(SHOO) Steven Madden - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US5562691080
Footwear, Handbags, Accessories, Apparel, Licensing
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.39% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.41% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 53.83% |
| Payout Consistency | 37.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 82.4% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 51.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.19% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.16 |
| Alpha | -20.71 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.21 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.442 |
| Beta | 1.353 |
| Beta Downside | 0.987 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.21% |
| Mean DD | 16.19% |
| Median DD | 9.46% |
Description: SHOO Steven Madden November 12, 2025
Steven Madden Ltd. (NASDAQ: SHOO) designs, sources, and markets fashion-forward footwear, accessories, and apparel under its own and licensed brands. The business is organized into four segments: Wholesale Footwear, Wholesale Accessories/Apparel, Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) and Licensing, with the wholesale channel reaching department stores, mass merchants and online retailers, while the DTC segment sells through company-operated stores, outlets and e-commerce sites.
Based on the company’s FY 2023 Form 10-K, total net revenue was approximately $1.5 billion, with a gross margin of roughly 45 % and a 20 % year-over-year increase in e-commerce sales, reflecting the broader industry shift toward direct-to-consumer channels. Inventory turnover improved to 3.8×, suggesting tighter supply-chain management amid lingering post-pandemic freight cost volatility. Macro-level drivers include U.S. consumer confidence (currently at a 12-month low) and discretionary spending trends, which historically account for about 60 % of the company’s revenue exposure.
If you’re looking to dig deeper into SHOO’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a structured, data-driven framework that can help you assess the stock’s risk-adjusted upside.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (56.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 141.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.68pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 22.03% (prev 22.15%; Δ -0.12pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 171.5m > Net Income 56.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (431.5m) to EBITDA (111.8m) ratio: 3.86 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (71.2m) change vs 12m ago -0.58% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.85% (prev 41.27%; Δ -0.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 136.7% (prev 152.4%; Δ -15.67pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 10.29 (EBITDA TTM 111.8m / Interest Expense TTM 7.91m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.53
| (A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 1.09b - Total Current Liabilities 572.2m) / Total Assets 2.00b |
| (B) 0.88 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.76b / Total Assets 2.00b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.88 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 81.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.73b |
| (D) 1.55 = Book Value of Equity 1.73b / Total Liabilities 1.11b |
| Total Rating: 6.53 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.02
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.85% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.63% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.63 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.86 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.71)% |
| 7. RoE 6.61% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 40.68% |
| 9. EPS Trend -46.79% |
What is the price of SHOO shares?
As of December 07, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 43.88 with a total of 875,716 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.03%, over one month by +17.58%, over three months by +45.69% and over the past year by +1.39%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.03%, over one month by +17.58%, over three months by +45.69% and over the past year by +1.39%.
Is SHOO a buy, sell or hold?
Steven Madden has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.30.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold SHOO.
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SHOO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 43.8 | -0.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 43.8 | -0.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 45.4 | 3.4% |
SHOO Fundamental Data Overview December 04, 2025
Market Cap USD = 3.03b (3.03b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 54.8684
P/E Forward = 19.5313
P/S = 1.2823
P/B = 3.666
P/EG = 1.83
Beta = 1.168
Revenue TTM = 2.36b USD
EBIT TTM = 81.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 111.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 293.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 56.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 540.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 431.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.46b USD (3.03b + Debt 540.2m - CCE 108.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.29 (Ebit TTM 81.4m / Interest Expense TTM 7.91m)
FCF Yield = 3.85% (FCF TTM 133.1m / Enterprise Value 3.46b)
FCF Margin = 5.63% (FCF TTM 133.1m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Net Margin = 2.38% (Net Income TTM 56.3m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Gross Margin = 40.85% ((Revenue TTM 2.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.53% (prev 40.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.73 (Enterprise Value 3.46b / Total Assets 2.00b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.92% (Interest Expense 4.95m / Debt 540.2m)
Taxrate = 17.39% (4.59m / 26.4m)
NOPAT = 67.3m (EBIT 81.4m * (1 - 17.39%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 1.09b / Total Current Liabilities 572.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.63 (Debt 540.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 850.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.86 (Net Debt 431.5m / EBITDA 111.8m)
Debt / FCF = 3.24 (Net Debt 431.5m / FCF TTM 133.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 851.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.81% (Net Income 56.3m / Total Assets 2.00b)
RoE = 6.61% (Net Income TTM 56.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 851.8m)
RoCE = 7.11% (EBIT 81.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 851.8m + L.T.Debt 293.8m))
RoIC = 6.74% (NOPAT 67.3m / Invested Capital 998.6m)
WACC = 9.45% (E(3.03b)/V(3.57b) * Re(11.0%) + D(540.2m)/V(3.57b) * Rd(0.92%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 11.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.13% ; FCFE base≈169.3m ; Y1≈145.8m ; Y5≈114.7m
Fair Price DCF = 18.51 (DCF Value 1.34b / Shares Outstanding 72.7m; 5y FCF grow -16.93% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -46.79 | EPS CAGR: -15.54% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 40.68 | Revenue CAGR: 3.91% | SUE: -1.94 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.60 | Chg30d=+0.073 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.30 | Chg30d=+0.284 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+36.8% | Growth Revenue=+10.5%
P/E Trailing = 54.8684
P/E Forward = 19.5313
P/S = 1.2823
P/B = 3.666
P/EG = 1.83
Beta = 1.168
Revenue TTM = 2.36b USD
EBIT TTM = 81.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 111.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 293.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 56.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 540.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 431.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.46b USD (3.03b + Debt 540.2m - CCE 108.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.29 (Ebit TTM 81.4m / Interest Expense TTM 7.91m)
FCF Yield = 3.85% (FCF TTM 133.1m / Enterprise Value 3.46b)
FCF Margin = 5.63% (FCF TTM 133.1m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Net Margin = 2.38% (Net Income TTM 56.3m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Gross Margin = 40.85% ((Revenue TTM 2.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.53% (prev 40.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.73 (Enterprise Value 3.46b / Total Assets 2.00b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.92% (Interest Expense 4.95m / Debt 540.2m)
Taxrate = 17.39% (4.59m / 26.4m)
NOPAT = 67.3m (EBIT 81.4m * (1 - 17.39%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 1.09b / Total Current Liabilities 572.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.63 (Debt 540.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 850.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.86 (Net Debt 431.5m / EBITDA 111.8m)
Debt / FCF = 3.24 (Net Debt 431.5m / FCF TTM 133.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 851.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.81% (Net Income 56.3m / Total Assets 2.00b)
RoE = 6.61% (Net Income TTM 56.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 851.8m)
RoCE = 7.11% (EBIT 81.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 851.8m + L.T.Debt 293.8m))
RoIC = 6.74% (NOPAT 67.3m / Invested Capital 998.6m)
WACC = 9.45% (E(3.03b)/V(3.57b) * Re(11.0%) + D(540.2m)/V(3.57b) * Rd(0.92%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 11.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.13% ; FCFE base≈169.3m ; Y1≈145.8m ; Y5≈114.7m
Fair Price DCF = 18.51 (DCF Value 1.34b / Shares Outstanding 72.7m; 5y FCF grow -16.93% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -46.79 | EPS CAGR: -15.54% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 40.68 | Revenue CAGR: 3.91% | SUE: -1.94 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.60 | Chg30d=+0.073 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.30 | Chg30d=+0.284 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+36.8% | Growth Revenue=+10.5%
Additional Sources for SHOO Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle