(SGML) Sigma Lithium Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Lithium, Spodumene, Battery-Grade
SGML EPS (Earnings per Share)
SGML Revenue
Description: SGML Sigma Lithium Resources October 24, 2025
Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ: SGML) focuses on exploring and developing lithium projects in Brazil, holding 100 % of the Grota do Cirilo, Genipapo, Santa Clara, and São José properties. These four mineral-rights parcels span roughly 185 km² across the Araçuaí and Itinga districts of Minas Gerais, positioning the firm within the rapidly expanding lithium-ion battery supply chain for electric-vehicle manufacturers.
Recent disclosures indicate the company’s combined inferred resource exceeds 13 million tonnes of lithium-carbonate equivalent (LCE) and that a Phase 1 production target of ~30,000 tpa is slated for 2026, contingent on securing project financing. Brazil’s favorable mining tax regime and its status as a top-10 global lithium producer provide a macro-level cost advantage relative to peers in Australia and Chile, while domestic EV policy incentives are expected to boost local demand for battery-grade lithium.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s detailed model on Sigma Lithium worth reviewing.
SGML Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 675m | 
| Sub-Industry | Diversified Metals & Mining | 
| IPO / Inception | 2021-09-13 | 
SGML Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -66.5% | 
| Fundamental | 38.5% | 
| Dividend Rating | - | 
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -68.1% | 
| Analyst Rating | 4.33 of 5 | 
SGML Dividends
Currently no dividends paidSGML Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 23.5% | 
| Growth Correlation 12m | -80.9% | 
| Growth Correlation 5y | 18.8% | 
| CAGR 5y | -46.07% | 
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.51 | 
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.89 | 
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.83 | 
| Alpha | -66.60 | 
| Beta | 0.016 | 
| Volatility | 107.86% | 
| Current Volume | 14435.4k | 
| Average Volume 20d | 4952.1k | 
| Stop Loss | 4.9 (-8.6%) | 
| Signal | -1.71 | 
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-60.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 9.60m TTM) | 
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 13.70pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) | 
| NWC/Revenue -38.80% (prev 3.48%; Δ -42.28pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) | 
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 20.2m > Net Income -60.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) | 
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) | 
| Current Ratio 0.60 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) | 
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (111.3m) change vs 12m ago 0.68% (target <= -2.0% for YES) | 
| Gross Margin 10.76% (prev 40.69%; Δ -29.93pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) | 
| Asset Turnover 31.24% (prev 51.97%; Δ -20.73pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) | 
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2.49 (EBITDA TTM -40.7m / Interest Expense TTM 22.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) | 
Altman Z'' -3.56
| (A) -0.14 = (Total Current Assets 95.0m - Total Current Liabilities 157.1m) / Total Assets 457.9m | 
| (B) -0.72 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -328.4m / Total Assets 457.9m | 
| (C) -0.11 = EBIT TTM -55.4m / Avg Total Assets 512.3m | 
| (D) 0.38 = Book Value of Equity 125.2m / Total Liabilities 332.7m | 
| Total Rating: -3.56 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) | 
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 38.49
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 | 
| 2. FCF Yield 0.90% = 0.45 | 
| 3. FCF Margin 6.51% = 1.63 | 
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.87 = 0.97 | 
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -5.24 = -2.50 | 
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -21.13)% = -12.50 | 
| 7. RoE -46.92% = -2.50 | 
| 8. Rev. Trend 72.16% = 5.41 | 
| 9. EPS Trend -9.24% = -0.46 | 
What is the price of SGML shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.72%, over one month by -28.50%, over three months by +5.41% and over the past year by -61.25%.
Is Sigma Lithium Resources a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SGML is around 4.12 USD . This means that SGML is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -23.13%.
Is SGML a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
 - Buy: 2
 - Hold: 0
 - Sell: 0
 - Strong Sell: 0
 
What are the forecasts/targets for the SGML price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current | 
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.5 | 77.2% | 
| Analysts Target Price | 9.5 | 77.2% | 
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.5 | -16.8% | 
SGML Fundamental Data Overview October 27, 2025
P/E Forward = 23.0415
P/S = 5.0173
P/B = 7.124
Beta = 0.016
Revenue TTM = 160.0m CAD
EBIT TTM = -55.4m CAD
EBITDA TTM = -40.7m CAD
Long Term Debt = 161.1m CAD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 76.3m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 233.9m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 213.3m CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.16b CAD (949.2m + Debt 233.9m - CCE 20.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.49 (Ebit TTM -55.4m / Interest Expense TTM 22.3m)
FCF Yield = 0.90% (FCF TTM 10.4m / Enterprise Value 1.16b)
FCF Margin = 6.51% (FCF TTM 10.4m / Revenue TTM 160.0m)
Net Margin = -37.52% (Net Income TTM -60.1m / Revenue TTM 160.0m)
Gross Margin = 10.76% ((Revenue TTM 160.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 142.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -39.53% (prev 28.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.54 (Enterprise Value 1.16b / Total Assets 457.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.20% (Interest Expense 5.14m / Debt 233.9m)
Taxrate = -0.0% (0.0 / -18.9m)
NOPAT = -55.4m (EBIT -55.4m * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.60 (Total Current Assets 95.0m / Total Current Liabilities 157.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.87 (Debt 233.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 125.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.24 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 213.3m / EBITDA -40.7m)
Debt / FCF = 20.48 (Net Debt 213.3m / FCF TTM 10.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 128.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -13.11% (Net Income -60.1m / Total Assets 457.9m)
RoE = -46.92% (Net Income TTM -60.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 128.0m)
RoCE = -19.15% (EBIT -55.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 128.0m + L.T.Debt 161.1m))
RoIC = -15.82% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -55.4m / Invested Capital 350.0m)
WACC = 5.30% (E(949.2m)/V(1.18b) * Re(6.07%) + D(233.9m)/V(1.18b) * Rd(2.20%) * (1-Tc(-0.0)))
Discount Rate = 6.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.55%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.38% ; FCFE base≈10.4m ; Y1≈7.12m ; Y5≈3.54m
Fair Price DCF = 0.62 (DCF Value 68.6m / Shares Outstanding 111.3m; 5y FCF grow -36.97% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -9.24 | EPS CAGR: 30.49% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 72.16 | Revenue CAGR: 85.23% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SGML Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle