Overview Dividends

(SGML) Sigma Lithium Resources - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: Brazil • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA8265991023

Lithium, Spodumene, Battery-Grade

SGML EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of SGML over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": -0.0034, "2020-12": -0.01, "2021-03": -0.01, "2021-06": -0.0095, "2021-09": -0.0991, "2021-12": -0.17, "2022-03": -0.1, "2022-06": -0.15, "2022-09": -0.12, "2022-12": null, "2023-03": -0.0719, "2023-06": -0.2161, "2023-09": 0.3341, "2023-12": -0.0799, "2024-03": -0.08, "2024-06": -0.13, "2024-09": -0.2212, "2024-12": -0.07, "2025-03": -0.0751, "2025-06": -0.17, "2025-09": 0,
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 30.49%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -9.2%

SGML Revenue

Revenue of SGML over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 0, 2020-12: 0, 2021-03: 0, 2021-06: 0, 2021-09: 0, 2021-12: 0, 2022-03: 0, 2022-06: 0, 2022-09: 0, 2022-12: 0, 2023-03: 0, 2023-06: 0, 2023-09: 129.925, 2023-12: 51.306, 2024-03: 50.408, 2024-06: 62.857, 2024-09: 28.275, 2024-12: 67.207, 2025-03: 47.673, 2025-06: 16.888, 2025-09: null,
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 85.23%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 72.2%
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 143%
Value at Risk 5%th 214%
Reward
Sharpe Ratio -0.52
Alpha -59.70
Character
Hurst Exponent 0.547
Beta 0.080
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 89.91%
Mean DD 52.20%

Description: SGML Sigma Lithium Resources October 24, 2025

Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ: SGML) focuses on exploring and developing lithium projects in Brazil, holding 100 % of the Grota do Cirilo, Genipapo, Santa Clara, and São José properties. These four mineral-rights parcels span roughly 185 km² across the Araçuaí and Itinga districts of Minas Gerais, positioning the firm within the rapidly expanding lithium-ion battery supply chain for electric-vehicle manufacturers.

Recent disclosures indicate the company’s combined inferred resource exceeds 13 million tonnes of lithium-carbonate equivalent (LCE) and that a Phase 1 production target of ~30,000 tpa is slated for 2026, contingent on securing project financing. Brazil’s favorable mining tax regime and its status as a top-10 global lithium producer provide a macro-level cost advantage relative to peers in Australia and Chile, while domestic EV policy incentives are expected to boost local demand for battery-grade lithium.

For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s detailed model on Sigma Lithium worth reviewing.

SGML Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 596m
Sub-Industry Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception 2021-09-13
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -61.7%
Analyst Rating 4.33 of 5

SGML Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

SGML Growth Ratios

CAGR -44.71%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio -0.50
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio -0.86
Current Volume 5158.5k
Average Volume 4952.1k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income (-60.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 9.60m TTM)
FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 13.70pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -38.80% (prev 3.48%; Δ -42.28pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 20.2m > Net Income -60.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio 0.60 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (111.3m) change vs 12m ago 0.68% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 10.76% (prev 40.69%; Δ -29.93pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 31.24% (prev 51.97%; Δ -20.73pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -2.29 (EBITDA TTM -36.2m / Interest Expense TTM 22.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -3.50

(A) -0.14 = (Total Current Assets 95.0m - Total Current Liabilities 157.1m) / Total Assets 457.9m
(B) -0.72 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -328.4m / Total Assets 457.9m
(C) -0.10 = EBIT TTM -50.9m / Avg Total Assets 512.3m
(D) 0.38 = Book Value of Equity 125.2m / Total Liabilities 332.7m
Total Rating: -3.50 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 38.54

1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0
2. FCF Yield 0.99% = 0.50
3. FCF Margin 6.51% = 1.63
4. Debt/Equity 1.87 = 0.97
5. Debt/Ebitda -5.89 = -2.50
6. ROIC - WACC (= -19.96)% = -12.50
7. RoE -46.92% = -2.50
8. Rev. Trend 72.16% = 5.41
9. EPS Trend -9.24% = -0.46

What is the price of SGML shares?

As of November 11, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 6.02 with a total of 5,158,480 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +12.42%, over one month by -3.53%, over three months by -9.88% and over the past year by -55.90%.

Is Sigma Lithium Resources a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Sigma Lithium Resources (NASDAQ:SGML) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 38.54 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SGML is around 4.73 USD . This means that SGML is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -21.43%.

Is SGML a buy, sell or hold?

Sigma Lithium Resources has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SGML.
  • Strong Buy: 1
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SGML price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 8.5 41.2%
Analysts Target Price 8.5 41.2%
ValueRay Target Price 5.1 -15%

SGML Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025

Market Cap CAD = 836.7m (596.3m USD * 1.4032 USD.CAD)
P/E Forward = 23.0415
P/S = 4.4333
P/B = 7.124
Beta = 0.08
Revenue TTM = 160.0m CAD
EBIT TTM = -50.9m CAD
EBITDA TTM = -36.2m CAD
Long Term Debt = 161.1m CAD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 76.3m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 233.9m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 213.3m CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.05b CAD (836.7m + Debt 233.9m - CCE 20.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.29 (Ebit TTM -50.9m / Interest Expense TTM 22.3m)
FCF Yield = 0.99% (FCF TTM 10.4m / Enterprise Value 1.05b)
FCF Margin = 6.51% (FCF TTM 10.4m / Revenue TTM 160.0m)
Net Margin = -37.52% (Net Income TTM -60.1m / Revenue TTM 160.0m)
Gross Margin = 10.76% ((Revenue TTM 160.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 142.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -39.53% (prev 28.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.29 (Enterprise Value 1.05b / Total Assets 457.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.20% (Interest Expense 5.14m / Debt 233.9m)
Taxrate = -0.0% (0.0 / -18.9m)
NOPAT = -50.9m (EBIT -50.9m * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.60 (Total Current Assets 95.0m / Total Current Liabilities 157.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.87 (Debt 233.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 125.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.89 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 213.3m / EBITDA -36.2m)
Debt / FCF = 20.48 (Net Debt 213.3m / FCF TTM 10.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 128.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -13.11% (Net Income -60.1m / Total Assets 457.9m)
RoE = -46.92% (Net Income TTM -60.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 128.0m)
RoCE = -17.61% (EBIT -50.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 128.0m + L.T.Debt 161.1m))
RoIC = -14.55% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -50.9m / Invested Capital 350.0m)
WACC = 5.41% (E(836.7m)/V(1.07b) * Re(6.31%) + D(233.9m)/V(1.07b) * Rd(2.20%) * (1-Tc(-0.0)))
Discount Rate = 6.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.55%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.38% ; FCFE base≈10.4m ; Y1≈7.12m ; Y5≈3.54m
Fair Price DCF = 0.62 (DCF Value 68.6m / Shares Outstanding 111.3m; 5y FCF grow -36.97% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -9.24 | EPS CAGR: 30.49% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 72.16 | Revenue CAGR: 85.23% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for SGML Stock

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