(SRPT) Sarepta Therapeutics - Ratings and Ratios
Exon-Skipping Injectables, Gene Therapy
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 94.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 95.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -38.62% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.05 |
| Alpha | -107.17 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.49 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.429 |
| Beta | 1.489 |
| Beta Downside | 1.547 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 92.72% |
| Mean DD | 39.67% |
| Median DD | 26.56% |
Description: SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics January 16, 2026
Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT) is a commercial-stage biopharma focused on RNA-targeted and gene-therapy modalities for rare muscular dystrophies. Its approved portfolio includes EXONDYS-51, VYONDYS-53, AMONDYS-45 (all exon-skipping antisense oligonucleotides for Duchenne muscular dystrophy, DMD) and ELEVIDYS, an AAV-based gene therapy for ambulatory pediatric DMD patients. The pipeline adds SRP-9003, a gene-therapy candidate for limb-girdle muscular dystrophy, and multiple collaborations with Roche, Arrowhead, Dyno Therapeutics and academic partners.
Key metrics as of Q4 2024: - 2023 total revenue $1.3 bn, - net loss $210 m, - cash runway into 2026; - ELEVIDYS priced at $3.2 m per dose, reflecting the premium pricing trend in gene-therapy markets; - DMD prevalence in the U.S. (~15,000 patients) provides a limited but high-margin addressable market, while broader rare-disease gene-therapy pipelines are attracting >$30 bn of venture capital in 2023, underscoring sector capital inflows. A material risk is the durability of exon-skipping efficacy and potential competition from emerging CRISPR-based therapies.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of SRPT’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-271.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 144.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.21pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 74.61% (prev 121.1%; Δ -46.45pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO -244.6m > Net Income -271.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.95 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (100.2m) change vs 12m ago -0.21% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 76.25% (prev 85.92%; Δ -9.67pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 68.06% (prev 45.57%; Δ 22.49pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -10.58 (EBITDA TTM -180.7m / Interest Expense TTM 21.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.63
| (A) 0.52 = (Total Current Assets 2.72b - Total Current Liabilities 921.4m) / Total Assets 3.49b |
| (B) -1.33 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -4.64b / Total Assets 3.49b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.33 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.06 = EBIT TTM -230.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.55b |
| (D) -2.14 = Book Value of Equity -4.64b / Total Liabilities 2.17b |
| Total Rating: -3.63 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 30.23
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -14.68% |
| 3. FCF Margin -16.11% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.95 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -3.53 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -16.01)% |
| 7. RoE -20.31% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 91.11% |
| 9. EPS Trend 57.39% |
What is the price of SRPT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.05%, over one month by +3.88%, over three months by -8.33% and over the past year by -81.91%.
Is SRPT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SRPT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 20.7 | -1.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 20.7 | -1.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 21.7 | 2.5% |
SRPT Fundamental Data Overview January 15, 2026
P/S = 0.9316
P/B = 1.7034
P/EG = 159.25
Revenue TTM = 2.41b USD
EBIT TTM = -230.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -180.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.04b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.25b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 637.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.65b USD (2.25b + Debt 1.25b - CCE 851.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -10.58 (Ebit TTM -230.4m / Interest Expense TTM 21.8m)
EV/FCF = -6.81x (Enterprise Value 2.65b / FCF TTM -388.8m)
FCF Yield = -14.68% (FCF TTM -388.8m / Enterprise Value 2.65b)
FCF Margin = -16.11% (FCF TTM -388.8m / Revenue TTM 2.41b)
Net Margin = -11.25% (Net Income TTM -271.5m / Revenue TTM 2.41b)
Gross Margin = 76.25% ((Revenue TTM 2.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 573.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 62.25% (prev 75.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 2.65b / Total Assets 3.49b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.61% (Interest Expense 7.57m / Debt 1.25b)
Taxrate = 9.79% (25.5m / 260.8m)
NOPAT = -207.9m (EBIT -230.4m * (1 - 9.79%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.95 (Total Current Assets 2.72b / Total Current Liabilities 921.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.95 (Debt 1.25b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.53 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 637.1m / EBITDA -180.7m)
Debt / FCF = -1.64 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 637.1m / FCF TTM -388.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.34b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -7.66% (Net Income -271.5m / Total Assets 3.49b)
RoE = -20.31% (Net Income TTM -271.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.34b)
RoCE = -9.71% (EBIT -230.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.34b + L.T.Debt 1.04b))
RoIC = -8.49% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -207.9m / Invested Capital 2.45b)
WACC = 7.52% (E(2.25b)/V(3.50b) * Re(11.40%) + D(1.25b)/V(3.50b) * Rd(0.61%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 11.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -2.57%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -388.8m)
EPS Correlation: 57.39 | EPS CAGR: 6.20% | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 91.11 | Revenue CAGR: 20.02% | SUE: 1.85 | # QB: 5
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=+0.049 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.76 | Chg30d=-0.137 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+234.7% | Growth Revenue=-25.1%
Additional Sources for SRPT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle