(STX) Seagate Technology - NASDAQ
Sector: Technology | Industry: Computer Hardware | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 230.506m USD | Total Return: 727.8% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 3.23B
Qual. Beats: 4
Rev. Trend: 89.4%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
P/E ratio 97.1
Altman Z'' 0.94 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
Supp Ema20, Rs Leader, Idiosyncratic Leader, Tailwind, Confidence
Seagate Technology Holdings plc is a global provider of data storage solutions, specializing in the development of hard disk drives (HDDs) and solid state drives (SSDs). The company serves a diverse market ranging from mass-capacity enterprise infrastructure and cloud storage to consumer-facing external drives and gaming peripherals. Its product portfolio includes the Lyve edge-to-cloud platform, which integrates hardware and software for on-premise and hybrid data management.
The company operates within the data storage sector, which is currently driven by the increasing demand for high-capacity nearline storage as hyperscale data centers scale their operations. Seagate’s business model relies heavily on vertical integration, particularly in the manufacturing of recording heads and media, to maintain cost efficiencies in high-volume production. For a deeper look into the companys valuation metrics, consider reviewing the data on ValueRay.
- Cloud data center demand drives high-capacity nearline hard disk drive revenue
- HAMR technology transition determines enterprise storage market share leadership
- Global PC shipment volume fluctuations impact legacy client drive sales
- Memory component pricing and logistics costs influence gross margin performance
- Capital expenditure cycles of hyperscale cloud providers dictate quarterly earnings volatility
| Net Income: 2.38b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.30 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 19.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.61% < 20% (prev 10.19%; Δ -0.58% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.32 > 3% & CFO 2.88b > Net Income 2.38b |
| Net Debt (3.35b) to EBITDA (3.39b): 0.99 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.33 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (229.0m) vs 12m ago 6.02% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 41.54% > 18% (prev 33.79%; Δ 7.75% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 133.8% > 50% (prev 112.9%; Δ 20.91% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.57 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.12b / Interest Expense TTM 295.0m) |
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 4.30b - Total Current Liabilities 3.24b) / Total Assets 8.89b |
| B: -0.78 (Retained Earnings -6.92b / Total Assets 8.89b) |
| C: 0.38 (EBIT TTM 3.12b / Avg Total Assets 8.23b) |
| D: 0.14 (Book Value of Equity 1.09b / Total Liabilities 7.80b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.94 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.39 (Receivables 1.36b/756.0m, Revenue 11.0b/8.54b) |
| GMI: 0.81 (GM 33.79% / 41.54%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.29 (Revenue 11.0b / 8.54b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 2.38b - CFO 2.88b) / TA 8.89b) |
| Beneish M = -2.75 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of June 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 1070.23 with a total of 8,424,500 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +23.29%,
over one month by +45.94%,
over three months by +146.69% and
over the past year by +727.75%.
Seagate Technology has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.96. Therefore, it is recommended to buy STX.
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 885.9 | -17.2% |
P/E Trailing = 97.1211
P/E Forward = 42.0168
P/S = 21.1937
P/B = 213.0985
P/EG = 0.7135
Revenue TTM = 11.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.39b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 398.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.49b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 315.0m
Net Debt = 3.35b USD (calculated: Debt 4.49b - CCE 1.15b)
Enterprise Value = 234b USD (231b + Debt 4.49b - CCE 1.15b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.57 (Ebit TTM 3.12b / Interest Expense TTM 295.0m)
EV/FCF = 88.82x (Enterprise Value 234b / FCF TTM 2.63b)
FCF Yield = 1.13% (FCF TTM 2.63b / Enterprise Value 234b)
FCF Margin = 23.91% (FCF TTM 2.63b / Revenue TTM 11.0b)
Net Margin = 21.60% (Net Income TTM 2.38b / Revenue TTM 11.0b)
Gross Margin = 41.54% ((Revenue TTM 11.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.44b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.50% (prev 41.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 26.30 (Enterprise Value 234b / Total Assets 8.89b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.57% (Interest Expense 295.0m / Debt 4.49b)
Taxrate = 11.17% (299.0m / 2.68b)
NOPAT = 2.77b (EBIT 3.12b * (1 - 11.17%))
Current Ratio = 1.33 (Total Current Assets 4.30b / Total Current Liabilities 3.24b)
Debt / Equity = 4.10 (Debt 4.49b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.99 (Net Debt 3.35b / EBITDA 3.39b)
Debt / FCF = 1.27 (Net Debt 3.35b / FCF TTM 2.63b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 259.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 28.90% (Net Income 2.38b / Total Assets 8.89b)
RoE = 916.4% (Net Income TTM 2.38b / Total Stockholder Equity 259.5m)
RoCE = 83.74% (EBIT 3.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 259.5m + L.T.Debt 3.46b))
RoIC = 50.39% (NOPAT 2.77b / Invested Capital 5.50b)
WACC = 14.37% (E(231b)/V(235b) * Re(14.54%) + D(4.49b)/V(235b) * Rd(6.57%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 14.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.39 | Cagr: 4.15%
[DCF] Terminal Value 60.99% ; FCFF base≈1.89b ; Y1≈2.17b ; Y5≈3.19b
[DCF] Fair Price = 87.08 (EV 23.0b - Net Debt 3.35b = Equity 19.7b / Shares 226.3m; r=14.37% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 89.40 | Revenue CAGR: 20.62% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=5.64 | Chg30d=+1.49% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=14.89 | Chg30d=+0.11% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+83.8% | GrowthRev=+32.5%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=26.91 | Chg30d=+2.76% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+80.7% | GrowthRev=+37.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%