(SGML) Sigma Lithium Resources - NASDAQ

Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.696m USD | Total Return: 186.8% in 12m

Lithium Concentrate, Spodumene, Battery Minerals
Total Rating 38
Safety 33
Buy Signal 0.47
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: -10.6
Market Cap: 1.70B
Avg Turnover: 39.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility107%
VaR 5th Pctl17.6%
VaR vs Median-0.19%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.39
Rel. Str. IBD93.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group82.7
Character TTM
Beta2.146
Beta Downside1.636
Hurst Exponent0.491
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD89.59%
CAGR/Max DD-0.32
CAGR/Mean DD-0.45
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of SGML over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.0095, "2021-09": -0.0991, "2021-12": -0.17, "2022-03": -0.1, "2022-06": -0.15, "2022-09": -0.12, "2022-12": null, "2023-03": -0.0719, "2023-06": -0.2161, "2023-09": 0.3341, "2023-12": -0.0799, "2024-03": -0.08, "2024-06": -0.13, "2024-09": -0.2212, "2024-12": -0.07, "2025-03": -0.0751, "2025-06": -0.17, "2025-09": -0.1, "2025-12": -0.22, "2026-03": 0.1,
Last SUE: 0.73
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of SGML over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 0, 2021-09: 0, 2021-12: 0, 2022-03: 0, 2022-06: 0, 2022-09: 0, 2022-12: 0, 2023-03: 0, 2023-06: 0, 2023-09: 129.925, 2023-12: 51.306, 2024-03: 37.202, 2024-06: 45.92, 2024-09: 20.894, 2024-12: 67.207, 2025-03: 33.475503, 2025-06: 12.395454, 2025-09: 28.549, 2025-12: 16.903, 2026-03: 41.75549,
Rev. CAGR: -22.09%
Rev. Trend: -74.2%
Last SUE: -1.03
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA (13.1) with thin interest coverage (-0.2)

High Debt while negative Cash Flow

Interest Coverage Ratio -0.2 is critical

Altman Z'' -5.35 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Choppy

Tailwinds

Rs Leader, Idiosyncratic Leader

Description: SGML Sigma Lithium Resources

Sigma Lithium Corporation is a Toronto-based mining firm focused on the exploration and development of lithium deposits in Brazil. The company primarily targets the lithium-ion battery supply chain, positioning itself as a raw material provider for the global electric vehicle industry.

The company operates within the hard-rock lithium sector, which typically utilizes spodumene concentrate processing to produce battery-grade chemicals. As demand for high-energy-density batteries increases, vertically integrated mining operations in stable jurisdictions have become critical components of the automotive transition from internal combustion engines.

Further analysis of the companys valuation metrics and project pipeline can be found at ValueRay. Investors should monitor the progress of its Grota do Cirilo project, which represents one of the largest hard-rock lithium deposits in the Americas.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Ramp-up of Phase 1 production at Grota do Cirilo drives revenue growth
  • Fluctuations in global lithium spodumene prices impact quarterly earnings volatility
  • Operational cost management at Brazilian mining sites determines net profit margins
  • Strategic partnerships with global EV battery manufacturers secure long-term offtake agreements
  • Brazilian regulatory environment and environmental licensing affect future expansion timelines
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: -38.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.91 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -145.6% < 20% (prev -9.99%; Δ -135.6% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 2.21m > Net Income -38.9m
Net Debt (125.2m) to EBITDA (9.53m): 13.13 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.32 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (111.4m) vs 12m ago 0.11% < -2%
Gross Margin: 30.02% > 18% (prev 23.38%; Δ 6.63% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 29.52% > 50% (prev 48.09%; Δ -18.56% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.17 > 6 (EBIT TTM -3.43m / Interest Expense TTM 20.2m)
Altman Z'' -5.35
A: -0.44 (Total Current Assets 69.4m - Total Current Liabilities 214.4m) / Total Assets 326.4m
B: -0.82 (Retained Earnings -266.9m / Total Assets 326.4m)
C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -3.43m / Avg Total Assets 337.4m)
D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 72.6m / Total Liabilities 253.8m)
Altman-Z'' = -5.35 = D
Beneish M -2.74
DSRI: 1.25 (Receivables 26.8m/36.1m, Revenue 99.6m/167.5m)
GMI: 0.78 (GM 23.38% / 30.02%)
AQI: 1.98 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.13)
SGI: 0.59 (Revenue 99.6m / 167.5m)
TATA: -0.13 (NI -38.9m - CFO 2.21m) / TA 326.4m)
Beneish M = -2.74 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of SGML shares?

As of June 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.65 with a total of 6,150,400 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.33%, over one month by -8.70%, over three months by +38.02% and over the past year by +186.76%.

Is SGML a buy, sell or hold?

Sigma Lithium Resources has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SGML.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SGML price?
Analysts Target Price 20.6 51.1%
Sigma Lithium Resources (SGML) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 17 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.70b (1.70b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 13.459
P/S = 16.1972
P/B = 23.8383
Revenue TTM = 99.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -3.43m USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.53m USD
Long Term Debt = 13.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 122.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 140.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.99m
Net Debt = 125.2m USD (calculated: Debt 140.3m - CCE 15.2m)
Enterprise Value = 1.82b USD (1.70b + Debt 140.3m - CCE 15.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.17 (Ebit TTM -3.43m / Interest Expense TTM 20.2m)
EV/FCF = -303.1x (Enterprise Value 1.82b / FCF TTM -6.01m)
FCF Yield = -0.33% (FCF TTM -6.01m / Enterprise Value 1.82b)
FCF Margin = -6.03% (FCF TTM -6.01m / Revenue TTM 99.6m)
Net Margin = -39.07% (Net Income TTM -38.9m / Revenue TTM 99.6m)
Gross Margin = 30.02% ((Revenue TTM 99.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 69.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.45% (prev 77.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.58 (Enterprise Value 1.82b / Total Assets 326.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 14.40% (Interest Expense 20.2m / Debt 140.3m)
Taxrate = 27.79% (4.23m / 15.2m)
NOPAT = -2.48m (EBIT -3.43m * (1 - 27.79%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.32 (Total Current Assets 69.4m / Total Current Liabilities 214.4m)
Debt / Equity = 1.93 (Debt 140.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 72.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 13.13 (Net Debt 125.2m / EBITDA 9.53m)
 Debt / FCF = -20.83 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 125.2m / FCF TTM -6.01m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 76.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.54% (Net Income -38.9m / Total Assets 326.4m)
RoE = -51.05% (Net Income TTM -38.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 76.2m)
RoCE = -3.84% (EBIT -3.43m / Capital Employed (Equity 76.2m + L.T.Debt 13.3m))
 RoIC = -1.08% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.48m / Invested Capital 229.2m)
 WACC = 13.29% (E(1.70b)/V(1.84b) * Re(13.53%) + D(140.3m)/V(1.84b) * Rd(14.40%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 13.53% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 76.41 | Cagr: 0.54%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -6.01m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.73 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -74.17 | Revenue CAGR: -22.09% | SUE: -1.03 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=-10.43% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.44 | Chg30d=+55.31% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=+26.31% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+348.9% | GrowthRev=+242.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.60 | Chg30d=+44.27% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+43.3% | GrowthRev=+41.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%