(SCVL) Shoe Carnival - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Apparel Retail | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 475m USD | Total Return: -10.2% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 5.93M
EPS Trend: -94.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -70.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) is a U.S.-based family footwear retailer offering a broad assortment of dress, casual, and athletic shoes for men, women, and children. Founded in 1978, the company maintains a dual-brand physical footprint through Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station locations, supported by integrated e-commerce platforms and mobile applications.
The company operates within the apparel retail sector, utilizing a high-volume, value-oriented business model that combines branded inventory with a promotional, store-based experience. This sector is characterized by intense competition from both specialized footwear chains and diversified big-box retailers.
To better understand the companys valuation and growth metrics, you may want to examine the detailed financial data available on ValueRay.
Headquartered in Fort Mill, South Carolina, Shoe Carnival focuses on the family footwear segment, which requires managing diverse inventory cycles ranging from seasonal sandals and boots to consistent year-round demand for athletic sneakers.
- Back-to-school and holiday seasonal traffic drives annual revenue performance
- Strategic store acquisitions and footprint expansion accelerate market share growth
- Inflationary pressures on middle-income consumer discretionary spending impact sales volume
- Private label brand penetration levels determine overall gross margin expansion
- Digital sales growth and mobile app adoption influence long-term operating leverage
| Net Income: 52.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.97 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 38.55% < 20% (prev 33.73%; Δ 4.83% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 71.3m > Net Income 52.3m |
| Net Debt (240.7m) to EBITDA (101.1m): 2.38 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.76 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.6m) vs 12m ago 0.13% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.57% > 18% (prev 0.36%; Δ 3.62k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 97.63% > 50% (prev 107.0%; Δ -9.38% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 179.0 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 101.1m / Interest Expense TTM 373k) |
| A: 0.36 (Total Current Assets 596.1m - Total Current Liabilities 158.4m) / Total Assets 1.20b |
| B: 0.67 (Retained Earnings 808.8m / Total Assets 1.20b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 66.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.16b) |
| D: 1.58 (Book Value of Equity 809.2m / Total Liabilities 512.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.63 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.75 (Receivables 6.37m/9.02m, Revenue 1.14b/1.20b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 36.57% / 35.65%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 1.14b / 1.20b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 52.3m - CFO 71.3m) / TA 1.20b) |
| Beneish M = -3.36 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.66 with a total of 468,400 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.18%,
over one month by -11.76%,
over three months by -14.17% and
over the past year by -10.23%.
Shoe Carnival has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SCVL.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 22 | 32.1% |
P/E Trailing = 12.7926
P/E Forward = 11.5075
P/S = 0.4207
P/B = 0.7049
P/EG = 0.9544
Revenue TTM = 1.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 66.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 101.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 313.4m USD (estimated: total debt 371.4m - short term 58.1m)
Short Term Debt = 58.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 371.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 371.4m already included)
Net Debt = 240.7m USD (calculated: Debt 371.4m - CCE 130.7m)
Enterprise Value = 715.3m USD (474.7m + Debt 371.4m - CCE 130.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 179.0 (Ebit TTM 66.8m / Interest Expense TTM 373k)
EV/FCF = 26.91x (Enterprise Value 715.3m / FCF TTM 26.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.72% (FCF TTM 26.6m / Enterprise Value 715.3m)
FCF Margin = 2.34% (FCF TTM 26.6m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Net Margin = 4.60% (Net Income TTM 52.3m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Gross Margin = 36.57% ((Revenue TTM 1.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 720.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.92% (prev 37.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 715.3m / Total Assets 1.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.10% (Interest Expense 373k / Debt 371.4m)
Taxrate = 23.38% (2.76m / 11.8m)
NOPAT = 51.2m (EBIT 66.8m * (1 - 23.38%))
Current Ratio = 3.76 (Total Current Assets 596.1m / Total Current Liabilities 158.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 371.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 689.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.38 (Net Debt 240.7m / EBITDA 101.1m)
Debt / FCF = 9.05 (Net Debt 240.7m / FCF TTM 26.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 674.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.49% (Net Income 52.3m / Total Assets 1.20b)
RoE = 7.75% (Net Income TTM 52.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 674.3m)
RoCE = 6.76% (EBIT 66.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 674.3m + L.T.Debt 313.4m))
RoIC = 4.64% (NOPAT 51.2m / Invested Capital 1.10b)
WACC = 6.08% (E(474.7m)/V(846.1m) * Re(10.77%) + D(371.4m)/V(846.1m) * Rd(0.10%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 64.44 | Cagr: 0.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈43.7m ; Y1≈38.4m ; Y5≈31.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 9.34 (EV 497.5m - Net Debt 240.7m = Equity 256.8m / Shares 27.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -94.06 | EPS CAGR: -17.37% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -70.08 | Revenue CAGR: -2.08% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=-5.97% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.50 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-14% | GrowthEPS=-21.2% | GrowthRev=-0.1%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=1.85 | Chg30d=+0.18% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+23.4% | GrowthRev=+3.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%