(STX) Seagate Technology - Ratings and Ratios
Hard Drive, Solid State Drive, External Storage, Cloud Platform
STX EPS (Earnings per Share)
STX Revenue
Description: STX Seagate Technology
Seagate Technology Holdings plc designs, manufactures, and sells data-storage hardware and infrastructure solutions from its headquarters in Singapore, with major operations in the United States and the Netherlands. Its product portfolio spans enterprise-class nearline HDDs and SSDs, high-capacity video and image drives, network-attached storage (NAS) units, and legacy “Mission-Critical” storage for mission-essential workloads.
Beyond internal-drive offerings, Seagate markets external-storage lines under the Seagate and LaCie brands (Ultra Touch, One Touch, Expansion, Basics) and specialty products such as notebook drives, DVR HDDs for streaming, and gaming-grade SSDs. The company’s Lyve edge-to-cloud platform bundles modular hardware with software to enable hybrid on-premise/cloud storage deployments for large enterprises.
Seagate’s primary customers are original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), distributors, and retail channels. In FY 2023 the firm generated roughly **$12.5 billion** in revenue, with HDDs contributing about **70 %** of sales and SSDs the remaining **30 %**-reflecting a **15 % YoY growth** in SSD revenue driven by data-center and AI workloads.
Key macro drivers for the storage sector include exponential data-growth from AI training, edge-computing expansion, and the shift toward hybrid cloud architectures. A recent IDC base-rate suggests that global HDD shipments are in a **long-term decline of ~5 % per year**, while SSD shipments are rising **~12 % annually**, pressuring margins on legacy HDD lines but creating upside for high-performance SSD and edge-to-cloud solutions.
Given Seagate’s exposure to both declining HDD volumes and accelerating SSD demand, analysts should monitor the **SSD-to-HDD revenue mix**, **capacity-utilization rates in its fab facilities**, and **capital-expenditure trends** for the Lyve platform as leading indicators of future earnings momentum.
For a data-driven deep-dive into Seagate’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, the ValueRay research hub offers a transparent framework worth exploring.
STX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 47,215m |
| Sub-Industry | Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals |
| IPO / Inception | 2002-12-11 |
STX Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 83.1% |
| Fundamental | 69.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 51.8% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 77.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.96 of 5 |
STX Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.28% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.55% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 1.86% |
| Payout Consistency | 85.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 35.6% |
STX Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 93.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 70.7% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 59.3% |
| CAGR 5y | 65.58% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 1.64 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 7.83 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.17 |
| Alpha | 82.89 |
| Beta | 1.649 |
| Volatility | 43.98% |
| Current Volume | 3258.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 4834.9k |
| Stop Loss | 210.7 (-6.5%) |
| Signal | 0.20 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (1.47b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 545.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.62pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 11.05% (prev 3.56%; Δ 7.49pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.08b <= Net Income 1.47b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.10b) to EBITDA (2.08b) ratio: 1.97 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.38 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (218.0m) change vs 12m ago 1.40% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 35.18% (prev 23.45%; Δ 11.73pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 115.4% (prev 84.65%; Δ 30.78pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.71 (EBITDA TTM 2.08b / Interest Expense TTM 321.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.94
| (A) 0.13 = (Total Current Assets 3.65b - Total Current Liabilities 2.65b) / Total Assets 8.02b |
| (B) -1.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -8.15b / Total Assets 8.02b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.02 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.23 = EBIT TTM 1.83b / Avg Total Assets 7.88b |
| (D) -0.96 = Book Value of Equity -8.16b / Total Liabilities 8.48b |
| Total Rating: -1.94 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.05
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.59% = 0.80 |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.99% = 2.25 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -11.03 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.97 = 0.06 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 29.72)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE -160.5% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 54.30% = 4.07 |
| 9. EPS Trend 67.38% = 3.37 |
What is the price of STX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.14%, over one month by +5.98%, over three months by +54.11% and over the past year by +105.31%.
Is Seagate Technology a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of STX is around 275.40 USD . This means that STX is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +22.18% (Margin of Safety).
Is STX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the STX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 204.4 | -9.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 204.4 | -9.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 314.2 | 39.4% |
Last update: 2025-10-11 05:04
STX Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 32.7959
P/E Forward = 25.2525
P/S = 5.1902
P/B = 101.3063
P/EG = 1.5207
Beta = 1.649
Revenue TTM = 9.10b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.83b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.08b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.00b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.00b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 51.32b USD (47.22b + Debt 5.00b - CCE 891.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.71 (Ebit TTM 1.83b / Interest Expense TTM 321.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.59% (FCF TTM 818.0m / Enterprise Value 51.32b)
FCF Margin = 8.99% (FCF TTM 818.0m / Revenue TTM 9.10b)
Net Margin = 16.15% (Net Income TTM 1.47b / Revenue TTM 9.10b)
Gross Margin = 35.18% ((Revenue TTM 9.10b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.90b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.40% (prev 35.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.40 (Enterprise Value 51.32b / Total Assets 8.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.50% (Interest Expense 75.0m / Debt 5.00b)
Taxrate = 0.81% (4.00m / 492.0m)
NOPAT = 1.82b (EBIT 1.83b * (1 - 0.81%))
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 3.65b / Total Current Liabilities 2.65b)
Debt / Equity = -11.03 (negative equity) (Debt 5.00b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -453.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.97 (Net Debt 4.10b / EBITDA 2.08b)
Debt / FCF = 5.02 (Net Debt 4.10b / FCF TTM 818.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -915.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.31% (Net Income 1.47b / Total Assets 8.02b)
RoE = -160.5% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.47b / Total Stockholder Equity -915.2m)
RoCE = 44.95% (EBIT 1.83b / Capital Employed (Equity -915.2m + L.T.Debt 5.00b))
RoIC = 40.80% (NOPAT 1.82b / Invested Capital 4.46b)
WACC = 11.08% (E(47.22b)/V(52.21b) * Re(12.09%) + D(5.00b)/V(52.21b) * Rd(1.50%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 12.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.13%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 60.42% ; FCFE base≈756.4m ; Y1≈618.8m ; Y5≈439.3m
Fair Price DCF = 21.86 (DCF Value 4.66b / Shares Outstanding 213.0m; 5y FCF grow -21.88% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 67.38 | EPS CAGR: -14.03% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 54.30 | Revenue CAGR: 6.89% | SUE: 0.59 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for STX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle