(SGD) Safe Green Development - Ratings and Ratios
Real Estate Development, Housing, AI Platform, Virtual Assistant
Description: SGD Safe Green Development October 21, 2025
Safe and Green Development Corporation (NASDAQ: SGD) is a U.S.–based public company founded in 2021 and headquartered in Miami, Florida. It trades as common stock and is classified under the GICS sub-industry “Real Estate Development.” The firm rebranded from SGB Development Corp. to its current name in December 2022.
The business operates two distinct segments. The Real Estate Development segment focuses on building single- and multi-family housing projects, targeting banks, home builders, and institutional investors. As of Q3 2024, the U.S. multi-family construction pipeline stood at roughly 1.4 billion square feet, and the median cap rate for similar assets was about 4.8 % (source: NCREIF), suggesting a sizable addressable market for SGD’s development pipeline.
The Technology segment delivers the Majestic AI-Powered Platform-a software ecosystem intended to decentralize and streamline real-estate transactions-and MyVONIA, an AI-driven virtual assistant that leverages natural-language processing for text-based customer interactions. PropTech adoption is accelerating; a recent PwC survey shows 38 % of real-estate firms plan to increase AI spending in the next 12 months, providing a tailwind for SGD’s tech offerings.
Key economic drivers that could influence SGD’s performance include: (1) the ongoing shortage of affordable housing, which has kept demand for new multi-family units robust; (2) construction-cost inflation, measured by the Engineering News-Record index, which rose ≈ 7 % YoY in Q2 2024, potentially compressing margins; and (3) interest-rate volatility, as higher rates tend to dampen home-buyer financing but can boost rental demand, benefitting multi-family developers.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of SGD’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a transparent, model-based dashboard worth exploring.
SGD Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6m |
| Sub-Industry | Real Estate Development |
| IPO / Inception | 2023-09-19 |
SGD Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -86.5% |
| Fundamental | 24.6% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -74.8% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
SGD Dividends
Currently no dividends paidSGD Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -7.8% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -59.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -94.4% |
| CAGR 5y | -90.05% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.91 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.97 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.36 |
| Alpha | -129.09 |
| Beta | 3.604 |
| Volatility | 123.27% |
| Current Volume | 77.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 405.9k |
| Stop Loss | 0.9 (-8.2%) |
| Signal | -0.73 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income (-11.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 92.2k TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 27.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1740 % (prev -9481 %; Δ 7741 pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO -783.9k > Net Income -11.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.49m) change vs 12m ago -83.81% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 63.14% (prev 99.53%; Δ -36.39pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 5.94% (prev 0.73%; Δ 5.21pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2.14 (EBITDA TTM -7.55m / Interest Expense TTM 3.63m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -9.23
| (A) -0.68 = (Total Current Assets 3.64m - Total Current Liabilities 30.4m) / Total Assets 39.1m |
| (B) -0.61 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -23.9m / Total Assets 39.1m |
| (C) -0.30 = EBIT TTM -7.76m / Avg Total Assets 25.9m |
| (D) -0.69 = Book Value of Equity -23.9m / Total Liabilities 34.7m |
| Total Rating: -9.23 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 24.61
| 1. Piotroski 1.0pt = -4.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -6.78% = -3.39 |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 6.34 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -3.48 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -97.10)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -841.2% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 52.59% = 3.94 |
| 9. EPS Trend -38.88% = -1.94 |
What is the price of SGD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.57%, over one month by -36.26%, over three months by -22.10% and over the past year by -69.86%.
Is Safe Green Development a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SGD is around 0.90 USD . This means that SGD is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -8.16%.
Is SGD a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the SGD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.6 | 977.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1 | -2% |
SGD Fundamental Data Overview October 20, 2025
P/S = 3.818
P/B = 1.4042
Beta = 3.604
Revenue TTM = 1.54m USD
EBIT TTM = -7.76m USD
EBITDA TTM = -7.55m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.96m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 22.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 26.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 26.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 32.2m USD (5.87m + Debt 26.7m - CCE 403.1k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.14 (Ebit TTM -7.76m / Interest Expense TTM 3.63m)
FCF Yield = -6.78% (FCF TTM -2.18m / Enterprise Value 32.2m)
FCF Margin = -142.1% (FCF TTM -2.18m / Revenue TTM 1.54m)
Net Margin = -766.5% (Net Income TTM -11.8m / Revenue TTM 1.54m)
Gross Margin = 63.14% ((Revenue TTM 1.54m - Cost of Revenue TTM 566.2k) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.86% (prev 35.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 32.2m / Total Assets 39.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.11% (Interest Expense 830.2k / Debt 26.7m)
Taxrate = 100.0% (out of range, set to none) (-8.91m / -8.91m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 0.12 (Total Current Assets 3.64m / Total Current Liabilities 30.4m)
Debt / Equity = 6.34 (Debt 26.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.21m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.48 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 26.3m / EBITDA -7.55m)
Debt / FCF = -12.05 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 26.3m / FCF TTM -2.18m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.40m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -30.14% (Net Income -11.8m / Total Assets 39.1m)
RoE = -841.2% (Net Income TTM -11.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.40m)
RoCE = -178.1% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -7.76m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.40m + L.T.Debt 2.96m))
RoIC = -93.63% (negative operating profit) (EBIT -7.76m / (Assets 39.1m - Curr.Liab 30.4m - Cash 403.1k))
WACC = 3.47% (E(5.87m)/V(32.6m) * Re(19.30%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 19.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 17.95%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.18m)
EPS Correlation: -38.88 | EPS CAGR: -94.49% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 52.59 | Revenue CAGR: 1344 % | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SGD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle