SHOO Stock Analysis: Steven Madden | NASDAQ
Footwear & Accessories | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 3.237m USD | 12M Return: 53.7% | US5562691080 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 41.6M
EPS Trend: -75.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 98.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Steven Madden, Ltd. (NASDAQ: SHOO) is a U.S.-headquartered fashion company that designs, sources, and markets branded and private label footwear, accessories, and apparel across both domestic and international markets. The business operates through four segments: Wholesale Footwear, Wholesale Accessories/Apparel, Direct-to-Consumer, and Licensing, with products ranging from dress shoes, boots, and sneakers to handbags, apparel, and small leather goods.
The company runs a multi-brand portfolio that includes Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger London, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, Blondo, Carvela, Anthony Thomas Melillo (ATM), and Anne Klein, distributing through department stores, mass merchants, off-price retailers, specialty stores, and clubs, as well as through company-operated retail stores and e-commerce websites. Its licensing segment-covering the Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, and Betsey Johnson trademarks-represents an asset-light revenue stream, generating royalty income from select apparel, accessory, and home categories without the company bearing manufacturing or inventory risk.
Steven Madden was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Long Island City, New York. The companys marketing approach spans email, social media, influencer partnerships, print, experiential events, and public relations, reflecting the broader shift in consumer discretionary retail toward digital and social-driven brand engagement.
- China sourcing tariffs pressure gross margins across footwear categories
- Direct-to-consumer growth accelerates with retail store and e-commerce expansion
- Wholesale revenue pressured by soft department store and off-price demand
| Net Income: 143.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.88 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 16.15% < 20% (prev 21.61%; Δ -5.46% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 257.7m > Net Income 143.3m |
| Net Debt (534.7m) to EBITDA (240.5m): 2.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.91 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (72.2m) vs 12m ago 1.68% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.06% > 18% (prev 40.84%; Δ 5.22% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 146.7% > 50% (prev 122.4%; Δ 24.32% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.22 > 6 (EBIT TTM 202.5m / Interest Expense TTM 14.2m) |
| A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 929.8m - Total Current Liabilities 487.8m) / Total Assets 1.84b |
| B: 1.00 (Retained Earnings 1.84b / Total Assets 1.84b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 202.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.87b) |
| D: 1.09 (Book Value of Equity 939.6m / Total Liabilities 864.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.72 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.86 (Receivables 402.8m/395.0m, Revenue 2.74b/2.32b) |
| GMI: 0.89 (GM 40.84% / 46.06%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 2.74b / 2.32b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 143.3m - CFO 257.7m) / TA 1.84b) |
| Beneish M = -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 44.24 with a total of 720,854 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.99%, over one month by -7.51%, over three months by +2.95% and over the past year by +53.72%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 42.20 (which is 4.6% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Steven Madden has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.30. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SHOO.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 51.6 | 16.5% |
P/E Trailing = 22.3434
P/E Forward = 15.015
P/S = 1.1813
P/B = 3.4805
P/EG = 2.1728
Revenue TTM = 2.74b USD
EBIT TTM = 202.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 240.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 124.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 58.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 629.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 252.3m
Net Debt = 534.7m USD (calculated: Debt 629.5m - CCE 94.7m)
Enterprise Value = 3.77b USD (3.24b + Debt 629.5m - CCE 94.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.22 (Ebit TTM 202.5m / Interest Expense TTM 14.2m)
EV/FCF = 17.29x (Enterprise Value 3.77b / FCF TTM 218.1m)
FCF Yield = 5.78% (FCF TTM 218.1m / Enterprise Value 3.77b)
FCF Margin = 7.97% (FCF TTM 218.1m / Revenue TTM 2.74b)
Net Margin = 5.23% (Net Income TTM 143.3m / Revenue TTM 2.74b)
Gross Margin = 46.06% ((Revenue TTM 2.74b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.50% (prev 54.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.05 (Enterprise Value 3.77b / Total Assets 1.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.26% (Interest Expense 14.2m / Debt 629.5m)
Taxrate = 23.78% (45.5m / 191.4m)
NOPAT = 154.4m (EBIT 202.5m * (1 - 23.78%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 929.8m / Total Current Liabilities 487.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.67 (Debt 629.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 939.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.22 (Net Debt 534.7m / EBITDA 240.5m)
Debt / FCF = 2.45 (Net Debt 534.7m / FCF TTM 218.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 892.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.68% (Net Income 143.3m / Total Assets 1.84b)
RoE = 16.05% (Net Income TTM 143.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 892.5m)
RoCE = 19.91% (EBIT 202.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 892.5m + L.T.Debt 124.8m))
RoIC = 11.77% (NOPAT 154.4m / Invested Capital 1.31b)
WACC = 10.96% (E(3.24b)/V(3.87b) * Re(12.76%) + D(629.5m)/V(3.87b) * Rd(2.26%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 12.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -35.34 | Cagr: -0.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.00% ; FCFF base≈183.9m ; Y1≈210.9m ; Y5≈310.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.31 (EV 3.19b - Net Debt 534.7m = Equity 2.66b / Shares 73.2m; r=10.96% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -74.99 | EPS CAGR: -15.82% | SUE: 1.95 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 98.51 | Revenue CAGR: 12.47% | SUE: 1.33 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.75 | Chg30d=+18.84% | Revisions=+70% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.19 | Chg30d=+2.80% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+28.9% | GrowthRev=+14.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.77 | Chg30d=+2.66% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+26.6% | GrowthRev=+7.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +86% (up=18, down=0)