SIRI Stock Analysis: Sirius XM Holding | NASDAQ
Entertainment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 8.956m USD | 12M Return: 27.1% | US8299331004 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 126M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -91.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a U.S.-based audio entertainment company operating two main segments: Sirius XM, which delivers subscription-based satellite radio services including music, sports, news, talk, comedy, and podcasts distributed through automakers, retailers, mobile apps, and connected devices; and Pandora and Off-platform, which runs a music, comedy, and podcast streaming service supported by advertising. Beyond core audio, the Sirius XM segment sells radios and accessories, offers location-based and connected vehicle services (such as stolen vehicle recovery, diagnostics, and weather/fuel data), and provides commercial-free music for businesses and music programming for DISH Network.
The company is classified within the Communication Services sector under the Cable & Satellite sub-industry, reflecting its reliance on subscription and advertising revenue from satellite and streaming audio distribution. Its business model combines recurring subscription fees from satellite radio customers with ad-supported streaming income from Pandora, giving it exposure to both traditional pay-audio and digital streaming markets.
- Satellite radio subscriber churn pressures Sirius XM revenue
- Pandora ad sales decline amid streaming competition
- Capital allocation focuses on debt reduction and buybacks
| Net Income: 880.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.07 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -15.96% < 20% (prev -17.81%; Δ 1.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 2.10b > Net Income 880.0m |
| Net Debt (9.62b) to EBITDA (2.30b): 4.19 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (342.0m) vs 12m ago -4.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.18% > 18% (prev 47.51%; Δ -1.33% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.56% > 50% (prev 31.34%; Δ 0.22% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.69 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 450.0m) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 1.16b - Total Current Liabilities 2.53b) / Total Assets 27.2b |
| B: 0.44 (Retained Earnings 11.9b / Total Assets 27.2b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.66b / Avg Total Assets 27.3b) |
| D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 11.9b / Total Liabilities 15.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.33 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 712.0m/662.0m, Revenue 8.60b/8.56b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 47.51% / 46.18%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.87 / AQ_t-1 0.88) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 8.60b / 8.56b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 880.0m - CFO 2.10b) / TA 27.2b) |
| Beneish M = -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 26.51 with a total of 2,400,454 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.16%, over one month by -9.74%, over three months by -11.97% and over the past year by +27.11%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 24.90 (which is 6.1% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Sirius XM Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.36. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SIRI.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 33.2 | 25.3% |
P/E Trailing = 10.628
P/E Forward = 8.0645
P/S = 1.041
P/B = 0.7439
P/EG = 1.0469
Revenue TTM = 8.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.66b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.45b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.80b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 341.0m
Net Debt = 9.62b USD (calculated: Debt 9.80b - CCE 174.0m)
Enterprise Value = 18.6b USD (8.96b + Debt 9.80b - CCE 174.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.69 (Ebit TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 450.0m)
EV/FCF = 11.99x (Enterprise Value 18.6b / FCF TTM 1.55b)
FCF Yield = 8.34% (FCF TTM 1.55b / Enterprise Value 18.6b)
FCF Margin = 18.01% (FCF TTM 1.55b / Revenue TTM 8.60b)
Net Margin = 10.23% (Net Income TTM 880.0m / Revenue TTM 8.60b)
Gross Margin = 46.18% ((Revenue TTM 8.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.63b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.68% (prev 40.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.68 (Enterprise Value 18.6b / Total Assets 27.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.59% (Interest Expense 450.0m / Debt 9.80b)
Taxrate = 24.20% (281.0m / 1.16b)
NOPAT = 1.26b (EBIT 1.66b * (1 - 24.20%))
Current Ratio = 0.46 (Total Current Assets 1.16b / Total Current Liabilities 2.53b)
Debt / Equity = 0.82 (Debt 9.80b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.19 (Net Debt 9.62b / EBITDA 2.30b)
Debt / FCF = 6.21 (Net Debt 9.62b / FCF TTM 1.55b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.7b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.23% (Net Income 880.0m / Total Assets 27.2b)
RoE = 7.53% (Net Income TTM 880.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.7b)
RoCE = 7.85% (EBIT 1.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.7b + L.T.Debt 9.45b))
RoIC = 5.14% (NOPAT 1.26b / Invested Capital 24.5b)
WACC = 6.05% (E(8.96b)/V(18.8b) * Re(8.85%) + D(9.80b)/V(18.8b) * Rd(4.59%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -71.00 | Cagr: -5.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.33b ; Y1≈1.52b ; Y5≈2.24b
[DCF] Fair Price = 71.34 (EV 33.7b - Net Debt 9.62b = Equity 24.0b / Shares 337.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.20 | Revenue CAGR: -1.99% | SUE: 1.37 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.79 | Chg30d=+0.61% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.97 | Chg30d=-0.66% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+33.2% | GrowthRev=+0.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.29 | Chg30d=+0.22% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+10.9% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -38% (up=1, down=4)