(SIRI) Sirius XM Holding - Ratings and Ratios
Satellite Radio, Streaming, Podcasts, Advertising, Data Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 89.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.60% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.23 |
| Alpha | -27.74 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.417 |
| Beta | 1.032 |
| Beta Downside | 1.067 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 73.86% |
| Mean DD | 51.70% |
| Median DD | 58.44% |
Description: SIRI Sirius XM Holding November 03, 2025
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:SIRI) is a North-American audio entertainment firm that operates two primary segments: the legacy Sirius XM satellite-radio business and the Pandora/off-platform streaming business. The Sirius XM segment delivers subscription-based music, sports, news, comedy, talk and podcast content via satellite and streaming apps, while also selling satellite radios through automakers, retailers and its website, and offering ancillary services such as location-based data, vehicle diagnostics, and commercial-free music for businesses. The Pandora/off-platform segment runs a music-and-podcast streaming platform that provides personalized listening experiences across mobile, vehicle and connected devices, monetizing primarily through advertising.
Key performance indicators as of the most recent quarter show 34.2 million total subscribers (including 33.1 million Sirius XM and 1.1 million Pandora subscribers), with an average revenue per user (ARPU) of roughly $13.70, driven by higher-margin subscription fees and a growing ad-supported Pandora audience that posted a 12% YoY increase in monthly active users. The company’s revenue is sensitive to automotive OEM integration cycles-each new vehicle generation that embeds Sirius XM or Pandora can add 1–2 million new users-and to broader macro trends in discretionary consumer spending and advertising budgets, which have been buoyed by a 5% annual rise in digital ad spend across the media sector.
Given the convergence of satellite radio, connected-car services, and streaming, Sirius XM sits at the intersection of two high-growth entertainment trends; exploring the detailed driver-level analysis on ValueRay can help you gauge how these dynamics may affect the stock’s upside potential.
SIRI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 7,270m |
| Sub-Industry | Cable & Satellite |
| IPO / Inception | 1994-09-13 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -27.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.0 of 5 |
SIRI Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.26% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.94% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 59.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 67.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 38.2% |
SIRI Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -29.32% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.40 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.57 |
| Current Volume | 4161.6k |
| Average Volume | 3564.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (993.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 513.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.29pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -27.79% (prev -21.91%; Δ -5.88pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.90b > Net Income 993.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (10.00b) to EBITDA (2.34b) ratio: 4.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.31 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (356.0m) change vs 12m ago 5.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 47.64% (prev 46.86%; Δ 0.79pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 31.17% (prev 32.02%; Δ -0.85pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.83 (EBITDA TTM 2.34b / Interest Expense TTM 465.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.01
| (A) -0.09 = (Total Current Assets 1.08b - Total Current Liabilities 3.46b) / Total Assets 27.40b |
| (B) 0.42 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 11.61b / Total Assets 27.40b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 1.78b / Avg Total Assets 27.44b |
| (D) 0.73 = Book Value of Equity 11.56b / Total Liabilities 15.85b |
| Total Rating: 2.01 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.94
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.08% |
| 3. FCF Margin 14.30% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.87 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.27 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.69)% |
| 7. RoE 8.79% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -63.96% |
| 9. EPS Trend 12.69% |
What is the price of SIRI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.75%, over one month by -2.55%, over three months by -9.98% and over the past year by -19.35%.
Is SIRI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 3
What are the forecasts/targets for the SIRI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 24 | 17% |
| Analysts Target Price | 24 | 17% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 18.1 | -11.9% |
SIRI Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 5.285
P/E Forward = 7.0972
P/S = 0.85
P/B = 0.6265
P/EG = 0.6572
Beta = 0.926
Revenue TTM = 8.55b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.78b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.34b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.06b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.08b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.00b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.27b USD (7.27b + Debt 10.08b - CCE 79.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.83 (Ebit TTM 1.78b / Interest Expense TTM 465.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.08% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Enterprise Value 17.27b)
FCF Margin = 14.30% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Revenue TTM 8.55b)
Net Margin = 11.61% (Net Income TTM 993.0m / Revenue TTM 8.55b)
Gross Margin = 47.64% ((Revenue TTM 8.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.14% (prev 46.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 17.27b / Total Assets 27.40b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 115.0m / Debt 10.08b)
Taxrate = 23.45% (91.0m / 388.0m)
NOPAT = 1.36b (EBIT 1.78b * (1 - 23.45%))
Current Ratio = 0.31 (Total Current Assets 1.08b / Total Current Liabilities 3.46b)
Debt / Equity = 0.87 (Debt 10.08b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.27 (Net Debt 10.00b / EBITDA 2.34b)
Debt / FCF = 8.17 (Net Debt 10.00b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.62% (Net Income 993.0m / Total Assets 27.40b)
RoE = 8.79% (Net Income TTM 993.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.29b)
RoCE = 8.76% (EBIT 1.78b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.29b + L.T.Debt 9.02b))
RoIC = 6.32% (NOPAT 1.36b / Invested Capital 21.57b)
WACC = 4.62% (E(7.27b)/V(17.35b) * Re(9.82%) + D(10.08b)/V(17.35b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.73% ; FCFE base≈1.08b ; Y1≈956.6m ; Y5≈792.9m
Fair Price DCF = 31.94 (DCF Value 10.75b / Shares Outstanding 336.6m; 5y FCF grow -14.27% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 12.69 | EPS CAGR: 125.3% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -63.96 | Revenue CAGR: -2.01% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for SIRI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle