(STGW) Stagwell - Ratings and Ratios
Advertising, Research, Communications, Media, Marketing
STGW EPS (Earnings per Share)
STGW Revenue
Description: STGW Stagwell
Stagwell Inc (NASDAQ:STGW) is a US-based company operating in the Movies & Entertainment sub-industry. To assess its stock trading potential, we need to deconstruct its financials and key drivers.
The companys financial health is a critical factor. With a Market Cap of $1.443 billion, Stagwells sizeable market presence is notable. However, the negative Return on Equity (RoE) of -0.39 indicates that the company is currently unprofitable, which is a significant concern. The absence of a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio further emphasizes the companys current loss-making status.
To identify potential trading opportunities, we need to examine key economic drivers. The entertainment industry is heavily influenced by consumer spending, technological advancements, and advertising revenue. As a major player in this space, Stagwells performance is likely tied to these factors. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, operating margins, and cash flow generation will be crucial in evaluating the companys future prospects.
A closer look at the stocks price action reveals that it is currently trading near its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $5.30, with a 50-day SMA of $4.82 and a 200-day SMA of $5.94. The Average True Range (ATR) of 3.94% indicates moderate volatility. The stocks Beta of 1.549 suggests that it is more volatile than the overall market, making it a potentially higher-risk investment.
To make an informed trading decision, we need to weigh the potential risks and rewards. A thorough analysis of Stagwells financials, industry trends, and competitive positioning is necessary to determine the stocks potential for growth. By examining the companys leverage points, such as its revenue streams and cost structure, we can identify potential areas for improvement and estimate the stocks future performance.
STGW Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,441m |
| Sub-Industry | Movies & Entertainment |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-08-03 |
STGW Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -49.2% |
| Fundamental | 59.3% |
| Dividend Rating | 9.56% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -40.4% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.13 of 5 |
STGW Dividends
Currently no dividends paidSTGW Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 73% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -83.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 7.4% |
| CAGR 5y | -9.93% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.18 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.33 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.59 |
| Alpha | 0.14 |
| Beta | 0.525 |
| Volatility | 53.86% |
| Current Volume | 1029.6k |
| Average Volume 20d | 857.8k |
| Stop Loss | 4.9 (-6%) |
| Signal | -1.40 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (-1.67m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 171.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.34pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -7.05% (prev -4.64%; Δ -2.40pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 265.2m > Net Income -1.67m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.57b) to EBITDA (339.0m) ratio: 4.64 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.86 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (260.8m) change vs 12m ago 129.8% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 35.95% (prev 31.04%; Δ 4.91pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 70.50% (prev 68.83%; Δ 1.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.35 (EBITDA TTM 339.0m / Interest Expense TTM 94.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.09
| (A) -0.05 = (Total Current Assets 1.26b - Total Current Liabilities 1.46b) / Total Assets 4.32b |
| (B) 0.00 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.92m / Total Assets 4.32b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 128.2m / Avg Total Assets 4.05b |
| (D) -0.00 = Book Value of Equity -15.8m / Total Liabilities 3.54b |
| Total Rating: -0.09 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.32
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.75% = 4.38 |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.52% = 2.13 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.03 = 0.73 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.49 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.10)% = 0.12 |
| 7. RoE -0.39% = -0.07 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 44.92% = 3.37 |
| 9. EPS Trend 33.22% = 1.66 |
What is the price of STGW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.34%, over one month by -9.55%, over three months by +19.22% and over the past year by -29.31%.
Is Stagwell a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of STGW is around 4.62 USD . This means that STGW is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -11.32%.
Is STGW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the STGW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.4 | 61% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.4 | 61% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5 | -4.8% |
Last update: 2025-09-13 04:42
STGW Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 181.3m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/S = 0.5041
P/B = 1.9175
Beta = 1.545
Revenue TTM = 2.86b USD
EBIT TTM = 128.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 339.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 57.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.52b USD (Calculated: Short Term 57.2m + Long Term 1.46b)
Net Debt = 1.57b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.78b USD (1.44b + Debt 1.52b - CCE 181.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.35 (Ebit TTM 128.2m / Interest Expense TTM 94.6m)
FCF Yield = 8.75% (FCF TTM 243.4m / Enterprise Value 2.78b)
FCF Margin = 8.52% (FCF TTM 243.4m / Revenue TTM 2.86b)
Net Margin = -0.06% (Net Income TTM -1.67m / Revenue TTM 2.86b)
Gross Margin = 35.95% ((Revenue TTM 2.86b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.83b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -176.6 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 2.78b / Book Value Of Equity -15.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.54% (Interest Expense 23.5m / Debt 1.52b)
Taxrate = 34.94% (13.2m / 37.7m)
NOPAT = 83.4m (EBIT 128.2m * (1 - 34.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.86 (Total Current Assets 1.26b / Total Current Liabilities 1.46b)
Debt / Equity = 2.03 (Debt 1.52b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 750.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.49 (Net Debt 1.57b / EBITDA 339.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.25 (Debt 1.52b / FCF TTM 243.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 425.7m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -0.04% (Net Income -1.67m, Total Assets 4.32b )
RoE = -0.39% (Net Income TTM -1.67m / Total Stockholder Equity 425.7m)
RoCE = 6.78% (Ebit 128.2m / (Equity 425.7m + L.T.Debt 1.46b))
RoIC = 4.48% (NOPAT 83.4m / Invested Capital 1.86b)
WACC = 4.38% (E(1.44b)/V(2.96b) * Re(7.95%)) + (D(1.52b)/V(2.96b) * Rd(1.54%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -6.06 | Cagr: 6.88%
Discount Rate = 7.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈196.1m ; Y1≈241.9m ; Y5≈412.7m
Fair Price DCF = 27.13 (DCF Value 7.02b / Shares Outstanding 258.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 33.22 | EPS CAGR: 31.53% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 44.92 | Revenue CAGR: 2.31% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for STGW Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle