SIRI Stock Analysis: Sirius XM Holding | NASDAQ
Entertainment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 11.178m USD | 12M Return: 54.6% | US8299331004 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 129M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -86.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a U.S.-based audio entertainment company operating two main segments: Sirius XM, which delivers subscription-based satellite radio services including music, sports, news, talk, comedy, and podcasts distributed through automakers, retailers, mobile apps, and connected devices; and Pandora and Off-platform, which runs a music, comedy, and podcast streaming service supported by advertising. Beyond core audio, the Sirius XM segment sells radios and accessories, offers location-based and connected vehicle services (such as stolen vehicle recovery, diagnostics, and weather/fuel data), and provides commercial-free music for businesses and music programming for DISH Network.
The company is classified within the Communication Services sector under the Cable & Satellite sub-industry, reflecting its reliance on subscription and advertising revenue from satellite and streaming audio distribution. Its business model combines recurring subscription fees from satellite radio customers with ad-supported streaming income from Pandora, giving it exposure to both traditional pay-audio and digital streaming markets.
- Satellite radio subscriber churn pressures Sirius XM revenue
- Pandora ad sales decline amid streaming competition
- Capital allocation focuses on debt reduction and buybacks
| Net Income: 900.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -28.84% < 20% (prev -27.79%; Δ -1.04% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 2.13b > Net Income 900.0m |
| Net Debt (9.45b) to EBITDA (2.33b): 4.05 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.32 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (363.0m) vs 12m ago 1.97% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.56% > 18% (prev 47.05%; Δ 0.52% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.50% > 50% (prev 31.21%; Δ 0.28% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.79 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.68b / Interest Expense TTM 444.0m) |
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 1.19b - Total Current Liabilities 3.67b) / Total Assets 27.2b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 12.1b / Total Assets 27.2b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.68b / Avg Total Assets 27.3b) |
| D: 0.81 (Book Value of Equity 12.1b / Total Liabilities 15.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.12 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 723.0m/703.0m, Revenue 8.60b/8.55b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 47.05% / 47.56%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.87 / AQ_t-1 0.88) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 8.60b / 8.55b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 900.0m - CFO 2.13b) / TA 27.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of November 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 32.26 with a total of 2,748,731 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.62%, over one month by +22.23%, over three months by +14.08% and over the past year by +54.58%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 31.00 (which is 3.9% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Sirius XM Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.36. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SIRI.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 34.3 | 6.4% |
P/E Trailing = 12.9766
P/E Forward = 10.2459
P/S = 1.3002
P/B = 0.9252
P/EG = 1.2823
Revenue TTM = 8.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.68b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.33b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.07b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.25b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.66b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 341.0m
Net Debt = 9.45b USD (calculated: Debt 9.66b - CCE 210.0m)
Enterprise Value = 20.6b USD (11.2b + Debt 9.66b - CCE 210.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.79 (Ebit TTM 1.68b / Interest Expense TTM 444.0m)
EV/FCF = 13.01x (Enterprise Value 20.6b / FCF TTM 1.58b)
FCF Yield = 7.68% (FCF TTM 1.58b / Enterprise Value 20.6b)
FCF Margin = 18.44% (FCF TTM 1.58b / Revenue TTM 8.60b)
Net Margin = 10.47% (Net Income TTM 900.0m / Revenue TTM 8.60b)
Gross Margin = 47.56% ((Revenue TTM 8.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.30% (prev 49.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 20.6b / Total Assets 27.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.60% (Interest Expense 444.0m / Debt 9.66b)
Taxrate = 24.31% (289.0m / 1.19b)
NOPAT = 1.27b (EBIT 1.68b * (1 - 24.31%))
Current Ratio = 0.32 (Total Current Assets 1.19b / Total Current Liabilities 3.67b)
Debt / Equity = 0.80 (Debt 9.66b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.05 (Net Debt 9.45b / EBITDA 2.33b)
Debt / FCF = 5.96 (Net Debt 9.45b / FCF TTM 1.58b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.8b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.30% (Net Income 900.0m / Total Assets 27.2b)
RoE = 7.60% (Net Income TTM 900.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.8b)
RoCE = 8.45% (EBIT 1.68b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.8b + L.T.Debt 8.07b))
RoIC = 5.18% (NOPAT 1.27b / Invested Capital 24.6b)
WACC = 6.04% (E(11.2b)/V(20.8b) * Re(8.25%) + D(9.66b)/V(20.8b) * Rd(4.60%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -38.41 | Cagr: -2.64%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.44b ; Y1≈1.65b ; Y5≈2.43b
[DCF] Fair Price = 80.59 (EV 36.6b - Net Debt 9.45b = Equity 27.1b / Shares 336.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -86.48 | Revenue CAGR: -1.76% | SUE: -0.14 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=-1.55% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.99 | Chg30d=+0.16% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+33.9% | GrowthRev=+0.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.32 | Chg30d=+0.92% | Revisions=-8% | GrowthEPS=+11.1% | GrowthRev=+1.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -19% (up=5, down=8)