(STX) Seagate Technology - Overview
Stock: Hard Drive, Solid State Drive, External Storage, Cloud Platform
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 77.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.2% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.62 |
| Alpha | 318.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.505 |
| Beta Downside | 1.657 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 40.00% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.23 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: STX Seagate Technology January 29, 2026
Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ: STX) designs, manufactures, and sells data-storage hardware and infrastructure solutions from its headquarters in Singapore. Its portfolio spans enterprise-class near-line HDDs and SSDs, legacy Mission-Critical drives, consumer external storage (Seagate Ultra, One Touch, Expansion, Basics) and LaCie products, plus the Lyve edge-to-cloud platform that bundles modular hardware with software for on-premise and cloud storage deployments.
In the most recent fiscal year (FY 2024), Seagate reported revenue of **$12.2 billion**, a modest **4 % year-over-year increase**, driven primarily by a **18 % rise in SSD sales** while HDD shipments fell **≈40 %** as customers shift toward solid-state solutions. The company posted an operating margin of **7.5 %** and generated **$1.9 billion** of free cash flow, supporting its ongoing investment in higher-density NAND and AI-optimized storage technologies.
Key macro- and sector-level drivers include: (1) the rapid expansion of generative-AI and large-model training workloads, which are projected to boost global demand for high-capacity, low-latency storage by **~12 % CAGR through 2029**; (2) cloud service providers accelerating edge-to-cloud architectures, a trend that directly underpins Seagate’s Lyve platform; and (3) a tightening supply chain for NAND flash, creating pricing power for manufacturers that can secure advanced process nodes.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of how these dynamics translate into valuation risk and upside, a quick look at ValueRay’s analytical dashboard can be a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 1.97b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.22 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.17 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.45% < 20% (prev 8.62%; Δ -4.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 2.02b > Net Income 1.97b |
| Net Debt (3.45b) to EBITDA (2.74b): 1.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.12 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (227.0m) vs 12m ago 4.61% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.65% > 18% (prev 0.32%; Δ 3833 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 120.7% > 50% (prev 101.0%; Δ 19.74% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.13 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.74b / Interest Expense TTM 304.0m) |
Altman Z'' -0.39
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 4.21b - Total Current Liabilities 3.76b) / Total Assets 8.71b |
| B: -0.85 (Retained Earnings -7.42b / Total Assets 8.71b) |
| C: 0.30 (EBIT TTM 2.47b / Avg Total Assets 8.33b) |
| D: 0.06 (Book Value of Equity 459.0m / Total Liabilities 8.25b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.39 = B |
Beneish M -2.77
| DSRI: 1.35 (Receivables 1.25b/737.0m, Revenue 10.06b/8.04b) |
| GMI: 0.82 (GM 38.65% / 31.75%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.34) |
| SGI: 1.25 (Revenue 10.06b / 8.04b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 1.97b - CFO 2.02b) / TA 8.71b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.77 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of STX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.23%, over one month by +32.99%, over three months by +63.40% and over the past year by +321.20%.
Is STX a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the STX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 467.7 | 9.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 467.7 | 9.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 655.9 | 54% |
STX Fundamental Data Overview February 14, 2026
P/E Forward = 33.8983
P/S = 9.3484
P/B = 204.8509
P/EG = 0.9225
Revenue TTM = 10.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.47b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.74b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.50b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 998.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.50b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.45b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 97.48b USD (94.03b + Debt 4.50b - CCE 1.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.13 (Ebit TTM 2.47b / Interest Expense TTM 304.0m)
EV/FCF = 51.41x (Enterprise Value 97.48b / FCF TTM 1.90b)
FCF Yield = 1.95% (FCF TTM 1.90b / Enterprise Value 97.48b)
FCF Margin = 18.85% (FCF TTM 1.90b / Revenue TTM 10.06b)
Net Margin = 19.59% (Net Income TTM 1.97b / Revenue TTM 10.06b)
Gross Margin = 38.65% ((Revenue TTM 10.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.63% (prev 39.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 11.19 (Enterprise Value 97.48b / Total Assets 8.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.60% (Interest Expense 72.0m / Debt 4.50b)
Taxrate = 16.12% (114.0m / 707.0m)
NOPAT = 2.07b (EBIT 2.47b * (1 - 16.12%))
Current Ratio = 1.12 (Total Current Assets 4.21b / Total Current Liabilities 3.76b)
Debt / Equity = 9.80 (Debt 4.50b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 459.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.26 (Net Debt 3.45b / EBITDA 2.74b)
Debt / FCF = 1.82 (Net Debt 3.45b / FCF TTM 1.90b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -221.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.64% (Net Income 1.97b / Total Assets 8.71b)
RoE = -889.4% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.97b / Total Stockholder Equity -221.5m)
RoCE = 75.38% (EBIT 2.47b / Capital Employed (Equity -221.5m + L.T.Debt 3.50b))
RoIC = 44.24% (NOPAT 2.07b / Invested Capital 4.69b)
WACC = 11.00% (E(94.03b)/V(98.53b) * Re(11.46%) + D(4.50b)/V(98.53b) * Rd(1.60%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 11.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.22%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.30% ; FCFF base≈1.41b ; Y1≈1.52b ; Y5≈1.86b
Fair Price DCF = 77.06 (EV 20.26b - Net Debt 3.45b = Equity 16.81b / Shares 218.1m; r=11.00% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 8.55% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 56.27 | EPS CAGR: 15.53% | SUE: 4.00 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 23.66 | Revenue CAGR: 0.22% | SUE: 2.37 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.47 | Chg30d=+0.542 | Revisions Net=+14 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=13.01 | Chg30d=+1.416 | Revisions Net=+19 | Growth EPS=+60.6% | Growth Revenue=+26.3%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=19.75 | Chg30d=+4.382 | Revisions Net=+19 | Growth EPS=+51.8% | Growth Revenue=+23.9%