Overview Dividends

(SCVL) Shoe Carnival - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8248891090

Dress Shoes, Casual Shoes, Sandals, Boots, Athletic Shoes, Accessories

SCVL EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 0.00%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -76.7%

SCVL Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -4.17%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -40.3%

Description: SCVL Shoe Carnival

Shoe Carnival, Inc. is a prominent family footwear retailer in the United States, offering a diverse range of products including dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots, and athletic shoes for men, women, and children. The company has a strong online presence, selling its products through its e-commerce platforms, www.shoecarnival.com and www.shoestation.com, as well as through its mobile app, providing customers with a seamless shopping experience across multiple channels.

With a history dating back to 1978, Shoe Carnival has established itself as a reputable player in the apparel retail industry, with a headquarters in Evansville, Indiana. The companys business model is centered around its brick-and-mortar stores, as well as its online platforms, allowing it to reach a wide customer base across the United States.

Analyzing the and , we can observe that SCVLs stock has experienced significant fluctuations in the past year, with a 52-week high of $45.13 and a low of $16.75. The current price of $19.01 is below its 20-day SMA of $19.43, indicating a potential downward trend. However, the stocks P/E ratio of 8.41 and forward P/E of 10.27 suggest that it may be undervalued. With a market capitalization of $548.63M and a Return on Equity (RoE) of 10.30%, SCVL appears to be a relatively stable company with room for growth.

Based on the available data, a forecast for SCVLs stock price could be constructed by analyzing its historical trends and fundamental indicators. Given the current price is below its 20-day SMA and the ATR indicates a relatively high volatility, a potential trading strategy could be to buy SCVL at the current price, with a stop-loss around $18.26 (current price - ATR). A potential target price could be around $21.50, based on the stocks historical volatility and the overall market conditions. However, this forecast is subject to change based on various market and economic factors.

SCVL Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	601m
Sub-Industry	Apparel Retail
IPO / Inception	1993-03-16

SCVL Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	-26.3%
Fundamental	53.7%
Dividend Rating	68.8%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-56.0%
Analyst Rating	3.67 of 5

SCVL Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	2.62%
Yield on Cost 5y	3.74%
Annual Growth 5y	24.57%
Payout Consistency	93.9%
Payout Ratio	23.6%

SCVL Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	64.8%
Growth Correlation 12m	-84.8%
Growth Correlation 5y	8.7%
CAGR 5y	6.55%
CAGR/Max DD 5y	0.10
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-2.16
Alpha	-62.89
Beta	0.900
Volatility	46.90%
Current Volume	344.5k
Average Volume 20d	344.5k
Stop Loss	19.8 (-5.3%)
Signal	-1.00

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5

Net Income (65.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 70.8m TTM)

FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.42pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 33.81% (prev 29.77%; Δ 4.04pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 75.9m > Net Income 65.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (286.9m) to EBITDA (118.9m) ratio: 2.41 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 3.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (27.5m) change vs 12m ago 0.25% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 35.40% (prev 35.95%; Δ -0.56pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 105.7% (prev 109.4%; Δ -3.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 192.2 (EBITDA TTM 118.9m / Interest Expense TTM 452.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 6.73

(A) 0.35 = (Total Current Assets 548.6m - Total Current Liabilities 149.6m) / Total Assets 1.14b

(B) 0.68 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 778.5m / Total Assets 1.14b

(D) 1.60 = Book Value of Equity 778.9m / Total Liabilities 486.6m

Total Rating: 6.73 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.74

1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50

2. FCF Yield 4.39% = 2.19

3. FCF Margin 3.36% = 0.84

4. Debt/Equity 0.60 = 2.32

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.32 = -2.16

6. ROIC - WACC 4.65% = 5.81

7. RoE 10.30% = 0.86

8. Rev. Trend -40.34% = -2.02

9. Rev. CAGR -4.17% = -0.70

10. EPS Trend -76.70% = -1.92

11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0

What is the price of SCVL shares?

As of August 30, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 20.90 with a total of 344,496 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.86%, over one month by -1.97%, over three months by +14.14% and over the past year by -48.51%.

Is Shoe Carnival a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Shoe Carnival is currently (August 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 53.74 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SCVL is around 18.60 USD . This means that SCVL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -11%.

Is SCVL a buy, sell or hold?

Shoe Carnival has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefor, it is recommend to hold SCVL.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 0
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SCVL price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	21	0.5%
Analysts Target Price	21	0.5%
ValueRay Target Price	20.2	-3.4%

Last update: 2025-08-30 04:56

SCVL Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 601.1m (601.1m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 93.0m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 8.8368
P/E Forward = 12.0627
P/S = 0.5093
P/B = 0.8833
P/EG = 0.95
Beta = 1.457
Revenue TTM = 1.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 86.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 118.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 336.9m USD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 58.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 395.3m USD (Calculated: Short Term 58.4m + Long Term 336.9m)
Net Debt = 286.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 903.4m USD (601.1m + Debt 395.3m - CCE 93.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 192.2 (Ebit TTM 86.9m / Interest Expense TTM 452.0k)
FCF Yield = 4.39% (FCF TTM 39.6m / Enterprise Value 903.4m)
FCF Margin = 3.36% (FCF TTM 39.6m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Net Margin = 5.58% (Net Income TTM 65.8m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Gross Margin = 35.40% ((Revenue TTM 1.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 762.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.16 (Enterprise Value 903.4m / Book Value Of Equity 778.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 78.0k / Debt 395.3m)
Taxrate = 24.33% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 23.7m / 97.5m)
NOPAT = 65.7m (EBIT 86.9m * (1 - 24.33%))
Current Ratio = 3.67 (Total Current Assets 548.6m / Total Current Liabilities 149.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 395.3m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 653.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.32 (Net Debt 286.9m / EBITDA 118.9m)
Debt / FCF = 9.98 (Debt 395.3m / FCF TTM 39.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 639.2m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 5.77% (Net Income 65.8m, Total Assets 1.14b )
RoE = 10.30% (Net Income TTM 65.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 639.2m)
RoCE = 8.90% (Ebit 86.9m / (Equity 639.2m + L.T.Debt 336.9m))
RoIC = 10.29% (NOPAT 65.7m / Invested Capital 639.2m)
WACC = 5.63% (E(601.1m)/V(996.4m) * Re(9.33%)) + (D(395.3m)/V(996.4m) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -70.0 | Cagr: -0.95%
Discount Rate = 9.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.86% ; FCFE base≈58.3m ; Y1≈38.3m ; Y5≈17.5m
Fair Price DCF = 10.28 (DCF Value 281.1m / Shares Outstanding 27.3m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -40.34 | Revenue CAGR: -4.17%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -0.42
EPS Correlation: -76.70 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -63.90

Additional Sources for SCVL Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle