SAIL Stock Analysis: SailPoint, Common Stock | NASDAQ

Identity Governance, Access Management, Cloud Security, Compliance Automation

Total Rating 36

Safety 64

Buy Signal 0.01

Software - Infrastructure
Industry Rotation: +0.4

Market Cap: 10.7B
Avg Turnover: 88.3M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility58.9%

VaR 5^th Pctl10.4%

VaR vs Median6.66%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.23

Rel. Str. IBD93.4

Rel. Str. Peer Group78.3 pctl

Character TTM

Beta1.354

Beta Downside2.280

Hurst Exponent0.553

Choppyness79.5%

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD59.18%

CAGR/Max DD-0.01

CAGR/Mean DD-0.02

EPS (Earnings per Share)

Last SUE: 0.86
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 33.49%
Rev. Trend: 97.8%

Last SUE: -0.11
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical

Overextended 3d

Choppy

Tailwinds

Rs Leader

Avwap Ph Week

Seasonality 1.6 years of data

Jan - -

Feb -5.4% -

Mar -2.0% -

Apr -10.0% -

May +72.1% -

Jun -16.5% -

Jul +23.0% -

Aug +27.7% -

Sep - -

Oct - -

Nov - -

Dec - -

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: SAIL SailPoint, Common Stock

SailPoint, Inc. (NASDAQ: SAIL) is a U.S.-based software company that provides identity security solutions for enterprises across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region. Founded in 2005 and headquartered in Austin, Texas, the company completed its IPO on February 13, 2025, and is classified within the Application Software sub-industry of the Information Technology sector. Its solutions sit within the broader identity governance and administration (IGA) segment of the cybersecurity market.

The companys offerings help organizations establish, control, and automate policies governing access to systems and data, supporting regulatory compliance. Its product portfolio covers multiple identity types, including employee, non-employee, and machine identities, and includes Identity Security Cloud (a SaaS-based, cloud-native platform), IdentityIQ (a customer-hosted solution), and the SailPoint platform, which unifies identity, data, and security intelligence in real time.

SailPoint serves a diverse customer base spanning financial services, media, energy and utilities, technology, life sciences, healthcare, government agencies, and public universities. Its business model centers on enterprise software subscriptions, with a mix of cloud-delivered and customer-hosted deployments.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Cloud subscription growth accelerates with Identity Security Cloud adoption
Regulatory compliance mandates drive enterprise identity security spending
Competition from Okta and CyberArk pressures market share and pricing

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5

Net Income: -197.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.20 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 12.36% < 20% (prev 12.59%; Δ -0.23% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 200.6m > Net Income -197.2m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.23 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (568.1m) vs 12m ago 2.22% < -2%
Gross Margin: 66.22% > 18% (prev 66.14%; Δ 0.08% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 15.51% > 50% (prev 13.03%; Δ 2.48% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -199.6 > 6 (EBIT TTM -215.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.08m)

Altman Z'' 9.75

A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 776.7m - Total Current Liabilities 632.6m) / Total Assets 7.58b
B: -0.05 (Retained Earnings -375.8m / Total Assets 7.58b)
C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -215.9m / Avg Total Assets 7.51b)
D: 9.50 (Book Value of Equity 6.86b / Total Liabilities 722.2m)
Altman-Z'' = 9.75 = AAA

Beneish M -2.81

DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 353.5m/265.7m, Revenue 1.17b/970.2m)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 66.14% / 66.22%)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.89 / AQ_t-1 0.91)
SGI: 1.20 (Revenue 1.17b / 970.2m)
TATA: -0.05 (NI -197.2m - CFO 200.6m) / TA 7.58b)
Beneish M = -2.81 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of SAIL shares?

As of October 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 21.79 with a total of 6,392,540 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +16.21%, over one month by +1.77%, over three months by +52.22% and over the past year by -1.98%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.50 (which is 10.5% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).

Is SAIL a buy, sell or hold?

SailPoint, Common Stock has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.19. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SAIL.

StrongBuy: 14
Buy: 6
Hold: 6
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the SAIL price?

Analysts Target Price	21.9	0.4%

SailPoint, Common Stock (SAIL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 18 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 10.7b (10.7b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 67.1141
P/S = 9.1842
P/B = 1.7839
Revenue TTM = 1.17b USD
EBIT TTM = -215.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.94m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Short Term Debt = 5.88m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.88m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 5.88m already included)
Net Debt = -304.0m USD (calculated: Debt 5.88m - CCE 309.9m)
Enterprise Value = 10.4b USD (10.7b + Debt 5.88m - CCE 309.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -199.6 (Ebit TTM -215.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.08m)
EV/FCF = 57.13x (Enterprise Value 10.4b / FCF TTM 182.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.75% (FCF TTM 182.0m / Enterprise Value 10.4b)
FCF Margin = 15.62% (FCF TTM 182.0m / Revenue TTM 1.17b)
Net Margin = -16.92% (Net Income TTM -197.2m / Revenue TTM 1.17b)
Gross Margin = 66.22% ((Revenue TTM 1.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 393.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 66.51% (prev 64.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.37 (Enterprise Value 10.4b / Total Assets 7.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 18.40% (Interest Expense 1.08m / Debt 5.88m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -170.6m (EBIT -215.9m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 776.7m / Total Current Liabilities 632.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 5.88m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 103.6 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -304.0m / EBITDA -2.94m)
Debt / FCF = -1.67 (Net Debt -304.0m / FCF TTM 182.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.84b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.62% (Net Income -197.2m / Total Assets 7.58b)
RoE = -2.88% (Net Income TTM -197.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.84b)
RoCE = -3.15% (EBIT -215.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.84b + L.T.Debt 0.0))
RoIC = -2.47% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -170.6m / Invested Capital 6.90b)
WACC = 10.19% (E(10.7b)/V(10.7b) * Re(10.19%) + D(5.88m)/V(10.7b) * Rd(18.40%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 58.97 | Cagr: 65.70%
[DCF] Terminal Value 69.26% ; FCFF base≈182.0m ; Y1≈182.8m ; Y5≈193.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 4.55 (EV 2.29b - Net Debt -304.0m = Equity 2.60b / Shares 570.9m; r=10.19% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.79 | Revenue CAGR: 33.49% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.08 | Chg30d=-0.12% | Revisions=-58% | Analysts=26
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.33 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=+36% | GrowthEPS=+35.6% | GrowthRev=+18.6%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=+0.05% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=+23.9% | GrowthRev=+18.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -3% (up=15, down=16)