Overview Dividends

(SCVL) Shoe Carnival - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8248891090

Dress Shoes, Casual Shoes, Sandals, Boots, Athletic Shoes, Accessories

SCVL EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -17.29%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -60.3%

SCVL Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -3.88%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -27.5%

Description: SCVL Shoe Carnival

Shoe Carnival, Inc. is a prominent family footwear retailer in the United States, offering a diverse range of products including dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots, and athletic shoes for men, women, and children. The company has a strong online presence, selling its products through its e-commerce platforms, www.shoecarnival.com and www.shoestation.com, as well as through its mobile app, providing customers with a seamless shopping experience across multiple channels.

With a history dating back to 1978, Shoe Carnival has established itself as a reputable player in the apparel retail industry, with a headquarters in Evansville, Indiana. The companys business model is centered around its brick-and-mortar stores, as well as its online platforms, allowing it to reach a wide customer base across the United States.

Analyzing the and , we can observe that SCVLs stock has experienced significant fluctuations in the past year, with a 52-week high of $45.13 and a low of $16.75. The current price of $19.01 is below its 20-day SMA of $19.43, indicating a potential downward trend. However, the stocks P/E ratio of 8.41 and forward P/E of 10.27 suggest that it may be undervalued. With a market capitalization of $548.63M and a Return on Equity (RoE) of 10.30%, SCVL appears to be a relatively stable company with room for growth.

Based on the available data, a forecast for SCVLs stock price could be constructed by analyzing its historical trends and fundamental indicators. Given the current price is below its 20-day SMA and the ATR indicates a relatively high volatility, a potential trading strategy could be to buy SCVL at the current price, with a stop-loss around $18.26 (current price - ATR). A potential target price could be around $21.50, based on the stocks historical volatility and the overall market conditions. However, this forecast is subject to change based on various market and economic factors.

SCVL Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	588m
Sub-Industry	Apparel Retail
IPO / Inception	1993-03-16

SCVL Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	-36.1%
Fundamental	49.8%
Dividend Rating	73.5%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-54.9%
Analyst Rating	3.67 of 5

SCVL Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	2.99%
Yield on Cost 5y	3.59%
Annual Growth 5y	31.61%
Payout Consistency	94.9%
Payout Ratio	25.6%

SCVL Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	19.7%
Growth Correlation 12m	-66.1%
Growth Correlation 5y	-2.1%
CAGR 5y	-3.90%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	-0.06
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	-0.18
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-2.01
Alpha	-68.52
Beta	1.344
Volatility	46.45%
Current Volume	505.5k
Average Volume 20d	388.7k
Stop Loss	18.5 (-5.5%)
Signal	-0.02

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (62.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 69.2m TTM)

FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.92pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 36.19% (prev 30.58%; Δ 5.61pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 65.5m > Net Income 62.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (282.9m) to EBITDA (107.1m) ratio: 2.64 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 3.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (27.5m) change vs 12m ago -0.16% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 36.11% (prev 36.02%; Δ 0.09pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 101.2% (prev 110.6%; Δ -9.38pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 189.8 (EBITDA TTM 107.1m / Interest Expense TTM 392.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 6.70

(A) 0.36 = (Total Current Assets 574.1m - Total Current Liabilities 156.5m) / Total Assets 1.17b

(B) 0.68 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 793.5m / Total Assets 1.17b

(D) 1.61 = Book Value of Equity 793.9m / Total Liabilities 494.6m

Total Rating: 6.70 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.84

1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0

2. FCF Yield 2.76% = 1.38

3. FCF Margin 2.05% = 0.51

4. Debt/Equity 0.54 = 2.36

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.64 = -1.21

6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.66)% = 2.07

7. RoE 9.58% = 0.80

8. Rev. Trend -27.51% = -2.06

9. EPS Trend -60.27% = -3.01

What is the price of SCVL shares?

As of October 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 19.57 with a total of 505,483 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.59%, over one month by -16.37%, over three months by -6.18% and over the past year by -48.17%.

Is Shoe Carnival a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ:SCVL) is currently (October 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 49.84 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SCVL is around 17.38 USD . This means that SCVL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -11.19%.

Is SCVL a buy, sell or hold?

Shoe Carnival has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefor, it is recommend to hold SCVL.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 0
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SCVL price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	22	12.4%
Analysts Target Price	22	12.4%
ValueRay Target Price	19.1	-2.5%

Last update: 2025-10-02 02:25

SCVL Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 588.0m (588.0m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.45
P/E Forward = 11.6144
P/S = 0.5095
P/B = 0.8767
P/EG = 0.95
Beta = 1.344
Revenue TTM = 1.15b USD
EBIT TTM = 74.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 107.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 361.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 57.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 361.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 282.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 857.6m USD (588.0m + Debt 361.6m - CCE 91.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 189.8 (Ebit TTM 74.4m / Interest Expense TTM 392.0k)
FCF Yield = 2.76% (FCF TTM 23.7m / Enterprise Value 857.6m)
FCF Margin = 2.05% (FCF TTM 23.7m / Revenue TTM 1.15b)
Net Margin = 5.41% (Net Income TTM 62.5m / Revenue TTM 1.15b)
Gross Margin = 36.11% ((Revenue TTM 1.15b - Cost of Revenue TTM 737.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.78% (prev 34.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 857.6m / Total Assets 1.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 77.0k / Debt 361.6m)
Taxrate = 25.87% (6.71m / 25.9m)
NOPAT = 55.1m (EBIT 74.4m * (1 - 25.87%))
Current Ratio = 3.67 (Total Current Assets 574.1m / Total Current Liabilities 156.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 361.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 670.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.64 (Net Debt 282.9m / EBITDA 107.1m)
Debt / FCF = 11.95 (Net Debt 282.9m / FCF TTM 23.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 652.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.36% (Net Income 62.5m / Total Assets 1.17b)
RoE = 9.58% (Net Income TTM 62.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 652.2m)
RoCE = 7.34% (EBIT 74.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 652.2m + L.T.Debt 361.6m))
RoIC = 8.46% (NOPAT 55.1m / Invested Capital 652.2m)
WACC = 6.80% (E(588.0m)/V(949.5m) * Re(10.97%) + D(361.6m)/V(949.5m) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 10.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.10%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 58.51% ; FCFE base≈54.1m ; Y1≈35.5m ; Y5≈16.2m
Fair Price DCF = 7.79 (DCF Value 213.2m / Shares Outstanding 27.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -60.27 | EPS CAGR: -17.29% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -27.51 | Revenue CAGR: -3.88% | SUE: -1.16 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for SCVL Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle