STRL Stock Analysis: Sterling Infrastructure | NASDAQ

E-Infrastructure, Transportation, Concrete Foundations, Site Development

Total Rating 56

Safety 78

Buy Signal -0.27

Engineering & Construction
Industry Rotation: +2.1

Market Cap: 11.9B
Avg Turnover: 306M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility78.3%

VaR 5^th Pctl12.5%

VaR vs Median-2.77%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.29

Rel. Str. IBD12.6

Rel. Str. Peer Group23.5 pctl

Character TTM

Beta2.908

Beta Downside2.251

Hurst Exponent0.433

Choppyness55.6%

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD64.25%

CAGR/Max DD1.11

CAGR/Mean DD4.70

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 68.83%
EPS Trend: 98.0%

Last SUE: 3.68
Qual. Beats: 12

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 26.47%
Rev. Trend: 85.8%

Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 6

Warnings

Fakeout

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Pead

Confidence

Garp

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -1.6% 8

Feb +2.7% 30

Mar -4.3% 55

Apr +0.5% 5

May +3.9% 23

Jun +6.1% 6

Jul +0.9% 7

Aug -1.1% 8

Sep +5.9% 28

Oct +1.4% 0

Nov +3.6% 14

Dec -4.4% 15

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: STRL Sterling Infrastructure

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ: STRL) is a U.S.-based construction and engineering company operating through three segments: E-Infrastructure Solutions, Transportation Solutions, and Building Solutions. The E-Infrastructure segment provides site development services for blue-chip end users in e-commerce distribution, data centers, manufacturing, warehousing, and power generation. The Transportation segment focuses on infrastructure development and rehabilitation for highways, roads, bridges, airports, ports, rail, and storm drainage systems, serving departments of transportation and related authorities. The Building Solutions segment delivers residential and commercial concrete foundations, as well as plumbing and survey services for developers, general contractors, and residential builds.

The company is classified within the Industrials sector under the Construction & Engineering sub-industry, reflecting its project-based business model that spans both public infrastructure contracts and private commercial development. Sterling operates primarily across the Southern, Northeastern, Mid-Atlantic, and Rocky Mountain regions of the United States, as well as the Pacific Islands. Founded in 1955 and headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, the company was formerly known as Sterling Construction Company, Inc. before adopting its current name in June 2022.

Headlines to Watch Out For

E-Infrastructure revenue surges on data center buildout
IIJA federal funding expands Transportation Solutions backlog
Residential housing weakness pressures Building Solutions margins

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0

Net Income: 554.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.62 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 1.36% < 20% (prev -0.16%; Δ 1.52% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 611.7m > Net Income 554.3m
Net Debt (126.8m) to EBITDA (893.5m): 0.14 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.04 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.1m) vs 12m ago 0.36% < -2%
Gross Margin: 23.78% > 18% (prev 23.05%; Δ 0.72% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 142.7% > 50% (prev 87.16%; Δ 55.57% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 55.21 > 6 (EBIT TTM 795.0m / Interest Expense TTM 14.4m)

Altman Z'' 3.95

A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 1.65b - Total Current Liabilities 1.59b) / Total Assets 3.48b
B: 0.38 (Retained Earnings 1.34b / Total Assets 3.48b)
C: 0.26 (EBIT TTM 795.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.02b)
D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 1.51b / Total Liabilities 1.93b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.95 = AA

Beneish M -2.45

DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 1.24b/604.0m, Revenue 4.31b/2.23b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 23.05% / 23.78%)
AQI: 0.82 (AQ_t 0.40 / AQ_t-1 0.49)
SGI: 1.93 (Revenue 4.31b / 2.23b)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 554.3m - CFO 611.7m) / TA 3.48b)
Beneish M = -2.45 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB

What is the price of STRL shares?

As of October 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 373.66 with a total of 1,818,649 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.22%, over one month by -26.00%, over three months by -24.40% and over the past year by -7.36%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 338.30 (which is 9.5% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is STRL a buy, sell or hold?

Sterling Infrastructure has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy STRL.

StrongBuy: 8
Buy: 0
Hold: 0
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the STRL price?

Analysts Target Price	836.7	123.9%

Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 11.9b (11.9b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 28.0166
P/E Forward = 13.9665
P/S = 3.4594
P/B = 8.282
P/EG = 0.4508
Revenue TTM = 4.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 795.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 893.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 275.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 14.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 343.7m USD (corrected: LT Debt 275.9m + ST Debt 14.9m) + Leases 52.9m
Net Debt = 126.8m USD (calculated: Debt 343.7m - CCE 216.9m)
Enterprise Value = 12.0b USD (11.9b + Debt 343.7m - CCE 216.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 55.21 (Ebit TTM 795.0m / Interest Expense TTM 14.4m)
EV/FCF = 25.58x (Enterprise Value 12.0b / FCF TTM 469.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.91% (FCF TTM 469.9m / Enterprise Value 12.0b)
FCF Margin = 10.89% (FCF TTM 469.9m / Revenue TTM 4.31b)
Net Margin = 12.85% (Net Income TTM 554.3m / Revenue TTM 4.31b)
Gross Margin = 23.78% ((Revenue TTM 4.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.12% (prev 24.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.45 (Enterprise Value 12.0b / Total Assets 3.48b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.19% (Interest Expense 14.4m / Debt 343.7m)
Taxrate = 23.94% (186.8m / 780.6m)
NOPAT = 604.7m (EBIT 795.0m * (1 - 23.94%))
Current Ratio = 1.04 (Total Current Assets 1.65b / Total Current Liabilities 1.59b)
Debt / Equity = 0.23 (Debt 343.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.51b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.14 (Net Debt 126.8m / EBITDA 893.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.27 (Net Debt 126.8m / FCF TTM 469.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.34% (Net Income 554.3m / Total Assets 3.48b)
RoE = 42.94% (Net Income TTM 554.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.29b)
RoCE = 50.74% (EBIT 795.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.29b + L.T.Debt 275.9m))
RoIC = 35.81% (NOPAT 604.7m / Invested Capital 1.69b)
WACC = 15.05% (E(11.9b)/V(12.2b) * Re(15.39%) + D(343.7m)/V(12.2b) * Rd(4.19%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 15.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 12.54%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 6.58 | Cagr: -0.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 59.37% ; FCFF base≈426.6m ; Y1≈489.0m ; Y5≈719.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 156.5 (EV 4.91b - Net Debt 126.8m = Equity 4.79b / Shares 30.6m; r=15.05% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.02 | EPS CAGR: 68.83% | SUE: 3.68 | # QB: 12
Revenue Correlation: 85.85 | Revenue CAGR: 26.47% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=20.03 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+84.1% | GrowthRev=+65.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=25.84 | Chg30d=+1.73% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+29.0% | GrowthRev=+21.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)