(STRL) Sterling Construction - Overview
Stock: Roads, Bridges, Railways, Foundations, Utilities
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 61.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.8% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.81 |
| Alpha | 142.86 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.678 |
| Beta Downside | 1.202 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 47.67% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.48 |
Description: STRL Sterling Construction January 07, 2026
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ: STRL) delivers construction and engineering services across three core segments: E-Infrastructure Solutions (e-commerce distribution centers, data centers, manufacturing and power generation sites), Transportation Solutions (highways, bridges, airports, ports, rail and storm-drainage projects for public agencies), and Building Solutions (concrete foundations, parking structures and related plumbing/survey services for residential and commercial developers). The company, founded in 1955 and headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, rebranded from Sterling Construction in June 2022.
Key operating metrics from the most recent FY 2023 filing show revenue of roughly $1.0 billion, an order backlog of about $1.5 billion, and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 7 %. The segment most sensitive to macro trends is E-Infrastructure, which benefits from the sustained 10-12 % annual growth in U.S. e-commerce fulfillment construction spend and the ongoing demand for data-center capacity driven by cloud adoption. Meanwhile, the Transportation segment is buoyed by the bipartisan infrastructure bill, which has lifted federal highway and bridge funding by an estimated $200 billion since 2021, supporting a 4-5 % YoY increase in public-sector construction activity.
For a deeper quantitative view of STRL’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard worth a look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 315.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.16% < 20% (prev 11.63%; Δ -11.80% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 428.2m > Net Income 315.8m |
| Net Debt (52.8m) to EBITDA (539.1m): 0.10 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.00 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.0m) vs 12m ago -0.35% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.05% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 2286 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 97.40% > 50% (prev 103.9%; Δ -6.52% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 23.15 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 539.1m / Interest Expense TTM 20.2m) |
Altman Z'' 2.92
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 963.1m - Total Current Liabilities 966.8m) / Total Assets 2.56b |
| B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 785.1m / Total Assets 2.56b) |
| C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 466.7m / Avg Total Assets 2.29b) |
| D: 0.53 (Book Value of Equity 785.4m / Total Liabilities 1.48b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.92 = A |
Beneish M -2.49
| DSRI: 1.36 (Receivables 604.0m/417.4m, Revenue 2.23b/2.10b) |
| GMI: 0.85 (GM 23.05% / 19.55%) |
| AQI: 1.63 (AQ_t 0.49 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 2.23b / 2.10b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 315.8m - CFO 428.2m) / TA 2.56b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.49 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
What is the price of STRL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.73%, over one month by +11.60%, over three months by -11.19% and over the past year by +154.44%.
Is STRL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the STRL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 443.3 | 21.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 443.3 | 21.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 539.1 | 47.7% |
STRL Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Forward = 25.974
P/S = 4.9232
P/B = 11.0831
P/EG = 1.7317
Revenue TTM = 2.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 466.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 539.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 279.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 36.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 359.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 52.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.05b USD (10.99b + Debt 359.2m - CCE 306.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 23.15 (Ebit TTM 466.7m / Interest Expense TTM 20.2m)
EV/FCF = 30.55x (Enterprise Value 11.05b / FCF TTM 361.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.27% (FCF TTM 361.6m / Enterprise Value 11.05b)
FCF Margin = 16.19% (FCF TTM 361.6m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Net Margin = 14.14% (Net Income TTM 315.8m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Gross Margin = 23.05% ((Revenue TTM 2.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.72b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.70% (prev 23.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.31 (Enterprise Value 11.05b / Total Assets 2.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.15% (Interest Expense 4.14m / Debt 359.2m)
Taxrate = 24.06% (30.5m / 126.8m)
NOPAT = 354.4m (EBIT 466.7m * (1 - 24.06%))
Current Ratio = 1.00 (Total Current Assets 963.1m / Total Current Liabilities 966.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.34 (Debt 359.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.10 (Net Debt 52.8m / EBITDA 539.1m)
Debt / FCF = 0.15 (Net Debt 52.8m / FCF TTM 361.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 886.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.77% (Net Income 315.8m / Total Assets 2.56b)
RoE = 35.62% (Net Income TTM 315.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 886.6m)
RoCE = 40.03% (EBIT 466.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 886.6m + L.T.Debt 279.5m))
RoIC = 29.75% (NOPAT 354.4m / Invested Capital 1.19b)
WACC = 11.74% (E(10.99b)/V(11.35b) * Re(12.10%) + D(359.2m)/V(11.35b) * Rd(1.15%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 12.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.07% ; FCFF base≈372.9m ; Y1≈460.0m ; Y5≈783.4m
Fair Price DCF = 241.3 (EV 7.46b - Net Debt 52.8m = Equity 7.41b / Shares 30.7m; r=11.74% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 36.95 | EPS CAGR: -38.36% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 64.80 | Revenue CAGR: 15.50% | SUE: 2.09 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.87 | Chg30d=+0.037 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.95 | Chg30d=+0.114 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+15.7% | Growth Revenue=+19.1%