(STX) Seagate Technology - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: Singapore •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: IE00BKVD2N49
HDD, SSD, Enterprise Storage, External Drive, Edge Platform
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.28% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.63% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 1.86% |
| Payout Consistency | 85.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 31.8% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 70.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.26% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.26 |
| Alpha | 177.07 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.96 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.475 |
| Beta | 1.417 |
| Beta Downside | 1.670 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 40.00% |
| Mean DD | 8.33% |
| Median DD | 7.39% |
Description: STX Seagate Technology December 04, 2025
Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ: STX) designs, manufactures, and sells data-storage hardware and infrastructure solutions from its global hubs in Singapore, the United States, and the Netherlands, serving OEMs, distributors, and retailers worldwide.
The product suite spans mass-capacity enterprise drives (nearline HDDs and SSDs), legacy mission-critical storage, consumer external drives (Ultra Touch, One Touch, Expansion, Basics) under the Seagate and LaCie brands, notebook and desktop drives, DVR HDDs for streaming, and gaming-grade SSDs, plus the Lyve edge-to-cloud platform that combines modular hardware with software for on-premise and cloud storage workloads.
Key recent metrics: Seagate reported FY 2024 revenue of $13.4 billion, with HDD shipments up 7 % YoY driven by data-center demand, while SSD revenue grew 15 % as AI-intensive workloads accelerate. The company’s HDD market share remains near 40 % in the enterprise segment, and its operating margin has stabilized around 10 % after a 2023 cost-reduction program.
For a deeper dive into STX’s valuation drivers and scenario modeling, consider reviewing the analysis tools available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (1.71b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 573.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -0.89% (prev 6.15%; Δ -7.04pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.52b <= Net Income 1.71b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.88b) to EBITDA (2.39b) ratio: 1.63 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.98 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (226.0m) change vs 12m ago 4.63% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.86% (prev 28.92%; Δ 7.94pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 116.5% (prev 91.13%; Δ 25.33pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.73 (EBITDA TTM 2.39b / Interest Expense TTM 316.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.36
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 4.03b - Total Current Liabilities 4.12b) / Total Assets 8.44b |
| (B) -0.93 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -7.83b / Total Assets 8.44b |
| (C) 0.26 = EBIT TTM 2.13b / Avg Total Assets 8.21b |
| (D) -0.01 = Book Value of Equity -63.0m / Total Liabilities 8.51b |
| Total Rating: -1.36 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.99
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.97% |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.74% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -79.27 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.63 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 30.91)% |
| 7. RoE -282.7% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -12.02% |
| 9. EPS Trend 29.88% |
What is the price of STX shares?
As of December 11, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 282.86 with a total of 2,072,903 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.99%, over one month by -3.79%, over three months by +48.10% and over the past year by +192.75%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.99%, over one month by -3.79%, over three months by +48.10% and over the past year by +192.75%.
Is STX a buy, sell or hold?
Seagate Technology has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.96.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy STX.
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the STX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 289.2 | 2.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 289.2 | 2.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 416.4 | 47.2% |
STX Fundamental Data Overview December 06, 2025
Market Cap USD = 57.87b (57.87b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 34.0988
P/E Forward = 23.0415
P/S = 6.055
P/B = 101.3063
P/EG = 0.8758
Beta = 1.62
Revenue TTM = 9.56b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.39b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.50b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.50b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.88b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 61.76b USD (57.87b + Debt 4.99b - CCE 1.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.73 (Ebit TTM 2.13b / Interest Expense TTM 316.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.97% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Enterprise Value 61.76b)
FCF Margin = 12.74% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Revenue TTM 9.56b)
Net Margin = 17.92% (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Revenue TTM 9.56b)
Gross Margin = 36.86% ((Revenue TTM 9.56b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.44% (prev 37.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.32 (Enterprise Value 61.76b / Total Assets 8.44b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.60% (Interest Expense 80.0m / Debt 4.99b)
Taxrate = 10.59% (65.0m / 614.0m)
NOPAT = 1.90b (EBIT 2.13b * (1 - 10.59%))
Current Ratio = 0.98 (Total Current Assets 4.03b / Total Current Liabilities 4.12b)
Debt / Equity = -79.27 (negative equity) (Debt 4.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -63.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.63 (Net Debt 3.88b / EBITDA 2.39b)
Debt / FCF = 3.19 (Net Debt 3.88b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -606.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.29% (Net Income 1.71b / Total Assets 8.44b)
RoE = -282.7% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Total Stockholder Equity -606.0m)
RoCE = 73.55% (EBIT 2.13b / Capital Employed (Equity -606.0m + L.T.Debt 3.50b))
RoIC = 41.37% (NOPAT 1.90b / Invested Capital 4.60b)
WACC = 10.46% (E(57.87b)/V(62.87b) * Re(11.24%) + D(4.99b)/V(62.87b) * Rd(1.60%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 11.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.99%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.36% ; FCFE base≈984.4m ; Y1≈930.9m ; Y5≈883.2m
Fair Price DCF = 44.83 (DCF Value 9.77b / Shares Outstanding 217.9m; 5y FCF grow -7.04% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 29.88 | EPS CAGR: 2.15% | SUE: 2.62 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -12.02 | Revenue CAGR: -4.43% | SUE: 2.18 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.85 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=+16 | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=11.38 | Chg30d=+0.043 | Revisions Net=+21 | Growth EPS=+40.4% | Growth Revenue=+20.7%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=14.69 | Chg30d=+0.181 | Revisions Net=+18 | Growth EPS=+29.1% | Growth Revenue=+14.5%
P/E Trailing = 34.0988
P/E Forward = 23.0415
P/S = 6.055
P/B = 101.3063
P/EG = 0.8758
Beta = 1.62
Revenue TTM = 9.56b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.39b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.50b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.50b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.88b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 61.76b USD (57.87b + Debt 4.99b - CCE 1.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.73 (Ebit TTM 2.13b / Interest Expense TTM 316.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.97% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Enterprise Value 61.76b)
FCF Margin = 12.74% (FCF TTM 1.22b / Revenue TTM 9.56b)
Net Margin = 17.92% (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Revenue TTM 9.56b)
Gross Margin = 36.86% ((Revenue TTM 9.56b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.44% (prev 37.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.32 (Enterprise Value 61.76b / Total Assets 8.44b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.60% (Interest Expense 80.0m / Debt 4.99b)
Taxrate = 10.59% (65.0m / 614.0m)
NOPAT = 1.90b (EBIT 2.13b * (1 - 10.59%))
Current Ratio = 0.98 (Total Current Assets 4.03b / Total Current Liabilities 4.12b)
Debt / Equity = -79.27 (negative equity) (Debt 4.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -63.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.63 (Net Debt 3.88b / EBITDA 2.39b)
Debt / FCF = 3.19 (Net Debt 3.88b / FCF TTM 1.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -606.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.29% (Net Income 1.71b / Total Assets 8.44b)
RoE = -282.7% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.71b / Total Stockholder Equity -606.0m)
RoCE = 73.55% (EBIT 2.13b / Capital Employed (Equity -606.0m + L.T.Debt 3.50b))
RoIC = 41.37% (NOPAT 1.90b / Invested Capital 4.60b)
WACC = 10.46% (E(57.87b)/V(62.87b) * Re(11.24%) + D(4.99b)/V(62.87b) * Rd(1.60%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 11.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.99%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.36% ; FCFE base≈984.4m ; Y1≈930.9m ; Y5≈883.2m
Fair Price DCF = 44.83 (DCF Value 9.77b / Shares Outstanding 217.9m; 5y FCF grow -7.04% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 29.88 | EPS CAGR: 2.15% | SUE: 2.62 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -12.02 | Revenue CAGR: -4.43% | SUE: 2.18 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.85 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=+16 | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=11.38 | Chg30d=+0.043 | Revisions Net=+21 | Growth EPS=+40.4% | Growth Revenue=+20.7%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=14.69 | Chg30d=+0.181 | Revisions Net=+18 | Growth EPS=+29.1% | Growth Revenue=+14.5%
Additional Sources for STX Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle