(STGW) Stagwell - Ratings and Ratios
Digital Transformation, Performance Media, Data Analytics, Marketing Cloud
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 49.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 73.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.43% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.36 |
| Alpha | -43.91 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.13 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.328 |
| Beta | 1.085 |
| Beta Downside | 1.121 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 56.35% |
| Mean DD | 32.65% |
| Median DD | 32.68% |
Description: STGW Stagwell November 11, 2025
Stagwell Inc. (NASDAQ: STGW) is a U.S.-based agency network that delivers digital transformation, performance-media, data-driven consumer insights, and creative communications services across the United States, the United Kingdom, and other international markets.
The firm builds and operates proprietary software-including AI-enabled communications tools, cookie-less data platforms, e-commerce SaaS solutions, augmented-reality media products, and text-messaging engagement apps-and then applies these technologies to create websites, mobile apps, back-end systems, and content-management environments for its clients.
Stagwell also offers end-to-end omnichannel media planning and buying, audience analytics, and strategic consulting, packaged under the Stagwell Marketing Cloud-a SaaS/DaaS suite that bundles research, media-studio capabilities, and advanced media-platform services for both agency and in-house marketing teams.
**Key operating metrics (FY 2023, company-reported):** revenue ≈ $1.2 billion, up ~12% YoY; operating margin ≈ 8%; cash flow conversion ≈ 1.1×. **Sector drivers:** U.S. digital ad spend grew ~8% YoY in 2023, while the industry’s shift to privacy-first, cookie-less data solutions is accelerating demand for Stagwell’s DaaS offerings. **Economic backdrop:** corporate marketing budgets remain resilient despite modest macro-uncertainty, supporting continued growth for performance-media agencies.
For a deeper, data-rich perspective on how Stagwell’s valuation compares to peers and to assess the sensitivity of its growth assumptions, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful for further research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (19.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 173.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.80pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.04% (prev -2.10%; Δ -2.94pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 242.8m > Net Income 19.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.68b) to EBITDA (361.0m) ratio: 4.65 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.89 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (259.6m) change vs 12m ago 131.4% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.17% (prev 33.59%; Δ 2.59pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 71.73% (prev 71.20%; Δ 0.53pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.49 (EBITDA TTM 361.0m / Interest Expense TTM 96.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.04
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 1.23b - Total Current Liabilities 1.38b) / Total Assets 4.26b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 29.5m / Total Assets 4.26b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 143.4m / Avg Total Assets 4.03b |
| (D) 0.00 = Book Value of Equity 7.34m / Total Liabilities 3.48b |
| Total Rating: 0.04 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.21
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.70% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.00% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.35 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.65 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.30)% |
| 7. RoE 3.60% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 59.69% |
| 9. EPS Trend 34.36% |
What is the price of STGW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.86%, over one month by -7.26%, over three months by -7.95% and over the past year by -26.55%.
Is STGW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the STGW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.3 | 65.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.3 | 65.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.8 | -3.8% |
STGW Fundamental Data Overview December 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 74.0
P/E Forward = 4.2808
P/S = 0.4637
P/B = 1.7435
Beta = 1.5
Revenue TTM = 2.89b USD
EBIT TTM = 143.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 361.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.53b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 56.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.68b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.02b USD (1.34b + Debt 1.81b - CCE 132.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.49 (Ebit TTM 143.4m / Interest Expense TTM 96.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.70% (FCF TTM 202.3m / Enterprise Value 3.02b)
FCF Margin = 7.00% (FCF TTM 202.3m / Revenue TTM 2.89b)
Net Margin = 0.68% (Net Income TTM 19.7m / Revenue TTM 2.89b)
Gross Margin = 36.17% ((Revenue TTM 2.89b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.84b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.62% (prev 35.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.71 (Enterprise Value 3.02b / Total Assets 4.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.39% (Interest Expense 25.2m / Debt 1.81b)
Taxrate = 28.68% (9.55m / 33.3m)
NOPAT = 102.3m (EBIT 143.4m * (1 - 28.68%))
Current Ratio = 0.89 (Total Current Assets 1.23b / Total Current Liabilities 1.38b)
Debt / Equity = 2.35 (Debt 1.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 770.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.65 (Net Debt 1.68b / EBITDA 361.0m)
Debt / FCF = 8.30 (Net Debt 1.68b / FCF TTM 202.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 546.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.46% (Net Income 19.7m / Total Assets 4.26b)
RoE = 3.60% (Net Income TTM 19.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 546.7m)
RoCE = 6.92% (EBIT 143.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 546.7m + L.T.Debt 1.53b))
RoIC = 5.13% (NOPAT 102.3m / Invested Capital 1.99b)
WACC = 4.83% (E(1.34b)/V(3.15b) * Re(10.01%) + D(1.81b)/V(3.15b) * Rd(1.39%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 10.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -37.50%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.32% ; FCFE base≈166.1m ; Y1≈204.9m ; Y5≈349.6m
Fair Price DCF = 16.79 (DCF Value 4.23b / Shares Outstanding 252.1m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 34.36 | EPS CAGR: 133.4% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 59.69 | Revenue CAGR: 5.31% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.22 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=+0.053 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=+32.5% | Growth Revenue=+11.7%
Additional Sources for STGW Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle