(SMCI) Super Micro Computer - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US86800U3023
Server, Storage, Blade, AI, Rackmount
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 73.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 99.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -18.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.24 |
| Alpha | -40.21 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.63 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.425 |
| Beta | 2.048 |
| Beta Downside | 2.380 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 84.84% |
| Mean DD | 38.60% |
| Median DD | 34.10% |
Description: SMCI Super Micro Computer December 17, 2025
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) designs and sells modular, open-standard server and storage platforms-including liquid-cooled AI servers, blade systems (SuperBlade, MicroBlade, FlexTwin, etc.), rack-mount, edge, and 5G/IoT solutions-plus a suite of remote management tools and full-rack deployment services for enterprise data centers, cloud providers, and AI/HPC customers worldwide.
Key recent metrics: FY 2024 revenue rose ~23% YoY to $6.4 bn, driven by a 42% surge in AI-optimized server sales; gross margin expanded to 31% as higher-margin GPU-centric systems offset rising component costs. The global AI server market is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~30% through 2028, while overall data-center capex remains robust despite macro-economic headwinds, supporting SMCI’s growth outlook.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, consider exploring ValueRay’s analytics to complement your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (792.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.26b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 24.62pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 48.99% (prev 37.12%; Δ 11.88pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 333.1m <= Net Income 792.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (578.8m) to EBITDA (1.05b) ratio: 0.55 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 5.39 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (663.2m) change vs 12m ago 12.22% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 10.08% (prev 13.20%; Δ -3.13pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 166.8% (prev 173.3%; Δ -6.48pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 14.72 (EBITDA TTM 1.05b / Interest Expense TTM 67.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.92
| (A) 0.72 = (Total Current Assets 12.66b - Total Current Liabilities 2.35b) / Total Assets 14.39b |
| (B) 0.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.60b / Total Assets 14.39b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 988.4m / Avg Total Assets 12.62b |
| (D) 0.83 = Book Value of Equity 6.52b / Total Liabilities 7.86b |
| Total Rating: 6.92 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.51
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.16% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.04% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.73 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.55 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.73)% |
| 7. RoE 12.46% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 92.68% |
| 9. EPS Trend -48.43% |
What is the price of SMCI shares?
As of December 30, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 30.08 with a total of 19,567,126 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.19%, over one month by -9.97%, over three months by -35.12% and over the past year by -1.96%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.19%, over one month by -9.97%, over three months by -35.12% and over the past year by -1.96%.
Is SMCI a buy, sell or hold?
Super Micro Computer has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold SMCI.
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SMCI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 48.5 | 61.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 48.5 | 61.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 38.4 | 27.8% |
SMCI Fundamental Data Overview December 27, 2025
Market Cap USD = 18.24b (18.24b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 24.0551
P/E Forward = 16.1551
P/S = 0.8663
P/B = 2.7957
P/EG = 0.76
Beta = 1.516
Revenue TTM = 21.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 988.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.05b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.68b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 100.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.78b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 578.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 18.82b USD (18.24b + Debt 4.78b - CCE 4.20b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.72 (Ebit TTM 988.4m / Interest Expense TTM 67.2m)
