STGW Stock Analysis: Stagwell | NASDAQ
Advertising Agencies | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.921m USD | 12M Return: 62.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 10.6M
EPS Trend: 28.5%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 92.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Stagwell Inc. is a holding company that provides digital transformation, marketing, media, commerce, and communications services primarily across the United States, the United Kingdom, and international markets. The company operates a network of agencies and technology platforms, competing in the broader marketing services and advertising ecosystem alongside other holding companies that aggregate specialty agencies under a single corporate structure.
The company offers a broad service portfolio spanning creative, research, experiential, and social media solutions, as well as digital ecosystem design that integrates strategy, technology, and customer experience. Its services include managed services, staff augmentation, system integration, and full-stack development, positioning it within the growing marketing technology and digital transformation segment where agencies increasingly bundle consulting and engineering capabilities.
Stagwell also provides AI-based data solutions covering media buying, owned media platforms, commerce enablement, and customer relationship management, alongside reputation management, crisis communications, and translation services. It sells a suite of technology products combining SaaS and DaaS offerings to in-house marketers, reflecting the industry shift toward proprietary technology stacks and recurring software revenue. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
- Acquisition pipeline expansion drives double-digit organic revenue growth
- Digital ad spending recovery boosts marketing cloud and media segment margins
- Debt paydown pace supports capital allocation and shareholder returns
- AI-powered data solutions win new enterprise client engagements
| Net Income: 19.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.79 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -8.57% < 20% (prev -4.23%; Δ -4.34% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 324.7m > Net Income 19.0m |
| Net Debt (1.86b) to EBITDA (359.6m): 5.18 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (250.8m) vs 12m ago -4.92% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.57% > 18% (prev 35.86%; Δ -1.30% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.01% > 50% (prev 70.89%; Δ 1.12% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.58 > 6 (EBIT TTM 151.9m / Interest Expense TTM 96.3m) |
| A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 1.22b - Total Current Liabilities 1.47b) / Total Assets 4.24b |
| B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 20.1m / Total Assets 4.24b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 151.9m / Avg Total Assets 4.11b) |
| D: 0.21 (Book Value of Equity 722.5m / Total Liabilities 3.50b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.09 = B |
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 897.9m/936.7m, Revenue 2.96b/2.82b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 35.86% / 34.57%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.65 / AQ_t-1 0.62) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 2.96b / 2.82b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 19.0m - CFO 324.7m) / TA 4.24b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 7.59 with a total of 728,352 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.43%, over one month by +15.17%, over three months by +15.70% and over the past year by +62.18%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 7.10 (which is 6.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Stagwell has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.13. Therefore, it is recommended to buy STGW.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 8.5 | 12% |
P/E Trailing = 110.7143
P/E Forward = 7.5075
P/S = 0.6486
P/B = 2.6934
P/EG = 0.3681
Revenue TTM = 2.96b USD
EBIT TTM = 151.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 359.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.44b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 54.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.98b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 268.1m
Net Debt = 1.86b USD (calculated: Debt 1.98b - CCE 114.9m)
Enterprise Value = 3.78b USD (1.92b + Debt 1.98b - CCE 114.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.58 (Ebit TTM 151.9m / Interest Expense TTM 96.3m)
EV/FCF = 13.78x (Enterprise Value 3.78b / FCF TTM 274.5m)
FCF Yield = 7.26% (FCF TTM 274.5m / Enterprise Value 3.78b)
FCF Margin = 9.27% (FCF TTM 274.5m / Revenue TTM 2.96b)
Net Margin = 0.64% (Net Income TTM 19.0m / Revenue TTM 2.96b)
Gross Margin = 34.57% ((Revenue TTM 2.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.44% (prev 37.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.89 (Enterprise Value 3.78b / Total Assets 4.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.88% (Interest Expense 96.3m / Debt 1.98b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 120.0m (EBIT 151.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 1.22b / Total Current Liabilities 1.47b)
Debt / Equity = 2.73 (Debt 1.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 722.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.18 (Net Debt 1.86b / EBITDA 359.6m)
Debt / FCF = 6.78 (Net Debt 1.86b / FCF TTM 274.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 754.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.46% (Net Income 19.0m / Total Assets 4.24b)
RoE = 2.52% (Net Income TTM 19.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 754.9m)
RoCE = 6.92% (EBIT 151.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 754.9m + L.T.Debt 1.44b))
RoIC = 4.42% (NOPAT 120.0m / Invested Capital 2.71b)
WACC = 6.02% (E(1.92b)/V(3.90b) * Re(8.26%) + D(1.98b)/V(3.90b) * Rd(4.88%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 85.20 | Cagr: 40.22%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈207.4m ; Y1≈237.7m ; Y5≈349.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 13.73 (EV 5.26b - Net Debt 1.86b = Equity 3.40b / Shares 247.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 28.50 | EPS CAGR: 2.89% | SUE: -1.84 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 92.73 | Revenue CAGR: 6.00% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=-1.24% | Revisions=-55% | Analysts=7
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.31 | Chg30d=+0.63% | Revisions=+22% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.05 | Chg30d=+0.35% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+26.5% | GrowthRev=+9.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.17 | Chg30d=-0.42% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=+11.6% | GrowthRev=+3.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -21% (up=10, down=16)