(SIRI) Sirius XM Holding - NASDAQ
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Entertainment | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 9.435m USD | Total Return: 34.5% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 152M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -94.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Idiosyncratic Leader
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a North American audio entertainment company that operates through two main segments: Sirius XM and Pandora and Off-platform. The Sirius XM segment delivers music, sports, entertainment, comedy, news, and podcast content via subscription on a satellite radio network, with receivers sold through automakers, retailers, and its own website. The Pandora and Off-platform segment runs a music, comedy, and podcast streaming platform that uses personalization technology and generates revenue through advertising.
In addition to audio content, the Sirius XM segment sells hardware and accessories and provides data services such as real-time weather, fuel prices, traffic information, sports scores, and movie listings, along with location-based services like stolen vehicle assistance and remote diagnostics. It also supplies commercial-free music to businesses and music programming to DISH Network.
The company is headquartered in New York and is classified within the Communication Services sector (Cable & Satellite sub-industry) as a mid-cap stock listed on NASDAQ under the ticker SIRI.
- Self-pay subscriber churn weighs on satellite radio revenue
- Pandora ad revenue growth partially offsets subscription declines
- Aggressive buybacks and dividends support shareholder returns
| Net Income: 846.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -15.77% < 20% (prev -16.66%; Δ 0.90% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.93b > Net Income 846.0m |
| Net Debt (10.0b) to EBITDA (2.16b): 4.63 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.44 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (338.0m) vs 12m ago -5.32% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.45% > 18% (prev 48.02%; Δ -2.57% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.45% > 50% (prev 31.38%; Δ 0.07% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.45 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.57b / Interest Expense TTM 454.0m) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 1.06b - Total Current Liabilities 2.41b) / Total Assets 27.1b |
| B: 0.43 (Retained Earnings 11.8b / Total Assets 27.1b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.57b / Avg Total Assets 27.3b) |
| D: 0.76 (Book Value of Equity 11.7b / Total Liabilities 15.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.27 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 673.0m/601.0m, Revenue 8.58b/8.61b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 48.02% / 45.45%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.88 / AQ_t-1 0.88) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 8.58b / 8.61b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 846.0m - CFO 1.93b) / TA 27.1b) |
| Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of June 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 28.08 with a total of 5,153,119 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.26%, over one month by -5.23%, over three months by +26.22% and over the past year by +34.45%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 25.50 (which is 9.2% or 2.9 ATR below the current price).
Sirius XM Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SIRI.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 3
| Analysts Target Price | 28 | -0.3% |
P/E Trailing = 11.8771
P/E Forward = 9.0744
P/S = 1.0996
P/B = 0.8043
P/EG = 1.1936
Revenue TTM = 8.58b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.57b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.16b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 59.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 341.0m
Net Debt = 10.0b USD (calculated: Debt 10.1b - CCE 75.0m)
Enterprise Value = 19.4b USD (9.44b + Debt 10.1b - CCE 75.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.45 (Ebit TTM 1.57b / Interest Expense TTM 454.0m)
EV/FCF = 14.32x (Enterprise Value 19.4b / FCF TTM 1.36b)
FCF Yield = 6.98% (FCF TTM 1.36b / Enterprise Value 19.4b)
FCF Margin = 15.83% (FCF TTM 1.36b / Revenue TTM 8.58b)
Net Margin = 9.86% (Net Income TTM 846.0m / Revenue TTM 8.58b)
Gross Margin = 45.45% ((Revenue TTM 8.58b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.68b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.08% (prev 47.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 19.4b / Total Assets 27.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.50% (Interest Expense 454.0m / Debt 10.1b)
Taxrate = 23.99% (267.0m / 1.11b)
NOPAT = 1.19b (EBIT 1.57b * (1 - 23.99%))
Current Ratio = 0.44 (Total Current Assets 1.06b / Total Current Liabilities 2.41b)
Debt / Equity = 0.86 (Debt 10.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.63 (Net Debt 10.0b / EBITDA 2.16b)
Debt / FCF = 7.37 (Net Debt 10.0b / FCF TTM 1.36b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.10% (Net Income 846.0m / Total Assets 27.1b)
RoE = 7.33% (Net Income TTM 846.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.5b)
RoCE = 7.38% (EBIT 1.57b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.5b + L.T.Debt 9.69b))
RoIC = 4.82% (NOPAT 1.19b / Invested Capital 24.7b)
WACC = 6.43% (E(9.44b)/V(19.5b) * Re(9.64%) + D(10.1b)/V(19.5b) * Rd(4.50%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -70.47 | Cagr: -5.73%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.18b ; Y1≈1.35b ; Y5≈1.99b
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.07 (EV 29.9b - Net Debt 10.0b = Equity 19.9b / Shares 336.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -94.03 | Revenue CAGR: -2.13% | SUE: 0.80 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.79 | Chg30d=-0.96% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=11
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=+0.38% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.12 | Chg30d=-0.18% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+40.0% | GrowthRev=+0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.37 | Chg30d=+0.35% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+8.0% | GrowthRev=+1.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +62%