(STX) Seagate Technology - Ratings and Ratios
Hard Drive, Solid State Drive, External Storage, Cloud Platform
STX EPS (Earnings per Share)
STX Revenue
Description: STX Seagate Technology September 29, 2025
Seagate Technology Holdings plc designs, manufactures, and sells data-storage hardware and infrastructure solutions from its headquarters in Singapore, with major operations in the United States and the Netherlands. Its product portfolio spans enterprise-class nearline HDDs and SSDs, high-capacity video and image drives, network-attached storage (NAS) units, and legacy “Mission-Critical” storage for mission-essential workloads.
Beyond internal-drive offerings, Seagate markets external-storage lines under the Seagate and LaCie brands (Ultra Touch, One Touch, Expansion, Basics) and specialty products such as notebook drives, DVR HDDs for streaming, and gaming-grade SSDs. The company’s Lyve edge-to-cloud platform bundles modular hardware with software to enable hybrid on-premise/cloud storage deployments for large enterprises.
Seagate’s primary customers are original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), distributors, and retail channels. In FY 2023 the firm generated roughly **$12.5 billion** in revenue, with HDDs contributing about **70 %** of sales and SSDs the remaining **30 %**-reflecting a **15 % YoY growth** in SSD revenue driven by data-center and AI workloads.
Key macro drivers for the storage sector include exponential data-growth from AI training, edge-computing expansion, and the shift toward hybrid cloud architectures. A recent IDC base-rate suggests that global HDD shipments are in a **long-term decline of ~5 % per year**, while SSD shipments are rising **~12 % annually**, pressuring margins on legacy HDD lines but creating upside for high-performance SSD and edge-to-cloud solutions.
Given Seagate’s exposure to both declining HDD volumes and accelerating SSD demand, analysts should monitor the **SSD-to-HDD revenue mix**, **capacity-utilization rates in its fab facilities**, and **capital-expenditure trends** for the Lyve platform as leading indicators of future earnings momentum.
For a data-driven deep-dive into Seagate’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, the ValueRay research hub offers a transparent framework worth exploring.
STX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 57,147m |
| Sub-Industry | Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals |
| IPO / Inception | 2002-12-11 |
STX Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 85.2% |
| Fundamental | 74.9% |
| Dividend Rating | 56.1% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 117% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.96 of 5 |
STX Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.41% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.84% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 1.86% |
| Payout Consistency | 85.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 31.5% |
STX Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 88.6% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 77.8% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 59.3% |
| CAGR 5y | 77.87% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 1.95 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 9.43 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.09 |
| Alpha | 130.60 |
| Beta | 1.649 |
| Volatility | 81.76% |
| Current Volume | 8612.8k |
| Average Volume 20d | 4942.4k |
| Stop Loss | 240.1 (-6.2%) |
| Signal | -0.16 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (1.71b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 573.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -0.89% (prev 6.15%; Δ -7.04pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.52b <= Net Income 1.71b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.88b) to EBITDA (2.38b) ratio: 1.63 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.98 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (226.0m) change vs 12m ago 4.63% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.86% (prev 28.92%; Δ 7.94pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 116.5% (prev 91.13%; Δ 25.33pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.71 (EBITDA TTM 2.38b / Interest Expense TTM 316.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.36
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 4.03b - Total Current Liabilities 4.12b) / Total Assets 8.44b |
| (B) -0.93 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -7.83b / Total Assets 8.44b |
| (C) 0.26 = EBIT TTM 2.12b / Avg Total Assets 8.21b |
| (D) -0.01 = Book Value of Equity -63.0m / Total Liabilities 8.51b |
| Total Rating: -1.36 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 74.88
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.00% = 1.00 |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.74% = 3.19 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -79.27 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.63 = 0.71 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 31.04)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE -282.7% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 77.21% = 5.79 |
| 9. EPS Trend 93.75% = 4.69 |
What is the price of STX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.10%, over one month by +0.45%, over three months by +65.81% and over the past year by +162.38%.
Is Seagate Technology a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of STX is around 327.15 USD . This means that STX is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +27.85% (Margin of Safety).
Is STX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the STX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 266.5 | 4.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 266.5 | 4.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 373.7 | 46% |
STX Fundamental Data Overview November 01, 2025
P/E Trailing = 34.4904
P/E Forward = 25.2525
P/S = 5.979
P/B = 101.3063
P/EG = 1.5207
Beta = 1.649
Revenue TTM = 9.56b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.00b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.50b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.88b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 61.03b USD (57.15b + Debt 4.99b - CCE 1.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.71 (Ebit TTM 2.12b / Interest Expense TTM 316.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.00% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Enterprise Value 61.03b)
FCF Margin = 12.74% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Revenue TTM 9.56b)
Net Margin = 17.92% (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Revenue TTM 9.56b)
Gross Margin = 36.86% ((Revenue TTM 9.56b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.44% (prev 37.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.23 (Enterprise Value 61.03b / Total Assets 8.44b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.60% (Interest Expense 80.0m / Debt 4.99b)
Taxrate = 10.59% (65.0m / 614.0m)
NOPAT = 1.90b (EBIT 2.12b * (1 - 10.59%))
Current Ratio = 0.98 (Total Current Assets 4.03b / Total Current Liabilities 4.12b)
Debt / Equity = -79.27 (negative equity) (Debt 4.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -63.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.63 (Net Debt 3.88b / EBITDA 2.38b)
Debt / FCF = 3.19 (Net Debt 3.88b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -606.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.29% (Net Income 1.71b / Total Assets 8.44b)
RoE = -282.7% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Total Stockholder Equity -606.0m)
RoCE = 48.33% (EBIT 2.12b / Capital Employed (Equity -606.0m + L.T.Debt 5.00b))
RoIC = 42.27% (NOPAT 1.90b / Invested Capital 4.49b)
WACC = 11.23% (E(57.15b)/V(62.14b) * Re(12.09%) + D(4.99b)/V(62.14b) * Rd(1.60%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 12.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.99%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.74% ; FCFE base≈984.4m ; Y1≈930.9m ; Y5≈883.2m
Fair Price DCF = 41.66 (DCF Value 8.87b / Shares Outstanding 213.0m; 5y FCF grow -7.04% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 93.75 | EPS CAGR: 176.0% | SUE: 2.62 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 77.21 | Revenue CAGR: 12.82% | SUE: 2.18 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for STX Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle