SFIX Stock Analysis: Stitch Fix | NASDAQ
Apparel Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 512m USD | 12M Return: -13% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 9.81M
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -78.1%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 8.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Stitch Fix, Inc. (NASDAQ: SFIX) is a U.S.-based online apparel retailer that sells womens, mens, kids, petite, maternity, and plus clothing, along with shoes, jewelry, and accessories, under its own brand. The company is best known for its data-driven personal styling service, in which customers receive curated clothing shipments based on style profiles, sizing, and feedback-a subscription-style model that blends e-commerce with personalized recommendation algorithms. Originally incorporated in 2011 as rack habit inc. (rebranded to Stitch Fix that October), the company is headquartered in San Francisco, California, and is listed within the Consumer Discretionary sector under the Apparel Retail sub-industry.
- Active client stabilization signals subscription revenue recovery
- Direct buy and Freestyle segments drive diversification beyond Fix model
- Gross margin expansion supports path to sustainable profitability
| Net Income: -19.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.33 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.36% < 20% (prev 13.05%; Δ -3.69% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 37.0m > Net Income -19.1m |
| Net Debt (-112.3m) to EBITDA (9.23m): -12.17 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.50 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (134.7m) vs 12m ago 3.76% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 43.66% > 18% (prev 44.67%; Δ -1.01% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 269.5% > 50% (prev 263.1%; Δ 6.34% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.66 > 6 (EBIT TTM -15.4m / Interest Expense TTM 3.30m) |
| A: 0.25 (Total Current Assets 375.7m - Total Current Liabilities 250.7m) / Total Assets 506.0m |
| B: -1.00 (Retained Earnings -506.5m / Total Assets 506.0m) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -15.4m / Avg Total Assets 495.4m) |
| D: 0.66 (Book Value of Equity 201.5m / Total Liabilities 304.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.16 = CCC |
As of July 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3.56 with a total of 1,330,220 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.29%, over one month by -1.11%, over three months by +15.96% and over the past year by -12.96%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 3.20 (which is 10.1% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Stitch Fix has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SFIX.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 4.7 | 32% |
P/E Forward = 1111.1111
P/S = 0.3838
P/B = 2.5497
Revenue TTM = 1.33b USD
EBIT TTM = -15.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.23m USD
Long Term Debt = 53.2m USD (estimated: total debt 74.5m - short term 21.3m)
Short Term Debt = 21.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 74.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 74.5m already included)
Net Debt = -112.3m USD (calculated: Debt 74.5m - CCE 186.8m)
Enterprise Value = 400.1m USD (512.4m + Debt 74.5m - CCE 186.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.66 (Ebit TTM -15.4m / Interest Expense TTM 3.30m)
EV/FCF = 21.96x (Enterprise Value 400.1m / FCF TTM 18.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.55% (FCF TTM 18.2m / Enterprise Value 400.1m)
FCF Margin = 1.36% (FCF TTM 18.2m / Revenue TTM 1.33b)
Net Margin = -1.43% (Net Income TTM -19.1m / Revenue TTM 1.33b)
Gross Margin = 43.66% ((Revenue TTM 1.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 752.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.74% (prev 43.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.79 (Enterprise Value 400.1m / Total Assets 506.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.43% (Interest Expense 3.30m / Debt 74.5m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -12.2m (EBIT -15.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.50 (Total Current Assets 375.7m / Total Current Liabilities 250.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.37 (Debt 74.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 201.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -12.17 (Net Debt -112.3m / EBITDA 9.23m)
Debt / FCF = -6.16 (Net Debt -112.3m / FCF TTM 18.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 204.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.86% (Net Income -19.1m / Total Assets 506.0m)
RoE = -9.35% (Net Income TTM -19.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 204.5m)
RoCE = -5.97% (EBIT -15.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 204.5m + L.T.Debt 53.2m))
RoIC = -5.79% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -12.2m / Invested Capital 209.9m)
WACC = 12.19% (E(512.4m)/V(586.9m) * Re(13.45%) + D(74.5m)/V(586.9m) * Rd(4.43%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 13.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.56 | Cagr: 5.64%
[DCF] Terminal Value 66.60% ; FCFF base≈15.3m ; Y1≈17.6m ; Y5≈25.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 2.90 (EV 231.3m - Net Debt -112.3m = Equity 343.6m / Shares 118.3m; r=12.19% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.32 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -78.06 | Revenue CAGR: -6.47% | SUE: 1.32 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=-0.13 | Chg30d=+24.08% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+33.8% | GrowthRev=+6.3%
EPS next Year (2027-07-31): EPS=-0.08 | Chg30d=-81.16% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+40.3% | GrowthRev=+4.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +29% (up=3, down=1)