FCF Yield = 1.16% (FCF TTM 217.9m / Enterprise Value 18.82b)
FCF Margin = 1.04% (FCF TTM 217.9m / Revenue TTM 21.05b)
Net Margin = 3.77% (Net Income TTM 792.8m / Revenue TTM 21.05b)
Gross Margin = 10.08% ((Revenue TTM 21.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.31% (prev 9.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.31 (Enterprise Value 18.82b / Total Assets 14.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.52% (Interest Expense 24.9m / Debt 4.78b)
Taxrate = 19.27% (40.2m / 208.4m)
NOPAT = 798.0m (EBIT 988.4m * (1 - 19.27%))
Current Ratio = 5.39 (Total Current Assets 12.66b / Total Current Liabilities 2.35b)
Debt / Equity = 0.73 (Debt 4.78b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.55 (Net Debt 578.8m / EBITDA 1.05b)
Debt / FCF = 2.66 (Net Debt 578.8m / FCF TTM 217.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.36b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.51% (Net Income 792.8m / Total Assets 14.39b)
RoE = 12.46% (Net Income TTM 792.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.36b)
RoCE = 8.96% (EBIT 988.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.36b + L.T.Debt 4.68b))
RoIC = 8.11% (NOPAT 798.0m / Invested Capital 9.84b)
WACC = 10.83% (E(18.24b)/V(23.01b) * Re(13.56%) + D(4.78b)/V(23.01b) * Rd(0.52%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 13.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.86%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 50.04% ; FCFE base≈217.9m ; Y1≈143.1m ; Y5≈65.4m
Fair Price DCF = 1.13 (DCF Value 675.2m / Shares Outstanding 597.0m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -48.43 | EPS CAGR: -21.80% | SUE: -0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.68 | Revenue CAGR: 47.36% | SUE: -2.63 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.54 | Chg30d=-0.131 | Revisions Net=-10 | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=2.06 | Chg30d=-0.519 | Revisions Net=-17 | Growth EPS=+0.0% | Growth Revenue=+65.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=3.04 | Chg30d=-0.403 | Revisions Net=-10 | Growth EPS=+47.7% | Growth Revenue=+22.2%
P/E Trailing = 24.0551
P/E Forward = 16.1551
P/S = 0.8663
P/B = 2.7957
P/EG = 0.76
Beta = 1.516
Revenue TTM = 21.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 988.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.05b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.68b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 100.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.78b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 578.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 18.82b USD (18.24b + Debt 4.78b - CCE 4.20b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.72 (Ebit TTM 988.4m / Interest Expense TTM 67.2m)
FCF Yield = 1.16% (FCF TTM 217.9m / Enterprise Value 18.82b)
FCF Margin = 1.04% (FCF TTM 217.9m / Revenue TTM 21.05b)
Net Margin = 3.77% (Net Income TTM 792.8m / Revenue TTM 21.05b)
Gross Margin = 10.08% ((Revenue TTM 21.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.31% (prev 9.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.31 (Enterprise Value 18.82b / Total Assets 14.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.52% (Interest Expense 24.9m / Debt 4.78b)
Taxrate = 19.27% (40.2m / 208.4m)
NOPAT = 798.0m (EBIT 988.4m * (1 - 19.27%))
Current Ratio = 5.39 (Total Current Assets 12.66b / Total Current Liabilities 2.35b)
Debt / Equity = 0.73 (Debt 4.78b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.55 (Net Debt 578.8m / EBITDA 1.05b)
Debt / FCF = 2.66 (Net Debt 578.8m / FCF TTM 217.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.36b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.51% (Net Income 792.8m / Total Assets 14.39b)
RoE = 12.46% (Net Income TTM 792.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.36b)
RoCE = 8.96% (EBIT 988.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.36b + L.T.Debt 4.68b))
RoIC = 8.11% (NOPAT 798.0m / Invested Capital 9.84b)
WACC = 10.83% (E(18.24b)/V(23.01b) * Re(13.56%) + D(4.78b)/V(23.01b) * Rd(0.52%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 13.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.86%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 50.04% ; FCFE base≈217.9m ; Y1≈143.1m ; Y5≈65.4m
Fair Price DCF = 1.13 (DCF Value 675.2m / Shares Outstanding 597.0m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -48.43 | EPS CAGR: -21.80% | SUE: -0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.68 | Revenue CAGR: 47.36% | SUE: -2.63 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.54 | Chg30d=-0.131 | Revisions Net=-10 | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=2.06 | Chg30d=-0.519 | Revisions Net=-17 | Growth EPS=+0.0% | Growth Revenue=+65.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=3.04 | Chg30d=-0.403 | Revisions Net=-10 | Growth EPS=+47.7% | Growth Revenue=+22.2%
Additional Sources for SMCI Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle