SIMO Stock Analysis: Silicon Motion Technology | NASDAQ

Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 9.366m USD | 12M Return: 178.6% | US82706C1080 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

NAND Controllers, Mobile Storage, Enterprise SSDs, Memory Cards
Total Rating 65
Safety 63
Buy Signal 1.27
Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: +53.0
Market Cap: 9.37B
Avg Turnover: 186M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility92.3%
VaR 5th Pctl15.8%
VaR vs Median4.01%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.55
Rel. Str. IBD98.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group81.9
Character TTM
Beta2.626
Beta Downside2.350
Hurst Exponent0.441
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD52.84%
CAGR/Max DD1.46
CAGR/Mean DD5.10
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of SIMO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.7, "2021-12": 1.9, "2022-03": 1.72, "2022-06": 1.88, "2022-09": 1.53, "2022-12": 1.22, "2023-03": 0.33, "2023-06": 0.38, "2023-09": 0.63, "2023-12": 0.93, "2024-03": 0.64, "2024-06": 0.96, "2024-09": 0.92, "2024-12": 0.91, "2025-03": 0.6, "2025-06": 0.69, "2025-09": 1, "2025-12": 1.26, "2026-03": 1.58, "2026-06": 3.99,
EPS CAGR: 33.20%
EPS Trend: 81.1%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of SIMO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 254.241, 2021-12: 264.357, 2022-03: 241.978, 2022-06: 252.373, 2022-09: 250.812, 2022-12: 200.758, 2023-03: 124.069, 2023-06: 140.361, 2023-09: 172.333, 2023-12: 205.084641, 2024-03: 189.311, 2024-06: 210.67, 2024-09: 212.412, 2024-12: 191.16, 2025-03: 166.492, 2025-06: 198.675, 2025-09: 241.999, 2025-12: 278.461, 2026-03: 342.105, 2026-06: 451.001,
Rev. CAGR: 21.58%
Rev. Trend: 87.1%
Last SUE: 3.36
Qual. Beats: 6

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.7% 10
Feb +4.3% 35
Mar -2.2% 22
Apr -0.8% 17
May +3.8% 32
Jun +3.2% 18
Jul -9.3% 21
Aug -6.6% 35
Sep -3.3% 29
Oct -1.5% 0
Nov +3.1% 12
Dec +3.7% 42

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: SIMO Silicon Motion Technology

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation designs, develops, and markets NAND flash controllers used in solid-state storage devices. The company sells its products in China, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, the United States, and other international markets. Its controller products support computing-grade SSDs for PCs and client devices, enterprise-grade SSDs for data centers, eMMC and UFS embedded storage for smartphones and IoT devices, removable flash cards and drives, and specialized SSDs for industrial, commercial, and automotive applications.

The company markets its controllers under the SMI brand and its single-chip SSD products under the FerriSSD, Ferri-eMMC, and Ferri-UFS brands. It sells through direct sales personnel and independent electronics distributors to NAND flash makers, module makers, hyperscalers, and OEMs. Silicon Motion was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

As a fabless semiconductor designer, Silicon Motion develops NAND flash controller chips without owning fabrication facilities, relying on third-party foundries for manufacturing. NAND flash controllers serve as the interface between a host devices processor and the underlying NAND flash memory, handling tasks such as error correction, wear leveling, and data management.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Hyperscaler SSD controller demand drives enterprise revenue growth
  • Smartphone weakness pressures eMMC and UFS controller shipments
  • Automotive FerriSSD design wins expand high-margin industrial revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 289.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -10.44 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 55.90% < 20% (prev 76.24%; Δ -20.34% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.04 > 3% & CFO -66.6m > Net Income 289.8m
Net Debt (-12.5m) to EBITDA (263.7m): -0.05 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.52 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (8.52m) vs 12m ago -74.60% < -2%
Gross Margin: 48.87% > 18% (prev 47.09%; Δ 1.78% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 99.55% > 50% (prev 74.37%; Δ 25.18% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 7.50
A: 0.46 (Total Current Assets 1.22b - Total Current Liabilities 482.2m) / Total Assets 1.61b
B: 0.42 (Retained Earnings 670.5m / Total Assets 1.61b)
C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 230.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.32b)
D: 1.87 (Book Value of Equity 1.05b / Total Liabilities 558.4m)
Altman-Z'' = 7.50 = AAA
Beneish M -2.04
DSRI: 0.86 (Receivables 323.6m/220.9m, Revenue 1.31b/768.7m)
GMI: 0.96 (GM 47.09% / 48.87%)
AQI: 2.02 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.05)
SGI: 1.71 (Revenue 1.31b / 768.7m)
TATA: 0.22 (NI 289.8m - CFO -66.6m) / TA 1.61b)
Beneish M = -2.04 (Cap -4..+1) = BB
What is the price of SIMO shares?

As of October 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 280.50 with a total of 640,537 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.55%, over one month by +15.67%, over three months by -6.53% and over the past year by +178.60%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 259.50 (which is 7.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is SIMO a buy, sell or hold?

Silicon Motion Technology has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SIMO.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SIMO price?
Analysts Target Price 369.7 31.8%
Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 28 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 9.37b (9.37b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 32.2699
P/E Forward = 19.5695
P/S = 7.1306
P/B = 8.957
P/EG = 0.7008
Revenue TTM = 1.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 230.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 263.7m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
 Short Term Debt = 59.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 61.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.69m
Net Debt = -12.5m USD (calculated: Debt 61.9m - CCE 74.4m)
Enterprise Value = 9.35b USD (9.37b + Debt 61.9m - CCE 74.4m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 230.0m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -77.66x (Enterprise Value 9.35b / FCF TTM -120.4m)
FCF Yield = -1.29% (FCF TTM -120.4m / Enterprise Value 9.35b)
FCF Margin = -9.17% (FCF TTM -120.4m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Net Margin = 22.06% (Net Income TTM 289.8m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Gross Margin = 48.87% ((Revenue TTM 1.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 671.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.16% (prev 47.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.83 (Enterprise Value 9.35b / Total Assets 1.61b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 61.9m)
Taxrate = 18.50% (65.8m / 355.5m)
NOPAT = 187.5m (EBIT 230.0m * (1 - 18.50%))
Current Ratio = 2.52 (Total Current Assets 1.22b / Total Current Liabilities 482.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 61.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.05 (Net Debt -12.5m / EBITDA 263.7m)
 Debt / FCF = 0.10 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -12.5m / FCF TTM -120.4m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 904.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.96% (Net Income 289.8m / Total Assets 1.61b)
RoE = 32.04% (Net Income TTM 289.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 904.4m)
RoCE = 25.43% (EBIT 230.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 904.4m + L.T.Debt 0.0))
RoIC = 16.79% (NOPAT 187.5m / Invested Capital 1.12b)
WACC = 15.12% (E(9.37b)/V(9.43b) * Re(15.22%) + D(61.9m)/V(9.43b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 15.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -85.35 | Cagr: -45.72%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -120.4m)
 EPS Correlation: 81.11 | EPS CAGR: 33.20% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 87.09 | Revenue CAGR: 21.58% | SUE: 3.36 | # QB: 6
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.33 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+70% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.14 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+73% | GrowthEPS=+213.7% | GrowthRev=+111.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=15.87 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+73% | GrowthEPS=+42.5% | GrowthRev=+29.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +88% (up=23, down=0)