SHOO Stock Analysis: Steven Madden | NASDAQ
Footwear & Accessories | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 2.947m USD | 12M Return: 74.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 46.9M
EPS Trend: -59.9%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 98.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Steven Madden, Ltd. (NASDAQ: SHOO) is a U.S.-headquartered fashion company that designs, sources, and markets branded and private label footwear, accessories, and apparel across both domestic and international markets. The business operates through four segments: Wholesale Footwear, Wholesale Accessories/Apparel, Direct-to-Consumer, and Licensing, with products ranging from dress shoes, boots, and sneakers to handbags, apparel, and small leather goods.
The company runs a multi-brand portfolio that includes Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger London, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, Blondo, Carvela, Anthony Thomas Melillo (ATM), and Anne Klein, distributing through department stores, mass merchants, off-price retailers, specialty stores, and clubs, as well as through company-operated retail stores and e-commerce websites. Its licensing segment-covering the Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, and Betsey Johnson trademarks-represents an asset-light revenue stream, generating royalty income from select apparel, accessory, and home categories without the company bearing manufacturing or inventory risk.
Steven Madden was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Long Island City, New York. The companys marketing approach spans email, social media, influencer partnerships, print, experiential events, and public relations, reflecting the broader shift in consumer discretionary retail toward digital and social-driven brand engagement.
- China sourcing tariffs pressure gross margins across footwear categories
- Direct-to-consumer growth accelerates with retail store and e-commerce expansion
- Wholesale revenue pressured by soft department store and off-price demand
| Net Income: 76.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.98 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 21.96% < 20% (prev 21.52%; Δ 0.44% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 125.7m > Net Income 76.1m |
| Net Debt (717.0m) to EBITDA (150.7m): 4.76 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.23 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (71.9m) vs 12m ago 1.16% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.76% > 18% (prev 41.08%; Δ 3.67% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 155.5% > 50% (prev 160.0%; Δ -4.50% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.29 > 6 (EBIT TTM 116.3m / Interest Expense TTM 15.9m) |
| A: 0.30 (Total Current Assets 1.05b - Total Current Liabilities 471.4m) / Total Assets 1.95b |
| B: 0.94 (Retained Earnings 1.83b / Total Assets 1.95b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 116.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.69b) |
| D: 0.91 (Book Value of Equity 913.2m / Total Liabilities 1.01b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.40 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.85 (Receivables 452.8m/465.2m, Revenue 2.63b/2.28b) |
| GMI: 0.92 (GM 41.08% / 44.76%) |
| AQI: 1.26 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 2.63b / 2.28b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 76.1m - CFO 125.7m) / TA 1.95b) |
| Beneish M = -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.45 with a total of 734,032 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.41%, over one month by -6.55%, over three months by +11.65% and over the past year by +74.73%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 39.50 (which is 6.9% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Steven Madden has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.30. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SHOO.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 46.8 | 10.2% |
P/E Trailing = 36.6545
P/E Forward = 15.015
P/S = 1.1189
P/B = 3.1222
P/EG = 2.1728
Revenue TTM = 2.63b USD
EBIT TTM = 116.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 150.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 286.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 61.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 794.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 253.8m
Net Debt = 717.0m USD (calculated: Debt 794.1m - CCE 77.2m)
Enterprise Value = 3.66b USD (2.95b + Debt 794.1m - CCE 77.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.29 (Ebit TTM 116.3m / Interest Expense TTM 15.9m)
EV/FCF = 42.12x (Enterprise Value 3.66b / FCF TTM 87.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.37% (FCF TTM 87.0m / Enterprise Value 3.66b)
FCF Margin = 3.31% (FCF TTM 87.0m / Revenue TTM 2.63b)
Net Margin = 2.89% (Net Income TTM 76.1m / Revenue TTM 2.63b)
Gross Margin = 44.76% ((Revenue TTM 2.63b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.45b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 54.49% (prev 42.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.87 (Enterprise Value 3.66b / Total Assets 1.95b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.01% (Interest Expense 15.9m / Debt 794.1m)
Taxrate = 32.99% (39.1m / 118.5m)
NOPAT = 77.9m (EBIT 116.3m * (1 - 32.99%))
Current Ratio = 2.23 (Total Current Assets 1.05b / Total Current Liabilities 471.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.87 (Debt 794.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 913.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.76 (Net Debt 717.0m / EBITDA 150.7m)
Debt / FCF = 8.24 (Net Debt 717.0m / FCF TTM 87.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 865.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.50% (Net Income 76.1m / Total Assets 1.95b)
RoE = 8.78% (Net Income TTM 76.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 865.9m)
RoCE = 10.09% (EBIT 116.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 865.9m + L.T.Debt 286.5m))
RoIC = 5.31% (NOPAT 77.9m / Invested Capital 1.47b)
WACC = 9.72% (E(2.95b)/V(3.74b) * Re(11.98%) + D(794.1m)/V(3.74b) * Rd(2.01%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 11.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -73.78 | Cagr: -0.98%
[DCF] Terminal Value 68.14% ; FCFF base≈117.5m ; Y1≈103.0m ; Y5≈83.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.10 (EV 1.09b - Net Debt 717.0m = Equity 373.0m / Shares 73.1m; r=9.72% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -59.93 | EPS CAGR: -12.23% | SUE: 1.35 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 98.41 | Revenue CAGR: 11.56% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+12% | Analysts=8
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.63 | Chg30d=+0.61% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.12 | Chg30d=+0.26% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+24.8% | GrowthRev=+12.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.69 | Chg30d=+0.54% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+27.0% | GrowthRev=+7.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +53% (up=10, down=2)