SIRI Stock Analysis: Sirius XM Holding | NASDAQ
Entertainment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 10.425m USD | 12M Return: 49.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 115M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -91.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a North American audio entertainment company that operates through two main segments: Sirius XM and Pandora and Off-platform. The Sirius XM segment delivers music, sports, entertainment, comedy, news, and podcast content via subscription on a satellite radio network, with receivers sold through automakers, retailers, and its own website. The Pandora and Off-platform segment runs a music, comedy, and podcast streaming platform that uses personalization technology and generates revenue through advertising.
In addition to audio content, the Sirius XM segment sells hardware and accessories and provides data services such as real-time weather, fuel prices, traffic information, sports scores, and movie listings, along with location-based services like stolen vehicle assistance and remote diagnostics. It also supplies commercial-free music to businesses and music programming to DISH Network.
The company is headquartered in New York and is classified within the Communication Services sector (Cable & Satellite sub-industry) as a mid-cap stock listed on NASDAQ under the ticker SIRI.
- Self-pay subscriber churn weighs on satellite radio revenue
- Pandora ad revenue growth partially offsets subscription declines
- Aggressive buybacks and dividends support shareholder returns
| Net Income: 880.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.07 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -15.96% < 20% (prev -17.81%; Δ 1.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 2.10b > Net Income 880.0m |
| Net Debt (8.82b) to EBITDA (2.29b): 3.85 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (342.0m) vs 12m ago -4.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.18% > 18% (prev 47.51%; Δ -1.33% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.56% > 50% (prev 31.34%; Δ 0.22% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.69 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 450.0m) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 1.16b - Total Current Liabilities 2.53b) / Total Assets 27.2b |
| B: 0.44 (Retained Earnings 11.9b / Total Assets 27.2b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.66b / Avg Total Assets 27.3b) |
| D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 11.9b / Total Liabilities 15.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.33 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 712.0m/662.0m, Revenue 8.60b/8.56b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 47.51% / 46.18%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.87 / AQ_t-1 0.88) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 8.60b / 8.56b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 880.0m - CFO 2.10b) / TA 27.2b) |
| Beneish M = -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 30.75 with a total of 4,509,303 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.94%, over one month by +0.00%, over three months by +16.02% and over the past year by +49.21%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 28.10 (which is 8.6% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
Sirius XM Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SIRI.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 3
| Analysts Target Price | 29.3 | -4.7% |
P/E Trailing = 13.1229
P/E Forward = 10.5485
P/S = 1.2149
P/B = 0.9352
P/EG = 1.3878
Revenue TTM = 8.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.66b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.29b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.65b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.99b USD (corrected: LT Debt 8.65b + ST Debt 2.00m) + Leases 341.0m
Net Debt = 8.82b USD (calculated: Debt 8.99b - CCE 174.0m)
Enterprise Value = 19.2b USD (10.4b + Debt 8.99b - CCE 174.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.69 (Ebit TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 450.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.42x (Enterprise Value 19.2b / FCF TTM 1.55b)
FCF Yield = 8.05% (FCF TTM 1.55b / Enterprise Value 19.2b)
FCF Margin = 18.01% (FCF TTM 1.55b / Revenue TTM 8.60b)
Net Margin = 10.23% (Net Income TTM 880.0m / Revenue TTM 8.60b)
Gross Margin = 46.18% ((Revenue TTM 8.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.63b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.68% (prev 40.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.71 (Enterprise Value 19.2b / Total Assets 27.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.01% (Interest Expense 450.0m / Debt 8.99b)
Taxrate = 24.20% (281.0m / 1.16b)
NOPAT = 1.26b (EBIT 1.66b * (1 - 24.20%))
Current Ratio = 0.46 (Total Current Assets 1.16b / Total Current Liabilities 2.53b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 8.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.85 (Net Debt 8.82b / EBITDA 2.29b)
Debt / FCF = 5.69 (Net Debt 8.82b / FCF TTM 1.55b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.7b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.23% (Net Income 880.0m / Total Assets 27.2b)
RoE = 7.53% (Net Income TTM 880.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.7b)
RoCE = 8.16% (EBIT 1.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.7b + L.T.Debt 8.65b))
RoIC = 5.14% (NOPAT 1.26b / Invested Capital 24.5b)
WACC = 6.58% (E(10.4b)/V(19.4b) * Re(8.98%) + D(8.99b)/V(19.4b) * Rd(5.01%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -71.00 | Cagr: -5.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.33b ; Y1≈1.52b ; Y5≈2.24b
[DCF] Fair Price = 73.83 (EV 33.7b - Net Debt 8.82b = Equity 24.9b / Shares 336.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.20 | Revenue CAGR: -1.99% | SUE: 1.37 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=-0.11% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.12 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+39.9% | GrowthRev=+0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.37 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+8.0% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +57% (up=4, down=0)