Overview Dividends

(SIRI) Sirius XM Holding - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8299331004

Satellite Radio, Streaming Audio, Podcasts, Data Services

Cable & Satellite
Market Cap in USD: 6,907m

IPO / Inception: 1994-09-13
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -9.30%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 87.20%
EPS Trend: 6.3%

Last SUE: 0.02
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -1.46%
Rev. Trend: -64.9%

Last SUE: 0.91
Qual. Beats: 1

Dividends

Dividend Yield	4.96%
Yield on Cost 5y	2.14%
Yield CAGR 5y	100.37%
Payout Consistency	64.5%
Payout Ratio	38.2%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	50.8%
Value at Risk 5%th	77.7%
Relative Tail Risk	-7.07%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.24
Alpha	-19.90
CAGR/Max DD	-0.35

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.413
Beta	0.970
Beta Downside	1.178

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	73.86%
Mean DD	53.44%
Median DD	60.41%

Description: SIRI Sirius XM Holding January 06, 2026

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:SIRI) is a North-American audio entertainment provider operating two main segments: the legacy Sirius XM satellite-radio business and the Pandora/off-platform streaming business. The Sirius XM segment delivers subscription-based music, sports, talk, news, comedy, and podcast content via satellite and streaming apps, sells satellite radios through OEMs and retailers, and offers ancillary services such as location-based data, vehicle diagnostics, and in-vehicle weather and fuel-price feeds. The Pandora/off-platform segment runs a music-and-podcast streaming service that monetizes through advertising and premium subscriptions across mobile, vehicle, and connected devices.

Key recent metrics: as of Q4 2023, Sirius XM reported ~36.6 million total subscribers and $2.1 billion in revenue, with an average revenue per user (ARPU) of roughly $15.3 per month; Pandora logged about 140 million monthly active users and generated $1.3 billion in ad-supported revenue. Primary economic drivers include OEM integration trends (automakers increasingly pre-installing Sirius XM radios), the broader shift from linear TV to streaming (benefiting Pandora’s ad inventory), and macro-level discretionary-spending pressure from higher interest rates, which can affect subscription churn.

For a deeper quantitative breakdown, the ValueRay platform offers a granular view of SIRI’s valuation metrics and peer comparisons.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (993.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 513.2m TTM)

FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.29pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -27.79% (prev -21.91%; Δ -5.88pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.90b > Net Income 993.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (10.00b) to EBITDA (2.34b) ratio: 4.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.31 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (356.0m) change vs 12m ago 5.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 47.64% (prev 46.86%; Δ 0.79pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 31.17% (prev 32.02%; Δ -0.85pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 3.83 (EBITDA TTM 2.34b / Interest Expense TTM 465.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.01

(A) -0.09 = (Total Current Assets 1.08b - Total Current Liabilities 3.46b) / Total Assets 27.40b

(B) 0.42 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 11.61b / Total Assets 27.40b

(D) 0.73 = Book Value of Equity 11.56b / Total Liabilities 15.85b

Total Rating: 2.01 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.93

1. Piotroski 5.50pt

2. FCF Yield 7.23%

3. FCF Margin 14.30%

4. Debt/Equity 0.87

5. Debt/Ebitda 4.27

6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.94)%

7. RoE 8.79%

8. Rev. Trend -64.91%

9. EPS Trend 6.27%

What is the price of SIRI shares?

As of January 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 21.78 with a total of 3,355,470 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.19%, over one month by -0.64%, over three months by -0.35% and over the past year by +9.72%.

Is SIRI a buy, sell or hold?

Sirius XM Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold SIRI.

Strong Buy: 3
Buy: 2
Hold: 5
Sell: 2
Strong Sell: 3

What are the forecasts/targets for the SIRI price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	24	10.2%
Analysts Target Price	24	10.2%
ValueRay Target Price	20	-8.2%

SIRI Fundamental Data Overview January 06, 2026

P/E Trailing = 5.0393
P/E Forward = 6.7705
P/S = 0.8075
P/B = 0.5973
P/EG = 0.6572
Beta = 0.925
Revenue TTM = 8.55b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.78b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.34b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.06b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.08b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.00b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.90b USD (6.91b + Debt 10.08b - CCE 79.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.83 (Ebit TTM 1.78b / Interest Expense TTM 465.0m)
EV/FCF = 13.82x (Enterprise Value 16.90b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
FCF Yield = 7.23% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Enterprise Value 16.90b)
FCF Margin = 14.30% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Revenue TTM 8.55b)
Net Margin = 11.61% (Net Income TTM 993.0m / Revenue TTM 8.55b)
Gross Margin = 47.64% ((Revenue TTM 8.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.14% (prev 46.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.62 (Enterprise Value 16.90b / Total Assets 27.40b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 115.0m / Debt 10.08b)
Taxrate = 23.45% (91.0m / 388.0m)
NOPAT = 1.36b (EBIT 1.78b * (1 - 23.45%))
Current Ratio = 0.31 (Total Current Assets 1.08b / Total Current Liabilities 3.46b)
Debt / Equity = 0.87 (Debt 10.08b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.27 (Net Debt 10.00b / EBITDA 2.34b)
Debt / FCF = 8.17 (Net Debt 10.00b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.62% (Net Income 993.0m / Total Assets 27.40b)
RoE = 8.79% (Net Income TTM 993.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.29b)
RoCE = 8.76% (EBIT 1.78b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.29b + L.T.Debt 9.02b))
RoIC = 6.32% (NOPAT 1.36b / Invested Capital 21.57b)
WACC = 4.38% (E(6.91b)/V(16.98b) * Re(9.49%) + D(10.08b)/V(16.98b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.01% ; FCFF base≈1.08b ; Y1≈956.4m ; Y5≈791.0m
Fair Price DCF = 41.49 (EV 23.96b - Net Debt 10.00b = Equity 13.97b / Shares 336.6m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -14.27% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 6.27 | EPS CAGR: 87.20% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -64.91 | Revenue CAGR: -1.46% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.09 | Chg30d=-0.006 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+12.3% | Growth Revenue=+0.2%

Additional Sources for SIRI Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle