(SIRI) Sirius XM Holding - Overview
Stock: Satellite Radio, Streaming Audio, Podcasts, Data Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.58% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 100.37% |
| Payout Consistency | 64.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 54.0% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 72.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.85% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.24 |
| Alpha | -26.16 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.890 |
| Beta Downside | 1.086 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 73.86% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.28 |
Description: SIRI Sirius XM Holding January 06, 2026
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:SIRI) is a North-American audio entertainment provider operating two main segments: the legacy Sirius XM satellite-radio business and the Pandora/off-platform streaming business. The Sirius XM segment delivers subscription-based music, sports, talk, news, comedy, and podcast content via satellite and streaming apps, sells satellite radios through OEMs and retailers, and offers ancillary services such as location-based data, vehicle diagnostics, and in-vehicle weather and fuel-price feeds. The Pandora/off-platform segment runs a music-and-podcast streaming service that monetizes through advertising and premium subscriptions across mobile, vehicle, and connected devices.
Key recent metrics: as of Q4 2023, Sirius XM reported ~36.6 million total subscribers and $2.1 billion in revenue, with an average revenue per user (ARPU) of roughly $15.3 per month; Pandora logged about 140 million monthly active users and generated $1.3 billion in ad-supported revenue. Primary economic drivers include OEM integration trends (automakers increasingly pre-installing Sirius XM radios), the broader shift from linear TV to streaming (benefiting Pandora’s ad inventory), and macro-level discretionary-spending pressure from higher interest rates, which can affect subscription churn.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, the ValueRay platform offers a granular view of SIRI’s valuation metrics and peer comparisons.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 993.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.29 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -27.79% < 20% (prev -21.91%; Δ -5.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.90b > Net Income 993.0m |
| Net Debt (10.00b) to EBITDA (2.35b): 4.25 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.31 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (356.0m) vs 12m ago 5.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.05% > 18% (prev 0.47%; Δ 4658 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.17% > 50% (prev 32.02%; Δ -0.85% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.83 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.35b / Interest Expense TTM 465.0m) |
Altman Z'' 2.01
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 1.08b - Total Current Liabilities 3.46b) / Total Assets 27.40b |
| B: 0.42 (Retained Earnings 11.61b / Total Assets 27.40b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.78b / Avg Total Assets 27.44b) |
| D: 0.73 (Book Value of Equity 11.56b / Total Liabilities 15.85b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.01 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.02
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 703.0m/668.0m, Revenue 8.55b/8.80b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 47.05% / 46.86%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.88 / AQ_t-1 0.89) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 8.55b / 8.80b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 993.0m - CFO 1.90b) / TA 27.40b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of SIRI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.54%, over one month by +0.28%, over three months by +0.23% and over the past year by -12.20%.
Is SIRI a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 3
What are the forecasts/targets for the SIRI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 24 | 10.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 24 | 10.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 20.1 | -7.5% |
SIRI Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 6.7159
P/S = 0.802
P/B = 0.5927
P/EG = 0.6572
Revenue TTM = 8.55b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.78b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.35b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.06b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.08b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.00b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.86b USD (6.86b + Debt 10.08b - CCE 79.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.83 (Ebit TTM 1.78b / Interest Expense TTM 465.0m)
EV/FCF = 13.78x (Enterprise Value 16.86b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
FCF Yield = 7.25% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Enterprise Value 16.86b)
FCF Margin = 14.30% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Revenue TTM 8.55b)
Net Margin = 11.61% (Net Income TTM 993.0m / Revenue TTM 8.55b)
Gross Margin = 47.05% ((Revenue TTM 8.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.78% (prev 46.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.62 (Enterprise Value 16.86b / Total Assets 27.40b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 115.0m / Debt 10.08b)
Taxrate = 23.45% (91.0m / 388.0m)
NOPAT = 1.36b (EBIT 1.78b * (1 - 23.45%))
Current Ratio = 0.31 (Total Current Assets 1.08b / Total Current Liabilities 3.46b)
Debt / Equity = 0.87 (Debt 10.08b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.25 (Net Debt 10.00b / EBITDA 2.35b)
Debt / FCF = 8.17 (Net Debt 10.00b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.62% (Net Income 993.0m / Total Assets 27.40b)
RoE = 8.79% (Net Income TTM 993.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.29b)
RoCE = 8.76% (EBIT 1.78b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.29b + L.T.Debt 9.02b))
RoIC = 6.32% (NOPAT 1.36b / Invested Capital 21.57b)
WACC = 4.25% (E(6.86b)/V(16.94b) * Re(9.20%) + D(10.08b)/V(16.94b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.01% ; FCFF base≈1.08b ; Y1≈956.4m ; Y5≈791.0m
Fair Price DCF = 41.49 (EV 23.96b - Net Debt 10.00b = Equity 13.97b / Shares 336.6m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -14.27% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 6.27 | EPS CAGR: 87.20% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -64.91 | Revenue CAGR: -1.46% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.09 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+12.3% | Growth Revenue=+0.2%