SVC Stock Analysis: Service Properties Trust | NASDAQ
REIT - Hotel & Motel | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.114m USD | 12M Return: -33.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 18.4M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -60.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Service Properties Trust (NASDAQ: SVC) is a U.S.-based real estate investment trust (REIT) that operates a hybrid commercial real estate portfolio across two segments: service-focused retail net lease properties and hotels. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned 760 retail net lease properties encompassing over 13.6 million square feet, and 94 hotels with more than 21,000 guest rooms across the United States, Puerto Rico, and Canada. REITs like SVC are generally required to distribute a substantial portion of their taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends.
The trust is externally managed by The RMR Group, an alternative asset manager with over $37 billion in assets under management and four decades of commercial real estate experience. Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Newton, Massachusetts, SVC trades as a small-cap stock classified within the Diversified REITs sub-industry of the Real Estate sector, reflecting its exposure to multiple property types rather than a single asset class.
- Hotel RevPAR recovery supports segment revenue growth
- Net lease retail tenant performance weakens amid consumer slowdown
- High leverage and refinancing costs pressure dividend coverage
| Net Income: -237.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.53 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.16% < 20% (prev 21.43%; Δ -21.27% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 115.2m > Net Income -237.1m |
| Net Debt (5.07b) to EBITDA (425.5m): 11.91 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.3m) vs 12m ago 0.47% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.23% > 18% (prev 46.86%; Δ -23.63% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 26.68% > 50% (prev 27.18%; Δ -0.50% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.33 > 6 (EBIT TTM 123.8m / Interest Expense TTM 371.0m) |
| A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 19.3m - Total Current Liabilities 16.4m) / Total Assets 6.08b |
| B: -0.67 (Retained Earnings -4.07b / Total Assets 6.08b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 123.8m / Avg Total Assets 6.53b) |
| D: 0.09 (Book Value of Equity 493.7m / Total Liabilities 5.59b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.96 = D |
As of July 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.76 with a total of 2,781,402 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.55%, over one month by +6.16%, over three months by +15.94% and over the past year by -33.20%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.10 (which is 7.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Service Properties Trust has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SVC.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 12.2 | 39.2% |
P/E Forward = 21.3675
P/S = 0.6387
P/B = 2.2824
P/EG = 2.2727
Revenue TTM = 1.74b USD
EBIT TTM = 123.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 425.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.09b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.07b USD (calculated: Debt 5.09b - CCE 19.3m)
Enterprise Value = 6.18b USD (1.11b + Debt 5.09b - CCE 19.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.33 (Ebit TTM 123.8m / Interest Expense TTM 371.0m)
EV/FCF = -60.55x (Enterprise Value 6.18b / FCF TTM -102.1m)
FCF Yield = -1.65% (FCF TTM -102.1m / Enterprise Value 6.18b)
FCF Margin = -5.86% (FCF TTM -102.1m / Revenue TTM 1.74b)
Net Margin = -13.61% (Net Income TTM -237.1m / Revenue TTM 1.74b)
Gross Margin = 23.23% ((Revenue TTM 1.74b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -10.57% (prev 32.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 6.18b / Total Assets 6.08b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.29% (Interest Expense 371.0m / Debt 5.09b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 97.8m (EBIT 123.8m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.04 (Total Current Assets 19.3m / Total Current Liabilities 499.5m)
Debt / Equity = 10.30 (Debt 5.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 493.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 11.91 (Net Debt 5.07b / EBITDA 425.5m)
Debt / FCF = -49.64 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 5.07b / FCF TTM -102.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 620.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.63% (Net Income -237.1m / Total Assets 6.08b)
RoE = -38.18% (Net Income TTM -237.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 620.9m)
RoCE = 2.17% (EBIT 123.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 620.9m + L.T.Debt 5.09b))
RoIC = 1.61% (NOPAT 97.8m / Invested Capital 6.06b)
WACC = 6.62% (E(1.11b)/V(6.20b) * Re(10.55%) + D(5.09b)/V(6.20b) * Rd(7.29%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 77.01 | Cagr: 0.17%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -102.1m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -60.56 | Revenue CAGR: -1.65% | SUE: 1.42 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.15 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.30 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.50 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+6.6% | GrowthRev=-15.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-1.15 | Chg30d=+11.54% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+54.0% | GrowthRev=+1.1%