STRL Stock Analysis: Sterling Infrastructure | NASDAQ
Engineering & Construction | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 16.567m USD | 12M Return: 80.7% | US8592411016 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 480M
EPS Trend: 98.0%
Qual. Beats: 11
Rev. Trend: 87.9%
Qual. Beats: 5
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ: STRL) is a U.S.-based construction services provider operating through three segments: E-Infrastructure Solutions (site development for data centers, e-commerce distribution centers, manufacturing, warehousing, and power generation), Transportation Solutions (highways, roads, bridges, airports, ports, rail, and storm drainage for public-sector clients), and Building Solutions (residential and commercial concrete foundations, plus plumbing and survey services). Founded in 1955 and headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, the company was renamed from Sterling Construction Company, Inc. to Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. in June 2022, and operates primarily across the Southern, Northeastern, Mid-Atlantic, and Rocky Mountain regions of the United States, as well as the Pacific Islands.
STRL is classified within the GICS Construction & Engineering sub-industry under the broader Industrials sector, a grouping that typically includes companies engaged in heavy civil infrastructure, commercial building, and specialty contracting. The companys diversified segment structure reflects a business model that blends public infrastructure project work (driven by state and federal transportation spending) with private-sector commercial and residential demand, including exposure to fast-growing areas like data center site development and large-scale logistics facilities.
- Data center site work surges on AI infrastructure capex
- Federal highway funding lifts transportation segment backlog
- Residential foundation demand softens amid housing market slowdown
| Net Income: 444.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.13 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.00% < 20% (prev 15.72%; Δ -11.72% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 596.3m > Net Income 444.3m |
| Net Debt (-72.9m) to EBITDA (646.7m): -0.11 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.11 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.1m) vs 12m ago 1.13% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.81% > 18% (prev 22.19%; Δ 1.61% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 128.4% > 50% (prev 98.94%; Δ 29.48% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 24.47 > 6 (EBIT TTM 604.2m / Interest Expense TTM 24.7m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 1.43b - Total Current Liabilities 1.29b) / Total Assets 3.19b |
| B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 1.12b / Total Assets 3.19b) |
| C: 0.23 (EBIT TTM 604.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.68b) |
| D: 0.75 (Book Value of Equity 1.36b / Total Liabilities 1.80b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.74 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.17 (Receivables 770.7m/409.9m, Revenue 3.44b/2.14b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 22.19% / 23.81%) |
| AQI: 1.27 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.34) |
| SGI: 1.61 (Revenue 3.44b / 2.14b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 444.3m - CFO 596.3m) / TA 3.19b) |
| Beneish M = -2.36 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of August 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 536.03 with a total of 1,093,254 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.46%, over one month by -25.25%, over three months by -33.50% and over the past year by +80.74%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 423.20 (which is 21% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Sterling Infrastructure has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy STRL.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 946.7 | 76.6% |
P/E Trailing = 54.6539
P/E Forward = 31.6456
P/S = 5.743
P/B = 15.3944
P/EG = 1.0207
Revenue TTM = 3.44b USD
EBIT TTM = 604.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 646.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 275.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 29.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 391.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 54.7m
Net Debt = -72.9m USD (calculated: Debt 391.5m - CCE 464.5m)
Enterprise Value = 16.5b USD (16.6b + Debt 391.5m - CCE 464.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 24.47 (Ebit TTM 604.2m / Interest Expense TTM 24.7m)
EV/FCF = 34.32x (Enterprise Value 16.5b / FCF TTM 480.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.91% (FCF TTM 480.6m / Enterprise Value 16.5b)
FCF Margin = 13.98% (FCF TTM 480.6m / Revenue TTM 3.44b)
Net Margin = 12.92% (Net Income TTM 444.3m / Revenue TTM 3.44b)
Gross Margin = 23.81% ((Revenue TTM 3.44b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.82% (prev 23.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.16 (Enterprise Value 16.5b / Total Assets 3.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.31% (Interest Expense 24.7m / Debt 391.5m)
Taxrate = 24.18% (98.8m / 408.5m)
NOPAT = 458.1m (EBIT 604.2m * (1 - 24.18%))
Current Ratio = 1.11 (Total Current Assets 1.43b / Total Current Liabilities 1.29b)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 391.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.36b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.11 (Net Debt -72.9m / EBITDA 646.7m)
Debt / FCF = -0.15 (Net Debt -72.9m / FCF TTM 480.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.59% (Net Income 444.3m / Total Assets 3.19b)
RoE = 37.76% (Net Income TTM 444.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.18b)
RoCE = 41.60% (EBIT 604.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.18b + L.T.Debt 275.9m))
RoIC = 26.02% (NOPAT 458.1m / Invested Capital 1.76b)
WACC = 15.48% (E(16.6b)/V(17.0b) * Re(15.73%) + D(391.5m)/V(17.0b) * Rd(6.31%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 15.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -21.21 | Cagr: -0.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 56.45% ; FCFF base≈462.7m ; Y1≈504.0m ; Y5≈628.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 142.3 (EV 4.28b - Net Debt -72.9m = Equity 4.35b / Shares 30.6m; r=15.48% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 10.24% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.00 | EPS CAGR: 59.00% | SUE: 1.43 | # QB: 11
Revenue Correlation: 87.88 | Revenue CAGR: 19.28% | SUE: 1.69 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=5.86 | Chg30d=+0.31% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.10 | Chg30d=+0.95% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+75.5% | GrowthRev=+57.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=25.26 | Chg30d=-6.58% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+32.2% | GrowthRev=+23.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=4, down=1)