STRL Stock Analysis: Sterling Infrastructure | NASDAQ
Engineering & Construction | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 8.832m USD | 12M Return: -10.5% | US8592411016 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 358M
EPS Trend: 98.0%
Qual. Beats: 12
Rev. Trend: 85.8%
Qual. Beats: 6
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ: STRL) is a U.S.-based construction and engineering company operating through three segments: E-Infrastructure Solutions, Transportation Solutions, and Building Solutions. The E-Infrastructure segment provides site development services for blue-chip end users in e-commerce distribution, data centers, manufacturing, warehousing, and power generation. The Transportation segment focuses on infrastructure development and rehabilitation for highways, roads, bridges, airports, ports, rail, and storm drainage systems, serving departments of transportation and related authorities. The Building Solutions segment delivers residential and commercial concrete foundations, as well as plumbing and survey services for developers, general contractors, and residential builds.
The company is classified within the Industrials sector under the Construction & Engineering sub-industry, reflecting its project-based business model that spans both public infrastructure contracts and private commercial development. Sterling operates primarily across the Southern, Northeastern, Mid-Atlantic, and Rocky Mountain regions of the United States, as well as the Pacific Islands. Founded in 1955 and headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, the company was formerly known as Sterling Construction Company, Inc. before adopting its current name in June 2022.
- E-Infrastructure revenue surges on data center buildout
- IIJA federal funding expands Transportation Solutions backlog
- Residential housing weakness pressures Building Solutions margins
| Net Income: 554.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.62 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.36% < 20% (prev -0.16%; Δ 1.52% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 611.7m > Net Income 554.3m |
| Net Debt (19.4m) to EBITDA (893.5m): 0.02 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.1m) vs 12m ago 0.36% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.78% > 18% (prev 23.05%; Δ 0.72% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 142.7% > 50% (prev 87.16%; Δ 55.57% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 55.21 > 6 (EBIT TTM 795.0m / Interest Expense TTM 14.4m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 1.65b - Total Current Liabilities 1.59b) / Total Assets 3.48b |
| B: 0.38 (Retained Earnings 1.34b / Total Assets 3.48b) |
| C: 0.26 (EBIT TTM 795.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.02b) |
| D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 1.51b / Total Liabilities 1.93b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.95 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 1.24b/604.0m, Revenue 4.31b/2.23b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 23.05% / 23.78%) |
| AQI: 0.82 (AQ_t 0.40 / AQ_t-1 0.49) |
| SGI: 1.93 (Revenue 4.31b / 2.23b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 554.3m - CFO 611.7m) / TA 3.48b) |
| Beneish M = -2.45 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of November 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 292.39 with a total of 807,168 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +15.65%, over one month by -41.36%, over three months by -47.14% and over the past year by -10.47%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 250.70 (which is 14.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Sterling Infrastructure has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy STRL.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 679.9 | 132.5% |
P/E Trailing = 16.24
P/E Forward = 8.9686
P/S = 2.0555
P/B = 5.114
P/EG = 0.2894
Revenue TTM = 4.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 795.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 893.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 95.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 14.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 236.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 70.5m
Net Debt = 19.4m USD (calculated: Debt 236.3m - CCE 216.9m)
Enterprise Value = 8.85b USD (8.83b + Debt 236.3m - CCE 216.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 55.21 (Ebit TTM 795.0m / Interest Expense TTM 14.4m)
EV/FCF = 18.84x (Enterprise Value 8.85b / FCF TTM 469.9m)
FCF Yield = 5.31% (FCF TTM 469.9m / Enterprise Value 8.85b)
FCF Margin = 10.89% (FCF TTM 469.9m / Revenue TTM 4.31b)
Net Margin = 12.85% (Net Income TTM 554.3m / Revenue TTM 4.31b)
Gross Margin = 23.78% ((Revenue TTM 4.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.12% (prev 24.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.54 (Enterprise Value 8.85b / Total Assets 3.48b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.09% (Interest Expense 14.4m / Debt 236.3m)
Taxrate = 23.94% (186.8m / 780.6m)
NOPAT = 604.7m (EBIT 795.0m * (1 - 23.94%))
Current Ratio = 1.04 (Total Current Assets 1.65b / Total Current Liabilities 1.59b)
Debt / Equity = 0.16 (Debt 236.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.51b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.02 (Net Debt 19.4m / EBITDA 893.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.04 (Net Debt 19.4m / FCF TTM 469.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.34% (Net Income 554.3m / Total Assets 3.48b)
RoE = 42.94% (Net Income TTM 554.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.29b)
RoCE = 57.36% (EBIT 795.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.29b + L.T.Debt 95.1m))
RoIC = 35.81% (NOPAT 604.7m / Invested Capital 1.69b)
WACC = 15.29% (E(8.83b)/V(9.07b) * Re(15.57%) + D(236.3m)/V(9.07b) * Rd(6.09%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 15.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 12.54%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 6.58 | Cagr: -0.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 58.82% ; FCFF base≈426.6m ; Y1≈489.0m ; Y5≈719.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 157.3 (EV 4.82b - Net Debt 19.4m = Equity 4.80b / Shares 30.5m; r=15.29% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.02 | EPS CAGR: 68.83% | SUE: 3.68 | # QB: 12
Revenue Correlation: 85.85 | Revenue CAGR: 26.47% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 6
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=4.89 | Chg30d=+7.03% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=21.83 | Chg30d=+8.69% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+100.7% | GrowthRev=+86.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=27.90 | Chg30d=+9.83% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+27.8% | GrowthRev=+25.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +67% (up=6, down=0)