SIMO Stock Analysis: Silicon Motion Technology | NASDAQ

Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 10.196m USD | 12M Return: 315% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

NAND Controllers, Mobile Storage, Enterprise SSDs, Industrial Drives
Total Rating 70
Safety 77
Buy Signal 1.04
Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: -45.3
Market Cap: 10.2B
Avg Turnover: 267M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility79.9%
VaR 5th Pctl12.5%
VaR vs Median-4.21%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.25
Rel. Str. IBD99.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group94.5
Character TTM
Beta2.264
Beta Downside2.101
Hurst Exponent0.570
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD52.84%
CAGR/Max DD1.39
CAGR/Mean DD4.80
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of SIMO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.5, "2021-09": 1.7, "2021-12": 1.9, "2022-03": 1.72, "2022-06": 1.88, "2022-09": 1.53, "2022-12": 1.22, "2023-03": 0.33, "2023-06": 0.38, "2023-09": 0.63, "2023-12": 0.93, "2024-03": 0.64, "2024-06": 0.96, "2024-09": 0.92, "2024-12": 0.91, "2025-03": 0.6, "2025-06": 0.69, "2025-09": 1, "2025-12": 1.26, "2026-03": 1.58,
EPS CAGR: 14.15%
EPS Trend: 65.4%
Last SUE: 3.75
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of SIMO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 221.103, 2021-09: 254.241, 2021-12: 264.357, 2022-03: 241.978, 2022-06: 252.373, 2022-09: 250.812, 2022-12: 200.758, 2023-03: 124.069, 2023-06: 140.361, 2023-09: 172.333, 2023-12: 205.084641, 2024-03: 189.311, 2024-06: 210.67, 2024-09: 212.412, 2024-12: 191.16, 2025-03: 166.492, 2025-06: 198.675, 2025-09: 241.999, 2025-12: 278.461, 2026-03: 342.105,
Rev. CAGR: 13.78%
Rev. Trend: 84.2%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 5

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +1.0% 13
Feb +3.9% 39
Mar -2.5% 41
Apr -0.5% 13
May +2.9% 40
Jun +4.7% 14
Jul -9.3% 30
Aug -4.2% 27
Sep -3.0% 27
Oct +0.1% 0
Nov +2.9% 0
Dec +6.3% 60

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: SIMO Silicon Motion Technology

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation (NASDAQ: SIMO) is a Hong Kong-based semiconductor company founded in 1995 that designs, develops, and markets NAND flash controllers used in solid-state storage devices. The company operates across major Asian markets, including China, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, and Korea, as well as in the United States.

Its product portfolio spans controllers for client-grade SSDs used in PCs, enterprise-grade SSDs for data centers, eMMC and UFS embedded storage for smartphones and IoT devices, removable flash cards and drives, and specialized SSDs for industrial, commercial, and automotive applications. Silicon Motion sells its controllers under the SMI brand and single-chip SSDs under the FerriSSD, Ferri-eMMC, and Ferri-UFS brands.

The company reaches its customers-which include NAND flash makers, module manufacturers, hyperscalers, and OEMs-through a combination of direct sales personnel and independent electronics distributors.

As a fabless semiconductor designer, Silicon Motion focuses on chip design and development while relying on third-party foundries for wafer manufacturing, a model that allows it to concentrate engineering resources on controller architecture and firmware rather than capital-intensive fabrication. NAND flash controllers are a critical component in the SSD supply chain, managing how data is written, read, and error-corrected across flash memory cells, and they play a key role in determining the performance, endurance, and reliability of solid-state storage products.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Enterprise SSD controllers ride AI hyperscaler data center buildout
  • Mobile storage shipments hinge on Chinese smartphone demand cycle
  • In-house NAND controllers from Samsung and Kioxia pressure pricing
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 170.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -13.73 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 61.28% < 20% (prev 74.26%; Δ -12.97% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.02 > 3% & CFO -20.1m > Net Income 170.0m
Net Debt (-133.1m) to EBITDA (204.9m): -0.65 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.85 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (8.48m) vs 12m ago -74.73% < -2%
Gross Margin: 48.09% > 18% (prev 46.64%; Δ 1.46% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 92.35% > 50% (prev 78.75%; Δ 13.60% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 7.82
A: 0.50 (Total Current Assets 1.00b - Total Current Liabilities 351.2m) / Total Assets 1.31b
B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 468.1m / Total Assets 1.31b)
C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 173.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.15b)
D: 2.26 (Book Value of Equity 906.1m / Total Liabilities 400.9m)
Altman-Z'' = 7.82 = AAA
Beneish M -2.82
DSRI: 0.78 (Receivables 220.4m/206.7m, Revenue 1.06b/780.7m)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 46.64% / 48.09%)
AQI: 1.23 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.05)
SGI: 1.36 (Revenue 1.06b / 780.7m)
TATA: 0.15 (NI 170.0m - CFO -20.1m) / TA 1.31b)
Beneish M = -2.82 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of SIMO shares?

As of July 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 300.71 with a total of 753,900 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.55%, over one month by +16.24%, over three months by +158.45% and over the past year by +314.95%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 250.10 (which is 16.8% or 2 ATR below the current price).

Is SIMO a buy, sell or hold?

Silicon Motion Technology has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SIMO.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SIMO price?
Analysts Target Price 281.2 -6.5%
Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 10.2b (10.2b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 59.5465
P/E Forward = 35.461
P/S = 9.608
P/B = 11.2768
P/EG = 0.7008
Revenue TTM = 1.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 173.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 204.9m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 2.59m USD (Leases only: 2.59m)
Net Debt = -133.1m USD (calculated: Debt 2.59m - CCE 135.7m)
Enterprise Value = 10.1b USD (10.2b + Debt 2.59m - CCE 135.7m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 173.0m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -123.1x (Enterprise Value 10.1b / FCF TTM -81.8m)
FCF Yield = -0.81% (FCF TTM -81.8m / Enterprise Value 10.1b)
FCF Margin = -7.70% (FCF TTM -81.8m / Revenue TTM 1.06b)
Net Margin = 16.02% (Net Income TTM 170.0m / Revenue TTM 1.06b)
Gross Margin = 48.09% ((Revenue TTM 1.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 550.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.14% (prev 49.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.70 (Enterprise Value 10.1b / Total Assets 1.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 2.59m)
Taxrate = 14.74% (29.4m / 199.4m)
NOPAT = 147.5m (EBIT 173.0m * (1 - 14.74%))
Current Ratio = 2.85 (Total Current Assets 1.00b / Total Current Liabilities 351.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 2.59m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 906.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.65 (Net Debt -133.1m / EBITDA 204.9m)
 Debt / FCF = 1.63 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -133.1m / FCF TTM -81.8m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 839.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.79% (Net Income 170.0m / Total Assets 1.31b)
RoE = 20.24% (Net Income TTM 170.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 839.9m)
RoCE = 18.10% (EBIT 173.0m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 1.31b - Current Liab 351.2m))
RoIC = 16.33% (NOPAT 147.5m / Invested Capital 902.7m)
WACC = 13.95% (E(10.2b)/V(10.2b) * Re(13.95%) + D(2.59m)/V(10.2b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 13.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 44.72 | Cagr: 1.34%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -81.8m)
 EPS Correlation: 65.44 | EPS CAGR: 14.15% | SUE: 3.75 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 84.18 | Revenue CAGR: 13.78% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.11 | Chg30d=-0.49% | Revisions=+62% | Analysts=7
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.28 | Chg30d=+0.29% | Revisions=+62% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.71 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+145.5% | GrowthRev=+84.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.22 | Chg30d=+5.65% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+17.2% | GrowthRev=+18.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +84% (up=16, down=0)