(STX) Seagate Technology - Overview
Stock: Storage Devices, Data Storage, Hard Drives, Solid State Drives
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 64.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.50% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.74 |
| Alpha | 349.60 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.102 |
| Beta Downside | 1.805 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 40.00% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.39 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Risks
Description: STX Seagate Technology March 06, 2026
Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) provides data storage technology and infrastructure solutions globally. The company offers a diverse portfolio of storage products, including mass capacity storage solutions like enterprise nearline HDDs and SSDs. This sector is characterized by continuous innovation in storage density and access speed.
Seagates product offerings extend to legacy applications, external storage under various brands, and drives for PCs, notebooks, DVRs, and gaming. Their business model involves selling to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), distributors, and retailers.
Additionally, Seagate provides the Lyve edge-to-cloud mass capacity platform, which integrates hardware and software for enterprise on-premise and cloud storage infrastructure. This reflects the industry trend towards integrated data management solutions.
For more detailed analysis and financial insights, consider exploring ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Global data center demand fuels mass capacity storage sales
- HDD pricing pressures impact profit margins
- Cloud infrastructure spending drives enterprise storage growth
- Supply chain disruptions increase manufacturing costs
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 1.97b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.22 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.17 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.45% < 20% (prev 8.62%; Δ -4.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 2.02b > Net Income 1.97b |
| Net Debt (3.45b) to EBITDA (2.74b): 1.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.12 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (227.0m) vs 12m ago 4.61% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.65% > 18% (prev 0.32%; Δ 3.83k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 120.7% > 50% (prev 101.0%; Δ 19.74% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.13 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.74b / Interest Expense TTM 304.0m) |
Altman Z'' -0.39
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 4.21b - Total Current Liabilities 3.76b) / Total Assets 8.71b |
| B: -0.85 (Retained Earnings -7.42b / Total Assets 8.71b) |
| C: 0.30 (EBIT TTM 2.47b / Avg Total Assets 8.33b) |
| D: 0.06 (Book Value of Equity 459.0m / Total Liabilities 8.25b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.39 = B |
Beneish M -2.77
| DSRI: 1.35 (Receivables 1.25b/737.0m, Revenue 10.06b/8.04b) |
| GMI: 0.82 (GM 38.65% / 31.75%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.34) |
| SGI: 1.25 (Revenue 10.06b / 8.04b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 1.97b - CFO 2.02b) / TA 8.71b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.77 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of STX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.39%, over one month by -4.10%, over three months by +39.67% and over the past year by +367.81%.
Is STX a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the STX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 475.4 | 12.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 475.4 | 12.9% |
STX Fundamental Data Overview March 14, 2026
P/E Forward = 23.6967
P/S = 8.3298
P/B = 188.3814
P/EG = 0.6462
Revenue TTM = 10.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.47b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.74b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.50b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 998.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.50b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.45b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 87.23b USD (83.78b + Debt 4.50b - CCE 1.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.13 (Ebit TTM 2.47b / Interest Expense TTM 304.0m)
EV/FCF = 46.01x (Enterprise Value 87.23b / FCF TTM 1.90b)
FCF Yield = 2.17% (FCF TTM 1.90b / Enterprise Value 87.23b)
FCF Margin = 18.85% (FCF TTM 1.90b / Revenue TTM 10.06b)
Net Margin = 19.59% (Net Income TTM 1.97b / Revenue TTM 10.06b)
Gross Margin = 38.65% ((Revenue TTM 10.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.63% (prev 39.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 10.02 (Enterprise Value 87.23b / Total Assets 8.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.60% (Interest Expense 72.0m / Debt 4.50b)
Taxrate = 16.12% (114.0m / 707.0m)
NOPAT = 2.07b (EBIT 2.47b * (1 - 16.12%))
Current Ratio = 1.12 (Total Current Assets 4.21b / Total Current Liabilities 3.76b)
Debt / Equity = 9.80 (Debt 4.50b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 459.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.26 (Net Debt 3.45b / EBITDA 2.74b)
Debt / FCF = 1.82 (Net Debt 3.45b / FCF TTM 1.90b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -221.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.64% (Net Income 1.97b / Total Assets 8.71b)
RoE = -889.4% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.97b / Total Stockholder Equity -221.5m)
RoCE = 75.38% (EBIT 2.47b / Capital Employed (Equity -221.5m + L.T.Debt 3.50b))
RoIC = 44.24% (NOPAT 2.07b / Invested Capital 4.69b)
WACC = 13.03% (E(83.78b)/V(88.28b) * Re(13.66%) + D(4.50b)/V(88.28b) * Rd(1.60%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 13.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.22%
[DCF] Terminal Value 63.44% ; FCFF base≈1.41b ; Y1≈1.52b ; Y5≈1.86b
[DCF] Fair Price = 56.67 (EV 16.15b - Net Debt 3.45b = Equity 12.70b / Shares 224.0m; r=13.03% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 8.55% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 55.59 | EPS CAGR: 15.53% | SUE: 3.93 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 23.66 | Revenue CAGR: 0.22% | SUE: 2.37 | # QB: 2
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=13.02 | Chg7d=+0.013 | Chg30d=+1.405 | Revisions Net=+20 | Growth EPS=+60.8% | Growth Revenue=+26.4%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=19.84 | Chg7d=+0.091 | Chg30d=+4.337 | Revisions Net=+20 | Growth EPS=+52.3% | Growth Revenue=+24.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (20 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Current Year)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 11.3% (Discount Rate 13.7% - Earnings Yield 2.4%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +12.9% (Analyst 24.2% - Implied 11.3%)