SFM Stock Analysis: Sprouts Farmers Market | NASDAQ

Fresh Produce, Meat Seafood, Vitamins Supplements, Natural Body Care

Total Rating 35

Safety 73

Buy Signal -0.78

Grocery Stores
Industry Rotation: +2.2

Market Cap: 4.48B
Avg Turnover: 183M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility78.8%

VaR 5^th Pctl12.8%

VaR vs Median-1.17%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.69

Rel. Str. IBD4.4

Rel. Str. Peer Group2.3 pctl

Character TTM

Beta0.242

Beta Downside0.409

Hurst Exponent0.449

Choppyness41.2%

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD73.26%

CAGR/Max DD0.15

CAGR/Mean DD0.44

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 29.45%
EPS Trend: 94.4%

Last SUE: -0.12
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 12.10%
Rev. Trend: 98.3%

Last SUE: -0.86
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.4% 5

Feb +1.9% 8

Mar +9.7% 20

Apr +0.1% 16

May +0.4% 7

Jun -2.2% 17

Jul +2.2% 32

Aug -0.6% 7

Sep -4.2% 20

Oct -0.5% 2

Nov +9.7% 46

Dec -0.5% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: SFM Sprouts Farmers Market

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. is a U.S. specialty grocer that operates healthy grocery stores focused on fresh, natural, and organic food products. The company sells both perishable categories-such as produce, meat and meat alternatives, seafood, deli, bakery, floral, and dairy alternatives-and non-perishable categories, including grocery items, vitamins and supplements, bulk foods, frozen items, beer and wine, and natural health and body care. All products are sold under the Sprouts brand.

The company operates within the Consumer Staples sector, specifically the Food Retail sub-industry, where it competes in the natural and organic specialty grocery segment alongside chains such as Whole Foods Market and Natural Grocers, as well as conventional supermarkets that have expanded their organic offerings. Sprouts business model emphasizes a smaller-footprint, value-oriented specialty format that targets health-conscious shoppers seeking lifestyle-friendly ingredients like organic, plant-based, keto, paleo, non-GMO, and gluten-free options.

Sprouts was founded in 1943 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. The company trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol SFM and went public on August 1, 2013, with a current mid-cap market capitalization.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Comp sales growth drives sustained revenue outperformance
New store openings accelerate double-digit unit expansion
Competition from Aldi and Trader Joes pressures market share

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5

Net Income: 496.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.87 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -0.26% < 20% (prev 0.42%; Δ -0.67% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 692.0m > Net Income 496.2m
Net Debt (2.01b) to EBITDA (965.3m): 2.08 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.97 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (93.7m) vs 12m ago -5.11% < -2%
Gross Margin: 37.70% > 18% (prev 37.78%; Δ -0.09% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 215.0% > 50% (prev 215.6%; Δ -0.62% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 249.9 > 6 (EBIT TTM 667.6m / Interest Expense TTM 2.67m)

Altman Z'' 2.06

A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 735.9m - Total Current Liabilities 759.1m) / Total Assets 4.46b
B: 0.15 (Retained Earnings 665.6m / Total Assets 4.46b)
C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 667.6m / Avg Total Assets 4.24b)
D: 0.52 (Book Value of Equity 1.53b / Total Liabilities 2.93b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.06 = BBB

Beneish M -3.49

DSRI: 0.46 (Receivables 31.5m/64.8m, Revenue 9.11b/8.65b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 37.78% / 37.70%)
AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.15)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 9.11b / 8.65b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 496.2m - CFO 692.0m) / TA 4.46b)
Beneish M = -3.49 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of SFM shares?

As of November 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 54.40 with a total of 3,421,938 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.26%, over one month by -16.20%, over three months by -36.80% and over the past year by -35.00%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 49.60 (which is 8.8% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is SFM a buy, sell or hold?

Sprouts Farmers Market has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.81. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SFM.

StrongBuy: 6
Buy: 3
Hold: 6
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the SFM price?

Analysts Target Price	74.4	36.8%

Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 31 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 4.48b (4.48b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.1778
P/E Forward = 10.6724
P/S = 0.4971
P/B = 3.7815
P/EG = 1.3343
Revenue TTM = 9.11b USD
EBIT TTM = 667.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 965.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.04b USD (estimated: total debt 2.24b - short term 196.1m)
Short Term Debt = 196.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.24b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 2.24b already included)
Net Debt = 2.01b USD (calculated: Debt 2.24b - CCE 228.7m)
Enterprise Value = 6.48b USD (4.48b + Debt 2.24b - CCE 228.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 249.9 (Ebit TTM 667.6m / Interest Expense TTM 2.67m)
EV/FCF = 19.31x (Enterprise Value 6.48b / FCF TTM 335.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.18% (FCF TTM 335.6m / Enterprise Value 6.48b)
FCF Margin = 3.68% (FCF TTM 335.6m / Revenue TTM 9.11b)
Net Margin = 5.45% (Net Income TTM 496.2m / Revenue TTM 9.11b)
Gross Margin = 37.70% ((Revenue TTM 9.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.67b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.22% (prev 38.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.45 (Enterprise Value 6.48b / Total Assets 4.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.12% (Interest Expense 2.67m / Debt 2.24b)
Taxrate = 25.34% (168.4m / 664.6m)
NOPAT = 498.4m (EBIT 667.6m * (1 - 25.34%))
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 735.9m / Total Current Liabilities 759.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.46 (Debt 2.24b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.08 (Net Debt 2.01b / EBITDA 965.3m)
Debt / FCF = 5.98 (Net Debt 2.01b / FCF TTM 335.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.71% (Net Income 496.2m / Total Assets 4.46b)
RoE = 33.82% (Net Income TTM 496.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.47b)
RoCE = 19.04% (EBIT 667.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.47b + L.T.Debt 2.04b))
RoIC = 13.59% (NOPAT 498.4m / Invested Capital 3.67b)
WACC = 4.34% (E(4.48b)/V(6.71b) * Re(6.46%) + D(2.24b)/V(6.71b) * Rd(0.12%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 6.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.98 | Cagr: -3.38%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈384.4m ; Y1≈337.1m ; Y5≈272.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 25.36 (EV 4.37b - Net Debt 2.01b = Equity 2.36b / Shares 93.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 94.43 | EPS CAGR: 29.45% | SUE: -0.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.26 | Revenue CAGR: 12.10% | SUE: -0.86 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=1.60 | Chg30d=-13.95% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.96 | Chg30d=-10.55% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-6.6% | GrowthRev=+6.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.22 | Chg30d=-11.72% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+5.3% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -70% (up=0, down=7)