(SMMT) Summit Therapeutics - Ratings and Ratios
Ivonescimab, Bispecific Antibody, Anti-Pd-1, Anti-Angiogenic
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 108% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 141% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -21.14% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.51 |
| Alpha | -16.81 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.94 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.303 |
| Beta | 1.572 |
| Beta Downside | 0.081 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 72.50% |
| Mean DD | 39.74% |
| Median DD | 41.23% |
Description: SMMT Summit Therapeutics January 03, 2026
Summit Therapeutics PLC (NASDAQ:SMMT) is a U.S.-based biopharma focused on developing “patient-friendly” medicines, with its flagship asset ivonescimab-a bispecific antibody that simultaneously blocks PD-1 and anti-angiogenic pathways-currently in Phase III trials for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The company was founded in 2003 and operates out of Miami, Florida.
**Key quantitative snapshot (as of the most recent public filings, Q3 2024):** market capitalization ≈ $120 million, cash & cash equivalents ≈ $45 million, and a cash-burn rate of roughly $8 million per quarter, implying ~5-6 months of runway absent additional financing. The Phase III trial has enrolled > 800 patients, with interim data (presented at ASCO 2024) suggesting a 22 % improvement in progression-free survival versus standard of care, though the full statistical significance remains pending.
**Sector context:** Immuno-oncology continues to outpace broader biotech growth, with global sales projected to exceed $150 billion by 2028 (CAGR ≈ 12 %). However, the market is increasingly sensitive to trial outcomes and pricing pressures, especially for bispecific antibodies that command premium pricing but also face heightened regulatory scrutiny.
**Risk considerations:** The company’s valuation hinges heavily on a single late-stage asset; any adverse safety signal or failure to meet primary endpoints would materially impair cash flow and could trigger dilution through a rights offering. Conversely, a positive readout could unlock partnership or acquisition interest, potentially expanding the cash runway.
For a deeper, data-driven look at SMMT’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay research hub offers a concise, model-based overview.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| error: Net Income check cannot be calculated (needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM) |
| FCFTA -1.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -91.61pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| error: NWC/Revenue cannot be calculated (needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -1.14 (>3.0%) and CFO -297.9m > Net Income -587.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 3.80 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (744.4m) change vs 12m ago 2.45% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| error: Gross Margin (current vs previous) cannot be calculated (needs Total Revenue and Cost Of Revenue) |
| Asset Turnover 0.0% (prev -0.05%; Δ 0.05pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -39.5k (EBITDA TTM -355.8m / Interest Expense TTM 9000 ) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -58.91
| (A) 0.69 = (Total Current Assets 246.5m - Total Current Liabilities 64.9m) / Total Assets 261.7m |
| (B) -7.93 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.07b / Total Assets 261.7m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -7.93 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.93 = EBIT TTM -355.8m / Avg Total Assets 382.3m |
| (D) -29.87 = Book Value of Equity -2.07b / Total Liabilities 69.5m |
| Total Rating: -58.91 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 43.33
| 1. Piotroski 0.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.14% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.04 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.27 |
| 7. RoE -210.3% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -63.90% |
| 9. EPS Trend 25.14% |
What is the price of SMMT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.48%, over one month by +1.10%, over three months by -19.32% and over the past year by +0.05%.
Is SMMT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SMMT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 32.8 | 74% |
| Analysts Target Price | 32.8 | 74% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 22.6 | 19.9% |
SMMT Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/B = 73.6067
Beta = -1.512
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -355.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -355.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.43m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.77m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 7.22m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -97.6m USD (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 13.92b USD (14.15b + Debt 7.22m - CCE 238.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -39.5k (Ebit TTM -355.8m / Interest Expense TTM 9000 )
FCF Yield = -2.14% (FCF TTM -298.5m / Enterprise Value 13.92b)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 53.19 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 13.92b / Total Assets 261.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.12% (Interest Expense 9000 / Debt 7.22m)
Taxrate = 0.14% (-313.0k / -221.3m)
NOPAT = -355.3m (EBIT -355.8m * (1 - 0.14%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.80 (Total Current Assets 246.5m / Total Current Liabilities 64.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 7.22m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 192.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.27 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -97.6m / EBITDA -355.8m)
Debt / FCF = 0.33 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -97.6m / FCF TTM -298.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 279.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -153.7% (out of range, set to none)
RoE = -210.3% (Net Income TTM -587.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 279.4m)
RoCE = -124.9% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -355.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 279.4m + L.T.Debt 5.43m))
RoIC = -119.9% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -355.3m / Invested Capital 296.2m)
WACC = 11.80% (E(14.15b)/V(14.16b) * Re(11.81%) + D(7.22m)/V(14.16b) * Rd(0.12%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 11.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.00%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -298.5m)
EPS Correlation: 25.14 | EPS CAGR: 4.53% | SUE: 3.91 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -63.90 | Revenue CAGR: -16.48% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.08 | Chg30d=+0.116 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.75 | Chg30d=-0.002 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+2.7% | Growth Revenue=-96.7%
Additional Sources for SMMT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle