(STX) Seagate Technology - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: Singapore •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: IE00BKVD2N49
HDD, SSD, Enterprise Storage, External Drive, Edge Platform
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.90% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.58% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 1.71% |
| Payout Consistency | 86.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 33.5% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 86.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.09% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.32 |
| Alpha | 205.68 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.93 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.433 |
| Beta | 1.503 |
| Beta Downside | 1.651 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 40.00% |
| Mean DD | 8.39% |
| Median DD | 7.42% |
Description: STX Seagate Technology December 04, 2025
Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ: STX) designs, manufactures, and sells data-storage hardware and infrastructure solutions from its global hubs in Singapore, the United States, and the Netherlands, serving OEMs, distributors, and retailers worldwide.
The product suite spans mass-capacity enterprise drives (nearline HDDs and SSDs), legacy mission-critical storage, consumer external drives (Ultra Touch, One Touch, Expansion, Basics) under the Seagate and LaCie brands, notebook and desktop drives, DVR HDDs for streaming, and gaming-grade SSDs, plus the Lyve edge-to-cloud platform that combines modular hardware with software for on-premise and cloud storage workloads.
Key recent metrics: Seagate reported FY 2024 revenue of $13.4 billion, with HDD shipments up 7 % YoY driven by data-center demand, while SSD revenue grew 15 % as AI-intensive workloads accelerate. The company’s HDD market share remains near 40 % in the enterprise segment, and its operating margin has stabilized around 10 % after a 2023 cost-reduction program.
For a deeper dive into STX’s valuation drivers and scenario modeling, consider reviewing the analysis tools available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 1.71b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.48 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.89% < 20% (prev 6.15%; Δ -7.04% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 1.52b > Net Income 1.71b |
| Net Debt (3.88b) to EBITDA (2.39b): 1.63 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.98 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (226.0m) vs 12m ago 4.63% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.86% > 18% (prev 0.29%; Δ 3657 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 116.5% > 50% (prev 91.13%; Δ 25.33% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.73 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.39b / Interest Expense TTM 316.0m) |
Altman Z'' -1.36
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 4.03b - Total Current Liabilities 4.12b) / Total Assets 8.44b |
| B: -0.93 (Retained Earnings -7.83b / Total Assets 8.44b) |
| C: 0.26 (EBIT TTM 2.13b / Avg Total Assets 8.21b) |
| D: -0.01 (Book Value of Equity -63.0m / Total Liabilities 8.51b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.36 = CCC |
Beneish M -2.94
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 1.07b/753.0m, Revenue 9.56b/7.26b) |
| GMI: 0.78 (GM 36.86% / 28.92%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.32 (Revenue 9.56b / 7.26b) |
| TATA: 0.02 (NI 1.71b - CFO 1.52b) / TA 8.44b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.94 = A |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.75
| 1. Piotroski: 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 1.65% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 12.74% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: -79.27 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 1.63 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 30.59% |
| 7. RoE: -282.7% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: -12.02% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 28.31% |
What is the price of STX shares?
As of January 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 346.10 with a total of 2,957,402 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.09%, over one month by +22.70%, over three months by +53.27% and over the past year by +225.42%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.09%, over one month by +22.70%, over three months by +53.27% and over the past year by +225.42%.
Is STX a buy, sell or hold?
Seagate Technology has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.96.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy STX.
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the STX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 320.5 | -7.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 320.5 | -7.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 510.6 | 47.5% |
STX Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026
P/E Trailing = 41.1722
P/E Forward = 27.3224
P/S = 7.3016
P/B = 101.3063
P/EG = 0.882
Revenue TTM = 9.56b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.39b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.50b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.50b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.88b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 73.67b USD (69.79b + Debt 4.99b - CCE 1.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.73 (Ebit TTM 2.13b / Interest Expense TTM 316.0m)
EV/FCF = 60.49x (Enterprise Value 73.67b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
FCF Yield = 1.65% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Enterprise Value 73.67b)
FCF Margin = 12.74% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Revenue TTM 9.56b)
Net Margin = 17.92% (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Revenue TTM 9.56b)
Gross Margin = 36.86% ((Revenue TTM 9.56b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.44% (prev 37.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.73 (Enterprise Value 73.67b / Total Assets 8.44b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.60% (Interest Expense 80.0m / Debt 4.99b)
Taxrate = 10.59% (65.0m / 614.0m)
NOPAT = 1.90b (EBIT 2.13b * (1 - 10.59%))
Current Ratio = 0.98 (Total Current Assets 4.03b / Total Current Liabilities 4.12b)
Debt / Equity = -79.27 (negative equity) (Debt 4.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -63.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.63 (Net Debt 3.88b / EBITDA 2.39b)
Debt / FCF = 3.19 (Net Debt 3.88b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -606.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.87% (Net Income 1.71b / Total Assets 8.44b)
RoE = -282.7% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Total Stockholder Equity -606.0m)
RoCE = 73.55% (EBIT 2.13b / Capital Employed (Equity -606.0m + L.T.Debt 3.50b))
RoIC = 41.37% (NOPAT 1.90b / Invested Capital 4.60b)
WACC = 10.78% (E(69.79b)/V(74.78b) * Re(11.45%) + D(4.99b)/V(74.78b) * Rd(1.60%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 11.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.99%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.50% ; FCFF base≈984.4m ; Y1≈930.8m ; Y5≈881.1m
Fair Price DCF = 29.06 (EV 10.21b - Net Debt 3.88b = Equity 6.33b / Shares 217.9m; r=10.78% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -7.04% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 28.31 | EPS CAGR: 2.15% | SUE: 1.82 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -12.02 | Revenue CAGR: -4.43% | SUE: 2.18 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.94 | Chg30d=+0.088 | Revisions Net=+4 | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=11.62 | Chg30d=+0.225 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+43.5% | Growth Revenue=+21.5%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=15.35 | Chg30d=+0.587 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+32.1% | Growth Revenue=+16.1%
P/E Forward = 27.3224
P/S = 7.3016
P/B = 101.3063
P/EG = 0.882
Revenue TTM = 9.56b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.39b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.50b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.50b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.88b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 73.67b USD (69.79b + Debt 4.99b - CCE 1.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.73 (Ebit TTM 2.13b / Interest Expense TTM 316.0m)
EV/FCF = 60.49x (Enterprise Value 73.67b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
FCF Yield = 1.65% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Enterprise Value 73.67b)
FCF Margin = 12.74% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Revenue TTM 9.56b)
Net Margin = 17.92% (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Revenue TTM 9.56b)
Gross Margin = 36.86% ((Revenue TTM 9.56b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.44% (prev 37.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.73 (Enterprise Value 73.67b / Total Assets 8.44b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.60% (Interest Expense 80.0m / Debt 4.99b)
Taxrate = 10.59% (65.0m / 614.0m)
NOPAT = 1.90b (EBIT 2.13b * (1 - 10.59%))
Current Ratio = 0.98 (Total Current Assets 4.03b / Total Current Liabilities 4.12b)
Debt / Equity = -79.27 (negative equity) (Debt 4.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -63.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.63 (Net Debt 3.88b / EBITDA 2.39b)
Debt / FCF = 3.19 (Net Debt 3.88b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -606.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.87% (Net Income 1.71b / Total Assets 8.44b)
RoE = -282.7% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Total Stockholder Equity -606.0m)
RoCE = 73.55% (EBIT 2.13b / Capital Employed (Equity -606.0m + L.T.Debt 3.50b))
RoIC = 41.37% (NOPAT 1.90b / Invested Capital 4.60b)
WACC = 10.78% (E(69.79b)/V(74.78b) * Re(11.45%) + D(4.99b)/V(74.78b) * Rd(1.60%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 11.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.99%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.50% ; FCFF base≈984.4m ; Y1≈930.8m ; Y5≈881.1m
Fair Price DCF = 29.06 (EV 10.21b - Net Debt 3.88b = Equity 6.33b / Shares 217.9m; r=10.78% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -7.04% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 28.31 | EPS CAGR: 2.15% | SUE: 1.82 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -12.02 | Revenue CAGR: -4.43% | SUE: 2.18 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.94 | Chg30d=+0.088 | Revisions Net=+4 | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=11.62 | Chg30d=+0.225 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+43.5% | Growth Revenue=+21.5%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=15.35 | Chg30d=+0.587 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+32.1% | Growth Revenue=+16.1%
Additional Sources for STX Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle