(SIRI) Sirius XM Holding - Overview
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Entertainment | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 9.106m USD | Total Return: 36.2% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 112M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -94.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Extended 3d
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a North American audio entertainment provider operating through two primary segments: Sirius XM and Pandora. The company utilizes a dual-revenue business model, generating income through subscription-based satellite radio services and ad-supported digital streaming platforms. Its distribution network relies heavily on factory-installed hardware in new vehicles through partnerships with major automakers.
The Sirius XM segment delivers exclusive music, sports, and talk programming via satellite and cellular networks, while also providing connected vehicle services such as safety alerts and diagnostic data. In contrast, the Pandora segment focuses on personalized streaming and podcasting, primarily monetized through advertising and mobile user engagement. Unlike traditional terrestrial radio, satellite broadcasters operate under a centralized national license, allowing for consistent signal delivery across the continent.
Investors can evaluate the company’s long-term valuation metrics and historical performance by visiting ValueRay. Sirius XM remains a dominant player in the Cable & Satellite sub-industry, leveraging its proprietary satellite infrastructure to maintain high barriers to entry in the premium audio space.
- New vehicle sales volume dictates subscriber acquisition and long-term revenue growth
- High debt levels and interest rates impact free cash flow and dividends
- Content licensing costs for sports and talent pressure overall operating margins
- Competition from streaming platforms reduces Pandora user engagement and advertising revenue
- Liberty Media corporate restructuring and share consolidation influence equity valuation volatility
| Net Income: 846.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -15.77% < 20% (prev -16.66%; Δ 0.90% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.93b > Net Income 846.0m |
| Net Debt (10.0b) to EBITDA (2.18b): 4.58 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.44 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (338.0m) vs 12m ago -5.32% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.45% > 18% (prev 0.48%; Δ 4.50k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.45% > 50% (prev 31.38%; Δ 0.07% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.50 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.18b / Interest Expense TTM 454.0m) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 1.06b - Total Current Liabilities 2.41b) / Total Assets 27.1b |
| B: 0.43 (Retained Earnings 11.8b / Total Assets 27.1b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.59b / Avg Total Assets 27.3b) |
| D: 0.76 (Book Value of Equity 11.7b / Total Liabilities 15.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.28 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 673.0m/601.0m, Revenue 8.58b/8.61b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 45.45% / 48.02%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.88 / AQ_t-1 0.88) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 8.58b / 8.61b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 846.0m - CFO 1.93b) / TA 27.1b) |
| Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of May 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 28.89 with a total of 4,564,246 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.85%,
over one month by +9.66%,
over three months by +39.15% and
over the past year by +36.16%.
Sirius XM Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SIRI.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 3
| Analysts Target Price | 28.1 | -2.8% |
P/E Trailing = 11.0408
P/E Forward = 8.4317
P/S = 1.0611
P/B = 0.7475
P/EG = 1.1093
Revenue TTM = 8.58b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.59b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 59.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 341.0m
Net Debt = 10.0b USD (calculated: Debt 10.1b - CCE 75.0m)
Enterprise Value = 19.1b USD (9.11b + Debt 10.1b - CCE 75.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.50 (Ebit TTM 1.59b / Interest Expense TTM 454.0m)
EV/FCF = 14.08x (Enterprise Value 19.1b / FCF TTM 1.36b)
FCF Yield = 7.10% (FCF TTM 1.36b / Enterprise Value 19.1b)
FCF Margin = 15.83% (FCF TTM 1.36b / Revenue TTM 8.58b)
Net Margin = 9.86% (Net Income TTM 846.0m / Revenue TTM 8.58b)
Gross Margin = 45.45% ((Revenue TTM 8.58b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.68b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.08% (prev 47.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.70 (Enterprise Value 19.1b / Total Assets 27.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.50% (Interest Expense 454.0m / Debt 10.1b)
Taxrate = 24.85% (81.0m / 326.0m)
NOPAT = 1.19b (EBIT 1.59b * (1 - 24.85%))
Current Ratio = 0.44 (Total Current Assets 1.06b / Total Current Liabilities 2.41b)
Debt / Equity = 0.86 (Debt 10.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.58 (Net Debt 10.0b / EBITDA 2.18b)
Debt / FCF = 7.37 (Net Debt 10.0b / FCF TTM 1.36b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.10% (Net Income 846.0m / Total Assets 27.1b)
RoE = 7.33% (Net Income TTM 846.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.5b)
RoCE = 7.48% (EBIT 1.59b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.5b + L.T.Debt 9.69b))
RoIC = 4.82% (NOPAT 1.19b / Invested Capital 24.8b)
WACC = 6.36% (E(9.11b)/V(19.2b) * Re(9.65%) + D(10.1b)/V(19.2b) * Rd(4.50%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -70.47 | Cagr: -5.73%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.18b ; Y1≈1.35b ; Y5≈1.99b
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.07 (EV 29.9b - Net Debt 10.0b = Equity 19.9b / Shares 336.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -94.03 | Revenue CAGR: -2.13% | SUE: 0.80 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.79 | Chg30d=+1.39% | Revisions=-8% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=-0.63% | Revisions=-38% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.13 | Chg30d=+0.49% | Revisions=-7% | GrowthEPS=+40.3% | GrowthRev=+0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.36 | Chg30d=+3.47% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+7.4% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50%