SHOO Stock Analysis: Steven Madden | NASDAQ

Footwear, Handbags, Apparel, Accessories

Total Rating 70

Safety 91

Buy Signal 0.46

Footwear & Accessories
Industry Rotation: +37.3

Market Cap: 3.27B
Avg Turnover: 47.7M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility33.7%

VaR 5^th Pctl5.52%

VaR vs Median-0.78%

Choppyness71.7%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.80

Rel. Str. IBD75.7

Rel. Str. Peer Group85

Character TTM

Beta1.894

Beta Downside2.009

Hurst Exponent0.474

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD60.21%

CAGR/Max DD0.23

CAGR/Mean DD0.80

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -15.82%
EPS Trend: -75.0%

Last SUE: 1.95
Qual. Beats: 2

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 12.47%
Rev. Trend: 98.5%

Last SUE: 1.33
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -1.9% 18

Feb +0.1% 7

Mar -1.9% 21

Apr +4.9% 7

May +0.3% 7

Jun +0.8% 16

Jul +1.6% 24

Aug -0.8% 8

Sep -1.8% 24

Oct +1.9% 16

Nov +9.0% 66

Dec -0.7% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: SHOO Steven Madden

Steven Madden, Ltd. (NASDAQ: SHOO) is a US-based fashion company that designs, sources, and markets branded and private-label footwear, accessories, and apparel domestically and internationally. Founded in 1990 and headquartered in Long Island City, New York, the company sells products under the Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger London, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, Blondo, Carvela, Anthony Thomas Melillo (ATM), and Anne Klein brands.

The business operates through four segments: Wholesale Footwear, Wholesale Accessories/Apparel, Direct-to-Consumer, and Licensing. Its product portfolio includes dress shoes, boots, booties, fashion sneakers, sandals, casual shoes, handbags, apparel, small leather goods, belts, and fashion scarves. Products are distributed through department stores, mass merchants, off-price retailers, shoe chains, specialty retailers, independent stores, and clubs, as well as through company-operated retail stores and e-commerce websites. Marketing efforts span email, social media, influencer partnerships, print, experiential events, and public relations.

SHOO is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector under the Footwear sub-industry. The companys licensing of trademarks such as Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, and Betsey Johnson for select apparel, accessory, and home categories reflects a brand-extension strategy widely used in the fashion and footwear industry to monetize brand equity beyond core product lines.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Wholesale footwear orders weaken amid department store traffic decline
Tariffs on China-sourced footwear pressure gross margins
Direct-to-consumer channel expansion lifts operating margins

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.0

Net Income: 143.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.88 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 16.15% < 20% (prev 21.61%; Δ -5.46% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 257.7m > Net Income 143.3m
Net Debt (534.7m) to EBITDA (256.2m): 2.09 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.91 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (72.2m) vs 12m ago 1.68% < -2%
Gross Margin: 46.06% > 18% (prev 40.84%; Δ 5.22% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 146.7% > 50% (prev 122.4%; Δ 24.32% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.33 > 6 (EBIT TTM 218.3m / Interest Expense TTM 14.2m)

Altman Z'' 6.78

A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 929.8m - Total Current Liabilities 487.8m) / Total Assets 1.84b
B: 1.00 (Retained Earnings 1.84b / Total Assets 1.84b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 218.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.87b)
D: 1.09 (Book Value of Equity 939.6m / Total Liabilities 864.0m)
Altman-Z'' = 6.78 = AAA

Beneish M -3.12

DSRI: 0.86 (Receivables 402.8m/395.0m, Revenue 2.74b/2.32b)
GMI: 0.89 (GM 40.84% / 46.06%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.30)
SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 2.74b / 2.32b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 143.3m - CFO 257.7m) / TA 1.84b)
Beneish M = -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of SHOO shares?

As of October 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 46.24 with a total of 1,093,708 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.62%, over one month by +14.29%, over three months by +7.43% and over the past year by +33.59%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 44.60 (which is 3.5% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is SHOO a buy, sell or hold?

Steven Madden has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.10. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SHOO.

StrongBuy: 5
Buy: 3
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the SHOO price?

Analysts Target Price	52.4	13.3%

Steven Madden (SHOO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 15 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 3.27b (3.27b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 22.601
P/E Forward = 20.79
P/S = 1.1949
P/B = 3.4618
P/EG = 2.1728
Revenue TTM = 2.74b USD
EBIT TTM = 218.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 256.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 124.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 58.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 629.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 252.3m
Net Debt = 534.7m USD (calculated: Debt 629.5m - CCE 94.7m)
Enterprise Value = 3.81b USD (3.27b + Debt 629.5m - CCE 94.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.33 (Ebit TTM 218.3m / Interest Expense TTM 14.2m)
EV/FCF = 17.47x (Enterprise Value 3.81b / FCF TTM 218.1m)
FCF Yield = 5.73% (FCF TTM 218.1m / Enterprise Value 3.81b)
FCF Margin = 7.97% (FCF TTM 218.1m / Revenue TTM 2.74b)
Net Margin = 5.23% (Net Income TTM 143.3m / Revenue TTM 2.74b)
Gross Margin = 46.06% ((Revenue TTM 2.74b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.50% (prev 54.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.07 (Enterprise Value 3.81b / Total Assets 1.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.26% (Interest Expense 14.2m / Debt 629.5m)
Taxrate = 23.78% (45.5m / 191.4m)
NOPAT = 166.4m (EBIT 218.3m * (1 - 23.78%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 929.8m / Total Current Liabilities 487.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.67 (Debt 629.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 939.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.09 (Net Debt 534.7m / EBITDA 256.2m)
Debt / FCF = 2.45 (Net Debt 534.7m / FCF TTM 218.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 892.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.68% (Net Income 143.3m / Total Assets 1.84b)
RoE = 16.05% (Net Income TTM 143.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 892.5m)
RoCE = 21.46% (EBIT 218.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 892.5m + L.T.Debt 124.8m))
RoIC = 12.68% (NOPAT 166.4m / Invested Capital 1.31b)
WACC = 10.88% (E(3.27b)/V(3.90b) * Re(12.64%) + D(629.5m)/V(3.90b) * Rd(2.26%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 12.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -35.34 | Cagr: -0.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.24% ; FCFF base≈183.9m ; Y1≈210.9m ; Y5≈310.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.76 (EV 3.22b - Net Debt 534.7m = Equity 2.69b / Shares 73.2m; r=10.88% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -74.99 | EPS CAGR: -15.82% | SUE: 1.95 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 98.51 | Revenue CAGR: 12.47% | SUE: 1.33 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=+0.45% | Revisions=+70% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.21 | Chg30d=+0.14% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+29.8% | GrowthRev=+14.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.76 | Chg30d=-0.65% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+25.0% | GrowthRev=+8.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +86% (up=18, down=0)