SMPL Stock Analysis: Simply Good Foods | NASDAQ
Packaged Foods | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.308m USD | 12M Return: -62.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 28.5M
EPS Trend: 0.2%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 95.1%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 9.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The Simply Good Foods Company (NASDAQ: SMPL) is a consumer-packaged food and beverage company that develops, markets, and sells snacks and meal replacement products across North America and international markets. The company operates a multi-brand portfolio including Quest, Atkins, and OWYN, offering items such as protein bars, ready-to-drink shakes, cookies, muffins, protein chips and crackers, and protein powders, along with confectionery products like peanut butter cups, brownies, and caramel candies.
SMPL distributes its products through a diverse omnichannel network spanning mass merchandise, grocery, drug, club, and convenience stores, as well as gas stations and company-owned e-commerce sites (questnutrition.com, atkins.com, liveowyn.com) and third-party platforms like Amazon. The company also licenses its brands and logos to other manufacturers, supplementing its direct-to-retail revenue stream.
Headquartered in Denver, Colorado and incorporated in 2017, Simply Good Foods operates within the GICS Consumer Staples sector, specifically the Packaged Foods & Meals sub-industry. The business targets the better-for-you snacking segment, which has benefited from rising consumer demand for protein-rich, low-sugar, and convenient food options-a defensive category that tends to maintain relatively stable demand through economic cycles.
- OWYN acquisition accelerates plant-based protein beverage growth
- GLP-1 drug adoption pressures snack and confectionery consumption
- Quest and Atkins brand sales drive protein nutrition category growth
| Net Income: -105.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.45 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 24.89% < 20% (prev 24.11%; Δ 0.78% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 173.4m > Net Income -105.7m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 5.06 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (92.3m) vs 12m ago -9.31% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 32.85% > 18% (prev 37.09%; Δ -4.25% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 62.21% > 50% (prev 58.15%; Δ 4.06% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -7.01 > 6 (EBIT TTM -134.4m / Interest Expense TTM 19.2m) |
| A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 439.3m - Total Current Liabilities 86.9m) / Total Assets 2.13b |
| B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 456.4m / Total Assets 2.13b) |
| C: -0.06 (EBIT TTM -134.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.28b) |
| D: 2.34 (Book Value of Equity 1.49b / Total Liabilities 635.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.85 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.78 (Receivables 123.5m/157.1m, Revenue 1.42b/1.41b) |
| GMI: 1.13 (GM 37.09% / 32.85%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.77 / AQ_t-1 0.79) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 1.42b / 1.41b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI -105.7m - CFO 173.4m) / TA 2.13b) |
| Beneish M = -3.11 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.77 with a total of 3,597,885 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.99%, over one month by +1.59%, over three months by +14.94% and over the past year by -62.50%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 11.40 (which is 10.7% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).
Simply Good Foods has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.17. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SMPL.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 17.5 | 37% |
P/E Forward = 7.9302
P/S = 0.8265
P/B = 0.8114
P/EG = 1.6428
Revenue TTM = 1.42b USD
EBIT TTM = -134.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -113.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 396.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.87m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 442.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 45.5m
Net Debt = 334.9m USD (calculated: Debt 442.4m - CCE 107.4m)
Enterprise Value = 1.64b USD (1.31b + Debt 442.4m - CCE 107.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -7.01 (Ebit TTM -134.4m / Interest Expense TTM 19.2m)
EV/FCF = 11.25x (Enterprise Value 1.64b / FCF TTM 146.0m)
FCF Yield = 8.89% (FCF TTM 146.0m / Enterprise Value 1.64b)
FCF Margin = 10.31% (FCF TTM 146.0m / Revenue TTM 1.42b)
Net Margin = -7.46% (Net Income TTM -105.7m / Revenue TTM 1.42b)
Gross Margin = 32.85% ((Revenue TTM 1.42b - Cost of Revenue TTM 951.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.28% (prev 32.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.77 (Enterprise Value 1.64b / Total Assets 2.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.33% (Interest Expense 19.2m / Debt 442.4m)
Taxrate = 23.76% (32.3m / 135.9m)
NOPAT = -102.4m (EBIT -134.4m * (1 - 23.76%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 5.06 (Total Current Assets 439.3m / Total Current Liabilities 86.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.30 (Debt 442.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.94 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 334.9m / EBITDA -113.8m)
Debt / FCF = 2.29 (Net Debt 334.9m / FCF TTM 146.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.72b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.64% (Net Income -105.7m / Total Assets 2.13b)
RoE = -6.15% (Net Income TTM -105.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.72b)
RoCE = -6.35% (EBIT -134.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.72b + L.T.Debt 396.9m))
RoIC = -5.19% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -102.4m / Invested Capital 1.97b)
WACC = 4.59% (E(1.31b)/V(1.75b) * Re(5.02%) + D(442.4m)/V(1.75b) * Rd(4.33%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 5.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -15.56 | Cagr: -3.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈158.6m ; Y1≈139.1m ; Y5≈112.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 16.24 (EV 1.80b - Net Debt 334.9m = Equity 1.47b / Shares 90.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 0.20 | EPS CAGR: 0.02% | SUE: 1.23 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 95.06 | Revenue CAGR: 7.72% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-11-30): EPS=0.41 | Chg30d=-3.07% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=1.63 | Chg30d=-1.03% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-15.2% | GrowthRev=-8.1%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=1.74 | Chg30d=-2.19% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+6.9% | GrowthRev=-1.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=2, down=2)