SFM Stock Analysis: Sprouts Farmers Market | NASDAQ
Grocery Stores | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 7.693m USD | 12M Return: -44.3% | US85208M1027 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 148M
EPS Trend: 96.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (NASDAQ: SFM) is a U.S. specialty grocery retailer focused on fresh, natural, and organic foods. Founded in 1943 and headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, the company operates under a single-brand strategy, selling products exclusively under the Sprouts label. It went public in August 2013 and is classified within the Consumer Staples sector (GICS sub-industry: Food Retail).
The companys assortment centers on lifestyle-friendly ingredients such as organic, plant-based, keto, paleo, non-GMO, and gluten-free items. Its perishable offerings span produce, meat and meat alternatives, seafood, deli, bakery, floral, and dairy alternatives, while non-perishables include grocery, vitamins and supplements, bulk items, frozen foods, beer and wine, and natural health and body care. Within the broader food retail sector, Sprouts competes in the differentiated natural-and-organic grocery niche, a segment that emphasizes fresh and health-oriented product mix rather than the full-spectrum, low-price positioning of conventional supermarket chains.
- Comparable store sales growth drives comparable revenue gains
- New store unit expansion accelerates across Sun Belt markets
- Private label penetration lifts gross margin expansion
| Net Income: 502.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.08 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.07% < 20% (prev -0.14%; Δ 0.07% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 673.0m > Net Income 502.9m |
| Net Debt (1.88b) to EBITDA (1.00b): 1.88 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (94.4m) vs 12m ago -4.42% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 37.37% > 18% (prev 38.08%; Δ -0.71% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 221.9% > 50% (prev 222.0%; Δ -0.09% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 311.5 > 6 (EBIT TTM 673.8m / Interest Expense TTM 2.16m) |
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 770.8m - Total Current Liabilities 777.3m) / Total Assets 4.33b |
| B: 0.15 (Retained Earnings 642.2m / Total Assets 4.33b) |
| C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 673.8m / Avg Total Assets 4.06b) |
| D: 0.53 (Book Value of Equity 1.50b / Total Liabilities 2.83b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.15 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 65.5m/61.5m, Revenue 9.00b/8.40b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 38.08% / 37.37%) |
| AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.16) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 9.00b / 8.40b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 502.9m - CFO 673.0m) / TA 4.33b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 80.60 with a total of 1,207,042 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.54%, over one month by +6.36%, over three months by -8.81% and over the past year by -44.26%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 74.60 (which is 7.4% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Sprouts Farmers Market has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SFM.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 94.6 | 17.4% |
P/E Trailing = 15.7744
P/E Forward = 14.9925
P/S = 0.8544
P/B = 5.1238
P/EG = 1.8743
Revenue TTM = 9.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 673.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.92b USD (estimated: total debt 2.11b - short term 182.3m)
Short Term Debt = 182.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.11b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 2.11b already included)
Net Debt = 1.88b USD (calculated: Debt 2.11b - CCE 223.9m)
Enterprise Value = 9.58b USD (7.69b + Debt 2.11b - CCE 223.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 311.5 (Ebit TTM 673.8m / Interest Expense TTM 2.16m)
EV/FCF = 26.96x (Enterprise Value 9.58b / FCF TTM 355.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.71% (FCF TTM 355.2m / Enterprise Value 9.58b)
FCF Margin = 3.94% (FCF TTM 355.2m / Revenue TTM 9.00b)
Net Margin = 5.58% (Net Income TTM 502.9m / Revenue TTM 9.00b)
Gross Margin = 37.37% ((Revenue TTM 9.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.72% (prev 37.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.21 (Enterprise Value 9.58b / Total Assets 4.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.10% (Interest Expense 2.16m / Debt 2.11b)
Taxrate = 25.09% (168.4m / 671.3m)
NOPAT = 504.8m (EBIT 673.8m * (1 - 25.09%))
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 770.8m / Total Current Liabilities 777.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.40 (Debt 2.11b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.88 (Net Debt 1.88b / EBITDA 1.00b)
Debt / FCF = 5.30 (Net Debt 1.88b / FCF TTM 355.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.39% (Net Income 502.9m / Total Assets 4.33b)
RoE = 34.84% (Net Income TTM 502.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.44b)
RoCE = 20.01% (EBIT 673.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.44b + L.T.Debt 1.92b))
RoIC = 14.37% (NOPAT 504.8m / Invested Capital 3.51b)
WACC = 5.71% (E(7.69b)/V(9.80b) * Re(7.25%) + D(2.11b)/V(9.80b) * Rd(0.10%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.97 | Cagr: -3.39%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈414.1m ; Y1≈363.1m ; Y5≈293.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 30.32 (EV 4.71b - Net Debt 1.88b = Equity 2.83b / Shares 93.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.89 | EPS CAGR: 32.71% | SUE: 0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.98 | Revenue CAGR: 12.72% | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=-4.85% | Revisions=-55% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.55 | Chg30d=-0.26% | Revisions=-30% | GrowthEPS=+4.5% | GrowthRev=+7.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.95 | Chg30d=+0.67% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+7.2% | GrowthRev=+7.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -38% (up=6, down=15)