(STGW) Stagwell - Overview
Sector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Advertising Agencies | Exchange NASDAQ (USA) | Currency USD | Market Cap: 1.541m | Total Return 0.5% in 12m
Stock: Digital Transformation, Media, Software, Data, Strategy
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.79% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.24 |
| Alpha | -11.39 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.645 |
| Beta Downside | 1.263 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.92% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.13 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Risks
P/E ratio: 76.0
Technicals: choppyDescription: STGW Stagwell March 04, 2026
Stagwell Inc. provides digital transformation, media, data, and creative services across the US, UK, and other international markets. The company develops proprietary software, including AI-enabled communication and media technology, cookie-less data platforms, and e-commerce tools. This dual focus on services and technology is common in modern marketing agencies.
STGW designs and builds digital platforms, websites, mobile applications, and content management systems. They also offer omnichannel media strategies, audience analysis, and media buying. The companys business model integrates technology development with traditional marketing services to provide comprehensive solutions.
A key offering is the Stagwell Marketing Cloud, a suite of SaaS and DaaS solutions encompassing research, communications, and media platforms. This platform-based approach allows for scalable service delivery. For further financial insights, consider exploring ValueRays detailed analysis.
Headlines to watch out for
- Digital transformation demand fuels service revenue growth
- AI-enabled software adoption drives recurring revenue
- Economic downturns reduce marketing and advertising spend
- Increased competition impacts service pricing and margins
- Data privacy regulations influence platform development costs
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 29.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.65 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -10.92% < 20% (prev -8.17%; Δ -2.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 291.2m > Net Income 29.1m |
| Net Debt (1.50b) to EBITDA (378.8m): 3.96 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (259.0m) vs 12m ago 124.9% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.54% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 3.62k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 71.63% > 50% (prev 72.70%; Δ -1.07% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.62 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 378.8m / Interest Expense TTM 96.4m) |
Altman Z'' -0.21
| A: -0.08 (Total Current Assets 1.16b - Total Current Liabilities 1.48b) / Total Assets 4.21b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 32.9m / Total Assets 4.21b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 156.4m / Avg Total Assets 4.06b) |
| D: 0.00 (Book Value of Equity 13.9m / Total Liabilities 3.41b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.21 = B |
Beneish M -3.10
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 900.4m/889.6m, Revenue 2.91b/2.84b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 36.54% / 35.13%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.66 / AQ_t-1 0.63) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 2.91b / 2.84b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 29.1m - CFO 291.2m) / TA 4.21b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of STGW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%, over one month by +26.14%, over three months by +21.84% and over the past year by +0.50%.
Is STGW a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the STGW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.1 | 33.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.1 | 33.4% |
STGW Fundamental Data Overview March 24, 2026
P/E Forward = 6.215
P/S = 0.5297
P/B = 2.0353
Revenue TTM = 2.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 156.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 378.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.33b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 55.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.50b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.04b USD (1.54b + Debt 1.61b - CCE 104.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.62 (Ebit TTM 156.4m / Interest Expense TTM 96.4m)
EV/FCF = 12.90x (Enterprise Value 3.04b / FCF TTM 235.8m)
FCF Yield = 7.75% (FCF TTM 235.8m / Enterprise Value 3.04b)
FCF Margin = 8.10% (FCF TTM 235.8m / Revenue TTM 2.91b)
Net Margin = 1.00% (Net Income TTM 29.1m / Revenue TTM 2.91b)
Gross Margin = 36.54% ((Revenue TTM 2.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.85b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.62% (prev 36.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 3.04b / Total Assets 4.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.52% (Interest Expense 24.4m / Debt 1.61b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 123.5m (EBIT 156.4m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 1.16b / Total Current Liabilities 1.48b)
Debt / Equity = 2.07 (Debt 1.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 776.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.96 (Net Debt 1.50b / EBITDA 378.8m)
Debt / FCF = 6.37 (Net Debt 1.50b / FCF TTM 235.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 657.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.72% (Net Income 29.1m / Total Assets 4.21b)
RoE = 4.42% (Net Income TTM 29.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 657.8m)
RoCE = 7.88% (EBIT 156.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 657.8m + L.T.Debt 1.33b))
RoIC = 5.90% (NOPAT 123.5m / Invested Capital 2.09b)
WACC = 4.65% (E(1.54b)/V(3.15b) * Re(8.25%) + D(1.61b)/V(3.15b) * Rd(1.52%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 48.65%
[DCF] Terminal Value 88.44% ; FCFF base≈187.5m ; Y1≈231.3m ; Y5≈394.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 39.25 (EV 11.45b - Net Debt 1.50b = Equity 9.95b / Shares 253.5m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 69.22 | EPS CAGR: 34.04% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 63.22 | Revenue CAGR: 6.27% | SUE: 0.32 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.22 | Chg7d=+0.003 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.04 | Chg7d=-0.021 | Chg30d=-0.021 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+25.3% | Growth Revenue=+11.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.17 | Chg7d=-0.075 | Chg30d=-0.075 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+12.0% | Growth Revenue=+3.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.50 (3 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 6.9% (Discount Rate 8.2% - Earnings Yield 1.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +2.5% (Analyst 9.4% - Implied 6.9%)