(SIRI) Sirius XM Holding - Overview

Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Entertainment | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 8.769m USD | Total Return: 25.7% in 12m

Satellite Radio, Audio Streaming, Digital Advertising, Telematics Services
Total Rating 56
Safety 70
Buy Signal 1.33
Entertainment
Industry Rotation: -1.6
Market Cap: 8.77B
Avg Turnover: 112M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility58.1%
VaR 5th Pctl9.70%
VaR vs Median1.25%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.71
Rel. Str. IBD78.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group83.3
Character TTM
Beta1.049
Beta Downside1.339
Hurst Exponent0.387
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD73.86%
CAGR/Max DD-0.07
CAGR/Mean DD-0.09
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of SIRI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.07, "2021-06": 0.07, "2021-09": 0.1, "2021-12": 0.08, "2022-03": 0.08, "2022-06": 0.07, "2022-09": 0.06, "2022-12": 0.09, "2023-03": 0.06, "2023-06": 0.08, "2023-09": 0.09, "2023-12": 0.09, "2024-03": 0.07, "2024-06": 0.08, "2024-09": -8.74, "2024-12": 0.83, "2025-03": 0.59, "2025-06": 0.57, "2025-09": 0.84, "2025-12": 0.24, "2026-03": 0.72,
EPS CAGR: 86.18%
EPS Trend: 17.6%
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of SIRI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 2058, 2021-06: 2159, 2021-09: 2198, 2021-12: 2281, 2022-03: 2186, 2022-06: 2253, 2022-09: 2280, 2022-12: 2283, 2023-03: 2144, 2023-06: 2250, 2023-09: 2271, 2023-12: 2288, 2024-03: 2162, 2024-06: 2178, 2024-09: 2171, 2024-12: 2188, 2025-03: 2068, 2025-06: 2138, 2025-09: 2159, 2025-12: 2193, 2026-03: 2091,
Rev. CAGR: -1.97%
Rev. Trend: -70.6%
Last SUE: 0.80
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Avwap Ph Week

Description: SIRI Sirius XM Holding

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a North American audio entertainment provider operating through two primary segments: Sirius XM and Pandora. The company utilizes a dual-revenue business model, generating income through subscription-based satellite radio services and ad-supported digital streaming platforms. Its distribution network relies heavily on factory-installed hardware in new vehicles through partnerships with major automakers.

The Sirius XM segment delivers exclusive music, sports, and talk programming via satellite and cellular networks, while also providing connected vehicle services such as safety alerts and diagnostic data. In contrast, the Pandora segment focuses on personalized streaming and podcasting, primarily monetized through advertising and mobile user engagement. Unlike traditional terrestrial radio, satellite broadcasters operate under a centralized national license, allowing for consistent signal delivery across the continent.

Investors can evaluate the company’s long-term valuation metrics and historical performance by visiting ValueRay. Sirius XM remains a dominant player in the Cable & Satellite sub-industry, leveraging its proprietary satellite infrastructure to maintain high barriers to entry in the premium audio space.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • New vehicle sales volume dictates subscriber acquisition and long-term revenue growth
  • High debt levels and interest rates impact free cash flow and dividends
  • Content licensing costs for sports and talent pressure overall operating margins
  • Competition from streaming platforms reduces Pandora user engagement and advertising revenue
  • Liberty Media corporate restructuring and share consolidation influence equity valuation volatility
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 846.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.70 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -15.77% < 20% (prev -16.66%; Δ 0.90% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 1.93b > Net Income 846.0m
Net Debt (9.67b) to EBITDA (2.18b): 4.43 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.44 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (338.0m) vs 12m ago -5.32% < -2%
Gross Margin: 45.45% > 18% (prev 0.48%; Δ 4.50k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 31.45% > 50% (prev 31.38%; Δ 0.07% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.50 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.18b / Interest Expense TTM 454.0m)
Altman Z'' 2.28
A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 1.06b - Total Current Liabilities 2.41b) / Total Assets 27.15b
B: 0.43 (Retained Earnings 11.77b / Total Assets 27.15b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.59b / Avg Total Assets 27.29b)
D: 0.76 (Book Value of Equity 11.72b / Total Liabilities 15.42b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 2.28 = BBB
Beneish M -2.92
DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 673.0m/601.0m, Revenue 8.58b/8.61b)
GMI: 1.06 (GM 45.45% / 48.02%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.88 / AQ_t-1 0.88)
SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 8.58b / 8.61b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 846.0m - CFO 1.93b) / TA 27.15b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of SIRI shares? As of May 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 27.05 with a total of 5,269,876 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.62%, over one month by +0.38%, over three months by +29.73% and over the past year by +25.74%.
Is SIRI a buy, sell or hold? Sirius XM Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold SIRI.
  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 3
What are the forecasts/targets for the SIRI price?
Analysts Target Price 28.1 3.8%
Sirius XM Holding (SIRI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 11.0381
P/E Forward = 8.7719
P/S = 1.0219
P/B = 0.7776
P/EG = 1.154
Revenue TTM = 8.58b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.59b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 59.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.75b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.67b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 18.44b USD (8.77b + Debt 9.75b - CCE 75.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.50 (Ebit TTM 1.59b / Interest Expense TTM 454.0m)
EV/FCF = 13.58x (Enterprise Value 18.44b / FCF TTM 1.36b)
FCF Yield = 7.36% (FCF TTM 1.36b / Enterprise Value 18.44b)
FCF Margin = 15.83% (FCF TTM 1.36b / Revenue TTM 8.58b)
Net Margin = 9.86% (Net Income TTM 846.0m / Revenue TTM 8.58b)
Gross Margin = 45.45% ((Revenue TTM 8.58b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.68b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.08% (prev 47.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.68 (Enterprise Value 18.44b / Total Assets 27.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.15% (Interest Expense 112.0m / Debt 9.75b)
Taxrate = 24.85% (81.0m / 326.0m)
NOPAT = 1.19b (EBIT 1.59b * (1 - 24.85%))
Current Ratio = 0.44 (Total Current Assets 1.06b / Total Current Liabilities 2.41b)
Debt / Equity = 0.83 (Debt 9.75b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.43 (Net Debt 9.67b / EBITDA 2.18b)
Debt / FCF = 7.12 (Net Debt 9.67b / FCF TTM 1.36b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.10% (Net Income 846.0m / Total Assets 27.15b)
RoE = 7.33% (Net Income TTM 846.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.54b)
RoCE = 7.48% (EBIT 1.59b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.54b + L.T.Debt 9.69b))
RoIC = 5.56% (NOPAT 1.19b / Invested Capital 21.48b)
WACC = 5.03% (E(8.77b)/V(18.52b) * Re(9.67%) + D(9.75b)/V(18.52b) * Rd(1.15%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -70.47 | Cagr: -5.73%
[DCF] Terminal Value 85.01% ; FCFF base≈1.18b ; Y1≈1.04b ; Y5≈862.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 48.63 (EV 26.04b - Net Debt 9.67b = Equity 16.37b / Shares 336.6m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -14.27% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 17.56 | EPS CAGR: 86.18% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -70.62 | Revenue CAGR: -1.97% | SUE: 0.80 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.79 | Chg30d=+1.39% | Revisions=-8% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=-0.63% | Revisions=-38% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.13 | Chg30d=+0.49% | Revisions=-7% | GrowthEPS=+40.3% | GrowthRev=+0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.36 | Chg30d=+3.47% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+7.4% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50%