Overview Dividends

(SMCI) Super Micro Computer - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US86800U3023

Servers, Storage, Blades, Workstations, Subsystems

SMCI EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -55.58%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -72.9%

SMCI Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 45.09%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 78.5%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	78.7%
Value at Risk 5%th	127%
Relative Tail Risk	-18.45%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.02
Alpha	43.41

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.511
Beta	2.076
Beta Downside	2.177

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	84.84%
Mean DD	36.43%
Median DD	30.08%

Description: SMCI Super Micro Computer October 14, 2025

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI) designs, manufactures, and sells modular, open-standard server and storage solutions across the United States, Asia, Europe and other international markets. Its portfolio spans liquid- and air-cooled AI servers (GPU- and PCIe-based), blade systems such as SuperBlade, MicroBlade, FlexTwin, GrandTwin and BigTwin, as well as rack-mount, edge-focused (5G/IoT) and MicroCloud offerings. The company also provides workstations, networking gear, and a suite of remote-management tools (e.g., Supermicro Server Manager, Power Management, Update Manager, SuperCloud Composer, SuperDoctor 5), plus end-to-end rack-level services from design through deployment and support.

SMCI serves enterprise data centers, cloud providers, artificial-intelligence (AI), 5G and edge-computing customers through a mixed sales model that includes direct sales, distributors, value-added resellers, system integrators and original-equipment manufacturers. The firm’s focus on high-density, high-performance computing positions it to capture growth from AI model training and inference workloads, which have driven a sector-wide surge in demand for GPU-accelerated servers.

In FY 2023 the company reported revenue of roughly $6.5 billion, up about 15 % year-over-year, with a gross margin near 30 % and inventory turnover of 4.2 ×, reflecting efficient supply-chain management amid ongoing component shortages. Key economic drivers include the 8 % YoY increase in global data-center capex and the rapid expansion of AI workloads, which together underpin a favorable outlook for SMCI’s high-performance server segments. For a deeper quantitative dive into SMCI’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s research platform a useful next step.

SMCI Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	23,628m
Sub-Industry	Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
IPO / Inception	2007-03-29
Return 12m vs S&P 500	76.4%
Analyst Rating	3.33 of 5

SMCI Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

SMCI Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	62.21%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.73
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	1.71
Current Volume	37325.2k
Average Volume	28064.4k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0

Net Income (792.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.26b TTM)

FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 24.62pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 48.99% (prev 30.47%; Δ 18.52pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 333.1m <= Net Income 792.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (578.8m) to EBITDA (993.9m) ratio: 0.58 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 5.39 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (663.2m) change vs 12m ago 12.22% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 10.08% (prev 12.08%; Δ -2.00pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 166.8% (prev 211.1%; Δ -44.26pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 13.96 (EBITDA TTM 993.9m / Interest Expense TTM 67.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 6.89

(A) 0.72 = (Total Current Assets 12.66b - Total Current Liabilities 2.35b) / Total Assets 14.39b

(B) 0.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.60b / Total Assets 14.39b

(D) 0.83 = Book Value of Equity 6.52b / Total Liabilities 7.86b

Total Rating: 6.89 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.26

1. Piotroski 2.0pt = -3.0

2. FCF Yield 0.90% = 0.45

3. FCF Margin 1.04% = 0.26

4. Debt/Equity 0.73 = 2.24

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.58 = 2.24

6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.37)% = -4.22

7. RoE 12.46% = 1.04

8. Rev. Trend 78.54% = 5.89

9. EPS Trend -72.91% = -3.65

What is the price of SMCI shares?

As of November 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 36.42 with a total of 37,325,154 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.40%, over one month by -31.43%, over three months by -19.94% and over the past year by +102.22%.

Is Super Micro Computer a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Super Micro Computer is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 51.26 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SMCI is around 48.32 USD . This means that SMCI is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +32.67% (Margin of Safety).

Is SMCI a buy, sell or hold?

Super Micro Computer has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefor, it is recommend to hold SMCI.

Strong Buy: 3
Buy: 3
Hold: 10
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the SMCI price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	50.9	39.9%
Analysts Target Price	50.9	39.9%
ValueRay Target Price	55.3	51.9%

SMCI Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025

Market Cap USD = 23.63b (23.63b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 31.3071
P/E Forward = 20.3666
P/S = 1.1223
P/B = 4.9509
P/EG = 0.76
Beta = 1.478
Revenue TTM = 21.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 937.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 993.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.68b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 100.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.78b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 578.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 24.21b USD (23.63b + Debt 4.78b - CCE 4.20b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.96 (Ebit TTM 937.3m / Interest Expense TTM 67.2m)
FCF Yield = 0.90% (FCF TTM 217.9m / Enterprise Value 24.21b)
FCF Margin = 1.04% (FCF TTM 217.9m / Revenue TTM 21.05b)
Net Margin = 3.77% (Net Income TTM 792.8m / Revenue TTM 21.05b)
Gross Margin = 10.08% ((Revenue TTM 21.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.31% (prev 9.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.68 (Enterprise Value 24.21b / Total Assets 14.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.52% (Interest Expense 24.9m / Debt 4.78b)
Taxrate = 19.27% (40.2m / 208.4m)
NOPAT = 756.7m (EBIT 937.3m * (1 - 19.27%))
Current Ratio = 5.39 (Total Current Assets 12.66b / Total Current Liabilities 2.35b)
Debt / Equity = 0.73 (Debt 4.78b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.58 (Net Debt 578.8m / EBITDA 993.9m)
Debt / FCF = 2.66 (Net Debt 578.8m / FCF TTM 217.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.36b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.51% (Net Income 792.8m / Total Assets 14.39b)
RoE = 12.46% (Net Income TTM 792.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.36b)
RoCE = 8.49% (EBIT 937.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.36b + L.T.Debt 4.68b))
RoIC = 8.09% (NOPAT 756.7m / Invested Capital 9.36b)
WACC = 11.46% (E(23.63b)/V(28.40b) * Re(13.69%) + D(4.78b)/V(28.40b) * Rd(0.52%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 13.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.86%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 49.66% ; FCFE base≈217.9m ; Y1≈143.1m ; Y5≈65.4m
Fair Price DCF = 1.12 (DCF Value 668.3m / Shares Outstanding 594.3m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -72.91 | EPS CAGR: -55.58% | SUE: -0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.54 | Revenue CAGR: 45.09% | SUE: -0.74 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for SMCI Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle