SIRI Stock Analysis: Sirius XM Holding | NASDAQ
Entertainment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 9.313m USD | 12M Return: 33.4% | US8299331004 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 103M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -91.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a U.S.-based audio entertainment company operating two main segments: Sirius XM, which delivers subscription-based satellite radio services including music, sports, news, talk, comedy, and podcasts distributed through automakers, retailers, mobile apps, and connected devices; and Pandora and Off-platform, which runs a music, comedy, and podcast streaming service supported by advertising. Beyond core audio, the Sirius XM segment sells radios and accessories, offers location-based and connected vehicle services (such as stolen vehicle recovery, diagnostics, and weather/fuel data), and provides commercial-free music for businesses and music programming for DISH Network.
The company is classified within the Communication Services sector under the Cable & Satellite sub-industry, reflecting its reliance on subscription and advertising revenue from satellite and streaming audio distribution. Its business model combines recurring subscription fees from satellite radio customers with ad-supported streaming income from Pandora, giving it exposure to both traditional pay-audio and digital streaming markets.
- Satellite radio subscriber churn pressures Sirius XM revenue
- Pandora ad sales decline amid streaming competition
- Capital allocation focuses on debt reduction and buybacks
| Net Income: 880.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.07 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -15.96% < 20% (prev -17.81%; Δ 1.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 2.10b > Net Income 880.0m |
| Net Debt (9.62b) to EBITDA (2.30b): 4.19 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (342.0m) vs 12m ago -4.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.18% > 18% (prev 47.51%; Δ -1.33% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.56% > 50% (prev 31.34%; Δ 0.22% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.69 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 450.0m) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 1.16b - Total Current Liabilities 2.53b) / Total Assets 27.2b |
| B: 0.44 (Retained Earnings 11.9b / Total Assets 27.2b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.66b / Avg Total Assets 27.3b) |
| D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 11.9b / Total Liabilities 15.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.33 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 712.0m/662.0m, Revenue 8.60b/8.56b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 47.51% / 46.18%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.87 / AQ_t-1 0.88) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 8.60b / 8.56b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 880.0m - CFO 2.10b) / TA 27.2b) |
| Beneish M = -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 27.32 with a total of 5,913,002 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.34%, over one month by +5.32%, over three months by -12.98% and over the past year by +33.44%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 25.80 (which is 5.6% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
Sirius XM Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.36. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SIRI.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 33.2 | 21.6% |
P/E Trailing = 11.052
P/E Forward = 8.9445
P/S = 1.0825
P/B = 0.8251
P/EG = 1.1613
Revenue TTM = 8.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.66b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.45b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.80b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 341.0m
Net Debt = 9.62b USD (calculated: Debt 9.80b - CCE 174.0m)
Enterprise Value = 18.9b USD (9.31b + Debt 9.80b - CCE 174.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.69 (Ebit TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 450.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.22x (Enterprise Value 18.9b / FCF TTM 1.55b)
FCF Yield = 8.18% (FCF TTM 1.55b / Enterprise Value 18.9b)
FCF Margin = 18.01% (FCF TTM 1.55b / Revenue TTM 8.60b)
Net Margin = 10.23% (Net Income TTM 880.0m / Revenue TTM 8.60b)
Gross Margin = 46.18% ((Revenue TTM 8.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.63b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.68% (prev 40.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.70 (Enterprise Value 18.9b / Total Assets 27.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.59% (Interest Expense 450.0m / Debt 9.80b)
Taxrate = 24.20% (281.0m / 1.16b)
NOPAT = 1.26b (EBIT 1.66b * (1 - 24.20%))
Current Ratio = 0.46 (Total Current Assets 1.16b / Total Current Liabilities 2.53b)
Debt / Equity = 0.82 (Debt 9.80b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.19 (Net Debt 9.62b / EBITDA 2.30b)
Debt / FCF = 6.21 (Net Debt 9.62b / FCF TTM 1.55b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.7b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.23% (Net Income 880.0m / Total Assets 27.2b)
RoE = 7.53% (Net Income TTM 880.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.7b)
RoCE = 7.85% (EBIT 1.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.7b + L.T.Debt 9.45b))
RoIC = 5.14% (NOPAT 1.26b / Invested Capital 24.5b)
WACC = 5.86% (E(9.31b)/V(19.1b) * Re(8.37%) + D(9.80b)/V(19.1b) * Rd(4.59%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -71.00 | Cagr: -5.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.33b ; Y1≈1.52b ; Y5≈2.24b
[DCF] Fair Price = 71.34 (EV 33.7b - Net Debt 9.62b = Equity 24.0b / Shares 337.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.20 | Revenue CAGR: -1.99% | SUE: 1.37 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.79 | Chg30d=+0.49% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.97 | Chg30d=-0.71% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+33.1% | GrowthRev=+0.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.29 | Chg30d=+0.06% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+10.8% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -38% (up=1, down=4)