(SIGA) SIGA Technologies - Ratings and Ratios
Antiviral, Smallpox, TPOXX, Health Security
SIGA EPS (Earnings per Share)
SIGA Revenue
Description: SIGA SIGA Technologies October 24, 2025
SIGA Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:SIGA) is a commercial-stage biopharma focused on the U.S. health-security market, best known for its FDA-approved antiviral TPOXX, the only licensed treatment for smallpox.
Key metrics as of the latest filing (Q2 2024): cash and short-term investments of roughly $140 million, a net loss of $32 million for the trailing twelve months, and a market-cap near $350 million. The company’s revenue is driven almost entirely by government contracts for TPOXX, which together with the broader biodefense budget (projected to grow at ~4% CAGR) constitute its primary economic driver.
Sector trends that affect SIGA include heightened federal spending on pandemic preparedness and the expanding “health-security” niche, which has attracted increased R&D incentives and potential partnership opportunities with defense contractors.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of SIGA’s valuation and peer landscape, you may find ValueRay’s research tools helpful.
SIGA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 593m |
| Sub-Industry | Pharmaceuticals |
| IPO / Inception | 1997-09-09 |
SIGA Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 45.6% |
| Fundamental | 84.5% |
| Dividend Rating | 84.6% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 8.13% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
SIGA Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 7.12% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.41% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 15.47% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 53.3% |
SIGA Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -52.8% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 71% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 31% |
| CAGR 5y | 7.69% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.14 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.22 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.08 |
| Alpha | 9.37 |
| Beta | 0.978 |
| Volatility | 44.63% |
| Current Volume | 315.8k |
| Average Volume 20d | 303.7k |
| Stop Loss | 8.1 (-3.9%) |
| Signal | -0.02 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (82.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 10.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.51 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 12.27pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 114.9% (prev 89.67%; Δ 25.27pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.51 (>3.0%) and CFO 119.1m > Net Income 82.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-181.9m) to EBITDA (103.1m) ratio: -1.77 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 10.09 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (71.7m) change vs 12m ago -0.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 73.13% (prev 79.83%; Δ -6.70pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 83.95% (prev 89.77%; Δ -5.83pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -20.21 (EBITDA TTM 103.1m / Interest Expense TTM -5.05m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 7.27
| (A) 0.88 = (Total Current Assets 229.2m - Total Current Liabilities 22.7m) / Total Assets 235.3m |
| (B) -0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -31.3m / Total Assets 235.3m |
| (C) 0.48 = EBIT TTM 102.1m / Avg Total Assets 214.0m |
| (D) -1.20 = Book Value of Equity -31.3m / Total Liabilities 26.0m |
| Total Rating: 7.27 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 84.45
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 28.96% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 66.25% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.00 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.77 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 28.20)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 40.55% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 19.02% = 1.43 |
| 9. EPS Trend 20.50% = 1.03 |
What is the price of SIGA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.69%, over one month by +2.43%, over three months by +27.73% and over the past year by +28.59%.
Is SIGA Technologies a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SIGA is around 8.55 USD . This means that SIGA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 1.42%.
Is SIGA a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the SIGA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 17.5 | 107.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 17.5 | 107.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9.6 | 14.2% |
SIGA Fundamental Data Overview November 03, 2025
P/E Trailing = 7.2632
P/E Forward = 5.6275
P/S = 3.3005
P/B = 3.0618
Beta = 0.978
Revenue TTM = 179.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 102.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 103.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 570.4k USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 570.4k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 570.4k USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -181.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 411.0m USD (592.9m + Debt 570.4k - CCE 182.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -20.21 (Ebit TTM 102.1m / Interest Expense TTM -5.05m)
FCF Yield = 28.96% (FCF TTM 119.0m / Enterprise Value 411.0m)
FCF Margin = 66.25% (FCF TTM 119.0m / Revenue TTM 179.6m)
Net Margin = 45.75% (Net Income TTM 82.2m / Revenue TTM 179.6m)
Gross Margin = 73.13% ((Revenue TTM 179.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 48.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.50% (prev 48.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.75 (Enterprise Value 411.0m / Total Assets 235.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 156.1% (Interest Expense 890.6k / Debt 570.4k)
Taxrate = 24.94% (11.8m / 47.3m)
NOPAT = 76.6m (EBIT 102.1m * (1 - 24.94%))
Current Ratio = 10.09 (Total Current Assets 229.2m / Total Current Liabilities 22.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 570.4k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 209.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.77 (Net Debt -181.9m / EBITDA 103.1m)
Debt / FCF = -1.53 (Net Debt -181.9m / FCF TTM 119.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 202.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 34.92% (Net Income 82.2m / Total Assets 235.3m)
RoE = 40.55% (Net Income TTM 82.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 202.7m)
RoCE = 50.24% (EBIT 102.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 202.7m + L.T.Debt 570.4k))
RoIC = 37.81% (NOPAT 76.6m / Invested Capital 202.7m)
WACC = 9.61% (E(592.9m)/V(593.5m) * Re(9.62%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.46%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.49% ; FCFE base≈100.9m ; Y1≈124.5m ; Y5≈212.4m
Fair Price DCF = 38.12 (DCF Value 2.73b / Shares Outstanding 71.6m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 20.50 | EPS CAGR: 10.33% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 19.02 | Revenue CAGR: 4.32% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SIGA Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle