(SGML) Sigma Lithium Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: Brazil •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: CA8265991023
Lithium, Spodumene, Battery-Grade
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 125% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 186% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.14 |
| Alpha | -47.27 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.39 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.605 |
| Beta | 1.636 |
| Beta Downside | 2.330 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 89.91% |
| Mean DD | 53.79% |
| Median DD | 67.71% |
Description: SGML Sigma Lithium Resources October 24, 2025
Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ: SGML) focuses on exploring and developing lithium projects in Brazil, holding 100 % of the Grota do Cirilo, Genipapo, Santa Clara, and São José properties. These four mineral-rights parcels span roughly 185 km² across the Araçuaí and Itinga districts of Minas Gerais, positioning the firm within the rapidly expanding lithium-ion battery supply chain for electric-vehicle manufacturers.
Recent disclosures indicate the company’s combined inferred resource exceeds 13 million tonnes of lithium-carbonate equivalent (LCE) and that a Phase 1 production target of ~30,000 tpa is slated for 2026, contingent on securing project financing. Brazil’s favorable mining tax regime and its status as a top-10 global lithium producer provide a macro-level cost advantage relative to peers in Australia and Chile, while domestic EV policy incentives are expected to boost local demand for battery-grade lithium.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s detailed model on Sigma Lithium worth reviewing.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-37.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 9.62m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -13.10pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -40.87% (prev -18.80%; Δ -22.06pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO -24.2m > Net Income -37.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.49 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (111.3m) change vs 12m ago 0.44% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 16.93% (prev 13.81%; Δ 3.13pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 38.11% (prev 31.16%; Δ 6.95pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.14 (EBITDA TTM -15.8m / Interest Expense TTM 21.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.80
| (A) -0.19 = (Total Current Assets 62.8m - Total Current Liabilities 128.3m) / Total Assets 342.8m |
| (B) -0.74 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -252.7m / Total Assets 342.8m |
| (C) -0.06 = EBIT TTM -25.0m / Avg Total Assets 420.6m |
| (D) 0.25 = Book Value of Equity 64.0m / Total Liabilities 259.0m |
| Total Rating: -3.80 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 27.79
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.90% |
| 3. FCF Margin -20.08% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.99 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -10.13 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -19.75)% |
| 7. RoE -33.39% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 79.28% |
| 9. EPS Trend -0.09% |
What is the price of SGML shares?
As of December 05, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 9.98 with a total of 2,993,437 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.76%, over one month by +113.25%, over three months by +65.23% and over the past year by -21.17%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.76%, over one month by +113.25%, over three months by +65.23% and over the past year by -21.17%.
Is SGML a buy, sell or hold?
Sigma Lithium Resources has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy SGML.
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SGML price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.5 | -14.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.5 | -14.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9.4 | -6.1% |
SGML Fundamental Data Overview November 24, 2025
Market Cap CAD = 1.54b (1.10b USD * 1.4005 USD.CAD)
P/E Forward = 25.5754
P/S = 7.8954
P/B = 13.0438
Beta = 0.08
Revenue TTM = 160.3m CAD
EBIT TTM = -25.0m CAD
EBITDA TTM = -15.8m CAD
Long Term Debt = 113.3m CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 50.9m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 166.4m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 160.3m CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.70b CAD (1.54b + Debt 166.4m - CCE 6.11m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.14 (Ebit TTM -25.0m / Interest Expense TTM 21.8m)
FCF Yield = -1.90% (FCF TTM -32.2m / Enterprise Value 1.70b)
FCF Margin = -20.08% (FCF TTM -32.2m / Revenue TTM 160.3m)
Net Margin = -23.32% (Net Income TTM -37.4m / Revenue TTM 160.3m)
Gross Margin = 16.93% ((Revenue TTM 160.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 133.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -5.37% (prev -39.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.95 (Enterprise Value 1.70b / Total Assets 342.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.69% (Interest Expense 6.14m / Debt 166.4m)
Taxrate = 0.88% (-103.0k / -11.7m)
NOPAT = -24.8m (EBIT -25.0m * (1 - 0.88%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.49 (Total Current Assets 62.8m / Total Current Liabilities 128.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.99 (Debt 166.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 83.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -10.13 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 160.3m / EBITDA -15.8m)
Debt / FCF = -4.98 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 160.3m / FCF TTM -32.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 112.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -10.91% (Net Income -37.4m / Total Assets 342.8m)
RoE = -33.39% (Net Income TTM -37.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 112.0m)
RoCE = -11.09% (EBIT -25.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 112.0m + L.T.Debt 113.3m))
RoIC = -8.53% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -24.8m / Invested Capital 290.5m)
WACC = 11.22% (E(1.54b)/V(1.70b) * Re(12.04%) + D(166.4m)/V(1.70b) * Rd(3.69%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 12.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.57%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -32.2m)
EPS Correlation: -0.09 | EPS CAGR: -0.18% | SUE: -0.34 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.28 | Revenue CAGR: 109.9% | SUE: -0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=-0.230 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+168.9% | Growth Revenue=+50.2%
P/E Forward = 25.5754
P/S = 7.8954
P/B = 13.0438
Beta = 0.08
Revenue TTM = 160.3m CAD
EBIT TTM = -25.0m CAD
EBITDA TTM = -15.8m CAD
Long Term Debt = 113.3m CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 50.9m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 166.4m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 160.3m CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.70b CAD (1.54b + Debt 166.4m - CCE 6.11m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.14 (Ebit TTM -25.0m / Interest Expense TTM 21.8m)
FCF Yield = -1.90% (FCF TTM -32.2m / Enterprise Value 1.70b)
FCF Margin = -20.08% (FCF TTM -32.2m / Revenue TTM 160.3m)
Net Margin = -23.32% (Net Income TTM -37.4m / Revenue TTM 160.3m)
Gross Margin = 16.93% ((Revenue TTM 160.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 133.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -5.37% (prev -39.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.95 (Enterprise Value 1.70b / Total Assets 342.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.69% (Interest Expense 6.14m / Debt 166.4m)
Taxrate = 0.88% (-103.0k / -11.7m)
NOPAT = -24.8m (EBIT -25.0m * (1 - 0.88%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.49 (Total Current Assets 62.8m / Total Current Liabilities 128.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.99 (Debt 166.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 83.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -10.13 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 160.3m / EBITDA -15.8m)
Debt / FCF = -4.98 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 160.3m / FCF TTM -32.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 112.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -10.91% (Net Income -37.4m / Total Assets 342.8m)
RoE = -33.39% (Net Income TTM -37.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 112.0m)
RoCE = -11.09% (EBIT -25.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 112.0m + L.T.Debt 113.3m))
RoIC = -8.53% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -24.8m / Invested Capital 290.5m)
WACC = 11.22% (E(1.54b)/V(1.70b) * Re(12.04%) + D(166.4m)/V(1.70b) * Rd(3.69%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 12.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.57%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -32.2m)
EPS Correlation: -0.09 | EPS CAGR: -0.18% | SUE: -0.34 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.28 | Revenue CAGR: 109.9% | SUE: -0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=-0.230 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+168.9% | Growth Revenue=+50.2%
Additional Sources for SGML Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle