SAIL Stock Analysis: SailPoint, Common Stock | NASDAQ

Software - Infrastructure | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 10.136m USD | 12M Return: 0.4% | US78781J1097 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Identity Cloud, Identity Platform, Access Governance, Security Compliance
Total Rating 41
Safety 71
Buy Signal -0.58
Software - Infrastructure
Industry Rotation: +23.6
Market Cap: 10.1B
Avg Turnover: 52.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility60.9%
VaR 5th Pctl10.8%
VaR vs Median7.95%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.25
Rel. Str. IBD76.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group60.2
Character TTM
Beta1.550
Beta Downside2.659
Hurst Exponent0.550
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD59.18%
CAGR/Max DD-0.08
CAGR/Mean DD-0.16
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of SAIL over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-07": null, "2021-10": null, "2022-01": null, "2022-04": null, "2022-07": null, "2024-01": null, "2024-04": null, "2024-07": null, "2024-10": 0, "2025-01": -0.0062, "2025-04": 0.01, "2025-07": 0.07, "2025-10": 0.08, "2026-01": 0.08, "2026-04": 0.05,
Last SUE: 0.79
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of SAIL over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-07: 102.486, 2021-10: 110.11, 2022-01: 146.677, 2022-04: 115.42, 2022-07: 134.283, 2024-01: 202.707, 2024-04: 187.656, 2024-07: 198.575, 2024-10: 235.259, 2025-01: 240.121, 2025-04: 230.468, 2025-07: 264.359, 2025-10: 281.942, 2026-01: 294.647, 2026-04: 280.142,
Rev. CAGR: 37.36%
Rev. Trend: 98.3%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Fakeout
Choppy

Tailwinds

Ep Pivot

Seasonality 1.5 years of data

Jan - -
Feb -5.4% -
Mar -2.0% -
Apr -10.0% -
May +72.1% -
Jun -16.5% -
Jul +23.0% -
Aug - -
Sep - -
Oct - -
Nov - -
Dec - -

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: SAIL SailPoint, Common Stock

SailPoint, Inc. (NASDAQ: SAIL) is an identity security software provider headquartered in Austin, Texas, founded in 2005 and IPOd in February 2025. The company delivers cloud-based and customer-hosted identity governance solutions that help enterprises discover, manage, and secure access for human, non-human, and machine identities across data, applications, and cloud infrastructure.

Its product portfolio centers on Identity Security Cloud (a SaaS-delivered platform), IdentityIQ (a customer-hosted deployment), and the SailPoint platform, which unifies identity, data, and security intelligence. Customers span financial services, healthcare, government, technology, life sciences, energy and utilities, media, and public universities, with operations across the Americas, EMEA, and Asia-Pacific.

SailPoint operates in the Application Software segment of the Information Technology sector, competing within the identity and access management (IAM) subsector of cybersecurity. The business model is primarily enterprise subscription-based, with recurring revenue tied to multi-year cloud and software contracts, which is typical for governance and compliance-driven security vendors.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Identity Security Cloud ARR growth drives recurring revenue mix
  • Regulatory compliance demand boosts enterprise identity spending
  • Competition from Okta and Microsoft pressures pricing and win rates
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: -157.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.65 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 20.78% < 20% (prev 9.02%; Δ 11.76% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 205.6m > Net Income -157.4m
Net Debt (-385.4m) to EBITDA (12.6m): -30.60 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.39 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (564.5m) vs 12m ago 12.90% < -2%
Gross Margin: 66.39% > 18% (prev 64.92%; Δ 1.46% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 15.01% > 50% (prev 12.20%; Δ 2.81% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -79.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM -199.2m / Interest Expense TTM 2.51m)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 823.3m - Total Current Liabilities 590.3m) / Total Assets 7.53b
B: -0.04 (Retained Earnings -325.5m / Total Assets 7.53b)
C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -199.2m / Avg Total Assets 7.47b)
D: 10.01 (Book Value of Equity 6.84b / Total Liabilities 683.7m)
Altman-Z'' = 10.39 = AAA
Beneish M -2.84
DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 330.5m/249.1m, Revenue 1.12b/904.4m)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 64.92% / 66.39%)
AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.89 / AQ_t-1 0.92)
SGI: 1.24 (Revenue 1.12b / 904.4m)
TATA: -0.05 (NI -157.4m - CFO 205.6m) / TA 7.53b)
Beneish M = -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of SAIL shares?

As of August 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 20.45 with a total of 8,438,179 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.48%, over one month by +33.31%, over three months by +31.43% and over the past year by +0.39%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.10 (which is 6.6% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is SAIL a buy, sell or hold?

SailPoint, Common Stock has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.07. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SAIL.

  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SAIL price?
Analysts Target Price 19.9 -2.9%
SailPoint, Common Stock (SAIL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 27 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 10.1b (10.1b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 56.4972
P/S = 9.0408
P/B = 1.5029
Revenue TTM = 1.12b USD
EBIT TTM = -199.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.6m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
 Short Term Debt = 5.40m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.40m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 5.40m already included)
Net Debt = -385.4m USD (calculated: Debt 5.40m - CCE 390.8m)
Enterprise Value = 9.75b USD (10.1b + Debt 5.40m - CCE 390.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -79.34 (Ebit TTM -199.2m / Interest Expense TTM 2.51m)
EV/FCF = 52.71x (Enterprise Value 9.75b / FCF TTM 185.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.90% (FCF TTM 185.0m / Enterprise Value 9.75b)
FCF Margin = 16.50% (FCF TTM 185.0m / Revenue TTM 1.12b)
Net Margin = -14.04% (Net Income TTM -157.4m / Revenue TTM 1.12b)
Gross Margin = 66.39% ((Revenue TTM 1.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 376.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.65% (prev 67.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.30 (Enterprise Value 9.75b / Total Assets 7.53b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 46.50% (Interest Expense 2.51m / Debt 5.40m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -157.4m (EBIT -199.2m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 823.3m / Total Current Liabilities 590.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 5.40m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = -30.60 (Net Debt -385.4m / EBITDA 12.6m)
Debt / FCF = -2.08 (Net Debt -385.4m / FCF TTM 185.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.11% (Net Income -157.4m / Total Assets 7.53b)
RoE = -2.30% (Net Income TTM -157.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.83b)
RoCE = -2.92% (EBIT -199.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.83b + L.T.Debt 0.0))
 RoIC = -2.29% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -157.4m / Invested Capital 6.88b)
 WACC = 11.45% (E(10.1b)/V(10.1b) * Re(11.44%) + D(5.40m)/V(10.1b) * Rd(46.50%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 73.01 | Cagr: 86.78%
[DCF] Terminal Value 65.38% ; FCFF base≈185.0m ; Y1≈185.7m ; Y5≈196.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 4.21 (EV 2.00b - Net Debt -385.4m = Equity 2.39b / Shares 567.2m; r=11.45% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.26 | Revenue CAGR: 37.36% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.08 | Chg30d=+0.13% | Revisions=+27% | Analysts=24
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.08 | Chg30d=-0.24% | Revisions=-74% | Analysts=23
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=-0.15% | Revisions=+64% | GrowthEPS=+34.6% | GrowthRev=+18.6%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=+0.03% | Revisions=+74% | GrowthEPS=+23.8% | GrowthRev=+18.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +22% (up=34, down=21)