(SKYW) SkyWest - Ratings and Ratios
Regional Flights, Aircraft Leasing, Charter Services, Ground Handling
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 51.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.74% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.01 |
| Alpha | -18.34 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.51 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.496 |
| Beta | 1.277 |
| Beta Downside | 1.286 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.33% |
| Mean DD | 8.00% |
| Median DD | 4.93% |
Description: SKYW SkyWest November 06, 2025
SkyWest, Inc. (NASDAQ:SKYW) operates a U.S. regional airline network through its SkyWest Airlines and SWC subsidiaries, complemented by a leasing arm that rents regional jets and spare engines. As of 31 December 2024, the company’s fleet numbered 624 aircraft, supporting roughly 2,190 daily departures of passenger and air-freight services across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The firm also offers on-demand charter, airport-customer, and ground-handling services, and is headquartered in Saint George, Utah.
Key recent metrics indicate a Q3 2024 operating margin of 7.2% (up from 5.9% a year earlier) and cash on hand of $1.3 billion, while total debt stood at $3.1 billion, yielding a net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.4×. The fleet is heavily weighted toward Embraer E175 and CRJ-900 aircraft, which benefit from lower fuel burn per seat-mile-a critical advantage given the sector’s sensitivity to jet-fuel price volatility. A persistent industry driver is the pilot pipeline shortage; SkyWest’s partnership agreements with major carriers (e.g., United, Delta, American) provide a relatively stable feed of capacity contracts, but any tightening of pilot supply could pressure cost structures and contract renegotiations.
For a deeper, data-driven view of SkyWest’s valuation and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers tools that may help you assess the company’s upside and downside risks.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (434.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 238.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.21pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -11.40% (prev -5.40%; Δ -6.00pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 894.8m > Net Income 434.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.43b) to EBITDA (994.0m) ratio: 2.44 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.71 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (41.4m) change vs 12m ago -0.27% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 23.94% (prev 22.71%; Δ 1.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 56.15% (prev 47.94%; Δ 8.20pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.86 (EBITDA TTM 994.0m / Interest Expense TTM 107.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.37
| (A) -0.06 = (Total Current Assets 1.10b - Total Current Liabilities 1.55b) / Total Assets 7.21b |
| (B) 0.41 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.93b / Total Assets 7.21b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 627.4m / Avg Total Assets 7.09b |
| (D) 0.82 = Book Value of Equity 3.73b / Total Liabilities 4.54b |
| Total Rating: 2.37 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 72.05
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.51% |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.17% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.92 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.44 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.15)% |
| 7. RoE 17.14% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 81.63% |
| 9. EPS Trend 75.43% |
What is the price of SKYW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.36%, over one month by +4.83%, over three months by -1.69% and over the past year by -1.31%.
Is SKYW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SKYW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 130 | 22.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 130 | 22.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 154.5 | 46% |
SKYW Fundamental Data Overview December 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 9.8873
P/S = 1.0507
P/B = 1.5475
P/EG = 1.02
Beta = 1.631
Revenue TTM = 3.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 627.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 994.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.87b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 539.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.47b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.43b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.90b USD (4.18b + Debt 2.47b - CCE 753.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.86 (Ebit TTM 627.4m / Interest Expense TTM 107.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.51% (FCF TTM 324.9m / Enterprise Value 5.90b)
FCF Margin = 8.17% (FCF TTM 324.9m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Net Margin = 10.92% (Net Income TTM 434.6m / Revenue TTM 3.98b)
Gross Margin = 23.94% ((Revenue TTM 3.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.99% (prev 25.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 5.90b / Total Assets 7.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.04% (Interest Expense 25.6m / Debt 2.47b)
Taxrate = 25.97% (40.8m / 157.2m)
NOPAT = 464.5m (EBIT 627.4m * (1 - 25.97%))
Current Ratio = 0.71 (Total Current Assets 1.10b / Total Current Liabilities 1.55b)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 2.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.68b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.44 (Net Debt 2.43b / EBITDA 994.0m)
Debt / FCF = 7.46 (Net Debt 2.43b / FCF TTM 324.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.02% (Net Income 434.6m / Total Assets 7.21b)
RoE = 17.14% (Net Income TTM 434.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.54b)
RoCE = 14.26% (EBIT 627.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.54b + L.T.Debt 1.87b))
RoIC = 9.17% (NOPAT 464.5m / Invested Capital 5.06b)
WACC = 7.02% (E(4.18b)/V(6.65b) * Re(10.72%) + D(2.47b)/V(6.65b) * Rd(1.04%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 10.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.39%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.43% ; FCFE base≈381.6m ; Y1≈250.5m ; Y5≈114.6m
Fair Price DCF = 38.55 (DCF Value 1.55b / Shares Outstanding 40.1m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 75.43 | EPS CAGR: 150.3% | SUE: 1.54 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 81.63 | Revenue CAGR: 8.36% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.48 | Chg30d=+0.041 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.09 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+7.0% | Growth Revenue=+4.1%
Additional Sources for SKYW Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle