STGW Stock Analysis: Stagwell | NASDAQ

Digital Transformation, Marketing, Media Commerce, Communications

Total Rating 57

Safety 56

Buy Signal 0.44

Advertising Agencies
Industry Rotation: -4.1

Market Cap: 2.04B
Avg Turnover: 9.72M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility48.4%

VaR 5^th Pctl7.79%

VaR vs Median-2.10%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio1.02

Rel. Str. IBD90.6

Rel. Str. Peer Group83.9

Character TTM

Beta0.490

Beta Downside0.659

Hurst Exponent0.639

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD48.64%

CAGR/Max DD0.48

CAGR/Mean DD1.26

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 15.58%
EPS Trend: 89.3%

Last SUE: 2.21
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 6.92%
Rev. Trend: 96.7%

Last SUE: 1.29
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

P/E Ratio 139.2

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Rs Leader

Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +0.3% 7

Feb +5.9% 2

Mar -3.8% 5

Apr -1.4% 39

May -3.0% 15

Jun +4.9% 40

Jul +2.3% 18

Aug -0.4% 0

Sep -0.3% 0

Oct -3.7% 2

Nov -1.7% 11

Dec +3.3% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: STGW Stagwell

Stagwell Inc. is a holding company that provides digital transformation, marketing, media, commerce, and communications services primarily across the United States, the United Kingdom, and international markets. The company operates a network of agencies and technology platforms, competing in the broader marketing services and advertising ecosystem alongside other holding companies that aggregate specialty agencies under a single corporate structure.

The company offers a broad service portfolio spanning creative, research, experiential, and social media solutions, as well as digital ecosystem design that integrates strategy, technology, and customer experience. Its services include managed services, staff augmentation, system integration, and full-stack development, positioning it within the growing marketing technology and digital transformation segment where agencies increasingly bundle consulting and engineering capabilities.

Stagwell also provides AI-based data solutions covering media buying, owned media platforms, commerce enablement, and customer relationship management, alongside reputation management, crisis communications, and translation services. It sells a suite of technology products combining SaaS and DaaS offerings to in-house marketers, reflecting the industry shift toward proprietary technology stacks and recurring software revenue. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Acquisition pipeline expansion drives double-digit organic revenue growth
Digital ad spending recovery boosts marketing cloud and media segment margins
Debt paydown pace supports capital allocation and shareholder returns
AI-powered data solutions win new enterprise client engagements

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0

Net Income: 15.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.39 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -9.39% < 20% (prev -7.05%; Δ -2.34% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 300.1m > Net Income 15.5m
Net Debt (1.85b) to EBITDA (338.4m): 5.47 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.81 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (248.3m) vs 12m ago -4.77% < -2%
Gross Margin: 34.38% > 18% (prev 35.95%; Δ -1.58% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 71.41% > 50% (prev 66.21%; Δ 5.20% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.02 > 6 (EBIT TTM 145.1m / Interest Expense TTM 141.8m)

Altman Z'' -0.01

A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 1.19b - Total Current Liabilities 1.48b) / Total Assets 4.20b
B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 13.3m / Total Assets 4.20b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 145.1m / Avg Total Assets 4.26b)
D: 0.19 (Book Value of Equity 669.4m / Total Liabilities 3.49b)
Altman-Z'' = -0.01 = B

Beneish M -3.02

DSRI: 0.89 (Receivables 872.4m/919.5m, Revenue 3.04b/2.86b)
GMI: 1.05 (GM 35.95% / 34.38%)
AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.65 / AQ_t-1 0.64)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 3.04b / 2.86b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 15.5m - CFO 300.1m) / TA 4.20b)
Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of STGW shares?

As of September 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.48 with a total of 718,946 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.80%, over one month by -4.50%, over three months by +20.45% and over the past year by +57.33%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.10 (which is 4.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is STGW a buy, sell or hold?

Stagwell has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.13. Therefore, it is recommended to buy STGW.

StrongBuy: 4
Buy: 1
Hold: 3
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the STGW price?

Analysts Target Price	9.9	16.3%

Stagwell (STGW) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 23 September 2026

Market Cap USD = 2.04b (2.04b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 139.1667
P/E Forward = 5.711
P/S = 0.6713
P/B = 2.962
P/EG = 0.3765
Revenue TTM = 3.04b USD
EBIT TTM = 145.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 338.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.45b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 53.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.96b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 255.5m
Net Debt = 1.85b USD (calculated: Debt 1.96b - CCE 109.5m)
Enterprise Value = 3.89b USD (2.04b + Debt 1.96b - CCE 109.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.02 (Ebit TTM 145.1m / Interest Expense TTM 141.8m)
EV/FCF = 15.78x (Enterprise Value 3.89b / FCF TTM 246.7m)
FCF Yield = 6.34% (FCF TTM 246.7m / Enterprise Value 3.89b)
FCF Margin = 8.11% (FCF TTM 246.7m / Revenue TTM 3.04b)
Net Margin = 0.51% (Net Income TTM 15.5m / Revenue TTM 3.04b)
Gross Margin = 34.38% ((Revenue TTM 3.04b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.24% (prev 28.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 3.89b / Total Assets 4.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.23% (Interest Expense 141.8m / Debt 1.96b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 114.6m (EBIT 145.1m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.81 (Total Current Assets 1.19b / Total Current Liabilities 1.48b)
Debt / Equity = 2.93 (Debt 1.96b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 669.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.47 (Net Debt 1.85b / EBITDA 338.4m)
Debt / FCF = 7.51 (Net Debt 1.85b / FCF TTM 246.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 720.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.36% (Net Income 15.5m / Total Assets 4.20b)
RoE = 2.16% (Net Income TTM 15.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 720.4m)
RoCE = 6.68% (EBIT 145.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 720.4m + L.T.Debt 1.45b))
RoIC = 4.30% (NOPAT 114.6m / Invested Capital 2.67b)
WACC = 6.73% (E(2.04b)/V(4.00b) * Re(7.71%) + D(1.96b)/V(4.00b) * Rd(7.23%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.71% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 82.31 | Cagr: 40.04%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.98% ; FCFF base≈242.7m ; Y1≈252.2m ; Y5≈286.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 10.50 (EV 4.42b - Net Debt 1.85b = Equity 2.57b / Shares 244.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 4.21% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 89.27 | EPS CAGR: 15.58% | SUE: 2.21 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.67 | Revenue CAGR: 6.92% | SUE: 1.29 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=-2.65% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.11 | Chg30d=+4.48% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+33.4% | GrowthRev=+11.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=+5.64% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+11.7% | GrowthRev=+2.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +53% (up=13, down=3)