SERV Stock Analysis: Serve Robotics Common Stock | NASDAQ
Specialty Industrial Machinery | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 537m USD | 12M Return: -43.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 33.1M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 88.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 2.3 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Serve Robotics Inc. (NASDAQ: SERV) designs, develops, and operates low-emission, self-driving delivery robots used primarily for food delivery in public and commercial spaces across the United States. Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Redwood City, California, the company went public in March 2024 and is classified within the Industrials sector. Its business model centers on autonomous last-mile delivery, partnering with restaurants and food-delivery platforms to deploy sidewalk-based robotic fleets as an alternative to traditional vehicle-based couriers.
- Uber Eats partnership expansion accelerates daily delivery volume growth
- Cash burn and capital raise risk pressure share price
- Sidewalk robot permits and city regulations limit geographic expansion
| Net Income: -137.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.43 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -24.64 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.49k% < 20% (prev 14.9k%; Δ -11.4k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.33 > 3% & CFO -112.2m > Net Income -137.1m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 10.19 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (76.0m) vs 12m ago 107.4% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 1.86% > 50% (prev 0.60%; Δ 1.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -22.1k > 6 (EBIT TTM -141.4m / Interest Expense TTM 6.40k) |
| A: 0.53 (Total Current Assets 201.1m - Total Current Liabilities 19.7m) / Total Assets 340.8m |
| B: -0.76 (Retained Earnings -257.9m / Total Assets 340.8m) |
| C: -0.51 (EBIT TTM -141.4m / Avg Total Assets 278.7m) |
| D: 13.81 (Book Value of Equity 317.8m / Total Liabilities 23.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 12.11 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.28 (Receivables 5.60m/1.10m, Revenue 5.19m/1.31m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 118.5 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.00) |
| SGI: 3.98 (Revenue 5.19m / 1.31m) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI -137.1m - CFO -112.2m) / TA 340.8m) |
| Beneish M = 69.01 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.89 with a total of 2,835,138 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.49%, over one month by -22.60%, over three months by -29.63% and over the past year by -43.56%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.30 (which is 10% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Serve Robotics Common Stock has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SERV.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 18.5 | 213.2% |
P/S = 103.3531
P/B = 1.7458
Revenue TTM = 5.19m USD
EBIT TTM = -141.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -127.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.93m USD (estimated: total debt 4.82m - short term 1.89m)
Short Term Debt = 1.89m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.82m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 4.82m already included)
Net Debt = -182.7m USD (calculated: Debt 4.82m - CCE 187.5m)
Enterprise Value = 354.3m USD (536.9m + Debt 4.82m - CCE 187.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -22.1k (Ebit TTM -141.4m / Interest Expense TTM 6.40k)
EV/FCF = -2.39x (Enterprise Value 354.3m / FCF TTM -147.9m)
FCF Yield = -41.76% (FCF TTM -147.9m / Enterprise Value 354.3m)
FCF Margin = -2.85k% (FCF TTM -147.9m / Revenue TTM 5.19m)
Net Margin = -2.64k% (Net Income TTM -137.1m / Revenue TTM 5.19m)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 5.19m - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.04 (Enterprise Value 354.3m / Total Assets 340.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.13% (Interest Expense 6.40k / Debt 4.82m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -111.7m (EBIT -141.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 10.19 (Total Current Assets 201.1m / Total Current Liabilities 19.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 4.82m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 317.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.43 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -182.7m / EBITDA -127.4m)
Debt / FCF = 1.23 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -182.7m / FCF TTM -147.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 289.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -49.21% (Net Income -137.1m / Total Assets 340.8m)
RoE = -47.31% (Net Income TTM -137.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 289.9m)
RoCE = -48.30% (EBIT -141.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 289.9m + L.T.Debt 2.93m))
RoIC = -34.63% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -111.7m / Invested Capital 322.7m)
WACC = 8.00% (E(536.9m)/V(541.7m) * Re(8.07%) + D(4.82m)/V(541.7m) * Rd(0.13%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 71.91 | Cagr: 37.81%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -147.9m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.91 | Revenue CAGR: 190.5% | SUE: -0.62 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.59 | Chg30d=-16.44% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.56 | Chg30d=-16.67% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.21 | Chg30d=-13.40% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=-89.3% | GrowthRev=+876.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-1.80 | Chg30d=-12.27% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+18.7% | GrowthRev=+199.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -27% (up=4, down=8)