(STLD) Steel Dynamics - Ratings and Ratios
Steel, Scrap, Joists, Deck, Aluminum
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.49% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.96% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 16.47% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 26.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 50.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.05% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.53 |
| Alpha | 0.14 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.53 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.324 |
| Beta | 1.198 |
| Beta Downside | 1.191 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 32.20% |
| Mean DD | 14.45% |
| Median DD | 14.61% |
Description: STLD Steel Dynamics October 16, 2025
Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ: STLD) is a diversified U.S. steel producer and metal recycler that operates through four segments: Steel Operations, Metals Recycling Operations, Steel Fabrication Operations, and Aluminum Operations. The Steel Operations segment manufactures a broad portfolio of hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and coated steel products, as well as specialty shapes and engineered bars, serving construction, automotive, equipment, energy, and pipe-and-tube markets. The Metals Recycling segment processes both ferrous and non-ferrous scrap, offering products such as heavy-melting steel, busheling, shredded scrap, aluminum, copper, and stainless steel. Steel Fabrication produces non-residential building components (e.g., joists, girders, steel deck), while the Aluminum Operations segment supplies recycled flat-rolled aluminum. The company also exports a portion of its output and has been operating since its 1993 incorporation in Fort Wayne, Indiana.
Key recent metrics indicate that STLD generated approximately $9.2 billion in revenue for FY 2023, with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13 %, reflecting strong cost control in a volatile raw-material environment. Capacity utilization across its integrated facilities averaged roughly 85 % during the same period, a level that tends to rise when construction spending and automotive production accelerate. A primary sector driver is the price of scrap metal, which accounts for a significant portion of input costs; recent upward pressure on scrap prices has compressed margins but also boosted recycling volumes as demand for secondary steel remains robust.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, the ValueRay platform provides granular metrics and peer comparisons that can help you gauge STLD’s relative valuation.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (1.13b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.06b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.81pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.38% (prev 20.95%; Δ 2.42pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.52b > Net Income 1.13b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.01b) to EBITDA (2.01b) ratio: 1.50 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.11 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (147.6m) change vs 12m ago -5.70% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 13.03% (prev 17.27%; Δ -4.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 111.5% (prev 114.3%; Δ -2.79pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 25.74 (EBITDA TTM 2.01b / Interest Expense TTM 57.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 7.81
| (A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 6.08b - Total Current Liabilities 1.96b) / Total Assets 15.97b |
| (B) 0.97 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 15.50b / Total Assets 15.97b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.97 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 1.48b / Avg Total Assets 15.81b |
| (D) 2.22 = Book Value of Equity 15.49b / Total Liabilities 6.99b |
| Total Rating: 7.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.73
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.16% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.76% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.42 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.19)% |
| 7. RoE 12.65% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -73.57% |
| 9. EPS Trend -78.71% |
What is the price of STLD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.56%, over one month by +7.20%, over three months by +23.16% and over the past year by +20.98%.
Is STLD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the STLD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 169.9 | 2.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 169.9 | 2.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 194 | 17.4% |
STLD Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 21.378
P/E Forward = 12.87
P/S = 1.3455
P/B = 2.5666
P/EG = 10.9053
Beta = 1.477
Revenue TTM = 17.63b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.48b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.01b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.78b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.43m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.78b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.01b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 26.74b USD (23.73b + Debt 3.78b - CCE 770.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.74 (Ebit TTM 1.48b / Interest Expense TTM 57.7m)
FCF Yield = 1.16% (FCF TTM 311.0m / Enterprise Value 26.74b)
FCF Margin = 1.76% (FCF TTM 311.0m / Revenue TTM 17.63b)
Net Margin = 6.39% (Net Income TTM 1.13b / Revenue TTM 17.63b)
Gross Margin = 13.03% ((Revenue TTM 17.63b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.55% (prev 13.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.67 (Enterprise Value 26.74b / Total Assets 15.97b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.36% (Interest Expense 13.6m / Debt 3.78b)
Taxrate = 21.39% (109.9m / 513.8m)
NOPAT = 1.17b (EBIT 1.48b * (1 - 21.39%))
Current Ratio = 3.11 (Total Current Assets 6.08b / Total Current Liabilities 1.96b)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 3.78b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.50 (Net Debt 3.01b / EBITDA 2.01b)
Debt / FCF = 9.69 (Net Debt 3.01b / FCF TTM 311.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.06% (Net Income 1.13b / Total Assets 15.97b)
RoE = 12.65% (Net Income TTM 1.13b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.90b)
RoCE = 11.70% (EBIT 1.48b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.90b + L.T.Debt 3.78b))
RoIC = 9.22% (NOPAT 1.17b / Invested Capital 12.65b)
WACC = 9.03% (E(23.73b)/V(27.51b) * Re(10.43%) + D(3.78b)/V(27.51b) * Rd(0.36%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.63%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 60.51% ; FCFE base≈359.6m ; Y1≈236.1m ; Y5≈108.0m
Fair Price DCF = 10.31 (DCF Value 1.51b / Shares Outstanding 146.0m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -78.71 | EPS CAGR: -18.05% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -73.57 | Revenue CAGR: -2.51% | SUE: 0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.92 | Chg30d=-0.147 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=13.07 | Chg30d=+0.246 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+53.9% | Growth Revenue=+9.3%
Additional Sources for STLD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle