(SOHO) Sotherly Hotels - Ratings and Ratios
Hotel, Rooms, Condominium, Rental, Investments
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 68.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 89.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -20.35% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.93 |
| Alpha | 96.52 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.04 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | |
| Beta | 1.161 |
| Beta Downside | 0.706 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 74.48% |
| Mean DD | 42.14% |
| Median DD | 44.08% |
Description: SOHO Sotherly Hotels November 14, 2025
Sotherly Hotels Inc. (NASDAQ: SOHO) is a self-managed REIT that acquires, renovates, re-brands and repositions upscale to upper-upscale full-service hotels, primarily in the Southern United States, while retaining the flexibility to pursue opportunistic acquisitions nationwide. The portfolio currently includes ten hotel properties (2,786 rooms) plus interests in two condominium hotels and their associated rental programs, operating under Hilton, Hyatt, and independent brands. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Williamsburg, Virginia.
Key operational metrics as of Q3 2024 show an average occupancy of roughly 71 % (up 3 percentage points YoY) and an ADR of about $145, yielding a RevPAR near $103-figures that modestly outpace the broader U.S. upscale hotel sub-industry, which posted a RevPAR of $97 in the same period. The REIT’s performance is closely tied to discretionary travel demand, regional tourism growth in the Sun Belt, and macro-economic variables such as consumer confidence and real-interest-rate trends, which influence both occupancy and the cost of capital for future acquisitions.
Given Sotherly’s concentrated geographic exposure and reliance on brand affiliation fees, a shift in brand partnership terms or a regional slowdown in tourism could materially affect cash flow; conversely, continued supply-constrained demand in the Southern market may support incremental rent growth and asset appreciation.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation, the ValueRay platform offers granular metrics and scenario analysis that can help you test these assumptions.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-310.4k TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 10.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.87pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1.09% (prev 9.00%; Δ -10.09pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 14.2m > Net Income -310.4k (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (14.6m) to EBITDA (41.6m) ratio: 0.35 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.92 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (20.4m) change vs 12m ago 4.94% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.72% (prev 25.79%; Δ -1.07pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 43.34% (prev 43.40%; Δ -0.06pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.99 (EBITDA TTM 41.6m / Interest Expense TTM 22.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.14
| (A) -0.00 = (Total Current Assets 22.1m - Total Current Liabilities 24.0m) / Total Assets 411.4m |
| (B) -0.33 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -136.9m / Total Assets 411.4m |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 21.8m / Avg Total Assets 413.2m |
| (D) -0.36 = Book Value of Equity -136.7m / Total Liabilities 374.6m |
| Total Rating: -1.14 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 52.58
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 9.67% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.55% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.65 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.35 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -6.98)% |
| 7. RoE -0.73% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 39.51% |
| 9. EPS Trend -9.20% |
What is the price of SOHO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.47%, over one month by +0.47%, over three months by +199.96% and over the past year by +134.78%.
Is SOHO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SOHO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1 | -53.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 1 | -53.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.5 | 14.4% |
SOHO Fundamental Data Overview November 24, 2025
P/S = 0.4963
P/B = 1.211
Beta = 0.718
Revenue TTM = 179.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 21.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 41.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 320.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 24.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 102.7m USD (88.1m + Debt 24.0m - CCE 9.43m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.99 (Ebit TTM 21.8m / Interest Expense TTM 22.2m)
FCF Yield = 9.67% (FCF TTM 9.93m / Enterprise Value 102.7m)
FCF Margin = 5.55% (FCF TTM 9.93m / Revenue TTM 179.1m)
Net Margin = -0.17% (Net Income TTM -310.4k / Revenue TTM 179.1m)
Gross Margin = 24.72% ((Revenue TTM 179.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 134.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.86% (prev 28.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.25 (Enterprise Value 102.7m / Total Assets 411.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 23.19% (Interest Expense 5.57m / Debt 24.0m)
Taxrate = 0.22% (-12.0k / -5.55m)
NOPAT = 21.8m (EBIT 21.8m * (1 - 0.22%))
Current Ratio = 0.92 (Total Current Assets 22.1m / Total Current Liabilities 24.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 24.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 36.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.35 (Net Debt 14.6m / EBITDA 41.6m)
Debt / FCF = 1.47 (Net Debt 14.6m / FCF TTM 9.93m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 42.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.08% (Net Income -310.4k / Total Assets 411.4m)
RoE = -0.73% (Net Income TTM -310.4k / Total Stockholder Equity 42.5m)
RoCE = 6.02% (EBIT 21.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 42.5m + L.T.Debt 320.6m))
RoIC = 6.06% (NOPAT 21.8m / Invested Capital 359.4m)
WACC = 13.04% (E(88.1m)/V(112.1m) * Re(10.29%) + D(24.0m)/V(112.1m) * Rd(23.19%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 10.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.24%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 61.04% ; FCFE base≈14.7m ; Y1≈9.67m ; Y5≈4.42m
Fair Price DCF = 3.06 (DCF Value 62.7m / Shares Outstanding 20.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -9.20 | EPS CAGR: 177.1% | SUE: -1.88 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 39.51 | Revenue CAGR: 2.17% | SUE: -0.39 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SOHO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle