(SFNC) Simmons First National - Overview

Sector: Financial Services | Industry: Banks - Regional | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 3.036m USD | Total Return: 18.1% in 12m

Commercial Loans, Consumer Deposits, Mortgages, Wealth Management, Credit Cards
Total Rating 18
Safety 29
Buy Signal -0.18
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +1.2
Market Cap: 3.04B
Avg Turnover: 18.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility30.9%
VaR 5th Pctl4.85%
VaR vs Median-4.61%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.58
Rel. Str. IBD53.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group41.7
Character TTM
Beta0.873
Beta Downside1.079
Hurst Exponent0.477
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD30.55%
CAGR/Max DD0.44
CAGR/Mean DD0.99
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of SFNC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.62, "2021-06": 0.69, "2021-09": 0.74, "2021-12": 0.42, "2022-03": 0.59, "2022-06": 0.52, "2022-09": 0.64, "2022-12": 0.64, "2023-03": 0.36, "2023-06": 0.46, "2023-09": 0.37, "2023-12": 0.4, "2024-03": 0.32, "2024-06": 0.33, "2024-09": 0.37, "2024-12": 0.39, "2025-03": 0.26, "2025-06": 0.44, "2025-09": 0.46, "2025-12": 0.54, "2026-03": 0.47,
EPS CAGR: -3.22%
EPS Trend: -21.3%
Last SUE: 0.40
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of SFNC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 216.652, 2021-06: 211.554, 2021-09: 209.749, 2021-12: 213.809, 2022-03: 201.239, 2022-06: 241.947, 2022-09: 270.492, 2022-12: 305.88, 2023-03: 308.483, 2023-06: 338.756, 2023-09: 350.907, 2023-12: 343.434, 2024-03: 362.505, 2024-06: 369.229, 2024-09: 348.218, 2024-12: 366.398, 2025-03: 350.963, 2025-06: 354.186, 2025-09: -445.981, 2025-12: 358.807, 2026-03: 301.814,
Rev. CAGR: -24.79%
Rev. Trend: -68.1%
Last SUE: 0.15
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Share dilution 15.4% YoY

Choppy

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: SFNC Simmons First National

Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) is a financial holding company headquartered in Pine Bluff, Arkansas, operating primarily through its subsidiary, Simmons Bank. Founded in 1903, the institution manages a diversified portfolio of consumer, commercial, real estate, and agricultural lending across a six-state footprint including Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas.

The company utilizes a regional banking business model, which typically focuses on capturing low-cost core deposits from local communities to fund higher-yield credit products like SBA and warehouse lending. As a member of the regional banking sector, SFNCs profitability is heavily influenced by the net interest margin (NIM), which represents the spread between the interest income generated from loans and the interest paid to depositors.

In addition to traditional lending, the company generates non-interest income through specialized divisions offering trust and fiduciary services, investment brokerage, insurance, and treasury management. Investors may find it useful to examine ValueRay for a deeper analysis of these revenue streams. The firm maintains a physical presence through branch networks and ATMs while providing digital infrastructure via mobile and internet banking platforms.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin volatility driven by Federal Reserve interest rate policy
  • Loan portfolio concentration in commercial and agricultural sectors impacts credit quality
  • Economic growth trends across Arkansas and Texas drive core deposit growth
  • Non-interest income expansion through trust and treasury management service fees
  • Operating efficiency improvements through digital banking platform adoption and branch optimization
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: -361.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.94 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -132.8% < 20% (prev -1.29k%; Δ 1.16k% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 456.0m > Net Income -361.4m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (145.8m) vs 12m ago 15.44% < -2%
Gross Margin: 7.90% > 18% (prev 0.50%; Δ 740.6% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 2.21% > 50% (prev 5.36%; Δ -3.15% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.05 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -469.3m / Interest Expense TTM 484.8m)
Altman Z'' -0.19
A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 3.60b - Total Current Liabilities 4.35b) / Total Assets 24.7b
B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 901.7m / Total Assets 24.7b)
C: -0.02 (EBIT TTM -509.4m / Avg Total Assets 25.7b)
D: 0.03 (Book Value of Equity 588.8m / Total Liabilities 21.3b)
Altman-Z'' = -0.19 = B
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 2.18 (Receivables 101.6m/117.4m, Revenue 568.8m/1.43b)
GMI: 6.30 (GM 7.90% / 49.77%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.83 / AQ_t-1 0.86)
SGI: 0.40 (Revenue 568.8m / 1.43b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI -361.4m - CFO 456.0m) / TA 24.7b)
Beneish M = 2.26 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of SFNC shares?

As of May 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 21.34 with a total of 951,624 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.05%, over one month by +0.80%, over three months by +6.44% and over the past year by +18.06%.

Is SFNC a buy, sell or hold?

Simmons First National has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SFNC.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SFNC price?
Analysts Target Price 23.6 10.4%
Simmons First National (SFNC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 20 May 2026
P/E Forward = 9.5238
P/S = 37.3125
P/B = 0.8655
P/EG = 3.8253
Revenue TTM = 568.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -509.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -469.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 762.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.71m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 771.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -2.72b USD (calculated: Debt 771.2m - CCE 3.49b)
Enterprise Value = 312.5m USD (3.04b + Debt 771.2m - CCE 3.49b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.05 (Ebit TTM -509.4m / Interest Expense TTM 484.8m)
EV/FCF = -0.93x (Enterprise Value 312.5m / FCF TTM -334.7m)
 FCF Yield = -107.1% (FCF TTM -334.7m / Enterprise Value 312.5m)
 FCF Margin = -58.84% (FCF TTM -334.7m / Revenue TTM 568.8m)
Net Margin = -63.53% (Net Income TTM -361.4m / Revenue TTM 568.8m)
Gross Margin = 7.90% ((Revenue TTM 568.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 523.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 65.33% (prev 65.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.01 (Enterprise Value 312.5m / Total Assets 24.7b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 62.87% (Interest Expense 484.8m / Debt 771.2m)
 Taxrate = 20.36% (17.5m / 86.1m)
NOPAT = -405.6m (EBIT -509.4m * (1 - 20.36%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.78 (Total Current Assets 3.60b / Total Current Liabilities 4.61b)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 771.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.44b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 5.80 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -2.72b / EBITDA -469.3m)
 Debt / FCF = 8.14 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -2.72b / FCF TTM -334.7m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 3.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.40% (Net Income -361.4m / Total Assets 24.7b)
RoE = -10.51% (Net Income TTM -361.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.44b)
RoCE = -12.12% (EBIT -509.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.44b + L.T.Debt 762.5m))
 RoIC = -1.67% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -405.6m / Invested Capital 24.2b)
 WACC = 7.22% (E(3.04b)/V(3.81b) * Re(9.05%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.11 | Cagr: 6.78%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -334.7m)
 EPS Correlation: -21.34 | EPS CAGR: -3.22% | SUE: 0.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -68.13 | Revenue CAGR: -24.79% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=+4.66% | Revisions=+60% | Analysts=6
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.54 | Chg30d=+4.87% | Revisions=+60% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.07 | Chg30d=+2.73% | Revisions=+60% | GrowthEPS=+19.5% | GrowthRev=+11.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.19 | Chg30d=+3.21% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+6.1% | GrowthRev=+4.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +60%