(SHOO) Steven Madden - Ratings and Ratios
Footwear, Handbags, Apparel, Accessories, Licensing
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.70% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.68% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.78% |
| Payout Consistency | 39.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 82.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 45.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.02% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.39 |
| Alpha | -8.38 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.19 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.398 |
| Beta | 1.400 |
| Beta Downside | 1.114 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.21% |
| Mean DD | 16.42% |
| Median DD | 9.82% |
Description: SHOO Steven Madden January 15, 2026
Steven Madden Ltd. (NASDAQ: SHOO) designs, sources, and markets fashion-forward footwear, accessories, and apparel under its own brands (Steve Madden, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, etc.) and private-label lines. The company operates four segments: Wholesale Footwear, Wholesale Accessories/Apparel, Direct-to-Consumer (brick-and-mortar stores, outlets, and e-commerce), and Licensing, distributing products through department stores, mass merchants, specialty retailers, and its own channels.
Key operating metrics that investors watch include: • FY 2023 net revenue of $2.3 billion, up ~6% YoY, driven by a 9% rise in wholesale volume and a 15% jump in e-commerce sales, which now represent roughly 22% of total revenue. • Gross margin held steady at 46%, reflecting effective cost-control amid rising raw-material prices. • Same-store sales at company-run retail locations grew 8% in Q4 2024, indicating resilience in the discretionary consumer segment. Macro drivers such as U.S. consumer confidence, disposable-income trends, and the broader footwear market’s shift toward “affordable luxury” and online shopping are critical to SHOO’s outlook.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may explore the SHOO valuation metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (56.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 141.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.68pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 22.03% (prev 22.15%; Δ -0.12pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 171.5m > Net Income 56.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (431.5m) to EBITDA (111.8m) ratio: 3.86 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (71.2m) change vs 12m ago -0.58% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.85% (prev 41.27%; Δ -0.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 136.7% (prev 152.4%; Δ -15.67pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 10.29 (EBITDA TTM 111.8m / Interest Expense TTM 7.91m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.53
| (A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 1.09b - Total Current Liabilities 572.2m) / Total Assets 2.00b |
| (B) 0.88 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.76b / Total Assets 2.00b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.88 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 81.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.73b |
| (D) 1.55 = Book Value of Equity 1.73b / Total Liabilities 1.11b |
| Total Rating: 6.53 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.34
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.56% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.63% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.63 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.86 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.89)% |
| 7. RoE 6.61% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 40.68% |
| 9. EPS Trend -53.19% |
What is the price of SHOO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.88%, over one month by +2.02%, over three months by +28.05% and over the past year by +8.69%.
Is SHOO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SHOO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 46.6 | 4.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 46.6 | 4.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 45.9 | 3% |
SHOO Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.7469
P/S = 1.4023
P/B = 3.894
P/EG = 1.83
Revenue TTM = 2.36b USD
EBIT TTM = 81.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 111.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 293.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 56.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 540.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 431.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.74b USD (3.31b + Debt 540.2m - CCE 108.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.29 (Ebit TTM 81.4m / Interest Expense TTM 7.91m)
EV/FCF = 28.13x (Enterprise Value 3.74b / FCF TTM 133.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.56% (FCF TTM 133.1m / Enterprise Value 3.74b)
FCF Margin = 5.63% (FCF TTM 133.1m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Net Margin = 2.38% (Net Income TTM 56.3m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Gross Margin = 40.85% ((Revenue TTM 2.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.53% (prev 40.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.87 (Enterprise Value 3.74b / Total Assets 2.00b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.92% (Interest Expense 4.95m / Debt 540.2m)
Taxrate = 17.39% (4.59m / 26.4m)
NOPAT = 67.3m (EBIT 81.4m * (1 - 17.39%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 1.09b / Total Current Liabilities 572.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.63 (Debt 540.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 850.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.86 (Net Debt 431.5m / EBITDA 111.8m)
Debt / FCF = 3.24 (Net Debt 431.5m / FCF TTM 133.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 851.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.26% (Net Income 56.3m / Total Assets 2.00b)
RoE = 6.61% (Net Income TTM 56.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 851.8m)
RoCE = 7.11% (EBIT 81.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 851.8m + L.T.Debt 293.8m))
RoIC = 6.74% (NOPAT 67.3m / Invested Capital 998.6m)
WACC = 9.62% (E(3.31b)/V(3.85b) * Re(11.07%) + D(540.2m)/V(3.85b) * Rd(0.92%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 11.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.53% ; FCFF base≈169.3m ; Y1≈145.7m ; Y5≈114.4m
Fair Price DCF = 15.94 (EV 1.59b - Net Debt 431.5m = Equity 1.16b / Shares 72.7m; r=9.62% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -16.93% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -53.19 | EPS CAGR: -21.57% | SUE: -1.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 40.68 | Revenue CAGR: 3.91% | SUE: -1.94 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.62 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.37 | Chg30d=+0.039 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+40.1% | Growth Revenue=+12.0%
Additional Sources for SHOO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle