(SDST) Stardust Power - Ratings and Ratios
Lithium, Battery, Refinery, Carbonate
Description: SDST Stardust Power October 19, 2025
Stardust Power Inc. (NASDAQ: SDST) is a U.S.-based developer of battery-grade lithium products, focused on building a lithium carbonate refinery in Muskogee, Oklahoma. The company, founded in 2022 and headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut, aims to supply the rapidly expanding electric-vehicle (EV) and energy-storage markets with domestically sourced lithium.
Key industry context: U.S. lithium demand is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~15% through 2030, driven by the Inflation Reduction Act’s clean-energy incentives and automakers’ commitments to electrify fleets. Early-stage projects like Stardust’s typically target a production capacity of 30,000–40,000 metric tons per year, which would represent roughly 5% of projected U.S. lithium carbonate supply by 2027. The company’s capital structure includes a $30 million private placement completed in 2023, a common financing benchmark for early-stage lithium refiners.
For a deeper dive into SDST’s financials, project milestones, and peer benchmarking, you may find ValueRay’s analytics platform useful.
SDST Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 39m |
| Sub-Industry | Electrical Components & Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 2024-07-08 |
SDST Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -78.6% |
| Fundamental | 53.8% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -95.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.40 of 5 |
SDST Dividends
Currently no dividends paidSDST Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 37.6% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -86.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -20.5% |
| CAGR 5y | -65.75% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.66 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -1.72 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.42 |
| Alpha | -101.17 |
| Beta | 0.187 |
| Volatility | 126.60% |
| Current Volume | 226.4k |
| Average Volume 20d | 250.3k |
| Stop Loss | 3.8 (-8.4%) |
| Signal | -1.21 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| error: Net Income check cannot be calculated (needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM) |
| FCFTA -1.57 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -113.8pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| error: NWC/Revenue cannot be calculated (needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -1.20 (>3.0%) and CFO -13.5m > Net Income -27.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.25 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (6.32m) change vs 12m ago 35.22% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| error: Gross Margin (current vs previous) cannot be calculated (needs Total Revenue and Cost Of Revenue) |
| Asset Turnover 0.0% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2.39 (EBITDA TTM -19.2m / Interest Expense TTM 8.01m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -47.48
| (A) -0.99 = (Total Current Assets 3.69m - Total Current Liabilities 14.9m) / Total Assets 11.3m |
| (B) -5.32 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -60.1m / Total Assets 11.3m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -5.32 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -2.90 = EBIT TTM -19.2m / Avg Total Assets 6.62m |
| (D) -3.96 = Book Value of Equity -60.1m / Total Liabilities 15.2m |
| Total Rating: -47.48 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.77
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt = -5.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -38.48% = -5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity -2.57 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.14 = 2.49 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 180.0)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 220.0% = 2.50 |
| 8. Revenue Trend data missing |
| 9. EPS Trend -24.23% = -1.21 |
What is the price of SDST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.68%, over one month by +4.01%, over three months by +3.49% and over the past year by -94.53%.
Is Stardust Power a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SDST is around 3.57 USD . This means that SDST is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -13.98%.
Is SDST a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SDST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 30.3 | 628.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 30.3 | 628.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.9 | -6.5% |
SDST Fundamental Data Overview November 01, 2025
Beta = 0.187
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -19.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -19.2m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 10.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 10.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -2.61m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 46.2m USD (39.3m + Debt 10.0m - CCE 3.18m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.39 (Ebit TTM -19.2m / Interest Expense TTM 8.01m)
FCF Yield = -38.48% (FCF TTM -17.8m / Enterprise Value 46.2m)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 3359 ) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.08 (Enterprise Value 46.2m / Total Assets 11.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.79% (Interest Expense 78.8k / Debt 10.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -15.2m (EBIT -19.2m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.25 (Total Current Assets 3.69m / Total Current Liabilities 14.9m)
Debt / Equity = -2.57 (negative equity) (Debt 10.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -3.89m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.14 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -2.61m / EBITDA -19.2m)
Debt / FCF = 0.15 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -2.61m / FCF TTM -17.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -12.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -240.4% (out of range, set to none)
RoE = 220.0% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -27.2m / Total Stockholder Equity -12.4m)
RoCE = 532.6% (negative capital employed) (EBIT -19.2m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 11.3m - Current Liab 14.9m))
RoIC = 185.4% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -15.2m / Invested Capital -8.17m)
WACC = 5.47% (E(39.3m)/V(49.3m) * Re(6.70%) + D(10.0m)/V(49.3m) * Rd(0.79%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 20.40%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -17.8m)
EPS Correlation: -24.23 | EPS CAGR: -1.50% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SDST Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle