(SEAT) Vivid Seats - Ratings and Ratios
Tickets, Marketplace, Resale
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 109% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 156% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.14% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.89 |
| Alpha | -113.60 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.66 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.466 |
| Beta | 1.319 |
| Beta Downside | 0.971 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 96.78% |
| Mean DD | 48.81% |
| Median DD | 45.48% |
Description: SEAT Vivid Seats October 26, 2025
Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ: SEAT) runs an online ticket marketplace across the United States, Canada, and Japan, split into a Marketplace segment that connects buyers and sellers via its branded platforms (Vivid Seats, Vegas.com, Wavedash, and Vivid Picks) and a Resale segment that purchases tickets for secondary-market sales while developing the proprietary Skybox ERP system for inventory and dynamic pricing management.
In FY 2023 the company reported $1.04 billion in total revenue, a 12% year-over-year increase driven primarily by higher average ticket prices and a 9% rise in transaction volume, reflecting continued consumer appetite for live-event experiences as pandemic restrictions receded.
Key economic drivers for Vivid Seats include discretionary consumer spending trends, the resurgence of in-person entertainment, and the growing adoption of mobile-first ticketing solutions; sector-wide, the U.S. secondary ticket market is projected to reach $13 billion by 2027, with price-elastic demand concentrated in sports and music concerts.
Investors seeking a data-rich assessment of Vivid Seats’ valuation metrics and competitive positioning may find the ValueRay platform’s granular financial models and scenario analyses useful for deeper research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (-155.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 38.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.31pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -17.76% (prev -11.21%; Δ -6.55pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO -5.61m > Net Income -155.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (10.3m) change vs 12m ago -1.22% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 71.45% (prev 74.07%; Δ -2.62pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 47.38% (prev 48.06%; Δ -0.68pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -8.46 (EBITDA TTM -150.0m / Interest Expense TTM 23.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -6.34
| (A) -0.10 = (Total Current Assets 233.9m - Total Current Liabilities 348.2m) / Total Assets 1.11b |
| (B) -0.98 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.08b / Total Assets 1.11b |
| (C) -0.15 = EBIT TTM -202.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.36b |
| (D) -1.40 = Book Value of Equity -1.08b / Total Liabilities 771.6m |
| Total Rating: -6.34 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 38.14
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 128.8% |
| 3. FCF Margin -4.73% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.08 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.83 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -32.90)% |
| 7. RoE -54.81% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 21.06% |
| 9. EPS Trend -53.13% |
What is the price of SEAT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.76%, over one month by -14.38%, over three months by -59.34% and over the past year by -90.73%.
Is SEAT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SEAT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 13.1 | 101.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 13.1 | 101.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.1 | -6% |
SEAT Fundamental Data Overview December 19, 2025
P/E Forward = 22.7273
P/S = 0.156
P/B = 0.268
Beta = 0.96
Revenue TTM = 643.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -202.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -150.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 384.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.95m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -124.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = -23.6m USD (100.4m + Debt 21.0m - CCE 145.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -8.46 (Ebit TTM -202.0m / Interest Expense TTM 23.9m)
FCF Yield = 128.8% (FCF TTM -30.4m / Enterprise Value -23.6m)
FCF Margin = -4.73% (FCF TTM -30.4m / Revenue TTM 643.8m)
Net Margin = -24.08% (Net Income TTM -155.0m / Revenue TTM 643.8m)
Gross Margin = 71.45% ((Revenue TTM 643.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 183.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.49% (prev 70.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -0.02 (set to none) (Enterprise Value -23.6m / Total Assets 1.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 29.06% (Interest Expense 6.11m / Debt 21.0m)
Taxrate = 31.89% (-9.23m / -28.9m)
NOPAT = -137.6m (EBIT -202.0m * (1 - 31.89%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.67 (Total Current Assets 233.9m / Total Current Liabilities 348.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 21.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 272.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.83 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -124.1m / EBITDA -150.0m)
Debt / FCF = 4.08 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -124.1m / FCF TTM -30.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 282.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -14.00% (Net Income -155.0m / Total Assets 1.11b)
RoE = -54.81% (Net Income TTM -155.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 282.8m)
RoCE = -30.28% (EBIT -202.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 282.8m + L.T.Debt 384.2m))
RoIC = -20.48% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -137.6m / Invested Capital 671.8m)
WACC = 12.42% (E(100.4m)/V(121.5m) * Re(10.88%) + D(21.0m)/V(121.5m) * Rd(29.06%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 10.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.49%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -30.4m)
EPS Correlation: -53.13 | EPS CAGR: -2.50% | SUE: -0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 21.06 | Revenue CAGR: -4.78% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-1.13 | Chg30d=+0.045 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-3.08 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+89.5% | Growth Revenue=-14.1%
Additional Sources for SEAT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle