(SIRI) Sirius XM Holding - Overview
Stock: Satellite Radio, Streaming Audio, Podcasts, Data Services
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.20% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.23 |
| Alpha | -28.73 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.291 |
| Beta Downside | 1.985 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 73.86% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.26 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: SIRI Sirius XM Holding January 06, 2026
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:SIRI) is a North-American audio entertainment provider operating two main segments: the legacy Sirius XM satellite-radio business and the Pandora/off-platform streaming business. The Sirius XM segment delivers subscription-based music, sports, talk, news, comedy, and podcast content via satellite and streaming apps, sells satellite radios through OEMs and retailers, and offers ancillary services such as location-based data, vehicle diagnostics, and in-vehicle weather and fuel-price feeds. The Pandora/off-platform segment runs a music-and-podcast streaming service that monetizes through advertising and premium subscriptions across mobile, vehicle, and connected devices.
Key recent metrics: as of Q4 2023, Sirius XM reported ~36.6 million total subscribers and $2.1 billion in revenue, with an average revenue per user (ARPU) of roughly $15.3 per month; Pandora logged about 140 million monthly active users and generated $1.3 billion in ad-supported revenue. Primary economic drivers include OEM integration trends (automakers increasingly pre-installing Sirius XM radios), the broader shift from linear TV to streaming (benefiting Pandora’s ad inventory), and macro-level discretionary-spending pressure from higher interest rates, which can affect subscription churn.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, the ValueRay platform offers a granular view of SIRI’s valuation metrics and peer comparisons.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 805.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.14 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -29.86% < 20% (prev -18.19%; Δ -11.67% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.90b > Net Income 805.0m |
| Net Debt (9.61b) to EBITDA (2.10b): 4.57 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.30 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (356.0m) vs 12m ago -0.84% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.04% > 18% (prev 0.48%; Δ 4656 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.26% > 50% (prev 31.61%; Δ -0.35% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.30 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.10b / Interest Expense TTM 459.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.92
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 1.10b - Total Current Liabilities 3.65b) / Total Assets 27.24b |
| B: 0.43 (Retained Earnings 11.61b / Total Assets 27.24b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.51b / Avg Total Assets 27.38b) |
| D: 0.74 (Book Value of Equity 11.56b / Total Liabilities 15.67b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.92 = BBB |
Beneish M -2.94
| DSRI: 1.14 (Receivables 761.0m/676.0m, Revenue 8.56b/8.70b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 47.04% / 48.32%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.88 / AQ_t-1 0.88) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 8.56b / 8.70b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 805.0m - CFO 1.90b) / TA 27.24b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of SIRI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.19%, over one month by +3.19%, over three months by +1.86% and over the past year by -11.40%.
Is SIRI a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 3
What are the forecasts/targets for the SIRI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 24.2 | 15.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 24.2 | 15.1% |
SIRI Fundamental Data Overview February 20, 2026
P/E Forward = 7.0721
P/S = 0.8286
P/B = 0.6164
P/EG = 0.9068
Revenue TTM = 8.56b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.51b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.10b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.65b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.06b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.71b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.61b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.70b USD (7.09b + Debt 9.71b - CCE 94.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.30 (Ebit TTM 1.51b / Interest Expense TTM 459.0m)
EV/FCF = 13.42x (Enterprise Value 16.70b / FCF TTM 1.25b)
FCF Yield = 7.45% (FCF TTM 1.25b / Enterprise Value 16.70b)
FCF Margin = 14.55% (FCF TTM 1.25b / Revenue TTM 8.56b)
Net Margin = 9.41% (Net Income TTM 805.0m / Revenue TTM 8.56b)
Gross Margin = 47.04% ((Revenue TTM 8.56b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.97% (prev 46.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.61 (Enterprise Value 16.70b / Total Assets 27.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 111.0m / Debt 9.71b)
Taxrate = 26.67% (36.0m / 135.0m)
NOPAT = 1.11b (EBIT 1.51b * (1 - 26.67%))
Current Ratio = 0.30 (Total Current Assets 1.10b / Total Current Liabilities 3.65b)
Debt / Equity = 0.84 (Debt 9.71b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.57 (Net Debt 9.61b / EBITDA 2.10b)
Debt / FCF = 7.72 (Net Debt 9.61b / FCF TTM 1.25b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.94% (Net Income 805.0m / Total Assets 27.24b)
RoE = 7.05% (Net Income TTM 805.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.41b)
RoCE = 7.55% (EBIT 1.51b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.41b + L.T.Debt 8.65b))
RoIC = 5.16% (NOPAT 1.11b / Invested Capital 21.53b)
WACC = 4.35% (E(7.09b)/V(16.80b) * Re(9.15%) + D(9.71b)/V(16.80b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.01% ; FCFF base≈1.12b ; Y1≈993.9m ; Y5≈822.0m
Fair Price DCF = 45.67 (EV 24.90b - Net Debt 9.61b = Equity 15.29b / Shares 334.8m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -14.27% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 9.44 | EPS CAGR: 34.04% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -56.10 | Revenue CAGR: 0.09% | SUE: 1.14 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.71 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.11 | Chg30d=+0.022 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+39.6% | Growth Revenue=-0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.25 | Chg30d=+0.024 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+4.3% | Growth Revenue=+0.6%