(STRL) Sterling Construction - Ratings and Ratios
E-Infrastructure, Transportation, Building
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 68.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 102% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.04 |
| Alpha | 43.00 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.51 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.435 |
| Beta | 1.777 |
| Beta Downside | 1.347 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 47.67% |
| Mean DD | 9.69% |
| Median DD | 7.04% |
Description: STRL Sterling Construction November 04, 2025
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ: STRL) operates three core segments: E-Infrastructure Solutions, delivering site-development services for blue-chip e-commerce, data-center, manufacturing, warehousing, and power-generation clients; Transportation Solutions, focused on the design, construction, and rehabilitation of highways, bridges, airports, ports, rail, and storm-drainage infrastructure for public-sector agencies; and Building Solutions, which provides concrete foundations, parking structures, elevated slabs, and related plumbing and surveying services for residential and commercial developers.
The company, originally founded in 1955 as Sterling Construction Company, rebranded to Sterling Infrastructure in June 2022 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas. It remains classified under the Construction & Engineering sub-industry in the GICS taxonomy.
Key performance indicators that analysts watch include: (1) a backlog of roughly $1.2 billion as of Q2 2024, indicating future revenue visibility; (2) year-over-year revenue growth of 8 % driven by strong demand for e-commerce distribution centers and data-center build-outs; and (3) operating margin expansion to 6.5 % after cost-control initiatives. The segment’s outlook is closely tied to macro drivers such as U.S. infrastructure spending (the bipartisan infrastructure law adds $1.2 trillion in funding), labor-market tightness in skilled trades, and the continued acceleration of online retail logistics.
For a deeper dive into STRL’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, consider exploring the ValueRay platform.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (315.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 134.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.15pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -0.16% (prev 11.63%; Δ -11.80pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 428.2m > Net Income 315.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (52.8m) to EBITDA (535.0m) ratio: 0.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.00 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (31.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.35% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 23.05% (prev 19.55%; Δ 3.50pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 97.40% (prev 103.9%; Δ -6.52pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.39 (EBITDA TTM 535.0m / Interest Expense TTM 40.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.90
| (A) -0.00 = (Total Current Assets 963.1m - Total Current Liabilities 966.8m) / Total Assets 2.56b |
| (B) 0.31 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 785.1m / Total Assets 2.56b |
| (C) 0.20 = EBIT TTM 462.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.29b |
| (D) 0.53 = Book Value of Equity 785.4m / Total Liabilities 1.48b |
| Total Rating: 2.90 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 86.71
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.72% |
| 3. FCF Margin 16.19% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.34 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 17.19)% |
| 7. RoE 35.62% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 64.80% |
| 9. EPS Trend 90.20% |
What is the price of STRL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.58%, over one month by -20.91%, over three months by +13.68% and over the past year by +67.01%.
Is STRL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the STRL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 453.3 | 39.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 453.3 | 39.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 487.8 | 50% |
STRL Fundamental Data Overview November 23, 2025
P/E Trailing = 30.8619
P/E Forward = 25.974
P/S = 4.3343
P/B = 9.2089
P/EG = 1.7317
Beta = 1.479
Revenue TTM = 2.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 462.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 535.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 279.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 36.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 359.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 52.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.73b USD (9.68b + Debt 359.2m - CCE 306.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.39 (Ebit TTM 462.6m / Interest Expense TTM 40.6m)
FCF Yield = 3.72% (FCF TTM 361.6m / Enterprise Value 9.73b)
FCF Margin = 16.19% (FCF TTM 361.6m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Net Margin = 14.14% (Net Income TTM 315.8m / Revenue TTM 2.23b)
Gross Margin = 23.05% ((Revenue TTM 2.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.72b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.70% (prev 23.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.80 (Enterprise Value 9.73b / Total Assets 2.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.85% (Interest Expense 24.6m / Debt 359.2m)
Taxrate = 24.06% (30.5m / 126.8m)
NOPAT = 351.3m (EBIT 462.6m * (1 - 24.06%))
Current Ratio = 1.00 (Total Current Assets 963.1m / Total Current Liabilities 966.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.34 (Debt 359.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.10 (Net Debt 52.8m / EBITDA 535.0m)
Debt / FCF = 0.15 (Net Debt 52.8m / FCF TTM 361.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 886.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.32% (Net Income 315.8m / Total Assets 2.56b)
RoE = 35.62% (Net Income TTM 315.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 886.6m)
RoCE = 39.67% (EBIT 462.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 886.6m + L.T.Debt 279.5m))
RoIC = 29.49% (NOPAT 351.3m / Invested Capital 1.19b)
WACC = 12.30% (E(9.68b)/V(10.04b) * Re(12.56%) + D(359.2m)/V(10.04b) * Rd(6.85%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 12.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.15% ; FCFE base≈372.9m ; Y1≈460.0m ; Y5≈784.8m
Fair Price DCF = 223.5 (DCF Value 6.87b / Shares Outstanding 30.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 90.20 | EPS CAGR: 70.55% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 64.80 | Revenue CAGR: 15.50% | SUE: 2.09 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.83 | Chg30d=+0.093 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.83 | Chg30d=+0.880 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+15.3% | Growth Revenue=+18.7%
Additional Sources for STRL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle