "2024-12": 2.84, "2025-03": 1.86, "2025-06": 2.67, "2025-09": 2.81, "2025-12": 1.77,
EPS CAGR: -12.97%
EPS Trend: -56.8%
Last SUE: -0.37
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of SAIA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 484.074, 2021-06: 571.333, 2021-09: 616.216, 2021-12: 617.081, 2022-03: 661.216, 2022-06: 745.554, 2022-09: 729.561, 2022-12: 655.726, 2023-03: 660.535, 2023-06: 694.622, 2023-09: 775.144, 2023-12: 751.132, 2024-03: 754.775, 2024-06: 823.244, 2024-09: 842.103, 2024-12: 788.952, 2025-03: 787.575, 2025-06: 817.115, 2025-09: 839.644, 2025-12: 789.952,
Rev. CAGR: 4.86%
Rev. Trend: 78.7%
Last SUE: 1.10
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Volatile

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: SAIA Saia

Saia, Inc. is a North American transportation company specializing in less-than-truckload (LTL) services, handling shipments between 100 and 10,000 pounds. The LTL sector is characterized by a hub-and-spoke network model, allowing for consolidation of freight from multiple shippers into a single trailer.

The company also provides brokered truckload, expedited shipping, and logistics services. As of December 31, 2025, Saia operated 213 terminals and maintained a fleet of approximately 7,700 tractors and 26,500 trailers. This asset-heavy model is typical for established LTL carriers.

Founded in 1924, Saia, Inc. is headquartered in Johns Creek, Georgia. The companys GICS Sub Industry is Cargo Ground Transportation.

For more detailed financial and operational data, ValueRay offers comprehensive analysis.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Less-than-truckload demand impacts revenue growth
  • Fuel price volatility influences operating costs
  • Economic downturns reduce freight volumes
  • Regulatory changes affect transportation compliance
  • Terminal network expansion drives market share
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 255.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 15.31 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 5.23% < 20% (prev 4.91%; Δ 0.33% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 595.0m > Net Income 255.0m
Net Debt (398.4m) to EBITDA (602.4m): 0.66 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.64 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (26.8m) vs 12m ago 0.02% < -2%
Gross Margin: 19.90% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 1.97k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 97.28% > 50% (prev 101.3%; Δ -4.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 21.52 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 602.4m / Interest Expense TTM 16.4m)
Altman Z'' 5.80
A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 434.6m - Total Current Liabilities 265.4m) / Total Assets 3.48b
B: 0.65 (Retained Earnings 2.28b / Total Assets 3.48b)
C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 353.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.32b)
D: 2.51 (Book Value of Equity 2.27b / Total Liabilities 905.0m)
Altman-Z'' Score: 5.80 = AAA
Beneish M -3.18
DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 332.2m/367.1m, Revenue 3.23b/3.21b)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 19.90% / 20.08%)
AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 3.23b / 3.21b)
TATA: -0.10 (NI 255.0m - CFO 595.0m) / TA 3.48b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.18 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of SAIA shares? As of April 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 400.31 with a total of 675,039 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +12.80%, over one month by +8.55%, over three months by +9.17% and over the past year by +23.91%.
Is SAIA a buy, sell or hold? Saia has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.91. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SAIA.
  • StrongBuy: 8
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SAIA price?
Analysts Target Price 395.4 -1.2%
Saia (SAIA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 37.1752
P/E Forward = 33.557
P/S = 2.9213
P/B = 3.6655
P/EG = 2.0818
Revenue TTM = 3.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 353.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 602.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 163.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 418.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 398.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.85b USD (9.45b + Debt 418.1m - CCE 19.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.52 (Ebit TTM 353.8m / Interest Expense TTM 16.4m)
EV/FCF = 360.2x (Enterprise Value 9.85b / FCF TTM 27.3m)
FCF Yield = 0.28% (FCF TTM 27.3m / Enterprise Value 9.85b)
FCF Margin = 0.85% (FCF TTM 27.3m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Net Margin = 7.89% (Net Income TTM 255.0m / Revenue TTM 3.23b)
Gross Margin = 19.90% ((Revenue TTM 3.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.91% (prev 25.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.83 (Enterprise Value 9.85b / Total Assets 3.48b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.70% (Interest Expense 2.93m / Debt 418.1m)
Taxrate = 22.65% (13.9m / 61.4m)
NOPAT = 273.7m (EBIT 353.8m * (1 - 22.65%))
Current Ratio = 1.64 (Total Current Assets 434.6m / Total Current Liabilities 265.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.16 (Debt 418.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.58b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.66 (Net Debt 398.4m / EBITDA 602.4m)
Debt / FCF = 14.57 (Net Debt 398.4m / FCF TTM 27.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.67% (Net Income 255.0m / Total Assets 3.48b)
RoE = 10.30% (Net Income TTM 255.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.48b)
RoCE = 13.41% (EBIT 353.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.48b + L.T.Debt 163.0m))
RoIC = 10.06% (NOPAT 273.7m / Invested Capital 2.72b)
WACC = 9.92% (E(9.45b)/V(9.87b) * Re(10.34%) + D(418.1m)/V(9.87b) * Rd(0.70%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 62.46% ; FCFF base≈27.3m ; Y1≈17.9m ; Y5≈8.21m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 121.8m - Net Debt 398.4m = -276.6m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: -56.78 | EPS CAGR: -12.97% | SUE: -0.37 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.67 | Revenue CAGR: 4.86% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.99 | Chg7d=+0.055 | Chg30d=+0.051 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.62 | Chg7d=+0.034 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+16.6% | Growth Revenue=+4.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.67 | Chg7d=-0.001 | Chg30d=-0.037 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+28.7% | Growth Revenue=+9.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.60 (4 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.7% (Discount Rate 10.3% - Earnings Yield 2.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -3.0% (Analyst 4.6% - Implied 7.7%)
External Resources
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