(SPWR) Complete Solaria - Ratings and Ratios
Solar Modules, Storage, Installation
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 94.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 131% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.92% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.09 |
| Alpha | -40.66 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.401 |
| Beta | 1.638 |
| Beta Downside | 2.051 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 97.59% |
| Mean DD | 66.43% |
| Median DD | 83.30% |
Description: SPWR Complete Solaria November 15, 2025
SunPower Inc. (NASDAQ: SPWR), formerly Complete Solaria, Inc., sells and installs residential solar systems, new-home solar solutions, and battery storage across the United States. Its business model combines direct sales to homeowners, partnerships with home-builders, and a network of third-party installers, while also offering a proprietary technology platform, financing options, and in-house solar modules.
Key operating metrics that analysts watch include: • Q3 2024 revenue of $212 million, representing a 12 % YoY increase driven by higher residential demand and expanded builder contracts; • cumulative installed capacity of roughly 1.9 GW of solar plus 150 MW of storage, positioning SunPower in the top-10 U.S. residential installers; • gross margin compression to 22 % amid rising silicon prices, offset by a 15 % year-over-year rise in average contract size thanks to bundled financing and battery add-ons. Sector-wide, the U.S. residential solar market is projected to grow at a 9 % CAGR through 2028, supported by the Inflation Reduction Act’s tax credits and declining balance-sheet costs for PV modules.
For a data-driven deep-dive into SunPower’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you may find the research tools on ValueRay useful as a next step.
SPWR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 139m |
| Sub-Industry | Electrical Components & Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-04-19 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -33.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
SPWR Dividends
Currently no dividends paidSPWR Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -47.28% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.48 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.71 |
| Current Volume | 1195k |
| Average Volume | 1868.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (50.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 18.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.33 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 171.2pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.93% (prev -23.67%; Δ 28.61pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.33 (>3.0%) and CFO -54.1m <= Net Income 50.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (146.8m) to EBITDA (84.7m) ratio: 1.73 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.15 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (80.8m) change vs 12m ago -33.87% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 46.72% (prev 2.44%; Δ 44.27pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 316.9% (prev 1129 %; Δ -812.0pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.41 (EBITDA TTM 84.7m / Interest Expense TTM 23.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -4.15
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 116.4m - Total Current Liabilities 101.0m) / Total Assets 163.1m |
| (B) -2.61 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -425.7m / Total Assets 163.1m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.61 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.80 = EBIT TTM 78.8m / Avg Total Assets 98.3m |
| (D) -1.57 = Book Value of Equity -425.5m / Total Liabilities 270.3m |
| Total Rating: -4.15 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.96
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -18.99% |
| 3. FCF Margin -17.45% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -1.47 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.73 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 153.1)% |
| 7. RoE -46.42% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -45.40% |
| 9. EPS Trend -12.30% |
What is the price of SPWR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.88%, over one month by -14.86%, over three months by -9.15% and over the past year by -25.87%.
Is SPWR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SPWR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 4 | 168.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 4 | 168.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.2 | -22.1% |
SPWR Fundamental Data Overview November 16, 2025
P/S = 3.4174
Beta = 0.867
Revenue TTM = 311.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 78.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 84.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 151.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.96m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 157.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 146.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 286.2m USD (139.4m + Debt 157.9m - CCE 11.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.41 (Ebit TTM 78.8m / Interest Expense TTM 23.1m)
FCF Yield = -18.99% (FCF TTM -54.3m / Enterprise Value 286.2m)
FCF Margin = -17.45% (FCF TTM -54.3m / Revenue TTM 311.4m)
Net Margin = 16.26% (Net Income TTM 50.6m / Revenue TTM 311.4m)
Gross Margin = 46.72% ((Revenue TTM 311.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 165.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.77% (prev 45.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.75 (Enterprise Value 286.2m / Total Assets 163.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.85% (Interest Expense 7.66m / Debt 157.9m)
Taxrate = -3.69% (negative due to tax credits) (2.01m / -54.4m)
NOPAT = 81.7m (EBIT 78.8m * (1 - -3.69%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 116.4m / Total Current Liabilities 101.0m)
Debt / Equity = -1.47 (negative equity) (Debt 157.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -107.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.73 (Net Debt 146.8m / EBITDA 84.7m)
Debt / FCF = -2.70 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 146.8m / FCF TTM -54.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -109.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 31.04% (Net Income 50.6m / Total Assets 163.1m)
RoE = -46.42% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 50.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -109.1m)
RoCE = 186.6% (EBIT 78.8m / Capital Employed (Equity -109.1m + L.T.Debt 151.4m))
RoIC = 161.4% (NOPAT 81.7m / Invested Capital 50.6m)
WACC = 8.32% (E(139.4m)/V(297.3m) * Re(12.05%) + D(157.9m)/V(297.3m) * Rd(4.85%) * (1-Tc(-0.04)))
Discount Rate = 12.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 81.78%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -54.3m)
EPS Correlation: -12.30 | EPS CAGR: -14.33% | SUE: -1.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -45.40 | Revenue CAGR: -51.06% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SPWR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle