(SIMO) Silicon Motion Technology - Ratings and Ratios
Controllers, SSD, eMMC, UFS, Ferri
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.14% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.59% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.33% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 62.5% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 44.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 69.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.85% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.93 |
| Alpha | 29.74 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.24 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.788 |
| Beta | 1.579 |
| Beta Downside | 1.887 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 52.84% |
| Mean DD | 18.94% |
| Median DD | 18.69% |
Description: SIMO Silicon Motion Technology November 09, 2025
Silicon Motion Technology Corp. (NASDAQ: SIMO) designs and sells NAND-flash controllers for a wide range of solid-state storage products, spanning consumer SSDs, enterprise-grade drives for hyperscale data centers, eMMC/UFS modules for smartphones and IoT, as well as flash cards, industrial and automotive SSDs. The firm distributes its SMI-branded controllers and Ferri-series single-chip SSDs through a mix of direct sales teams and independent distributors, targeting NAND manufacturers, module makers, OEMs, and large-scale cloud operators. Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Hong Kong, the company operates globally across Taiwan, the United States, Korea, China, Malaysia, Singapore, and other markets.
Key recent metrics suggest the business is benefitting from two sector tailwinds: (1) a 14 % year-over-year revenue increase in Q2 2024, driven primarily by higher shipments of enterprise SSD controllers to hyperscalers; (2) a rising market share in the eMMC/UFS space, now estimated at roughly 12 % of global shipments, reflecting strong smartphone demand despite a modest slowdown in overall NAND pricing; and (3) an expanding addressable market for automotive SSDs, projected to grow at a CAGR of ~9 % through 2028 as autonomous-vehicle and ADAS applications scale. These drivers are tempered by the cyclical nature of NAND pricing and the competitive pressure from larger rivals such as Samsung and SK Hynix, which could compress margins if flash prices fall sharply.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of SIMO’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical platform a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (97.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 47.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.13pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 76.87% (prev 78.87%; Δ -2.00pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 54.1m <= Net Income 97.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-198.6m) to EBITDA (111.1m) ratio: -1.79 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.44 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (8.40m) change vs 12m ago -75.08% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 47.65% (prev 45.37%; Δ 2.29pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 73.05% (prev 77.87%; Δ -4.83pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -3.09 (EBITDA TTM 111.1m / Interest Expense TTM -26.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.78
| (A) 0.54 = (Total Current Assets 865.4m - Total Current Liabilities 251.7m) / Total Assets 1.14b |
| (B) 0.38 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 432.6m / Total Assets 1.14b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 81.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.09b |
| (D) 1.43 = Book Value of Equity 434.3m / Total Liabilities 303.2m |
| Total Rating: 6.78 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.09
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.16% |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.55% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.00 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.79 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.68)% |
| 7. RoE 12.36% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -21.10% |
| 9. EPS Trend -44.54% |
What is the price of SIMO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.68%, over one month by -1.09%, over three months by -3.88% and over the past year by +44.98%.
Is SIMO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SIMO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 114 | 34.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 114 | 34.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 95.8 | 13.3% |
SIMO Fundamental Data Overview December 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 30.6678
P/E Forward = 19.4553
P/S = 3.7337
P/B = 3.5748
P/EG = -4.43
Beta = 1.083
Revenue TTM = 798.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 81.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 111.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.53m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.53m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.53m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -198.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.78b USD (2.98b + Debt 2.53m - CCE 198.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.09 (Ebit TTM 81.2m / Interest Expense TTM -26.3m)
FCF Yield = -0.16% (FCF TTM -4.36m / Enterprise Value 2.78b)
FCF Margin = -0.55% (FCF TTM -4.36m / Revenue TTM 798.3m)
Net Margin = 12.27% (Net Income TTM 97.9m / Revenue TTM 798.3m)
Gross Margin = 47.65% ((Revenue TTM 798.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 417.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.63% (prev 47.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.45 (Enterprise Value 2.78b / Total Assets 1.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 176.4% (Interest Expense 4.46m / Debt 2.53m)
Taxrate = 13.02% (5.86m / 45.0m)
NOPAT = 70.6m (EBIT 81.2m * (1 - 13.02%))
Current Ratio = 3.44 (Total Current Assets 865.4m / Total Current Liabilities 251.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 2.53m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 833.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.79 (Net Debt -198.6m / EBITDA 111.1m)
Debt / FCF = 45.58 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -198.6m / FCF TTM -4.36m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 792.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.61% (Net Income 97.9m / Total Assets 1.14b)
RoE = 12.36% (Net Income TTM 97.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 792.2m)
RoCE = 10.21% (EBIT 81.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 792.2m + L.T.Debt 2.53m))
RoIC = 9.14% (NOPAT 70.6m / Invested Capital 772.3m)
WACC = 11.82% (E(2.98b)/V(2.98b) * Re(11.83%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 11.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -50.00%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -4.36m)
EPS Correlation: -44.54 | EPS CAGR: -15.73% | SUE: 3.55 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: -21.10 | Revenue CAGR: -2.33% | SUE: 2.87 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.98 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.87 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+35.7% | Growth Revenue=+17.6%
Additional Sources for SIMO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle